Monday, September 30, 2013

monday thoughts


927
OIL has broken 102 as expected. still swing short from 107.50 oil,

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".


Wednesday, September 25, 2013

wedn thoughts


233
 see the wedge forming in IWM on 60min chart?

bearish day candles developing, BUT a rising wedge...may pop higher to new highs on daily, then retrace lower

1123
NEM trade swing: still same trgt 2940, tho may only make 2920 and pullback...will eval at 2920 but for now 2940 trgt to sell....gdx nugt multiweek swing trgts are much higher

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".


Monday, September 23, 2013

mon thoughts


1108
29.40, 29.80 is quick trade trgt 1,2 on nem,,,longer holds higher trgts

932
GDX is down 0.7% at open here, but related NEM is up 0.4%
still holding NEM quikc trade from friday, and nugt gdx multiweek swings

931
OIL continues lower toward swing targets on shorts, still holding, not at trgt yet

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".


Friday, September 20, 2013

Fri thoughts


314
Autotrader scalp results, for today (assumes deduction for $14 commission roundtrip), :

TNA: 100k = 1697,  50k=779, 25k=320, 5k= (46)
TZA:  100k = 1964, 50k=913, 25k=389, 5k=32

Clearly it does not work on a 5k account.


942
NEM  GDX  NUGT all look good here, for quicktrades and multiweek swings
added NEM 2903

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".


Thursday, September 19, 2013

Oil Chart


Oil continues to look bearish on daily, though its during the topping phase now, so picking spots is important.

right now, i'm on sidelines in oil, waiting for an opportunity to setup



* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".


Thurs thoughts

343
tho may see 2650 first, i've added some here, with funds avail to add more if later

341
BOUGHT BACK the GDX here 27.34, and will hold this one overnight
the daily chart on GDX has a series of higher lows since June 28, so vdx likely will see higher than
29 before lower than 25

327
OUT early GDX at .50, exited at higher price b4 stopped out...will try to buy later again

325
STOP on nugt gdx quick trade at .46, very tight, will look to buy back later if stopped, lsat .50

323
i'm out of the oil shorts now. it may move lower today, even with a bang, but it's "enough", dont want the risk, so out near lows of day

322
USO daily chart since aug 28 has 3 lower lows, often bounces come after 3, so i'm being cautious with oil shorts from yest, and i will exit them today, and move to sidelines until next setup, then look to buy lower or short higher,

317
MM just raised their bids on GDX to 2 cents away from curr price...bullish for move to .62, then higher levels after pb

316
one could try shorting again oil here...i may be exiting oil shorts from yest from higher levels, in the next 1-45 minutes tho

309
conserv shorts in oil on break of .80 would exit here and try again later, at .65 last...

305
GDX NUGT quick trade up 1% and 3% since entry today, larger positions can sell 25-50% here, and hold rest for higher

215
OIL hit the 105.80 trigger...should break under .67 now for new intraday lows

213
have an order to sell quicktrade gdx 2807 and will try to buy back lower if hit....multiweek swing targets for other gdx and nugt positinos remain over 32 tho

212
MM are selling gdx at 2720 here, BUT because they want to buy at 2702....i'll hold on for now for higher...they are trying to accum for a move to 2770...Inv Banks have higher sell level of course

210
IDEA: if oil breaks 105.80, add short (below mkt). or, try to short at 106.00-106.40 range, whichever comes first (lower or higher)

208
27.70 gdx trgt 1 mini

206
MM (not Inv Banks) raised their buy and sell levels on gdx, so i jumped in early for a quick trade

205
leaving room to add more gdx at lower levels

205
LONG gdx early 2704

204
oil breaking, on decent 3min volume chart

200
oil testing 106 support now and looks breakable lower

151
i have an order in to buy GDX at 26.52 if it gets down there, good for today only

143
i'm OUT of the USO oil puts bought yesterday, at 10% gain, under the 20% gain target , i do expect them to go higher (lower oil) but don't want to hold the puts because they decay

i will continue holding the SCO and short USO however, for lower oil and higher SCO. atm, sco is near break-even point or small gain.

but puts options accomplished their purpose and plan, so exited early

927
OIL is trading lower here as market nearing the open

921
VIX still around 13.50 at yest close,,,still susceptible to moving to 1180--1200ish area, if u look back on daily chart its a common area,,VIX not VXX

918
same plan as yest for oil:

PLAN: now that cash is freed up as result of sales in GDX and NUGT, if the oil uso PUTS do not move today, i will SELL the PUTS at a loss and replace with short USO and/or SCO...since the USO will not decay like the puts do... the puts were a temporary 2 day measure to enable an entry position in oil yesterday before the cash was freed from GDX


* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".


Wednesday, September 18, 2013

Wed thoughts


314
PLAN: now that cash is freed up as result of sales in GDX and NUGT, if the oil uso PUTS do not move today or tomorrow, i will SELL the PUTS tomorrow at a loss and replace with short USO and/or SCO...since the USO will not decay like the puts do... the puts were a temporary 2 day measure to enable a position in oil before the cash was freed from GDX

309
GDX hit 28.43 Inv Bank sell level trgt

29.03 next sell level GDX but its starting to get stretched now, and may pull back to 2750 area where i'd add in coming hours days

301
OUT of NUGT quick piece 7302, will look to reload later...still have multiweek swing for over 110 trgt

253
GDX hit 27.80 trgt, last 2786

252
22% move up in NUGT in one day, that stuff is v volatile this year

251
2840 new Inv Bank sell level, from 2780 prior one...stall at 2780 would make sense, but Inv Banks running away from selling and waiting for higher levels

227
atm the OIL puts and SCO are red, but imo still will go back to at least break-even

226
2755 raised stop
wont keep posting every change,,,manually trailing thhe stop

225
tigth stop, 2739, on gdx now, on active piece, last 2744,,,v tite may get stopped but will protect gains....

221
GDX stalled 27.38, right near prev posted 2740 old Inv Bank level, normal behavior...still waiting on 2780 tho

215
have order to sell some gdx nugt at 2780 (active piece),,,holding multiweek swing for gdx targets over 34 though

212
2740 and 2780 are old and new Inv Bank sell leveld on gdx, last 2709

203
GDX and NUGT large moves up, after FOMC

143
have order to sell options on oil uso at modest 21% gain if able, modest target, not looking for 100% or double

1217
move in oil volatile enough, so bought PUTS in USO, rarely trade options but looks good here

1132
oil 105.35 or sco 28.70 approx exit area if able, then will re-eval

1102
105.79, added mor oil shorts, sco

953
long SCO 2877. trgt 10-80 cents. scalp. took at oil 105.14

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".