359
taking 3055 for scalp KFT
356
i'm going to take partial profits on kft today (scalp) and hold other piece swing (25% size swing)
to lock profits on scalps
351
setting lim order to sell KFT 3092, trgt #3
345
kft is approaching target #2 now
339
for oil i see first to short the higher hi in 60min,,then reverse long,,,no entries either way now,, USO
316
:) finally, it took HOURS but KFT hit the .47 trgt,,,still see higher toward other targets
311
PAAS and SLW are alternatives to SLV AGQ (for a GDX-like trade in silver vs gold gdx)
254
:LONG in BAC 1367, swing
245
silver SLV stronger than gold, not as alluring but stronger,,AGQ is 2x slv,,,looking for entry on pullback if poss
226
stop 3040 on some of kft to exit for few pennies profit,,,stop is to reduce risk, fewer shares, not for profit per se
214
KFT buy alert, first one today, 81%
205
just a thought,,,idk if SPX will move sideways or not for next month or so, but if it does, it can make options very hard to trade,, i still think it will follow oils pattern sideways from dec jan
204
if short INTC,,,a tite stop makes sense,,, warns of chop whipsaw now
158
DRV may be ready to re-enter again long tomorrow,,,not ready yet for me, swing,,, my last forray in DRV was a 10 cent loss, grrrrrrrrrrrrr,,, exited 1670ish, last 1608,,looking to reenter later as it is now lower than my exit price
146
euro daily has a poss dbl bottom, dec 1 and jan 11ish
144
OIL GOLD DOLLAR and EURO are a bit tricky to trade lately
143
euo should pull back today or tomorrow to allow entry
139
removing order to short euro, long dollar, never got filled,,,just missed it
137
still long JNJ,,,its in a bull falling wedge,,,may fall more but still expecting bnc higher later
119
60min intc still says sideways to lower intc for now as long as under that
118
short INTC may want to exit on break over green candle hi, 60min,,, and reenter later, bull daily W poss in INTC,
115
i will lim buy 25% swing size pos in EUO 19.16, last 1924 (short euro)
109
considering long entries in us dollar, uup, swing, no entry yet
105
kft .52 revised trgt,,now trgt is .47/.52 and .67
1253
still trying for the .66 trgt to take profits tho, if poss
1252
KFT should hit the .47 trgt on break ov .42ish
1235
es may want 1291
1235
may require over an hour's wait on ES for setup
1235
i will not auto short at es 1286 target, watching reactions, likely wait for a pb then short the bounce,
1230
kft approaching .47 and .66 targets
1229
on daily, i still think the spx is going to trade sideways daily a bit,,,like OIL did in dec jan
1227
.38 next trgt, daily R,,,expecting break higher over it after poss stall pb first
1226
KFT was a few minutes late but finally broke that .32
1213
ES just hit the 1282 trgt from friday
1286 next trgt, poss shorts there, unknown
1159
bar candle plus Market Maker reports suggest KFT should break over .32 by 12:19
1130
KFT lim sell 3067 if able, last 3031
1121
kft cost is now 3037
1116
will add more kft 3028 buy #3 of poss 4
1105
es is approaching 1282/1286 first, trgts from friday
1048
swing trgts higher, cost for swing is 3042 not 3027
1048
KFT first scalp trgt 3047 from 3027 if able, last 3036
1009
MCD also looks good as long hedge, may add later to existing mcd
1008
adding kft long here 3025 swing scalp combo
1001
longs might want to wait before entering to see if the Sunday ES low is tested, safer long after sideways first
931
still long JNJ too,,,watching reactions this morn to the gap ups in mcd jnj, with kft flat
921
an entry long b4 short entry may present, just watching for now on es tf
920
for SPX DOW Russel swings or multihour daytrade holds, re-entry short may present after this rally finishes... watching charts for now and waiting for entry, still have the LONGS in MCD and KFT bought on Friday
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Monday, January 31, 2011
Friday, January 28, 2011
Friday ramblings / Thurs eve futures
426
VIX has the biggest daily green candle since june, tho these huge candles usually are followed by spx bounce or consolod and then more down spx
407
spy wicks AH pointing near todays highs
403
JNJ is now at its May flash crash low, have gone long as posted
343
took profits on most swing shorts, still have smaller pieces, and have gone long swing in select stocks mcd kft jnj,,, next week may add more swing shorts again
340
i am going LONG swing hedge JNJ 60.06
254
5584 l;ast qqqq
253
Mrkt Maker reports on qqqq show bias to upside, intraday only not for swings
229
es could still rally and then still sell into close,,,watching charts
224
es 3min chart acting as expected,,,usuall pattern playing out,,, now watcing for next trgt on ES higher if breaks prev 3min resist
220
no entry yet, but on a pullback, long gold looks good,,,should pivot up when 15min chart finishes its downside, may not get an entry today
206
exited oil shorts yest
205
will consider oil long on pullbak pprob not today,swing,,, finally a switch from short to long oil poss
204
es can break without pb cuz other stocks are at mini break higher levels
203
es hit 1278 trgt,,,watching for pb or sideways, or poss break higher since 2pm
202
es 1286 poss after hits first trgt, pb, then 1286
159
3090 trgt kft ,,,approx glance ballpark trgt,,didnt measure precisely
156
this es pattern 3min, usually will allow to take profit on stall, then reenter long once more on a higher low pb
153
KFT green long moving higher, MCD still red 0.5%
152
VZ long swing i'm looking at,,,but not yet,,,may want 3500ish, 3576 last
14912
3min es suggests higher scalp at 1274
140
kft looks good for scalp long,still long
132
out of drv for now, with a loss 15 cents
130
mcd looks ready to pivot upwards, watching,, why stop was lowered for now
128
DRV stop 1667,,,if doesnt hold here i'm out with a loss to buy again later
123
lowered mcd stop and added here 7219,,,buy #3
117
7328 mcd stop 7322 is low risk trade scalp
1243
LONG now KFT 3057
1231
profits taken,out of HD shorts, can always reenter
1227
stop 3688 hd
1227
HD stop 3698
1224
still have the hd shorts and drv long, gold long
1224
out of INTC,,took profits,,will look to reenter short positions later
1220
2152 intc stop
1219
i exited b4 my stop was hit cuz i think its gonna get stopped out,, larger profit
1218
exiting HPQ here to take profits
1210
still have all thos other shorts, only newly entered long is MCD just last hourish
1209
stop .22 mcd for now
1208
adding MCD long here 7351
1205
out of MMM took profits
1204
8736 mmm stop last .33
1201
the stop orders are all "stop market" not "limit",,,, mistyped sorry
1200
8781 MMM stop market to protect profits
1158
intc limit cover shorts 2156 last 2143 to protect prodits
1156
HPQ lim cover 4578 to lock profdits and reenter later, last 4573
1147
still like mcd long tho its red now,,,looking to add to it but no entry yet
1146
stopped out of vxx, took profits
1145
tightening stop on VXX 3137 here on half of shares, last 3142
1125
trying MCD long here tho 7410
1122
if it makes 1290 i might re-short
1121
heres the ES bounce 3min mentioned b4,,,may go higher then should make lower low
1119
GC gold hit 1331.80 which was 10 cents over target 1331.70,
1114
just got stopped out of gold,,,still holding the last piece for now, will look to reenter,, 3624 entry this morn, sold 3723 for 2.78% profit in 90 minutes
1111
GC is at t3 now so riding it if able with tite stop else out for most
1111
DGP stop 3721, tite, last 3726
1109
GOLD is approaching target #3,,,this time i will take partial profits on it and hold rest
1101
dgp emergency stop set 3670, will likely exit b4 then
1059
eyeball glance ballpark trgt only,didnt measure it
1059
drv rect trgt approx 1685 from last 1636
1056
VXX (alternative to SPX shorts) is on fire higher
1055
theres the first red candle in gold gc 10min,,it should bounce,,,may need to pb more,,if pb then poss add more longs else running with existing pos,,,we expected pb red candl
1041
1331.50--1332.00 maybe max for day,,, limit orders in place 133160 to cover a piece of the gold
1041
i do not really expect gold to recover all of yesterdays big red candle, but riding it up for now,,,the first pb in gold intraday should bounce, then may exit
1040
GOLD just hit trgt #2,,,on the way to #3 next, 1331.60
1038
es on daily, this looks like wave 3 down starting, wave 1 of 3
1037
es 60min says this is just the start of selling in coming hours days ,,,,shorting the rallies makes sense for swings scalps both
1033
gold blew thru trgt 1 after small pb and now approaching t2
1019
1328ish and 1331.50ish next trgts
1018
gold just hit the trgt,,,watching reaction closely here: rejection? consolod? breakout higher? still holding
1017
GOLD GC approaching target, still holding, DGP up now 1.79% in 45 minutes :)
1009
for a long term trade, multi MONTH hold, i'm looking for entries in shorts MSFT,,,, unlike aapl, the msft stock has gone nowhere,,no entry yet
1009
WOW everythings down now nicely: HD mmm intc hpq,,,some more than others, remaining swing short in all
1008
i still like drv for swing, but have not added to it since initial entry,,and looks like it may need another day at least b4 adding shares,,,,
1005
Gold GC trgt 1324/1324.20 first
1000
GOLD daily is still in downtrend, but i believe its due for a bounce,,,but since its contratrend, the gold swing scalps are being entered and exited in shorter time frames,,,gold will likely continue to move sideways with upward bias, then down, then up,,, entering and exiting on the 60min chart extremes or consolodations, using the 3min and 15min to pinpoint entries
957
they need confirm as always but those ES 60min last2 candles are bearish topping pattern
943
caught DGP just in time, it just shot up 0.6% last min, more opps should present to add mor gold
941
daily HPQ has been trying for 3 days to break the parab SAR point,,,it's broken it lower today :) ,,,, still will often see chop on initial breaks
939
i am reentering GOLD long here, gld or dgp, dgp 2x 36.24, a 50% size position, may add more later
934
HPQ continues to be weak, still swing short there,,intc still circling around entry price short,
918am
Hi
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
VIX has the biggest daily green candle since june, tho these huge candles usually are followed by spx bounce or consolod and then more down spx
407
spy wicks AH pointing near todays highs
403
JNJ is now at its May flash crash low, have gone long as posted
343
took profits on most swing shorts, still have smaller pieces, and have gone long swing in select stocks mcd kft jnj,,, next week may add more swing shorts again
340
i am going LONG swing hedge JNJ 60.06
254
5584 l;ast qqqq
253
Mrkt Maker reports on qqqq show bias to upside, intraday only not for swings
229
es could still rally and then still sell into close,,,watching charts
224
es 3min chart acting as expected,,,usuall pattern playing out,,, now watcing for next trgt on ES higher if breaks prev 3min resist
220
no entry yet, but on a pullback, long gold looks good,,,should pivot up when 15min chart finishes its downside, may not get an entry today
206
exited oil shorts yest
205
will consider oil long on pullbak pprob not today,swing,,, finally a switch from short to long oil poss
204
es can break without pb cuz other stocks are at mini break higher levels
203
es hit 1278 trgt,,,watching for pb or sideways, or poss break higher since 2pm
202
es 1286 poss after hits first trgt, pb, then 1286
159
3090 trgt kft ,,,approx glance ballpark trgt,,didnt measure precisely
156
this es pattern 3min, usually will allow to take profit on stall, then reenter long once more on a higher low pb
153
KFT green long moving higher, MCD still red 0.5%
152
VZ long swing i'm looking at,,,but not yet,,,may want 3500ish, 3576 last
14912
3min es suggests higher scalp at 1274
140
kft looks good for scalp long,still long
132
out of drv for now, with a loss 15 cents
130
mcd looks ready to pivot upwards, watching,, why stop was lowered for now
128
DRV stop 1667,,,if doesnt hold here i'm out with a loss to buy again later
123
lowered mcd stop and added here 7219,,,buy #3
117
7328 mcd stop 7322 is low risk trade scalp
1243
LONG now KFT 3057
1231
profits taken,out of HD shorts, can always reenter
1227
stop 3688 hd
1227
HD stop 3698
1224
still have the hd shorts and drv long, gold long
1224
out of INTC,,took profits,,will look to reenter short positions later
1220
2152 intc stop
1219
i exited b4 my stop was hit cuz i think its gonna get stopped out,, larger profit
1218
exiting HPQ here to take profits
1210
still have all thos other shorts, only newly entered long is MCD just last hourish
1209
stop .22 mcd for now
1208
adding MCD long here 7351
1205
out of MMM took profits
1204
8736 mmm stop last .33
1201
the stop orders are all "stop market" not "limit",,,, mistyped sorry
1200
8781 MMM stop market to protect profits
1158
intc limit cover shorts 2156 last 2143 to protect prodits
1156
HPQ lim cover 4578 to lock profdits and reenter later, last 4573
1147
still like mcd long tho its red now,,,looking to add to it but no entry yet
1146
stopped out of vxx, took profits
1145
tightening stop on VXX 3137 here on half of shares, last 3142
1125
trying MCD long here tho 7410
1122
if it makes 1290 i might re-short
1121
heres the ES bounce 3min mentioned b4,,,may go higher then should make lower low
1119
GC gold hit 1331.80 which was 10 cents over target 1331.70,
1114
just got stopped out of gold,,,still holding the last piece for now, will look to reenter,, 3624 entry this morn, sold 3723 for 2.78% profit in 90 minutes
1111
GC is at t3 now so riding it if able with tite stop else out for most
1111
DGP stop 3721, tite, last 3726
1109
GOLD is approaching target #3,,,this time i will take partial profits on it and hold rest
1101
dgp emergency stop set 3670, will likely exit b4 then
1059
eyeball glance ballpark trgt only,didnt measure it
1059
drv rect trgt approx 1685 from last 1636
1056
VXX (alternative to SPX shorts) is on fire higher
1055
theres the first red candle in gold gc 10min,,it should bounce,,,may need to pb more,,if pb then poss add more longs else running with existing pos,,,we expected pb red candl
1041
1331.50--1332.00 maybe max for day,,, limit orders in place 133160 to cover a piece of the gold
1041
i do not really expect gold to recover all of yesterdays big red candle, but riding it up for now,,,the first pb in gold intraday should bounce, then may exit
1040
GOLD just hit trgt #2,,,on the way to #3 next, 1331.60
1038
es on daily, this looks like wave 3 down starting, wave 1 of 3
1037
es 60min says this is just the start of selling in coming hours days ,,,,shorting the rallies makes sense for swings scalps both
1033
gold blew thru trgt 1 after small pb and now approaching t2
1019
1328ish and 1331.50ish next trgts
1018
gold just hit the trgt,,,watching reaction closely here: rejection? consolod? breakout higher? still holding
1017
GOLD GC approaching target, still holding, DGP up now 1.79% in 45 minutes :)
1009
for a long term trade, multi MONTH hold, i'm looking for entries in shorts MSFT,,,, unlike aapl, the msft stock has gone nowhere,,no entry yet
1009
WOW everythings down now nicely: HD mmm intc hpq,,,some more than others, remaining swing short in all
1008
i still like drv for swing, but have not added to it since initial entry,,and looks like it may need another day at least b4 adding shares,,,,
1005
Gold GC trgt 1324/1324.20 first
1000
GOLD daily is still in downtrend, but i believe its due for a bounce,,,but since its contratrend, the gold swing scalps are being entered and exited in shorter time frames,,,gold will likely continue to move sideways with upward bias, then down, then up,,, entering and exiting on the 60min chart extremes or consolodations, using the 3min and 15min to pinpoint entries
957
they need confirm as always but those ES 60min last2 candles are bearish topping pattern
943
caught DGP just in time, it just shot up 0.6% last min, more opps should present to add mor gold
941
daily HPQ has been trying for 3 days to break the parab SAR point,,,it's broken it lower today :) ,,,, still will often see chop on initial breaks
939
i am reentering GOLD long here, gld or dgp, dgp 2x 36.24, a 50% size position, may add more later
934
HPQ continues to be weak, still swing short there,,intc still circling around entry price short,
918am
Hi
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Thursday, January 27, 2011
Thurs ramblings
410
Look at daily charts of axp, BA for an example of what these candles do on downside when confirmed
408
they need confirmation with a daily close below the low of the shooting stars
407
candles don't guar the top is in intermed, but do suggest warnings, and that prices will revisit here even if they break higher
406
ibm got one 2 days ago
405
HD got one yesterday, and it retested the high today, so no confirm on the HD
404
INTC also has one!
403
WOW look at that candle on MMM,, v bearish gavestone,, we are seeing these candles on DOW stocks,,,other day HPQ got a long red candle dark cloud cover, now this
358
exiting .38 here TLT, 90.81 vs 91.38 and 90.81 vs 90.59 on TLT today,,, and 4 points on ES
357
9134 stop
356
one could add a 25% size starter position long gold,,,i'll just wiat
355
maybe GOLD long tomorrow????
354
LOL 4 cents from stop sweep and still in TLT,,, will close position to lock profits b4 end of day,,think a better swing entry may present
350
HPQ INTC MMM swing shorts all look good,,,while HD short remains problematic and red,,,but not exiting HD,,,still valid short to me
331
TLT almost has a 3min macd hist dbl bottom bullish,,unfinished
325
same wedge as one mentinoed this morning
325
on vxx 60min,,,looks like a break higher from bull fall wedge, and a backtest lower,,if so then higher vxx coming days
321
if TLT 3min can just move sideways or stay over .26,,,it will have a nice bulll divergence,,,still forming and premature, just something to watch
309
VXX 3min just started moving up along with ES,,,could it be ES falls?
305
conversely if instead the 3min dbl tops, then 9100ish target
302
and,,the W pattern in the newly formed 3 min chart on TLT,,,points to,,,about the 9190ish target from befdore,,, principle of multiple running confirmations
isn't tech analysis cool? of course it might not make it there,,,,
256
will keep 25% of shares with lower stop near breakeven as always
255
TLT hit .31,,,,almost swept the .26 stop,,,still surviving atm
242
wow that was a stop run on TLT,,,my stop survived it,,,was expecting that at the .60 trgt,, i'm not lowering the stop
229
larger TLT positions i'd set stop .58 here on a piece of it
226
TLT is at the .60 trgt but i'm holding,,,cuz it didnt go up here on a big candle,, small candles can push thru the trgt resist as it consolodates, stops still set .26 with .40ish mental
226
MMM may have hit intermed term top, still short from yest swing
215
real stop should be 9132,,,allowing a lil margin
215
if they run my stop, mayb i can buy it bak lower
214
9126 stop on tlt, half
204
15min TLT chart is telling me to stay long for now,, 3min pattern allows for a drop and retest or higher hi
200
also mental stop .27ish
159
still see 9190ish trgt
158
if tlt stalls at .60 i'll take a piece off and try to ride rest higher,,may not have time to post it live if moves fast down,,,using 1min charts
152
9160 should stall,,,if not then can get 9190 fast,,will observe reactions
151
9160 next trgt
149
9127 last vs 9081 entry
148
TLT still continues higher,,staying long the scalp for now
127
still no new entry setup for long gld gold dgp, wont get it today unless does a huge plunge, not likely
120
look at es 3min vol pattern, bearish
105
changing TLT limit order to only cover half of shares,,may hit higher targets
100
if i didnt already have DRV (sadly from higher cost) i would buy some here
1258
harsh rejection on the HPQ at the zone, from 4693 to 4679
1258
9127 resist on tlt tho,,,needs to clear that,,,if it does then should hit its second target up
1257
3min bull W tlt
1256
TLT is trying to breakout now,,,,
1255
since 1130am, both TLT and ES have been rising,,,with TLT the stronger chart pattern imo,,,could put pressure on ES
1249
HPQ is approaching "add shorts" levels at 4700--4730ish,,,watching for now, no entry,,last 4690
1222
micro scalpers could take 20 cents profit here on tlt, still see higher
1207
limit order to sell TLT 9169 if able, under the 9176 target, scalp
1159
DRV pulled back here but still like it swing long,,,pb expected,,,still not ready to add more shares yet
1154
a 15min close on tlt over 9100 would confirm bull harami and small candle consolodations, over 9120 would confirm macd hist bull PpP pattern
1152
TLT now outperforming ES shorts spy shorts
1149
new intc short from yest finally getting a little action, nothing breathtaking yet
1148
it may want another hi tho over 667, unsure, watching for now
1147
futures sym /ZC
1146
i want to short corn via CORN etf, no entry yet,,,, rode CORN and DBA up nicely for many months
1142
TLT may want 9033 or even lower, unsure, why a half size pos
1142
TLT 15min bull diverg plus "almost" rsi bull failure swing setup are some reasons among many trying the tlt here
1140
paying 9081 for TLT , in now
1137
order for 50% size order in TLT,, may buy more lower
1136
or alt is to short TBT 2x
1136
TLT 9076 long lim if filled, 9086 last
1131
uh oh time warner cable modems down,,, good thing verizon clear backup is running
1127
taking off half SPY here to lock profits, on 3x it would be over 1% profit
1120
can take 7--23 minutes
1118
es 3min pattern here, will usually bounce then make a lower low, for scalp exit on next lower lo if it works,, swings would hold longer short
1109
es approaching 1291 trgt fronm 1296,,,will not auto cover there
1103
marginal break higher from the vxx wedge here now, if 2980 holds then should test 3085
1059
first, mayb vxx make another lower low to 2957ish, mayb not
1058
look at VXX 60min,,, its in a nice bull falling wedge, with expectation of a hard rally higher,, and the wedge is getting tight now
1056
maybe 1291 es long scalp, still short for now
1040
spy 10min, es, now have 2 bear shoot stars,,,needing a 10min close beneath the stars low
1037
INTC continues circling around my entry point for short, near breakeven plus or minus a few,,,still see lower intc coming days horus
1028
heres the expected spy 1min retest higher,,,watching to see if if it moves sideways now, or higher
1027
TLT approaching support, no new entries long yet, or may short TBT (same thing but 2x)
1026
dollar usd poss rally here intraday, may press es down
1021
usually 1min will retest higher on first cross tho
1021
that HS holding atm,,,1 min stoch cross bear, spy
1017
SPY 133t chart, poss bear HS
1014
needs to break yesterdays low, close to it now
1013
wow hpq another nice drop :) red 3min candle :)
1002
glad i closed dgp gold yest for profit at 3800, last 3760,,,may look to reenter long gold gld dgp later
1001
HPQ continues weak, still short there, outperforming spy on downside
957
could use spxu 3x but like the volume fills on spy more
956
shorting SPY here too, same resist #, 129.97
952
MMM gapped down but rallied up hard grr :@ ,,,still see lower mmm for swing short
950
1613 drv looks nice, i'll add to drv swing too, but waiting a bit, at least an hour LOL
931
LOL yest when i said i thought INTC would gap today under 21.80 i didnt mean 21.76, was thinking 21.68ish, oh well
914
the newly entered MMM short from yest is working, pre-market 8850 from 8957 close, down $1
912
10am pending home sales
906am
Good morning
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Look at daily charts of axp, BA for an example of what these candles do on downside when confirmed
408
they need confirmation with a daily close below the low of the shooting stars
407
candles don't guar the top is in intermed, but do suggest warnings, and that prices will revisit here even if they break higher
406
ibm got one 2 days ago
405
HD got one yesterday, and it retested the high today, so no confirm on the HD
404
INTC also has one!
403
WOW look at that candle on MMM,, v bearish gavestone,, we are seeing these candles on DOW stocks,,,other day HPQ got a long red candle dark cloud cover, now this
358
exiting .38 here TLT, 90.81 vs 91.38 and 90.81 vs 90.59 on TLT today,,, and 4 points on ES
357
9134 stop
356
one could add a 25% size starter position long gold,,,i'll just wiat
355
maybe GOLD long tomorrow????
354
LOL 4 cents from stop sweep and still in TLT,,, will close position to lock profits b4 end of day,,think a better swing entry may present
350
HPQ INTC MMM swing shorts all look good,,,while HD short remains problematic and red,,,but not exiting HD,,,still valid short to me
331
TLT almost has a 3min macd hist dbl bottom bullish,,unfinished
325
same wedge as one mentinoed this morning
325
on vxx 60min,,,looks like a break higher from bull fall wedge, and a backtest lower,,if so then higher vxx coming days
321
if TLT 3min can just move sideways or stay over .26,,,it will have a nice bulll divergence,,,still forming and premature, just something to watch
309
VXX 3min just started moving up along with ES,,,could it be ES falls?
305
conversely if instead the 3min dbl tops, then 9100ish target
302
and,,the W pattern in the newly formed 3 min chart on TLT,,,points to,,,about the 9190ish target from befdore,,, principle of multiple running confirmations
isn't tech analysis cool? of course it might not make it there,,,,
256
will keep 25% of shares with lower stop near breakeven as always
255
TLT hit .31,,,,almost swept the .26 stop,,,still surviving atm
242
wow that was a stop run on TLT,,,my stop survived it,,,was expecting that at the .60 trgt,, i'm not lowering the stop
229
larger TLT positions i'd set stop .58 here on a piece of it
226
TLT is at the .60 trgt but i'm holding,,,cuz it didnt go up here on a big candle,, small candles can push thru the trgt resist as it consolodates, stops still set .26 with .40ish mental
226
MMM may have hit intermed term top, still short from yest swing
215
real stop should be 9132,,,allowing a lil margin
215
if they run my stop, mayb i can buy it bak lower
214
9126 stop on tlt, half
204
15min TLT chart is telling me to stay long for now,, 3min pattern allows for a drop and retest or higher hi
200
also mental stop .27ish
159
still see 9190ish trgt
158
if tlt stalls at .60 i'll take a piece off and try to ride rest higher,,may not have time to post it live if moves fast down,,,using 1min charts
152
9160 should stall,,,if not then can get 9190 fast,,will observe reactions
151
9160 next trgt
149
9127 last vs 9081 entry
148
TLT still continues higher,,staying long the scalp for now
127
still no new entry setup for long gld gold dgp, wont get it today unless does a huge plunge, not likely
120
look at es 3min vol pattern, bearish
105
changing TLT limit order to only cover half of shares,,may hit higher targets
100
if i didnt already have DRV (sadly from higher cost) i would buy some here
1258
harsh rejection on the HPQ at the zone, from 4693 to 4679
1258
9127 resist on tlt tho,,,needs to clear that,,,if it does then should hit its second target up
1257
3min bull W tlt
1256
TLT is trying to breakout now,,,,
1255
since 1130am, both TLT and ES have been rising,,,with TLT the stronger chart pattern imo,,,could put pressure on ES
1249
HPQ is approaching "add shorts" levels at 4700--4730ish,,,watching for now, no entry,,last 4690
1222
micro scalpers could take 20 cents profit here on tlt, still see higher
1207
limit order to sell TLT 9169 if able, under the 9176 target, scalp
1159
DRV pulled back here but still like it swing long,,,pb expected,,,still not ready to add more shares yet
1154
a 15min close on tlt over 9100 would confirm bull harami and small candle consolodations, over 9120 would confirm macd hist bull PpP pattern
1152
TLT now outperforming ES shorts spy shorts
1149
new intc short from yest finally getting a little action, nothing breathtaking yet
1148
it may want another hi tho over 667, unsure, watching for now
1147
futures sym /ZC
1146
i want to short corn via CORN etf, no entry yet,,,, rode CORN and DBA up nicely for many months
1142
TLT may want 9033 or even lower, unsure, why a half size pos
1142
TLT 15min bull diverg plus "almost" rsi bull failure swing setup are some reasons among many trying the tlt here
1140
paying 9081 for TLT , in now
1137
order for 50% size order in TLT,, may buy more lower
1136
or alt is to short TBT 2x
1136
TLT 9076 long lim if filled, 9086 last
1131
uh oh time warner cable modems down,,, good thing verizon clear backup is running
1127
taking off half SPY here to lock profits, on 3x it would be over 1% profit
1120
can take 7--23 minutes
1118
es 3min pattern here, will usually bounce then make a lower low, for scalp exit on next lower lo if it works,, swings would hold longer short
1109
es approaching 1291 trgt fronm 1296,,,will not auto cover there
1103
marginal break higher from the vxx wedge here now, if 2980 holds then should test 3085
1059
first, mayb vxx make another lower low to 2957ish, mayb not
1058
look at VXX 60min,,, its in a nice bull falling wedge, with expectation of a hard rally higher,, and the wedge is getting tight now
1056
maybe 1291 es long scalp, still short for now
1040
spy 10min, es, now have 2 bear shoot stars,,,needing a 10min close beneath the stars low
1037
INTC continues circling around my entry point for short, near breakeven plus or minus a few,,,still see lower intc coming days horus
1028
heres the expected spy 1min retest higher,,,watching to see if if it moves sideways now, or higher
1027
TLT approaching support, no new entries long yet, or may short TBT (same thing but 2x)
1026
dollar usd poss rally here intraday, may press es down
1021
usually 1min will retest higher on first cross tho
1021
that HS holding atm,,,1 min stoch cross bear, spy
1017
SPY 133t chart, poss bear HS
1014
needs to break yesterdays low, close to it now
1013
wow hpq another nice drop :) red 3min candle :)
1002
glad i closed dgp gold yest for profit at 3800, last 3760,,,may look to reenter long gold gld dgp later
1001
HPQ continues weak, still short there, outperforming spy on downside
957
could use spxu 3x but like the volume fills on spy more
956
shorting SPY here too, same resist #, 129.97
952
MMM gapped down but rallied up hard grr :@ ,,,still see lower mmm for swing short
950
1613 drv looks nice, i'll add to drv swing too, but waiting a bit, at least an hour LOL
931
LOL yest when i said i thought INTC would gap today under 21.80 i didnt mean 21.76, was thinking 21.68ish, oh well
914
the newly entered MMM short from yest is working, pre-market 8850 from 8957 close, down $1
912
10am pending home sales
906am
Good morning
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details , see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Wednesday, January 26, 2011
Performance results
I started using a simulator for the posted trades. Below are the results of the trades, using TDAmeritrade's simulator. It is a screen shot.
Since I just started using this sim, I'm going to reset the simulator to a $100,000 account with margin. But this screenshot is posted before the reset to show trades from recent postings.
THIS IS NOT MY REAL MONEY ACCOUNT. I take positions some or all of these stocks in my real account, although the number of shares may be different.
Double click on the image to view it full size.
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Since I just started using this sim, I'm going to reset the simulator to a $100,000 account with margin. But this screenshot is posted before the reset to show trades from recent postings.
THIS IS NOT MY REAL MONEY ACCOUNT. I take positions some or all of these stocks in my real account, although the number of shares may be different.
Double click on the image to view it full size.
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Wedn ramblings (and Tues eve ES futures)
359
next on the list to short: ba dd dis mrk pfe utx xom qcom adp bbby dell spls,,,,no entries yet there, watching patterns form
356
i'm now short in hd hpq intc mmm,,,,long drv vxx,
354
*8970
354
shorting MMM 3970 here, swing
348
notice the low volume today in ES,,, bearish
346
dgp 3799 gld 13100, took 75% of shares off
339
if gold suddenly drops 50 cents, then i will hold overnite, else i'm exiting today for profits
336
i'm going to exit 75% of gold today, i believe it has more upside but also theres risk of currencies pushing it down,, will lock partial profits so they dont escape,, just riding it higher into the close
324
INTC is at risk of a gap open under 21.80 tomorrow
316
3946 dgp lim
316
chaning, 133.22 GLD sell , limit order if filled, last 13098
313
actually gold may overshoot target,,,will watch reactions
309
gold GLD trgt is 13200,,,i'll sell there if able, in gld dgp
300'
this pattern intc can break either way,,,charts suggest to me that a higher hi is ok and may just add shorts,,,so holding for poss break lower, eitehr way,, b4 entering today i had been watching INTC carve this pattern for last 7 trading days, may need a few more
259
intc is just stuck here at 2177ish, shorted 2185
248
Gold higher ;),, i will hold another day at least unless it surges today (unexpected)
245
tlt needs another 3 hours of work, then may present long opp
235
60 min es has modified bear adam eve formation but needs confirmaton
228
inability of ES to break high when it was sitting near highs b4 fomc is bearish to me
206
before the fomc announcement, i am staying in all trades, all r swings or scalp swing combos if scalp targets r hit nervouse could exit vxx here near breakeven, or 10 cent profit,, same with intc exit for small profit
154
3147 adn 3230 are other vxx trgts, possible limit sell spots for larger positions
137
vxx lim order to sell 33.87, last 30.34,,, may sell b4 then but thats trgt for now (actual swing trgts r higher up to 3800),, i dont expect a fill today but the vxx can move wildly, so order in place for 10% profit if filled
124
es 1293.50 == vxx 30.44,,,watching to see how these move together
119
at 12:38 PM, when gld was at 129.64 i posted "poss intraday breakout in gold within next 3--63 minutes" ,,, GLD has broken yesterday's high of day , last 130.30, up 60 cents, still see higher
101
: in vxx 3044 here
1255
i might go swing long TLT today, or short TBT,,,but no entry yet,,, 60 min chart still needs work
1238
dgp last 3720,,,gld last 129.64
1238
poss intraday breakout in gold within next 3--63 minutes
1213
hmm tricky,,,2179 could work now,
1211
intc is setting up for another entry short,,,i'm still short from 2185 last 2179,, no reentry yet
1207
gold continues to base nicely, still double long gold
1206
vxx on next pullback looks like a buy, swing or scalp either,,,same with drv, they both "should" pullback, i think to a higher daily low
1145
Yesterday at 1:56 PM i posted a DRV buy target of 15.57,, and today's low so far was,,,,exactly 16.57 :)
Yesterday at 1:56 PM i posted a DRV buy target of 15.57,, and today's low so far was,,,,exactly 16.57 :)
1141
hpq just hit the 4656 or 3 cents over that 1130am trgt and bounced as expected to .70,,,still see lower hpq comoing hours days
1130
hpq 4653 trgt intraday down then likely stall, 4670 now, moved down from 4700 earlier today as expected
1124
HPQ may very well break under the Parabolic SAR today, daily, generally a break will give a decent move lower, followed by bounce, followed by larger down,,,initial break of SAR is like a wave 1 down in ewave
1123
but hd, after finishes this intraday down, should try one more bounce higher
1122
HD is doing today, what HPQ did yest :) ,,,,i am still swing short both
1118
DRV daily, moved from lows of Jan 3 to test mid boll band, resist held and its fallen back. i believe it will retest the midpoint and next time break higher to the upper band or higher, for swing, daily
1107
4693 last
1107
HPQ looks to be in troubel here, in coming hours not minutes,,i am still swing short in hpq
1057
an hpq close under 4688 today would confirm the bear daily dark cloud cover reversal from yest, tho under 4666 prefered
1046
idea only, no positino: INTC Feb 19 2011 22.0 Put at .57/.58 mix 21 puts at 16 cents
1043
INTC half positino, puts, could work here,,,,again it may want over 22 first
1041
cancelled HD add short order, never filled, will revisit later, and reinvested in INTC instead for now, INTC is a scalp swing combo
1041
shorted intc here 2185
1030
i'll lim short HD 3823 if able, last 3792
1026
i'm cancelling all the vxx limit buy orders, will do manually, but those are the targets, and not ready to pay 3027 for it now, chart suggest poss lower
1023
4min later vxx hit v close to 3027 trgt,,,watching waiting for now, this will be a 20% size entry not 10% size
1020
changing vxx lim buy to 29.97 from 3027
1011
1688 drv is at support now mentioned b4 for poss scalp, idea only, i'm already in from lower
1007
starting to see short setups developing for several DOW 30 and QQQQ top 33 stocks, when lots of opps start to present, shorting the indice itself begins to take on greater merit,, ex dxd qid tza
1005
GLD 60min rsi has a bull inv HS, one reason i entered long gold early yest near here, if rsi gets higher then we have a bull failure swing on rsi
1004
DRV SRS have 3min bull inv hs,,,buying support for scalps could work
1001
HD is beginning to form a setup where options puts could work, not baked yet
958
look at vix,,,higher low on vxx vs near dbl tops on es, bearish for spx, shortable rallies
957
SRS (2x cousin of DRV) 15min has a nice bull diverg on macd hist and rsi, BUT the macd line itself has no bull diverg, this and other factors suggest bounce, pullbakc, then higher bounce as opposed to moonshot, for swings,, the 60min and daily charts give similar reads, using srs for analysis as its more accurate that drv
954
also INTC overshot its .70 "add new shorts target",,,still waiting on the intc, may want 2200 or higher,,,2175 last, been waiting 3 days for intc to finish its formation
952
its not tradeable, but i think markets will sell off on FOMC news today,,thinking fomc doesnt say anything drastic but will begin to start talking about gently easing back
947
i chose to enter HD initial short at 3698 because charts suggested possibility that its upper target would not be met, but did post that it could move higher first, yesterday
947
HD overshot my 3770 trgt from yest, last 3784,,, i will add second piece of HD shorts after the 60 min settles down,,, short curr red 2% but the move up was expected,,, for now HD RED HD RED HD RED
941
if i didnt have other short positions already i might have bought some here
940
i have lim order to buy vxx for swing scalp combo at 3027, last 3088,,,, 3088 is a decent entry so may buy it later at higher price, have the 3027 in place in case of spike down
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
next on the list to short: ba dd dis mrk pfe utx xom qcom adp bbby dell spls,,,,no entries yet there, watching patterns form
356
i'm now short in hd hpq intc mmm,,,,long drv vxx,
354
*8970
354
shorting MMM 3970 here, swing
348
notice the low volume today in ES,,, bearish
346
dgp 3799 gld 13100, took 75% of shares off
339
if gold suddenly drops 50 cents, then i will hold overnite, else i'm exiting today for profits
336
i'm going to exit 75% of gold today, i believe it has more upside but also theres risk of currencies pushing it down,, will lock partial profits so they dont escape,, just riding it higher into the close
324
INTC is at risk of a gap open under 21.80 tomorrow
316
3946 dgp lim
316
chaning, 133.22 GLD sell , limit order if filled, last 13098
313
actually gold may overshoot target,,,will watch reactions
309
gold GLD trgt is 13200,,,i'll sell there if able, in gld dgp
300'
this pattern intc can break either way,,,charts suggest to me that a higher hi is ok and may just add shorts,,,so holding for poss break lower, eitehr way,, b4 entering today i had been watching INTC carve this pattern for last 7 trading days, may need a few more
259
intc is just stuck here at 2177ish, shorted 2185
248
Gold higher ;),, i will hold another day at least unless it surges today (unexpected)
245
tlt needs another 3 hours of work, then may present long opp
235
60 min es has modified bear adam eve formation but needs confirmaton
228
inability of ES to break high when it was sitting near highs b4 fomc is bearish to me
206
before the fomc announcement, i am staying in all trades, all r swings or scalp swing combos if scalp targets r hit nervouse could exit vxx here near breakeven, or 10 cent profit,, same with intc exit for small profit
154
3147 adn 3230 are other vxx trgts, possible limit sell spots for larger positions
137
vxx lim order to sell 33.87, last 30.34,,, may sell b4 then but thats trgt for now (actual swing trgts r higher up to 3800),, i dont expect a fill today but the vxx can move wildly, so order in place for 10% profit if filled
124
es 1293.50 == vxx 30.44,,,watching to see how these move together
119
at 12:38 PM, when gld was at 129.64 i posted "poss intraday breakout in gold within next 3--63 minutes" ,,, GLD has broken yesterday's high of day , last 130.30, up 60 cents, still see higher
101
: in vxx 3044 here
1255
i might go swing long TLT today, or short TBT,,,but no entry yet,,, 60 min chart still needs work
1238
dgp last 3720,,,gld last 129.64
1238
poss intraday breakout in gold within next 3--63 minutes
1213
hmm tricky,,,2179 could work now,
1211
intc is setting up for another entry short,,,i'm still short from 2185 last 2179,, no reentry yet
1207
gold continues to base nicely, still double long gold
1206
vxx on next pullback looks like a buy, swing or scalp either,,,same with drv, they both "should" pullback, i think to a higher daily low
1145
Yesterday at 1:56 PM i posted a DRV buy target of 15.57,, and today's low so far was,,,,exactly 16.57 :)
Yesterday at 1:56 PM i posted a DRV buy target of 15.57,, and today's low so far was,,,,exactly 16.57 :)
1141
hpq just hit the 4656 or 3 cents over that 1130am trgt and bounced as expected to .70,,,still see lower hpq comoing hours days
1130
hpq 4653 trgt intraday down then likely stall, 4670 now, moved down from 4700 earlier today as expected
1124
HPQ may very well break under the Parabolic SAR today, daily, generally a break will give a decent move lower, followed by bounce, followed by larger down,,,initial break of SAR is like a wave 1 down in ewave
1123
but hd, after finishes this intraday down, should try one more bounce higher
1122
HD is doing today, what HPQ did yest :) ,,,,i am still swing short both
1118
DRV daily, moved from lows of Jan 3 to test mid boll band, resist held and its fallen back. i believe it will retest the midpoint and next time break higher to the upper band or higher, for swing, daily
1107
4693 last
1107
HPQ looks to be in troubel here, in coming hours not minutes,,i am still swing short in hpq
1057
an hpq close under 4688 today would confirm the bear daily dark cloud cover reversal from yest, tho under 4666 prefered
1046
idea only, no positino: INTC Feb 19 2011 22.0 Put at .57/.58 mix 21 puts at 16 cents
1043
INTC half positino, puts, could work here,,,,again it may want over 22 first
1041
cancelled HD add short order, never filled, will revisit later, and reinvested in INTC instead for now, INTC is a scalp swing combo
1041
shorted intc here 2185
1030
i'll lim short HD 3823 if able, last 3792
1026
i'm cancelling all the vxx limit buy orders, will do manually, but those are the targets, and not ready to pay 3027 for it now, chart suggest poss lower
1023
4min later vxx hit v close to 3027 trgt,,,watching waiting for now, this will be a 20% size entry not 10% size
1020
changing vxx lim buy to 29.97 from 3027
1011
1688 drv is at support now mentioned b4 for poss scalp, idea only, i'm already in from lower
1007
starting to see short setups developing for several DOW 30 and QQQQ top 33 stocks, when lots of opps start to present, shorting the indice itself begins to take on greater merit,, ex dxd qid tza
1005
GLD 60min rsi has a bull inv HS, one reason i entered long gold early yest near here, if rsi gets higher then we have a bull failure swing on rsi
1004
DRV SRS have 3min bull inv hs,,,buying support for scalps could work
1001
HD is beginning to form a setup where options puts could work, not baked yet
958
look at vix,,,higher low on vxx vs near dbl tops on es, bearish for spx, shortable rallies
957
SRS (2x cousin of DRV) 15min has a nice bull diverg on macd hist and rsi, BUT the macd line itself has no bull diverg, this and other factors suggest bounce, pullbakc, then higher bounce as opposed to moonshot, for swings,, the 60min and daily charts give similar reads, using srs for analysis as its more accurate that drv
954
also INTC overshot its .70 "add new shorts target",,,still waiting on the intc, may want 2200 or higher,,,2175 last, been waiting 3 days for intc to finish its formation
952
its not tradeable, but i think markets will sell off on FOMC news today,,thinking fomc doesnt say anything drastic but will begin to start talking about gently easing back
947
i chose to enter HD initial short at 3698 because charts suggested possibility that its upper target would not be met, but did post that it could move higher first, yesterday
947
HD overshot my 3770 trgt from yest, last 3784,,, i will add second piece of HD shorts after the 60 min settles down,,, short curr red 2% but the move up was expected,,, for now HD RED HD RED HD RED
941
if i didnt have other short positions already i might have bought some here
940
i have lim order to buy vxx for swing scalp combo at 3027, last 3088,,,, 3088 is a decent entry so may buy it later at higher price, have the 3027 in place in case of spike down
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Tuesday, January 25, 2011
Tuesday's ramblings
401
bought DRV one cent from low of day
359
25% size position in DRV here, at 16.90,,, may go lower tomorrow, so scaling in, never hit the other limit order to buy lower, swing
359
i'm taking DRV finally
354
stop .38 MCD, will look to reenter tomorrow, taking small scalp profit today
332
1288 swing short lim could work
331
anything cann happen, "charts" to me say ES closes over 1280 min down
325
vxx hit 3162 or 2 cents above 3160ish trgt,,,still waiting to add vxx again
322
MCD going parab, on 3min, up
321
poss starting move in gold also
315
lim MCD sell 7608 order into close, overshoot of trgt
307
vxx 3130--3160 may present opp to add more swings but waiting,,,ES likely will stall its move up on such vxx trgts
301
7583 first mcd trgt, last 7527
235
charts suggest posssible gap up in morning in GLD DGP
231
i'm going long GOLD here via 2x DGP 37.25, swing,, starter position ,,,may add later or take only small profit, unsure atm
218
cancelling order to short BBBY,, will wait a few days on that one, never filled
156
still have 1657 DRV lim order to buy in place, unfilled, and still may pay higher $ if needed, as DRV continues lower,,,also may buy ABOVE the mkt 1715-1730, watching, last 1698
132
going LONG in MCD 7524 hgere, swing
118
HD may want 3767 if so i might add more shorts there,,,running with current shorts from 3698 for now
104
shorted HD here 3698, swing
1249
BBBY is not in the DOW 30 but its in the QQQQ top 35ish
1244
i will
lim short BBBY swing 4947 if able, 4912 last
1239
just got stopped out of AXP ,,, will look to reenter there later, profits taken
1236
swing: lim order to buy DRV 16.57 in case it spikes to lower low under .86,,,,else i may pay more for it later
1229
i'm looking at drv for poss long swing but no entry yet
1227
AXP is NOT rallying with the ES here :)
1222
4458 buy cover stop on axp to lock profits in case of surge up, last 4433
1214
stopped out of vxx for now, took profits, will reenter later
1210
es hit 1282 trgt, watching reactino here to see if stalls to turn lower or not
1201
*3203 stop vxx
1155
vxx stop set 3188 emerg "quick downside move" protect stop
1151
trying for 3300ish "in between trgts" today on vxx if able
1149
VXX 10min now has a bull flag,,,could be v dangerous for more ES SPX QQQQ lower
1146
AXP continues lower,,,riding it down until the 60min starts to get tired,,,still see poss lower in axp,, if 44.45 breaks could plunge to 4400
1142
if a wedge on the 3min develops then poss trend down rest of day,,,
1140
ES 15min is starting to form a bull diverg but usually it will retest near the low and often make a lower low b4 bigger bounce up, watching reactions, still early in the bull diverg setup
1134
ES just hit the 1278 trgt and bounced as expected, watching 1282 now for poss move bak down
1131
vxx just hit the 3230 trgt, 3235 last,,, same trgts as b4,,,3260 3291 3350 3420 3490 next
1117
swing trgts much lower of course
1116
micro, 1278 ES trgt down, bounce to 1282, then reshortable, poss roadmap but will observe reactions
1114
going parabolic on vxx now :D
1113
VXX, 3min, bull V, poss adam eve bull on decline
1057
tho an initial starter position could work at resist here 2144,, i will wait
1055
INTC is at resist here 2144/2146 prior hi, but could break higher b4 declining, watching reactions, still prefer to wait for intc to go higher b4 shorting swing, or to move lower and short the bounce
1044
axp has a poss complex bear HS developing on 60min charts,,,if so then will continue to see whipsaw next several hours and days until it resolves or breaks lowr
1028
HPQ hit 4783 today and plunged to 4704 last
1025
right now INTC trgt is 2172, same as yest, to short, but will wait for charts to settle, last 2142,,, may not make trgt, unsure
1022
as expected INTC continues its parabolic move up, missed the long scalp entry,,,waiting to short intc swing once this finishes,,,
1018
44.48 last axp,,cant type fast enough
1016
axp is now at prior hi support, breakout support, and boll band supp daily,,,watching reaction for small bounce and break,,,or no break, larger positions can take partial profits here for 3.3% profits since yest entry, 46.08 entry vs 44.55 exit,,,
1012
*4510 not 4610
1012
the axp may require exit and re-entry, unless timeframe is multiweek hold,,, i believe axp will still move lowere here, but then pivot higher over 4610, last 4473
1000
Look at CL oil from Jan 3 to present,,, the ES is likely to form the same daily chop pattern with eventual downside, with the date correlation CL Jan 3 = ES jan 18
957
i might try a long entry scalp only on intc,,followed by reversal short swing,,no entry yet
955
INTC 3min appears to be forming bull adam eve,,,currently in adam formation
954
qqqq 60min chart has poss bull W, dbl bot forming, unconfirmed
949
the qqqq pattern, for swings,,,suggests a move down, then a bounce up, and then that bounce is shortable,,,could take hours to form the pattern b4 short entry comes to add more shorts, the prior short swing is still valid to hold longer
944
wow look at hpq--made new daily high, but now forming bear dark cloud cover daily
931
Nice gap down this AM on AXP, shorted yest b4 earnings
930
as mentioned yest, INTC still has some work on upside to do, then should make a nice swing short
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
bought DRV one cent from low of day
359
25% size position in DRV here, at 16.90,,, may go lower tomorrow, so scaling in, never hit the other limit order to buy lower, swing
359
i'm taking DRV finally
354
stop .38 MCD, will look to reenter tomorrow, taking small scalp profit today
332
1288 swing short lim could work
331
anything cann happen, "charts" to me say ES closes over 1280 min down
325
vxx hit 3162 or 2 cents above 3160ish trgt,,,still waiting to add vxx again
322
MCD going parab, on 3min, up
321
poss starting move in gold also
315
lim MCD sell 7608 order into close, overshoot of trgt
307
vxx 3130--3160 may present opp to add more swings but waiting,,,ES likely will stall its move up on such vxx trgts
301
7583 first mcd trgt, last 7527
235
charts suggest posssible gap up in morning in GLD DGP
231
i'm going long GOLD here via 2x DGP 37.25, swing,, starter position ,,,may add later or take only small profit, unsure atm
218
cancelling order to short BBBY,, will wait a few days on that one, never filled
156
still have 1657 DRV lim order to buy in place, unfilled, and still may pay higher $ if needed, as DRV continues lower,,,also may buy ABOVE the mkt 1715-1730, watching, last 1698
132
going LONG in MCD 7524 hgere, swing
118
HD may want 3767 if so i might add more shorts there,,,running with current shorts from 3698 for now
104
shorted HD here 3698, swing
1249
BBBY is not in the DOW 30 but its in the QQQQ top 35ish
1244
i will
lim short BBBY swing 4947 if able, 4912 last
1239
just got stopped out of AXP ,,, will look to reenter there later, profits taken
1236
swing: lim order to buy DRV 16.57 in case it spikes to lower low under .86,,,,else i may pay more for it later
1229
i'm looking at drv for poss long swing but no entry yet
1227
AXP is NOT rallying with the ES here :)
1222
4458 buy cover stop on axp to lock profits in case of surge up, last 4433
1214
stopped out of vxx for now, took profits, will reenter later
1210
es hit 1282 trgt, watching reactino here to see if stalls to turn lower or not
1201
*3203 stop vxx
1155
vxx stop set 3188 emerg "quick downside move" protect stop
1151
trying for 3300ish "in between trgts" today on vxx if able
1149
VXX 10min now has a bull flag,,,could be v dangerous for more ES SPX QQQQ lower
1146
AXP continues lower,,,riding it down until the 60min starts to get tired,,,still see poss lower in axp,, if 44.45 breaks could plunge to 4400
1142
if a wedge on the 3min develops then poss trend down rest of day,,,
1140
ES 15min is starting to form a bull diverg but usually it will retest near the low and often make a lower low b4 bigger bounce up, watching reactions, still early in the bull diverg setup
1134
ES just hit the 1278 trgt and bounced as expected, watching 1282 now for poss move bak down
1131
vxx just hit the 3230 trgt, 3235 last,,, same trgts as b4,,,3260 3291 3350 3420 3490 next
1117
swing trgts much lower of course
1116
micro, 1278 ES trgt down, bounce to 1282, then reshortable, poss roadmap but will observe reactions
1114
going parabolic on vxx now :D
1113
VXX, 3min, bull V, poss adam eve bull on decline
1057
tho an initial starter position could work at resist here 2144,, i will wait
1055
INTC is at resist here 2144/2146 prior hi, but could break higher b4 declining, watching reactions, still prefer to wait for intc to go higher b4 shorting swing, or to move lower and short the bounce
1044
axp has a poss complex bear HS developing on 60min charts,,,if so then will continue to see whipsaw next several hours and days until it resolves or breaks lowr
1028
HPQ hit 4783 today and plunged to 4704 last
1025
right now INTC trgt is 2172, same as yest, to short, but will wait for charts to settle, last 2142,,, may not make trgt, unsure
1022
as expected INTC continues its parabolic move up, missed the long scalp entry,,,waiting to short intc swing once this finishes,,,
1018
44.48 last axp,,cant type fast enough
1016
axp is now at prior hi support, breakout support, and boll band supp daily,,,watching reaction for small bounce and break,,,or no break, larger positions can take partial profits here for 3.3% profits since yest entry, 46.08 entry vs 44.55 exit,,,
1012
*4510 not 4610
1012
the axp may require exit and re-entry, unless timeframe is multiweek hold,,, i believe axp will still move lowere here, but then pivot higher over 4610, last 4473
1000
Look at CL oil from Jan 3 to present,,, the ES is likely to form the same daily chop pattern with eventual downside, with the date correlation CL Jan 3 = ES jan 18
957
i might try a long entry scalp only on intc,,followed by reversal short swing,,no entry yet
955
INTC 3min appears to be forming bull adam eve,,,currently in adam formation
954
qqqq 60min chart has poss bull W, dbl bot forming, unconfirmed
949
the qqqq pattern, for swings,,,suggests a move down, then a bounce up, and then that bounce is shortable,,,could take hours to form the pattern b4 short entry comes to add more shorts, the prior short swing is still valid to hold longer
944
wow look at hpq--made new daily high, but now forming bear dark cloud cover daily
931
Nice gap down this AM on AXP, shorted yest b4 earnings
930
as mentioned yest, INTC still has some work on upside to do, then should make a nice swing short
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Monday, January 24, 2011
Candlesticks and prior trend
From
http://stockcharts.com/help/doku.php?id=chart_school:chart_analysis:introduction_to_cand#prior_trend
"In his book, Candlestick Charting Explained, Greg Morris notes that for a pattern to qualify as a reversal pattern, there should be a prior trend to reverse. Bullish reversals require a preceding downtrend and bearish reversals require a prior uptrend. The direction of the trend can be determined using trend lines, moving averages, peak/trough analysis or other aspects of technical analysis. A downtrend might exist as long as the security was trading below its down trend line, below its previous reaction high or below a specific moving average. The length and duration will depend on individual preferences. However, because candlesticks are short-term in nature, it is usually best to consider the last 1-4 weeks of price action."
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
http://stockcharts.com/help/doku.php?id=chart_school:chart_analysis:introduction_to_cand#prior_trend
"In his book, Candlestick Charting Explained, Greg Morris notes that for a pattern to qualify as a reversal pattern, there should be a prior trend to reverse. Bullish reversals require a preceding downtrend and bearish reversals require a prior uptrend. The direction of the trend can be determined using trend lines, moving averages, peak/trough analysis or other aspects of technical analysis. A downtrend might exist as long as the security was trading below its down trend line, below its previous reaction high or below a specific moving average. The length and duration will depend on individual preferences. However, because candlesticks are short-term in nature, it is usually best to consider the last 1-4 weeks of price action."
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Monday ramblings
451
AXP has horiz support at 4400ish and 4375ish trendline,, may stall there, may need to take profits there and re-enter, last 4510 down nicely AH
417
AXP,, selling AH :D
402
441,900 shares of AXP sold bearish red 45.79,,, suggests it might hit 4625 then under 4579,, shortable bounce if one comes
401
lets see what AXP does AH,,
359
ES lower volume today, up on low vol, bearish
334
above the .30 trgt intc
333
i have a lim order to short intc 21.72 if able, prob not today, 2120 last
329
lim order in place to cover 75% axp shares 41.60, prob not today but could pull a csco like move
325
swing AXP trgt 4160, last 4550
323
meanwhile ES trading idea only up 1 point lol
322
axp scalp from this morn is up 50-60 cents profit now,,,still holding 75% of shares
317
vxx is in 10 cent profit zone now, v small, but was red b4,,,nervous would exit here,,,i remain in vxx long
316
axp keeps moving lower
315
INTC itself may resist down and rally higher into close
315
should put sell pressure on spx es qqqq spy
314
3, 10 , 15min vxx charts suggest higher vxx into close
305
will be interesting to see AXP amer express action afterhours today, after earn rpt
223
axp hit 4596 or one cent under the 4597 rally target, still short axp
202
been looking to short INTC for a few days now, swing,,,seems almost ready,,,,thinking a move down, and then short the bounce, if possible
157
MarketMaker reports suggest that b4 the close, AXP can rally to 4597ish and then fall back below 4580,, in any event they suggest a move below 4580 in coming hours days even if no such rally first
105
agressive could short oil here,momo, tho i'm not adding shorts, already short from higher levels, from sco 997, 1124 last
103
OIL just made another new intraday low, CL
1251
27 cents scalp profit makes sense on half axp here, holding swings longer,, axp is at trendline support so may stall here, bnc,,expecting eventual break lower
1250
axp, new low of day :)
1238
hpq 15min bear harami candles, watching for confirmation with a 15min close below last 15min low
1235
AXP just hit its second scalp target lower,,,still watching reactions and holding for lower
1228
60 min chart on ES suggests that first move down, if we get one,,should bounce, 2nd move would be the bigger one
1227
ES sell signal 81%, first one today over 80%,, these often bounce first b4 declining, but added shorts on the signal as posted
1224
ES bear dbl top, or bull W??? watching reactions
1223
1287 es add shorts, to 128350, short #2
1155
3179 avg vxx today, on 2 buys
1154
attempting to sclp on vxx via poss rsi bull swing breakout, 3min
1147
add vxx here 3155
1145
looking to add to ES 1283.50 short, no entry yet, may take anotrher hour
1144
axp scalp mental stop 4614/4617ish,,, may exit on hit of T2,,watching reaction to see if gets lower low of dya, to ride the stock down if poss
1140
axp just hit scapl trgt #1
1130
....................................................
vxx red at the moment, i added at 3203 today some, curr red on those, but havent added more "down here", will add more at higher or lower levels depending on charts
1126
then .88
1125
4595 trgt first
1125
axp 4606 short scalp can work here,
1117
possible short CL 8890ish, no new entries yet
1102
128350 short es could work here,, may go higher b4 lower. scalp.
1019
WARNING: the vxx is very volatile and can have swings of 200% or more up or down, daily, on calls
1018
vxx calls a better entry will likely present at lower cost, but possible starter position in order to participate
1016
VXX Feb 19 2011 35.0 Calls could work, idea, at 1.34/1.38, for 25-50% size starter position, swing, at last vxx 3204
1008
the HPQ "trading idea" puts from friday are up 32% atm,,,i'm not using puts, am directly short the underlying
1007
hpq daily has a possible morning star bear reversal today, with confirm needed tomorrow or subsequent days,,,i remain short hpq from 2 days ago
1005
will AXP give a 20%ish CSCO like fall in 1-2 day? idk, but positioned short if it does
1003
i'm keeping my swing oil thru this chop in case it does not bounce,,,but oil "should" bounce, could be a big one, before lower,,, i will add more shorts on the next bounce if able,,,however, if it breaks 8700 it could see 8400 quickly, so holding thru chop
1001
vxx has same trgts for now, may revise later: 3230 3260 3291 3350 3420 3490 3560 3650 3700,,last 3220
952
HIGHER RISK trade but i'm going short AXP, ahead of earnings afterhours today, position #1 here at 4612 and will add if able at higher levels
947
\filled on vxx
943
i'll scalp vxx 3203 lim buy if able, if not filled may pay higher later
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
AXP has horiz support at 4400ish and 4375ish trendline,, may stall there, may need to take profits there and re-enter, last 4510 down nicely AH
417
AXP,, selling AH :D
402
441,900 shares of AXP sold bearish red 45.79,,, suggests it might hit 4625 then under 4579,, shortable bounce if one comes
401
lets see what AXP does AH,,
359
ES lower volume today, up on low vol, bearish
334
above the .30 trgt intc
333
i have a lim order to short intc 21.72 if able, prob not today, 2120 last
329
lim order in place to cover 75% axp shares 41.60, prob not today but could pull a csco like move
325
swing AXP trgt 4160, last 4550
323
meanwhile ES trading idea only up 1 point lol
322
axp scalp from this morn is up 50-60 cents profit now,,,still holding 75% of shares
317
vxx is in 10 cent profit zone now, v small, but was red b4,,,nervous would exit here,,,i remain in vxx long
316
axp keeps moving lower
315
INTC itself may resist down and rally higher into close
315
should put sell pressure on spx es qqqq spy
314
3, 10 , 15min vxx charts suggest higher vxx into close
305
will be interesting to see AXP amer express action afterhours today, after earn rpt
223
axp hit 4596 or one cent under the 4597 rally target, still short axp
202
been looking to short INTC for a few days now, swing,,,seems almost ready,,,,thinking a move down, and then short the bounce, if possible
157
MarketMaker reports suggest that b4 the close, AXP can rally to 4597ish and then fall back below 4580,, in any event they suggest a move below 4580 in coming hours days even if no such rally first
105
agressive could short oil here,momo, tho i'm not adding shorts, already short from higher levels, from sco 997, 1124 last
103
OIL just made another new intraday low, CL
1251
27 cents scalp profit makes sense on half axp here, holding swings longer,, axp is at trendline support so may stall here, bnc,,expecting eventual break lower
1250
axp, new low of day :)
1238
hpq 15min bear harami candles, watching for confirmation with a 15min close below last 15min low
1235
AXP just hit its second scalp target lower,,,still watching reactions and holding for lower
1228
60 min chart on ES suggests that first move down, if we get one,,should bounce, 2nd move would be the bigger one
1227
ES sell signal 81%, first one today over 80%,, these often bounce first b4 declining, but added shorts on the signal as posted
1224
ES bear dbl top, or bull W??? watching reactions
1223
1287 es add shorts, to 128350, short #2
1155
3179 avg vxx today, on 2 buys
1154
attempting to sclp on vxx via poss rsi bull swing breakout, 3min
1147
add vxx here 3155
1145
looking to add to ES 1283.50 short, no entry yet, may take anotrher hour
1144
axp scalp mental stop 4614/4617ish,,, may exit on hit of T2,,watching reaction to see if gets lower low of dya, to ride the stock down if poss
1140
axp just hit scapl trgt #1
1130
....................................................
vxx red at the moment, i added at 3203 today some, curr red on those, but havent added more "down here", will add more at higher or lower levels depending on charts
1126
then .88
1125
4595 trgt first
1125
axp 4606 short scalp can work here,
1117
possible short CL 8890ish, no new entries yet
1102
128350 short es could work here,, may go higher b4 lower. scalp.
1019
WARNING: the vxx is very volatile and can have swings of 200% or more up or down, daily, on calls
1018
vxx calls a better entry will likely present at lower cost, but possible starter position in order to participate
1016
VXX Feb 19 2011 35.0 Calls could work, idea, at 1.34/1.38, for 25-50% size starter position, swing, at last vxx 3204
1008
the HPQ "trading idea" puts from friday are up 32% atm,,,i'm not using puts, am directly short the underlying
1007
hpq daily has a possible morning star bear reversal today, with confirm needed tomorrow or subsequent days,,,i remain short hpq from 2 days ago
1005
will AXP give a 20%ish CSCO like fall in 1-2 day? idk, but positioned short if it does
1003
i'm keeping my swing oil thru this chop in case it does not bounce,,,but oil "should" bounce, could be a big one, before lower,,, i will add more shorts on the next bounce if able,,,however, if it breaks 8700 it could see 8400 quickly, so holding thru chop
1001
vxx has same trgts for now, may revise later: 3230 3260 3291 3350 3420 3490 3560 3650 3700,,last 3220
952
HIGHER RISK trade but i'm going short AXP, ahead of earnings afterhours today, position #1 here at 4612 and will add if able at higher levels
947
\filled on vxx
943
i'll scalp vxx 3203 lim buy if able, if not filled may pay higher later
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Friday, January 21, 2011
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
friday ramblings (and Thurs eve / Friday pre-market ES Futures)
358
hpq puts are up 18% since posting earlier today
355
8 cents from target now, hpq
339
hpq trgt 4710 / 4690 by end of day, lower
334
glad i exited KO, now its back at lows .76,, in coming days KO may offer long entries, none today
329
out of orcl scalp
319
long orlc lim 3264 with immed stop .60 can work for v low risk trade into close
313
orcl is 5 cents from stopout, and wont change it, its just a scalp,,,no loss if stopped out, free ride for trying (small profit)
305
as long as 15 and 60min are dueling we will get this action, imo,,,when they r aligned then nice directional move will come
304
stop 3260 on orcl
248
hpq hit 4 cents over my trgt and backed down,,,may have topped, uknown
246
theres the hpq options target, HPQ Feb 19 2011 44.0 Put at 22 cents could work here
236
here goes orcl,,,, 3290/3310 trgt
231
hpq just hit the .60 trgt,,,watching reactions
225
think orcl will make a higher dialy high,,playing the expected breakout
224
going long ORCL now 3255,, orcl was on my "long list" last nite
217
exiting ko longs here, 6296, taking a small loss on the KO,,not worth it, will look for other opps
209
6314 ko i may exit and look for better entry,, still see higher KO as swing but maybe $$$ is better invested elsewhere,,,watching reactions
201
vxx is at .85ish trgt but not adding more here yet, may want lower
156
it does suggest that KO will be able to "withstand" signif downside on es tho
156
hmm strange to see vxx and ko both moving higher on 3min charts,,,that wont usually last long
133
vxx may decline to 3180ish where maybe buy more,,,and also take profits on those longs in KO, if all goes well
124
real targets are 6380 and 66 but may need to re-eval
123
if able i might exit this KO at 6337 and look to reenter, or exit half there or something, for small profit,, will see what charts look like then
119
hpq is approaching its .60ish trgt,,,inprecise trgt will just watch up ther if it gets there
111
KO continues sluggishly here, still long...red red red atm, down 0.41%
110
vxx approaching its 3320 trgt, last 3243, from 3100ish this morn
1258
thats buy #2 in KO long, now have full size position at 63.10 cost,,,stop 62.33 for now,,, may exit this later today and re-enter
1253
i still see lower es spx qqqq, the ko is a swing hedge long that i believe can survive downside
1252
adding ko long .88 here
1247
at 3230 last 3231
1246
taking a piece of vxx off here for 1.5% profit makes sense, keeping rest for higher
1244
the 15 and 60min es charts are battling, creating the chop,,,so using the 3min chart extremes for entry exits could work well
1243
poss bull inv HS 3min es, tho swings i'm still bearish
1208
feb hpq puts could work at 4760ish, or a move below 4680ish
1152
i have a limit ordder to sell the vxx 3320 if able, last 3212, which would give 4.2% roi if filled
1149
may exit vxx 3288ish for about $1 profit, then reenter,unsure
1148
also looking to add to vxx swing from yest 3185,,shouldve added this morn at 3100,,,will likely add on next pullback,,last 3203 over the .85 entry
1145
intc may need another hour of work, unsure if entry will present
1144
INTC looks like it may present an opp to go LONG today, then reverse short, watching for entries
1043
as expected yest, OIL CL continues in chop mode, no new long short entries yet for me
1028
no entry yet
1027
the next bounce in es could present a setup for hold for hours scalp
1022
watcing hpq today to see if possible bear dark cloud cover develops on daily, right now its not there, or poss shoot star or doji
931
still holding short es 1290.50, swing, with no plans to cover today prob,, already took 14 points profit on 75% of shares, have 25% remaining, via spy spxu sds etc
1235
Possible longs being considered, no setups or entries yet, watching for entries now all in top 33 QQQQ components:
orcl
intu
sbux
symc
yhoo
atvi
celg
1232 AM Fri midnight
OIL CL USO charts are suggesting another short on the next bounce, then possibly a reversal long, depending on what the charts look like after the next decline. Will be looking for entry short uso, long sco, on next uso bounce, having taken profits today for 3rd 4th time on oil.
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
hpq puts are up 18% since posting earlier today
355
8 cents from target now, hpq
339
hpq trgt 4710 / 4690 by end of day, lower
334
glad i exited KO, now its back at lows .76,, in coming days KO may offer long entries, none today
329
out of orcl scalp
319
long orlc lim 3264 with immed stop .60 can work for v low risk trade into close
313
orcl is 5 cents from stopout, and wont change it, its just a scalp,,,no loss if stopped out, free ride for trying (small profit)
305
as long as 15 and 60min are dueling we will get this action, imo,,,when they r aligned then nice directional move will come
304
stop 3260 on orcl
248
hpq hit 4 cents over my trgt and backed down,,,may have topped, uknown
246
theres the hpq options target, HPQ Feb 19 2011 44.0 Put at 22 cents could work here
236
here goes orcl,,,, 3290/3310 trgt
231
hpq just hit the .60 trgt,,,watching reactions
225
think orcl will make a higher dialy high,,playing the expected breakout
224
going long ORCL now 3255,, orcl was on my "long list" last nite
217
exiting ko longs here, 6296, taking a small loss on the KO,,not worth it, will look for other opps
209
6314 ko i may exit and look for better entry,, still see higher KO as swing but maybe $$$ is better invested elsewhere,,,watching reactions
201
vxx is at .85ish trgt but not adding more here yet, may want lower
156
it does suggest that KO will be able to "withstand" signif downside on es tho
156
hmm strange to see vxx and ko both moving higher on 3min charts,,,that wont usually last long
133
vxx may decline to 3180ish where maybe buy more,,,and also take profits on those longs in KO, if all goes well
124
real targets are 6380 and 66 but may need to re-eval
123
if able i might exit this KO at 6337 and look to reenter, or exit half there or something, for small profit,, will see what charts look like then
119
hpq is approaching its .60ish trgt,,,inprecise trgt will just watch up ther if it gets there
111
KO continues sluggishly here, still long...red red red atm, down 0.41%
110
vxx approaching its 3320 trgt, last 3243, from 3100ish this morn
1258
thats buy #2 in KO long, now have full size position at 63.10 cost,,,stop 62.33 for now,,, may exit this later today and re-enter
1253
i still see lower es spx qqqq, the ko is a swing hedge long that i believe can survive downside
1252
adding ko long .88 here
1247
at 3230 last 3231
1246
taking a piece of vxx off here for 1.5% profit makes sense, keeping rest for higher
1244
the 15 and 60min es charts are battling, creating the chop,,,so using the 3min chart extremes for entry exits could work well
1243
poss bull inv HS 3min es, tho swings i'm still bearish
1208
feb hpq puts could work at 4760ish, or a move below 4680ish
1152
i have a limit ordder to sell the vxx 3320 if able, last 3212, which would give 4.2% roi if filled
1149
may exit vxx 3288ish for about $1 profit, then reenter,unsure
1148
also looking to add to vxx swing from yest 3185,,shouldve added this morn at 3100,,,will likely add on next pullback,,last 3203 over the .85 entry
1145
intc may need another hour of work, unsure if entry will present
1144
INTC looks like it may present an opp to go LONG today, then reverse short, watching for entries
1043
as expected yest, OIL CL continues in chop mode, no new long short entries yet for me
1028
no entry yet
1027
the next bounce in es could present a setup for hold for hours scalp
1022
watcing hpq today to see if possible bear dark cloud cover develops on daily, right now its not there, or poss shoot star or doji
931
still holding short es 1290.50, swing, with no plans to cover today prob,, already took 14 points profit on 75% of shares, have 25% remaining, via spy spxu sds etc
1235
Possible longs being considered, no setups or entries yet, watching for entries now all in top 33 QQQQ components:
orcl
intu
sbux
symc
yhoo
atvi
celg
1232 AM Fri midnight
OIL CL USO charts are suggesting another short on the next bounce, then possibly a reversal long, depending on what the charts look like after the next decline. Will be looking for entry short uso, long sco, on next uso bounce, having taken profits today for 3rd 4th time on oil.
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Thursday, January 20, 2011
Thurs ramblings
403
fun day today,,,
402
spy wicks afterhours pointing toward todays lows
352
vxx scalps can take another 40 cents profit here about 1% 3221last,, i'm still holding vxx swing overnite too
340
llooks like sideways chop next few days,, the qqqq just tested its daily trendline and held,,but first time in awhile its been tested
333
heres the qqqq down move i mentoned b4 at .30 when i exited, last .06,,,may bounce but no bounce signal yet,,,the bounce may be shortable depending on charts
311
larger vxx sscalp positions can take yet another 1% profit here, from entry made about an hour ago upon qqqqq profittaking simul
247
now i'll buy LONG vxx 31.84 here ,,, .83 last,, for swing scalp combo,,, vxx may want .65 even .50,,,i will hold thru that, wide stop,,20% entry size
244
still have the KO longs,,,hpq axp shorts
244
out 56.30 of qqqq from 5577,,it may go higher but can always buy back later
244
.30
243
.27 stop
241
.22 stop on qqqq now, i dont wanna lose profits,, last .24, v tite
239
or i will take profits at .40 or .33 if stalls there
238
thiss qqqq scalp pattern,,it should go down and then give one more bounce, will close on such 2nd bounce unless first decline is severe
235
qqqq hit my trendline daily uptrend perfect touch and held as expected on first test, but its likely now to move sideways and then break lower in comoing days weeks
232
qqqq .25 trgt hit,,,watching .36
226
for the auditors, the 1min vxx hi low at 14:14 was 31.75 and 31.86, valid exit,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
217
primarily i exited there cuz saw the ES hitting prior hi, prior resist
215
close enough,,,i'm covering the vxx here at 3182
may hit lower trgts but could bounce, so out i go, from 33.10 for a 4% profit in a few hours
213
vxx trgts 3170 and 3158,,,curr have a lim order to cover at 3158 if able
207
theres the expected break over 5600 on qqqq :)
207
vxx plunge from 3309 entry to 3227 last vs qqqq 5577 to 5602
204
shorted the vxx for scalp when qqqq hit the .70/.75 trgt ,,,vxx short is far outperforming the q's long
203
qqqq should break over 56,,, 5625ish still traget, but not adding here, onlyholding the last 25% from .77
153
my charts are warning we are now in chop terrirotry on oil, es, qqqq and stops need to be monitored, and patience for an extreme move before entering positions else whipsaw stop runs,, bias is to add shorts after this bounce finishes,,, still could go higher but not wanting new longs here
151
for swing, i still see higher KO, just dont know if it wants lower first, so therefore am saving the additional entry for lower KO, mayb even under .75
150
i am cancelling the KO add more at .92,,, will do manually,,too much time passed and i am already in KO long, no need to add just yet
134
hoping they will sweep my .92 lim order to buy ko,,,else just running with current position from yest
126
i will add more KO 6292 limit if filled, last 6300
121
HPQ short is all over the map, currently in profit zone,,, as mentioned yest hpq bounces r expected at first on this swing, axp is also doing well, KO long hedge is slightly red but still valid to hold long swing
112
ko 60min has nice bull diverg 60min: note the dbl price bottom in KO but ther rising macd and slight higher rsi stoch,,not strictly a dbl bott,,,,poss bear flag daily in KO so watching both sides
104
qqqq still may see 5624
102
taking profits on 75% of qqqq here makes sense for about 20-22 cents scalp
1258
took small profit in MCD,,,will look for reentry later
1257
7523 stop
1253
stop mcd 75.18 if stopped out will look to reenter, to capture at least small scalp on it,,,still see higher mcd but think lower if .18 breached
1250
3248 taking more VXX profits now, 1.96% from 1144am scalp,, 3245 last
1246
qqqq long scalp is starting to appraoach take profits area, no exit yet but tite stops here begin to make sense, 5577--5598 last,, also a short entry addition on ES and qqqq is forming, no entries yet
1240
MCD buy alert at 7520
1233
50 cents profit so far on vxx scalp short from 11:44 am, holding for lower on remaining shares
1203
3277 cover vs 3309 short
1202
taking a piece of that vxx short off here, the scalp one from 17min ago for 1% profit :) in 15min
1158
software program just threw a "mcd should move within next hour" but is confused as to direction of the move,,,watching reactions carefully now here at 7510,, bias is higher, i "think"
1144
in a seperate acct, as scalp, i will try vxx SHORT now could work here 3312, small position,,,remember that for me vxx requires wide stops and scaling in,,
1140
qqqq may start to base here at trgt 1,,,but may want lower first to t2 so still no long entry, conserv would wait for a bounce higher then a pullbak
1136
qqqq may start to base here at trgt 1,,,but may want lower first to t2 so still no long entry
1135
limit 1258.50 ES i'll cover the last 25% of es short from 1290.50, if able, for 32 points profit
1132
:) QQQQ just hit my .70 trgt,,,still no buy signal qqqq
1124
see how MCD daily pushed up on resist a few times and is breaking higher? i think that KO is in early stages of same, why i entered long yest KO
1121
i do think oil has at least one more shortable bounce,,,waiting for a nice big bounce then will short it,prob,, else just run with 25% size shorts for lower levels
1119
so i am now long mcd, ko and short hpq and axp,,,minor oil shorts etc
1113
going LONG in MCD now, 7500, swing scalp combo, 50% size, its early entry on 60min chart but 15 and 3min suggest poss breakout here so trying half size to start
1109
nice run from 1097 and 1017 sco to 1073
1105
stopped out, profits locked,,,for now,,,on oil,,,will look to reenter later long or short, prob short, still have 25% of shares
1102
3 cents freom stopout on sco,,,still in for now
1100
still have the 25% position short on ES from 1290.50,,,not stopped out of it, having taken 14 points profit on 75% of position yest
1055
8833 8807 trgts interim CL b4 the 8755
1053
5560/70ish trgt still same on qqqq,,,getting close now, last 5585
1049
*1073 stop now sco,, oil report in 10min
1046
i believe the inv HS wil fail and oil will go to 8663 trgt b4 higher over 93
1044
but stops r tite cuz we dont know if oil wants a bull inv HS on daily, or a break to lower rectangle lows
1043
yesterdeay i posted to look at jan 3 and 4 candles in CL, and to expect same today,,,they r a mirror image :)
1039
oil just hit target #1 ,,,larger positions scalps would have taken a piece off there to lock profits
1038
qqqq may hit 5633 and then stall to retest lows or lower low of day, last 5612
1036
oil CL is building a 3min bull diverg too which is one reason of 7 that i tightented up the stop to lock profit
1034
KO 3min does have bull divberg long scalpable but waiting to add anymore at 6293
1032
i'm tightenting the sco stop here 1074, 1077 last, on 75% of shares, in order to lock profits if stopped,,, i plan to re-enter, swing 25% size position will hold thru chop
1027
for CL oil i'm watching same targets: 8894, 8755, 8663 from my entry at 9200, last 8915
1025
institutions are continuing to sell INTC today just like yest,,,on a decent rally in INTC i'll short it ,,,IF it rallies
1023
for a mixed portfolio of shorts and longs both
1023
also MCD longs looking for, but no entry for a few hours probably, swing
1022
but i still think KO long will outperform DOW or qqqq longs
1021
5595 is prior daily low support on qqqq tho
1020
but thats for those willing to wait hours for entry LOL
1020
5560-5570 i like long qqqq,,, multiple supp,, horiz supp n daily up trendline supp, but will still watch reaction
1018
since 5685 qqqq been waiting for chance on qqqq long,,,still no setup tho getting closer now,,,daytrade only,,may need another 1-4 hours for entry, last 5607
1010
KO long here could work 6307 but i'm already long KO,,, will add more longs later but not here as its too close to my first entry,,,letting it see if wants under 6300 first b4 adding,, so KO here makes a good first entry 25-50% size but not a good additonal second entry, for me
947
1057 sco stop on 75% of shares
946
i will lim cover hpq short 4533 if able, from 4628 entry yest
931
yet the axp shorts have gapped down :)
931
yesterday i said that i expected KO to gap up today,,,its' done so :)
930
and axp swing short is down nicely now 4475, down 50 cents from yest close..... so both the longs and shorts are green atm
924
newly entered HPQ swing short from yest is down nicely here while the KO long is holding even and up 20 cents from entrty,,, HPQ down about 40 cents from yest close and about 50 cents profit so far
920am
Good morning.
As expected, oil is gapping lower this AM, at this moment anyways,,, may take profits today on half of oil shorts and hold other half, will watch action. Using SCO from 9.97 and 10.17. Last sco 10.63 for 6.61% profit thus far on the first half,,, also took 2.8% profits yest on half of sco at 10.25 then bought that half back at 10.17. this was all posted live yesterday
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
fun day today,,,
402
spy wicks afterhours pointing toward todays lows
352
vxx scalps can take another 40 cents profit here about 1% 3221last,, i'm still holding vxx swing overnite too
340
llooks like sideways chop next few days,, the qqqq just tested its daily trendline and held,,but first time in awhile its been tested
333
heres the qqqq down move i mentoned b4 at .30 when i exited, last .06,,,may bounce but no bounce signal yet,,,the bounce may be shortable depending on charts
311
larger vxx sscalp positions can take yet another 1% profit here, from entry made about an hour ago upon qqqqq profittaking simul
247
now i'll buy LONG vxx 31.84 here ,,, .83 last,, for swing scalp combo,,, vxx may want .65 even .50,,,i will hold thru that, wide stop,,20% entry size
244
still have the KO longs,,,hpq axp shorts
244
out 56.30 of qqqq from 5577,,it may go higher but can always buy back later
244
.30
243
.27 stop
241
.22 stop on qqqq now, i dont wanna lose profits,, last .24, v tite
239
or i will take profits at .40 or .33 if stalls there
238
thiss qqqq scalp pattern,,it should go down and then give one more bounce, will close on such 2nd bounce unless first decline is severe
235
qqqq hit my trendline daily uptrend perfect touch and held as expected on first test, but its likely now to move sideways and then break lower in comoing days weeks
232
qqqq .25 trgt hit,,,watching .36
226
for the auditors, the 1min vxx hi low at 14:14 was 31.75 and 31.86, valid exit,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
217
primarily i exited there cuz saw the ES hitting prior hi, prior resist
215
close enough,,,i'm covering the vxx here at 3182
may hit lower trgts but could bounce, so out i go, from 33.10 for a 4% profit in a few hours
213
vxx trgts 3170 and 3158,,,curr have a lim order to cover at 3158 if able
207
theres the expected break over 5600 on qqqq :)
207
vxx plunge from 3309 entry to 3227 last vs qqqq 5577 to 5602
204
shorted the vxx for scalp when qqqq hit the .70/.75 trgt ,,,vxx short is far outperforming the q's long
203
qqqq should break over 56,,, 5625ish still traget, but not adding here, onlyholding the last 25% from .77
153
my charts are warning we are now in chop terrirotry on oil, es, qqqq and stops need to be monitored, and patience for an extreme move before entering positions else whipsaw stop runs,, bias is to add shorts after this bounce finishes,,, still could go higher but not wanting new longs here
151
for swing, i still see higher KO, just dont know if it wants lower first, so therefore am saving the additional entry for lower KO, mayb even under .75
150
i am cancelling the KO add more at .92,,, will do manually,,too much time passed and i am already in KO long, no need to add just yet
134
hoping they will sweep my .92 lim order to buy ko,,,else just running with current position from yest
126
i will add more KO 6292 limit if filled, last 6300
121
HPQ short is all over the map, currently in profit zone,,, as mentioned yest hpq bounces r expected at first on this swing, axp is also doing well, KO long hedge is slightly red but still valid to hold long swing
112
ko 60min has nice bull diverg 60min: note the dbl price bottom in KO but ther rising macd and slight higher rsi stoch,,not strictly a dbl bott,,,,poss bear flag daily in KO so watching both sides
104
qqqq still may see 5624
102
taking profits on 75% of qqqq here makes sense for about 20-22 cents scalp
1258
took small profit in MCD,,,will look for reentry later
1257
7523 stop
1253
stop mcd 75.18 if stopped out will look to reenter, to capture at least small scalp on it,,,still see higher mcd but think lower if .18 breached
1250
3248 taking more VXX profits now, 1.96% from 1144am scalp,, 3245 last
1246
qqqq long scalp is starting to appraoach take profits area, no exit yet but tite stops here begin to make sense, 5577--5598 last,, also a short entry addition on ES and qqqq is forming, no entries yet
1240
MCD buy alert at 7520
1233
50 cents profit so far on vxx scalp short from 11:44 am, holding for lower on remaining shares
1203
3277 cover vs 3309 short
1202
taking a piece of that vxx short off here, the scalp one from 17min ago for 1% profit :) in 15min
1158
software program just threw a "mcd should move within next hour" but is confused as to direction of the move,,,watching reactions carefully now here at 7510,, bias is higher, i "think"
1144
in a seperate acct, as scalp, i will try vxx SHORT now could work here 3312, small position,,,remember that for me vxx requires wide stops and scaling in,,
1140
qqqq may start to base here at trgt 1,,,but may want lower first to t2 so still no long entry, conserv would wait for a bounce higher then a pullbak
1136
qqqq may start to base here at trgt 1,,,but may want lower first to t2 so still no long entry
1135
limit 1258.50 ES i'll cover the last 25% of es short from 1290.50, if able, for 32 points profit
1132
:) QQQQ just hit my .70 trgt,,,still no buy signal qqqq
1124
see how MCD daily pushed up on resist a few times and is breaking higher? i think that KO is in early stages of same, why i entered long yest KO
1121
i do think oil has at least one more shortable bounce,,,waiting for a nice big bounce then will short it,prob,, else just run with 25% size shorts for lower levels
1119
so i am now long mcd, ko and short hpq and axp,,,minor oil shorts etc
1113
going LONG in MCD now, 7500, swing scalp combo, 50% size, its early entry on 60min chart but 15 and 3min suggest poss breakout here so trying half size to start
1109
nice run from 1097 and 1017 sco to 1073
1105
stopped out, profits locked,,,for now,,,on oil,,,will look to reenter later long or short, prob short, still have 25% of shares
1102
3 cents freom stopout on sco,,,still in for now
1100
still have the 25% position short on ES from 1290.50,,,not stopped out of it, having taken 14 points profit on 75% of position yest
1055
8833 8807 trgts interim CL b4 the 8755
1053
5560/70ish trgt still same on qqqq,,,getting close now, last 5585
1049
*1073 stop now sco,, oil report in 10min
1046
i believe the inv HS wil fail and oil will go to 8663 trgt b4 higher over 93
1044
but stops r tite cuz we dont know if oil wants a bull inv HS on daily, or a break to lower rectangle lows
1043
yesterdeay i posted to look at jan 3 and 4 candles in CL, and to expect same today,,,they r a mirror image :)
1039
oil just hit target #1 ,,,larger positions scalps would have taken a piece off there to lock profits
1038
qqqq may hit 5633 and then stall to retest lows or lower low of day, last 5612
1036
oil CL is building a 3min bull diverg too which is one reason of 7 that i tightented up the stop to lock profit
1034
KO 3min does have bull divberg long scalpable but waiting to add anymore at 6293
1032
i'm tightenting the sco stop here 1074, 1077 last, on 75% of shares, in order to lock profits if stopped,,, i plan to re-enter, swing 25% size position will hold thru chop
1027
for CL oil i'm watching same targets: 8894, 8755, 8663 from my entry at 9200, last 8915
1025
institutions are continuing to sell INTC today just like yest,,,on a decent rally in INTC i'll short it ,,,IF it rallies
1023
for a mixed portfolio of shorts and longs both
1023
also MCD longs looking for, but no entry for a few hours probably, swing
1022
but i still think KO long will outperform DOW or qqqq longs
1021
5595 is prior daily low support on qqqq tho
1020
but thats for those willing to wait hours for entry LOL
1020
5560-5570 i like long qqqq,,, multiple supp,, horiz supp n daily up trendline supp, but will still watch reaction
1018
since 5685 qqqq been waiting for chance on qqqq long,,,still no setup tho getting closer now,,,daytrade only,,may need another 1-4 hours for entry, last 5607
1010
KO long here could work 6307 but i'm already long KO,,, will add more longs later but not here as its too close to my first entry,,,letting it see if wants under 6300 first b4 adding,, so KO here makes a good first entry 25-50% size but not a good additonal second entry, for me
947
1057 sco stop on 75% of shares
946
i will lim cover hpq short 4533 if able, from 4628 entry yest
931
yet the axp shorts have gapped down :)
931
yesterday i said that i expected KO to gap up today,,,its' done so :)
930
and axp swing short is down nicely now 4475, down 50 cents from yest close..... so both the longs and shorts are green atm
924
newly entered HPQ swing short from yest is down nicely here while the KO long is holding even and up 20 cents from entrty,,, HPQ down about 40 cents from yest close and about 50 cents profit so far
920am
Good morning.
As expected, oil is gapping lower this AM, at this moment anyways,,, may take profits today on half of oil shorts and hold other half, will watch action. Using SCO from 9.97 and 10.17. Last sco 10.63 for 6.61% profit thus far on the first half,,, also took 2.8% profits yest on half of sco at 10.25 then bought that half back at 10.17. this was all posted live yesterday
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Wednesday, January 19, 2011
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
wednesday ramblings (and tues night futures)
425
notice Jan 3 and 4 CL oil selloff candels and compare to today's candle,,,may see nice red candle tomorrow for oil shorts, bear shoot star daily today
404
vxx was a great scalping tool today
356
conversely, HPQ looks tired so took a 50% size short there,,, will add shorts after it moves lower and short the bounce,,,,it should bounce on the first try down off this nice run up
353
ko "should" move lower before buying, but took a small position here cuz think it will go up,,,theres a chance the KO will gap up tomorrow based on my charts,, also a look at daily KO will show its testing resist a few times, believe another test coming with a break higher,, KO held over yest lows
346
swing, i'm hedging long actually rite now,,, 25% position on KO,
337
VXX is now a few pennies from the .90 target :)
330
bulls in this market, are like that DIDO song "white flag": ... "i will go down with this ship, i wont put my hands up and surrender...there will be no white flag above my door" :)
326
into the close, ES 1283 max i think, inabilit to get over 1279 and es could end at low of day, or a lower low even, imho
324
qqqq under 5690 troublesome,,,prio 15min 60min conosold highs
319
oops that was a quick stopout on ES, 14 points taken profit
318
still riding the last 25% of VXX scalp from this morn, now up to almost $1 profit, 3% profit
316
theres the ES 127525 trgt finally hit :) but now i'm changing,,,to stop 1276.50 instead, try to ride it lower, else take 14 points from 1290.50 short if stopped
308
qqqq are approaching a scalpable long setup, none here yet,,, i prob wont trade it since i dont wanna hold long overnites yet
306
will do manually now the es
305
unbelieveable! es hit 1275.50, my stop profit was at 1275.25, no fill grr
301
HPQ Feb 19 2011 44.0 Put at .42/43 cents could work here,,, i'm trading the underlying not the options but those could work
257
heres the vxx, shooting over its 3260 target
256
will reverse to longs when spx has a meaningful pullback,,,buyers wont disappear that fast, but still shorting rallies swing for now
254
next on the list of swing shorts for DOW stocks, only watcing now, no entries yet: planning entries in intc utx ba dis mmm pfe pg wmt xom/cvx
245
i'm shorting HPQ now, sswing, 4629
238
also looking to add new shorts in INTC,,,hopefully we see a rally today to allow this
235
stopped out of vxx scalp, only have 25% left now, profits taken .26,, now i will look to add to vxx again today but this one will be a combo swing/scalp: if the scalp hits its target then i'll take partial profits on it, else i will hold overnite, even if at a loss at the close
.26 stop
.27 stop
227
.28 stop
226
WOW,, vxx,now at 3245
225
ES, still looking for 1275.25 trgt
223
3221 new stop on vxx 25% shares, others same
222
3260 and 3291 still next vxx trgts, sames as yest,,,with interim .73 trgt
220
rationale: set under the recent 1min low of .15
219
3212 vxx stop raised on 25% of shares, took half off for 40 cents=ish,,,rest stop set to breakeven on other 25%, if that makes any sense
216
larger vxx scalps, can now lock another 40 cents profit, again,, :D, on partial shares,, we could go much higher, stops set
214
nice,,,oil shorts r waking up now too :D,, sco now 10.21,,,near prior .25 profit taking area, holding longer
212
*3207
211
3208 stop on half of vxx scalps
208
since this is a scalp i'll just type "OUT" when exiting
207
vxx scalps might want to take profits on half of pos soon,,watching 1min for weakness, on weakness i'll sell half to buy yet again lower
150
33.46 still the target for vxx today if able,,last 31.96,,may not make it that hi
148
vxx might have a chance of making a higher daily hi on the next test of high of day, if it gets there
145
over 5680ish qqqq bullish for me,,,or on a lower low to buy,, no entry yet for long scalps
140
adding vxx scalps .72 could now work if filled, last .80, or just running with .81,,,,same stop,,, stops lower for swings, thats for scalps
132
want to see .60/.62ish hold,,,else may want .20/.30ish
130
vxx mental stop .70ish,,if breaks that will look to maybe sell on bounce if able, else out at .56 hard stop
123
institut are selling INTC today, which means it will likely bounce higher,,, shorts at higher leverls could make nice swings
119
and prob 25% of ES unless it gets to 1290
118
i'll hold the AXP shorts overnite, and part of vxx
117
often an entry comes when parab sar is broken higher , then pulls back, and then breaks it the SECOND time,,,also shorts could cover on that move
115
qqqq r now at 15min parab sar resist
113
vxx scalpers can now buy back at 3182 lol
109
i think i better take off some ES shorts here to lock 10 point profit, and will run witrh a half position
105
vix is rite at severall diff resistances here but chart says it breaks it higher
103
the VXX has a nice bull asc triangle forming, 10min chart, or inv HS bull, depending on how u squint
101
on the 60min it would be a quadruple top lol since it tried today and failed,,,still think it can break higher in sco
100
sco long is trying a triple top daily,,,those often break to the upside,,watching reactions (or oil triple bottom, for a lower lo in oil)
1252
if the ES 60min MACD hist gives an uptick, then long scalps could work, on extreme lows in the 15min chart, may not get that setup today,,staying daytrade short still
1244
will keep the usual 25% of shares un-covered, for lower, as usual
1242
1275.25 lim covering half of es shorts if able, from 1190.50 for 15ish points
1238
ES 1273ish trarget,,,more precise trgt later
1235
1.3%ish profit,,swings would hold
1235
scalpers could take 40 cents profit here on vxx in 1 hour hold
1234
as ES makes the expected new low of day,,,i still have the "stay short daytrades" setup
1232
LOL i went to get a glass of water and the VXX shot up 30 cents
1230
limit order to sell all vxx except 25% of shares, at 33.46,,then will look to reenter,,,this is in between 2 of the swing targets
1228
i see a lower daily low on qqqq, then maybea a long scalp opp
1220
ES sell alert 80%,,,still see a lower low of day, 1283 last
1158
vxx 3181 scalp could work here, 50% size
1122
oops thats 1282 not 1287
1118
this pattern in ES generally will make another lower low daily, then that next low is often scalpable long, tho i will prob only short the rallies today, last es 1287
1116
btw, for swings SCO or USO both work ok,,,for scalps USO works better,, better "fast fills" in uso than sco,, the SCO is similar to (tho not exactly) 2x short of USO
1108
aggressive oil shorts could reenter sco long here 1017 if profits taken 1025 on half, conserv would wait, may want 1000
1055
OIL should give a setup for option puts soon, may take over 4 hours,,, IF it breaks lower then the bounce would be shortable,,, danger here cuz still in chop mode,,, then later can reverse long
1051
oops 2.8%
1048
active oil shorts could take SCO profits here on half and re-enter later,,, 1025 last from 997 entry swing for 3.8% profit,, sco should go higher tho
1044
todays target i'm trying to let it get to 3291 or 3350/62 trgt, if able,, and then perhaps take off half and look to reenter
1042
VXX just hit the 3230 trgt, 3232 last
1038
es just hit the 1284 trgt,,,still holding the shorts, watching reactions,, larger positions could take 25% of position off here for 7.5 points profit
1032
next VXX trgts, swing: 3230, 3260, 3291, 3350, 3420, 3490, 3560, 3650, 3700
1028
VXX targets posted yest were 3132, 3160, 3181, 3230, 3260,,, VXX has blown thru the first three and is about to hit 3230 trgt, last 3216 :D
1025
i'll keep holding swing shorts even at the 1284 test,
1025
more support at 1284 tho, not far below
1024
here comes the expected break of 1286 onb the ES,,,watching now to see if it sustains :)
1000
1284/86 may be breakable on my charts,,,despite the consistent ability to bounce to new highs,,,,watching how big the bounce is,,,
958
despite 1286 es support, agreed, i have a "stay swing short" from yest 2 entries 128950 and 129150 for now
950
AXP Feb 19 2011 44.0 Put at .98/1.01 could work,,,tho i'm trading the stock not options
948
options to short axp could work here, for swings, and a second entry on any axp bounce in 60min chart
922
VXX is up now 3069 from 3056 yest close
921am
WOW amer exp AXP is down sharply this morn from 4637 to 4470,, still swing short in axp
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
notice Jan 3 and 4 CL oil selloff candels and compare to today's candle,,,may see nice red candle tomorrow for oil shorts, bear shoot star daily today
404
vxx was a great scalping tool today
356
conversely, HPQ looks tired so took a 50% size short there,,, will add shorts after it moves lower and short the bounce,,,,it should bounce on the first try down off this nice run up
353
ko "should" move lower before buying, but took a small position here cuz think it will go up,,,theres a chance the KO will gap up tomorrow based on my charts,, also a look at daily KO will show its testing resist a few times, believe another test coming with a break higher,, KO held over yest lows
346
swing, i'm hedging long actually rite now,,, 25% position on KO,
337
VXX is now a few pennies from the .90 target :)
330
bulls in this market, are like that DIDO song "white flag": ... "i will go down with this ship, i wont put my hands up and surrender...there will be no white flag above my door" :)
326
into the close, ES 1283 max i think, inabilit to get over 1279 and es could end at low of day, or a lower low even, imho
324
qqqq under 5690 troublesome,,,prio 15min 60min conosold highs
319
oops that was a quick stopout on ES, 14 points taken profit
318
still riding the last 25% of VXX scalp from this morn, now up to almost $1 profit, 3% profit
316
theres the ES 127525 trgt finally hit :) but now i'm changing,,,to stop 1276.50 instead, try to ride it lower, else take 14 points from 1290.50 short if stopped
308
qqqq are approaching a scalpable long setup, none here yet,,, i prob wont trade it since i dont wanna hold long overnites yet
306
will do manually now the es
305
unbelieveable! es hit 1275.50, my stop profit was at 1275.25, no fill grr
301
HPQ Feb 19 2011 44.0 Put at .42/43 cents could work here,,, i'm trading the underlying not the options but those could work
257
heres the vxx, shooting over its 3260 target
256
will reverse to longs when spx has a meaningful pullback,,,buyers wont disappear that fast, but still shorting rallies swing for now
254
next on the list of swing shorts for DOW stocks, only watcing now, no entries yet: planning entries in intc utx ba dis mmm pfe pg wmt xom/cvx
245
i'm shorting HPQ now, sswing, 4629
238
also looking to add new shorts in INTC,,,hopefully we see a rally today to allow this
235
stopped out of vxx scalp, only have 25% left now, profits taken .26,, now i will look to add to vxx again today but this one will be a combo swing/scalp: if the scalp hits its target then i'll take partial profits on it, else i will hold overnite, even if at a loss at the close
.26 stop
.27 stop
227
.28 stop
226
WOW,, vxx,now at 3245
225
ES, still looking for 1275.25 trgt
223
3221 new stop on vxx 25% shares, others same
222
3260 and 3291 still next vxx trgts, sames as yest,,,with interim .73 trgt
220
rationale: set under the recent 1min low of .15
219
3212 vxx stop raised on 25% of shares, took half off for 40 cents=ish,,,rest stop set to breakeven on other 25%, if that makes any sense
216
larger vxx scalps, can now lock another 40 cents profit, again,, :D, on partial shares,, we could go much higher, stops set
214
nice,,,oil shorts r waking up now too :D,, sco now 10.21,,,near prior .25 profit taking area, holding longer
212
*3207
211
3208 stop on half of vxx scalps
208
since this is a scalp i'll just type "OUT" when exiting
207
vxx scalps might want to take profits on half of pos soon,,watching 1min for weakness, on weakness i'll sell half to buy yet again lower
150
33.46 still the target for vxx today if able,,last 31.96,,may not make it that hi
148
vxx might have a chance of making a higher daily hi on the next test of high of day, if it gets there
145
over 5680ish qqqq bullish for me,,,or on a lower low to buy,, no entry yet for long scalps
140
adding vxx scalps .72 could now work if filled, last .80, or just running with .81,,,,same stop,,, stops lower for swings, thats for scalps
132
want to see .60/.62ish hold,,,else may want .20/.30ish
130
vxx mental stop .70ish,,if breaks that will look to maybe sell on bounce if able, else out at .56 hard stop
123
institut are selling INTC today, which means it will likely bounce higher,,, shorts at higher leverls could make nice swings
119
and prob 25% of ES unless it gets to 1290
118
i'll hold the AXP shorts overnite, and part of vxx
117
often an entry comes when parab sar is broken higher , then pulls back, and then breaks it the SECOND time,,,also shorts could cover on that move
115
qqqq r now at 15min parab sar resist
113
vxx scalpers can now buy back at 3182 lol
109
i think i better take off some ES shorts here to lock 10 point profit, and will run witrh a half position
105
vix is rite at severall diff resistances here but chart says it breaks it higher
103
the VXX has a nice bull asc triangle forming, 10min chart, or inv HS bull, depending on how u squint
101
on the 60min it would be a quadruple top lol since it tried today and failed,,,still think it can break higher in sco
100
sco long is trying a triple top daily,,,those often break to the upside,,watching reactions (or oil triple bottom, for a lower lo in oil)
1252
if the ES 60min MACD hist gives an uptick, then long scalps could work, on extreme lows in the 15min chart, may not get that setup today,,staying daytrade short still
1244
will keep the usual 25% of shares un-covered, for lower, as usual
1242
1275.25 lim covering half of es shorts if able, from 1190.50 for 15ish points
1238
ES 1273ish trarget,,,more precise trgt later
1235
1.3%ish profit,,swings would hold
1235
scalpers could take 40 cents profit here on vxx in 1 hour hold
1234
as ES makes the expected new low of day,,,i still have the "stay short daytrades" setup
1232
LOL i went to get a glass of water and the VXX shot up 30 cents
1230
limit order to sell all vxx except 25% of shares, at 33.46,,then will look to reenter,,,this is in between 2 of the swing targets
1228
i see a lower daily low on qqqq, then maybea a long scalp opp
1220
ES sell alert 80%,,,still see a lower low of day, 1283 last
1158
vxx 3181 scalp could work here, 50% size
1122
oops thats 1282 not 1287
1118
this pattern in ES generally will make another lower low daily, then that next low is often scalpable long, tho i will prob only short the rallies today, last es 1287
1116
btw, for swings SCO or USO both work ok,,,for scalps USO works better,, better "fast fills" in uso than sco,, the SCO is similar to (tho not exactly) 2x short of USO
1108
aggressive oil shorts could reenter sco long here 1017 if profits taken 1025 on half, conserv would wait, may want 1000
1055
OIL should give a setup for option puts soon, may take over 4 hours,,, IF it breaks lower then the bounce would be shortable,,, danger here cuz still in chop mode,,, then later can reverse long
1051
oops 2.8%
1048
active oil shorts could take SCO profits here on half and re-enter later,,, 1025 last from 997 entry swing for 3.8% profit,, sco should go higher tho
1044
todays target i'm trying to let it get to 3291 or 3350/62 trgt, if able,, and then perhaps take off half and look to reenter
1042
VXX just hit the 3230 trgt, 3232 last
1038
es just hit the 1284 trgt,,,still holding the shorts, watching reactions,, larger positions could take 25% of position off here for 7.5 points profit
1032
next VXX trgts, swing: 3230, 3260, 3291, 3350, 3420, 3490, 3560, 3650, 3700
1028
VXX targets posted yest were 3132, 3160, 3181, 3230, 3260,,, VXX has blown thru the first three and is about to hit 3230 trgt, last 3216 :D
1025
i'll keep holding swing shorts even at the 1284 test,
1025
more support at 1284 tho, not far below
1024
here comes the expected break of 1286 onb the ES,,,watching now to see if it sustains :)
1000
1284/86 may be breakable on my charts,,,despite the consistent ability to bounce to new highs,,,,watching how big the bounce is,,,
958
despite 1286 es support, agreed, i have a "stay swing short" from yest 2 entries 128950 and 129150 for now
950
AXP Feb 19 2011 44.0 Put at .98/1.01 could work,,,tho i'm trading the stock not options
948
options to short axp could work here, for swings, and a second entry on any axp bounce in 60min chart
922
VXX is up now 3069 from 3056 yest close
921am
WOW amer exp AXP is down sharply this morn from 4637 to 4470,, still swing short in axp
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Tuesday, January 18, 2011
Tuesday's ramblings
415
IBM is up AH 15470 vs 15065
358
7953 utx i'll cover if able
350
UTX lim cover 7877 if able to lock profits, to reenter tomorrow
335
VIX 3min is moving, nothing dramatic, mayt put selling pressure on ES SPX QQQQ into the close tho
310
we might have seen ES high of day,,, sell signal still on 84% not 85%,,,watching 3min ES
303
qqqq 5714= es 1291
238
it may go higher,,,will add more later if able, took some here in order to participate
236
84% sell on ES,,,waiting for 85%, but adding a some shorts here 1291.50
223
using spy, sds, spxu, upro, sso to trade spx, not ES itself
223
i'll lim short ES 1294.50 if filled,, last 1291
212
ES sell still at 81%,,,,setting up to hit 85% but no entries yet short
200
oil still in chop mode, but 60 min has a huge bear shoot star,, watching reactinos
158
sell alert on qqqq from 5603 is still at 81%,,,shortable bounces on qqqq es
146
3068 vxx here could work with about a 10-20 cent stop
141
REMOVING axp add shorts order 4674,,,will wait, last 4671
1254
if no 85%++ then no down
1252
SELL ALERT ES QQQQ, 81%,,,needs 85% to move, first one has only small move down,, a move doan then bounce then down lower would make sense, 128950 es,,, 5703 qqqq
1234
watching 3min charts for poss entry
1234
the ES pattern shown here 15min chart often results in one more bounce, which is shortable, daytrades
1209
last CL rsi 15min 53.94, on 14,3,3 rsi not 5,3,3
1209
last CL rsi 15min 53.94
1208
CL rsi under 38 on 15min cl could send CL to test low of day, then lower daily low.,, over 38 chop
1208
poss stoch bear dbl top, 15min stoch
1201
higher DX could put selling pressure on oil CL
1159
vxx close to a bull 3min rsi failure swing now 3088
1157
15min bull inv HS poss on DX usa dollar
1123
axp 20- cents scalp profit makes sense here, on partial shares, to hold some for more profit later
1058
vxx trgts for scalps, 3160, 3181, 3230, 3260
1056
look at those last 2 candles on cl oil, 60min, chop, possible topping formatino activity, watching support and resistances
1039
since no fill on .48 axp, and already have existing position,,i'm raising the add shorts to 46.74,,if i didnt have an existing positino then i'd have added here
1036
axp 4648 add sthorts not filled, last .32 but should bounce one more time to allow poss additinos, else running with exitsting short
1031
vxx 2123 could work here
1016
4648 adding axp shorts if able, last 4646
1011
axp just hit 4634 trgt,,,still watching .54 higher
1010
oil CL daily has poss bull inv HS forming,,but the 60min CL also has a poss bear HS forming, so watching reactions for now. a 15min extreme could make a nice place to add shorts
1008
axp 4654 i'll add shorts if able, last 4630
1001
shorting axp 4634 could work too, last 4626
950
shorted axp 4628, scalp swing combo
943
60min oil CL chart suggests possible break lower in support
942
good morning all,, oil red this AM, watching reactions here to see if supp holds, poss bull inv HS daily but still short for now
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
IBM is up AH 15470 vs 15065
358
7953 utx i'll cover if able
350
UTX lim cover 7877 if able to lock profits, to reenter tomorrow
335
VIX 3min is moving, nothing dramatic, mayt put selling pressure on ES SPX QQQQ into the close tho
310
we might have seen ES high of day,,, sell signal still on 84% not 85%,,,watching 3min ES
303
qqqq 5714= es 1291
238
it may go higher,,,will add more later if able, took some here in order to participate
236
84% sell on ES,,,waiting for 85%, but adding a some shorts here 1291.50
223
using spy, sds, spxu, upro, sso to trade spx, not ES itself
223
i'll lim short ES 1294.50 if filled,, last 1291
212
ES sell still at 81%,,,,setting up to hit 85% but no entries yet short
200
oil still in chop mode, but 60 min has a huge bear shoot star,, watching reactinos
158
sell alert on qqqq from 5603 is still at 81%,,,shortable bounces on qqqq es
146
3068 vxx here could work with about a 10-20 cent stop
141
REMOVING axp add shorts order 4674,,,will wait, last 4671
1254
if no 85%++ then no down
1252
SELL ALERT ES QQQQ, 81%,,,needs 85% to move, first one has only small move down,, a move doan then bounce then down lower would make sense, 128950 es,,, 5703 qqqq
1234
watching 3min charts for poss entry
1234
the ES pattern shown here 15min chart often results in one more bounce, which is shortable, daytrades
1209
last CL rsi 15min 53.94, on 14,3,3 rsi not 5,3,3
1209
last CL rsi 15min 53.94
1208
CL rsi under 38 on 15min cl could send CL to test low of day, then lower daily low.,, over 38 chop
1208
poss stoch bear dbl top, 15min stoch
1201
higher DX could put selling pressure on oil CL
1159
vxx close to a bull 3min rsi failure swing now 3088
1157
15min bull inv HS poss on DX usa dollar
1123
axp 20- cents scalp profit makes sense here, on partial shares, to hold some for more profit later
1058
vxx trgts for scalps, 3160, 3181, 3230, 3260
1056
look at those last 2 candles on cl oil, 60min, chop, possible topping formatino activity, watching support and resistances
1039
since no fill on .48 axp, and already have existing position,,i'm raising the add shorts to 46.74,,if i didnt have an existing positino then i'd have added here
1036
axp 4648 add sthorts not filled, last .32 but should bounce one more time to allow poss additinos, else running with exitsting short
1031
vxx 2123 could work here
1016
4648 adding axp shorts if able, last 4646
1011
axp just hit 4634 trgt,,,still watching .54 higher
1010
oil CL daily has poss bull inv HS forming,,but the 60min CL also has a poss bear HS forming, so watching reactions for now. a 15min extreme could make a nice place to add shorts
1008
axp 4654 i'll add shorts if able, last 4630
1001
shorting axp 4634 could work too, last 4626
950
shorted axp 4628, scalp swing combo
943
60min oil CL chart suggests possible break lower in support
942
good morning all,, oil red this AM, watching reactions here to see if supp holds, poss bull inv HS daily but still short for now
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Monday, January 17, 2011
monday ramblings / ES Futures Sunday night
1147 am
Equity Markets closed today but futures are trading.
NQ nasdaq futures have a big red daily candle, broke below friday's low
CL oil is also red, tho still over yesterdays low.
Both are good for short positions swing.
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Equity Markets closed today but futures are trading.
NQ nasdaq futures have a big red daily candle, broke below friday's low
CL oil is also red, tho still over yesterdays low.
Both are good for short positions swing.
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Friday, January 14, 2011
Friday ramblings / Thurs eve futures
359
out of 2nd vxx scalp .58 from .47
358
.58 stop, last .60
354
if reentered vxx scalp would raise stop to breakeven then sell at close
351
aggressive could buy bak the scalp here at .47 and hold thru close
340
3148 stop on the remaining vxx scalp piece into the close
339
thus far, qqqq volume lower today than previous days
334
now in 3min chart theres a poss bull W on vxx that measures close to the second .80ish trgt posted b4
319
vxx made it one cent over the .63 trgt to .64 and pulled back, .52 last
316
stopped out on that half, profits taken, still have half
315
.57 stop on half of vxx scalp to lock guar 20 cents profit :), as it hits the .63 trgt here
313
.55 mental stop,,, ,58 last,, will nbot auto sell on .55
311
3180 is trgt if .63 breaks,,
309
vxx scalp moved to near breakeven in case of sudden surge down, free ride up from here
303
3140 add more could work if hits there,, .44 last, tho may just breakout higher to targets
302
vxx first scalp trgt from .37 is .63,,, last .50,,,swing trgts are same as b4 and higher of course,no limit orders on scalps yet,,,watching reactions
233
FOR VXX SCALPS,,,this pattern will usually go up more, allow profit taking,,,then move lower to a higher low, to allow a "buy the dip" second scalp entry,,,watching for first exit
219
3137 VXX SCALP HERE COULD WORK, STOP .21ISH
206
3178ish vxx resist,
205
IF vxx pulls back here, can make a nice scalp,,usually this pattern will pb some on the 3min charts, tho breakout higher instead is poss,, 3142 last
147
3min vxx does suggest a bounce soon tho, for scalps too, but not just yet
143
adding 10% more vxx here to mid term swing position, 31.44
114
sco looks like it has more upside,,,i will prob take sco profits on the next 60min chart move higher,,,sco long = 2x oil short
109
spy or es short is setting up, no entry yet, for swing scalp combo,,, may need to wait until tuesday for an entry not today, unsure
1245
qqqq up 0.5%,,, utx down 1%,,, lots of opps in individ stocks, good for utx short
VXX vxx position is red here, still see higher vxx in coming weeks, this is a swing to hold, will add another 10% entry but no entry yet,,, currently vxx is a 30% position size,,,
10% entry but no entry yet,,, currently vxx is a 30% position size,,, vxx requires patience and wide stops
1206
if DOW moves over 11,800-900ish and then
below the 11,800,,, it could present a nice swing short entry for multiweek hold
1140
UTX has nice daily red candle, still swing short there, no profit taking yet
934 am
gm
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
out of 2nd vxx scalp .58 from .47
358
.58 stop, last .60
354
if reentered vxx scalp would raise stop to breakeven then sell at close
351
aggressive could buy bak the scalp here at .47 and hold thru close
340
3148 stop on the remaining vxx scalp piece into the close
339
thus far, qqqq volume lower today than previous days
334
now in 3min chart theres a poss bull W on vxx that measures close to the second .80ish trgt posted b4
319
vxx made it one cent over the .63 trgt to .64 and pulled back, .52 last
316
stopped out on that half, profits taken, still have half
315
.57 stop on half of vxx scalp to lock guar 20 cents profit :), as it hits the .63 trgt here
313
.55 mental stop,,, ,58 last,, will nbot auto sell on .55
311
3180 is trgt if .63 breaks,,
309
vxx scalp moved to near breakeven in case of sudden surge down, free ride up from here
303
3140 add more could work if hits there,, .44 last, tho may just breakout higher to targets
302
vxx first scalp trgt from .37 is .63,,, last .50,,,swing trgts are same as b4 and higher of course,no limit orders on scalps yet,,,watching reactions
233
FOR VXX SCALPS,,,this pattern will usually go up more, allow profit taking,,,then move lower to a higher low, to allow a "buy the dip" second scalp entry,,,watching for first exit
219
3137 VXX SCALP HERE COULD WORK, STOP .21ISH
206
3178ish vxx resist,
205
IF vxx pulls back here, can make a nice scalp,,usually this pattern will pb some on the 3min charts, tho breakout higher instead is poss,, 3142 last
147
3min vxx does suggest a bounce soon tho, for scalps too, but not just yet
143
adding 10% more vxx here to mid term swing position, 31.44
114
sco looks like it has more upside,,,i will prob take sco profits on the next 60min chart move higher,,,sco long = 2x oil short
109
spy or es short is setting up, no entry yet, for swing scalp combo,,, may need to wait until tuesday for an entry not today, unsure
1245
qqqq up 0.5%,,, utx down 1%,,, lots of opps in individ stocks, good for utx short
VXX vxx position is red here, still see higher vxx in coming weeks, this is a swing to hold, will add another 10% entry but no entry yet,,, currently vxx is a 30% position size,,,
10% entry but no entry yet,,, currently vxx is a 30% position size,,, vxx requires patience and wide stops
1206
if DOW moves over 11,800-900ish and then
below the 11,800,,, it could present a nice swing short entry for multiweek hold
1140
UTX has nice daily red candle, still swing short there, no profit taking yet
934 am
gm
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Thursday, January 13, 2011
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Thurs ramblings (and Wedn eve ES futures)
357
oil near lows of day...holding shorts still that were entered yest
342
interesting action here now on this pb
214
cl just made new low, new high of day sco :)
213
oil now back near low of day, still see lower lows before reversing from short to long oil
150
VXX buy signal at 81%,,,needs 85% to move, 3317 last
142
if AA doesnt move nearer to its low, or to a lower lo, i'll prob cover half around here 1571
141
aa hit 1581,,,or 2 cents under mental stop, and turned down :D
1:11
i'm covering half AA stop .87,,, mental stop .83
1239
qqqq is bullish over 5653 and 5640, but a decline to 5640 is likely to produce a bounce to a lower high, higher hi likely needs over 5650ish, break of 5640 should lead to the lower qqqq swing targets
1118
vxx broke .40 support and went down near yesterdays low,,, still see a rebound in vxx coming days weeks, tho RED now
1035
due to its ability to make nice intraday moves of 10-50 cents (even over $1),, today i'm scalping the vxx in additino to the swings
1030
adding vxx here 3350
1022
VXX 60min bull hammer
1019
sco now 1014, up from 997 entry :) up almost 4% since yest,,, USO puts should also be rocking now tho i didnt use optinos
1015
thus far the vxx pb has remained well above the .40 trgt,,,its consolod bullishly at .60 now,,,over .40 should have a run later to new highs :)
1012
utx continues its wild whipsaw action, typical of topping process, still short in utx
1007
VXX just hit the 3370 trgt, next trg are 3403, 3432 3485,,, stall pullbak here .70 would be normal
946
also still short qqqq from 5650 and that old 5588 entry, swings
945
still have the vxx new longs from yest, watching for upper targets for 10-20% move up, swing
623AM
NEWLY ENTERED OIL shorts from yesterday looking good, oil is currently down CL,,, unless it rallies then USO will get the expected gap down mentinoed yesterday
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
oil near lows of day...holding shorts still that were entered yest
342
interesting action here now on this pb
214
cl just made new low, new high of day sco :)
213
oil now back near low of day, still see lower lows before reversing from short to long oil
150
VXX buy signal at 81%,,,needs 85% to move, 3317 last
142
if AA doesnt move nearer to its low, or to a lower lo, i'll prob cover half around here 1571
141
aa hit 1581,,,or 2 cents under mental stop, and turned down :D
1:11
i'm covering half AA stop .87,,, mental stop .83
1239
qqqq is bullish over 5653 and 5640, but a decline to 5640 is likely to produce a bounce to a lower high, higher hi likely needs over 5650ish, break of 5640 should lead to the lower qqqq swing targets
1118
vxx broke .40 support and went down near yesterdays low,,, still see a rebound in vxx coming days weeks, tho RED now
1035
due to its ability to make nice intraday moves of 10-50 cents (even over $1),, today i'm scalping the vxx in additino to the swings
1030
adding vxx here 3350
1022
VXX 60min bull hammer
1019
sco now 1014, up from 997 entry :) up almost 4% since yest,,, USO puts should also be rocking now tho i didnt use optinos
1015
thus far the vxx pb has remained well above the .40 trgt,,,its consolod bullishly at .60 now,,,over .40 should have a run later to new highs :)
1012
utx continues its wild whipsaw action, typical of topping process, still short in utx
1007
VXX just hit the 3370 trgt, next trg are 3403, 3432 3485,,, stall pullbak here .70 would be normal
946
also still short qqqq from 5650 and that old 5588 entry, swings
945
still have the vxx new longs from yest, watching for upper targets for 10-20% move up, swing
623AM
NEWLY ENTERED OIL shorts from yesterday looking good, oil is currently down CL,,, unless it rallies then USO will get the expected gap down mentinoed yesterday
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Wednesday, January 12, 2011
Wedn ramblings (and Tues eve ES futures)
402
spy wicks down AH
342
3min vxx says higher vxx, last 3646a
332
vxx approaching next scalp trgt,,overshort the precvious trgt as expected
328
oil has a possible shooting star daily
323
AXP is pennies away from yesterdys low,,,if that breaks then another 20 cents down is trgt
315
vxx just hit the .60 trgt but i'm holding for posted higher targets :)
314
AXP, another new low of day :)
301
UTX 7944 short swing could work here, and add more at higher levels
254
newly entered qqqq shorts just hovering at breakevenish here
223
oil shorts, sco, have moved back to green from red b4,,still holding those,, been hovering near breakeven since entry today
222
axp has nearly filled its daily gap up, red candle
220
vxx may overshoot the .60 trgt for .70ish
208
still ahve same vxx targets
202
AXP,,,new low of day :)
131
but vxx moving up could prevent qqqq from making a higher intraday high, watching
129
5681 qqqq trgt if it decides to break higher,,,still like scaling into shorts, holding shorts for now
120
AXP 60min has a stoch dbl top plus a bear diverg
1259
another vxx buy alert,,this one has 3360 trgt to start ,, 3344 last
1218
taking second vxx position here 3340
1217
just got a qqqq sell alert 82%
1207
5630 QQQQ TRGT lower then stall
1148
typ at 2136
1147
usually this qqqq pattern will move down, then back up,,,shorting the first "down" which may be small, watching reactions n price
1146
5650 shorting qqqq here, half size, will add more if goes higher
1140
sco is 2 cents below new entry, slightly red now
1139
this second VXX entry is down below cost now ,, still holding, still see higher vxx,,,its v volatile with wild swings
1127
no qqqq short entry yet, but getting closer
1032
vxx buy alert 3392
1021
next trgt on vxx, i will lim 3570 vxx sell at swing target #1 if able, prob not today
1012
oil short via sco long could work here, 998 sco
1011
vxx day trgt 3480 first, last 3408
1007
buying VXX here 3411 for combo scalp swing
952
first utx price was 7994 when it opened then i raised it to 8007 for now,,, will reeval after i see how high it pushes here,,,missed 7994 trgt, hit 7990 so far and now 7974 last,, often the price will pop 10 cents over the even # like 80.00 and it was moving fast b4 so highered the lim order to short,,,but may need to short at lower levels
944
80.08 UTX changin lim order for now
941
i'll short UTX again 7994 lim if filled, may enter lower if needed
935
only prob on qqqq is gap was quickly filled this AM,,,gap theory suggests a lower daily low from 5629 when that happens,, i'll short the bounce, then maybe reverse long, waiting for bounce opp
933
poss re-entry for oil short CL entry today, waiting for opp
921am
GM
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
spy wicks down AH
342
3min vxx says higher vxx, last 3646a
332
vxx approaching next scalp trgt,,overshort the precvious trgt as expected
328
oil has a possible shooting star daily
323
AXP is pennies away from yesterdys low,,,if that breaks then another 20 cents down is trgt
315
vxx just hit the .60 trgt but i'm holding for posted higher targets :)
314
AXP, another new low of day :)
301
UTX 7944 short swing could work here, and add more at higher levels
254
newly entered qqqq shorts just hovering at breakevenish here
223
oil shorts, sco, have moved back to green from red b4,,still holding those,, been hovering near breakeven since entry today
222
axp has nearly filled its daily gap up, red candle
220
vxx may overshoot the .60 trgt for .70ish
208
still ahve same vxx targets
202
AXP,,,new low of day :)
131
but vxx moving up could prevent qqqq from making a higher intraday high, watching
129
5681 qqqq trgt if it decides to break higher,,,still like scaling into shorts, holding shorts for now
120
AXP 60min has a stoch dbl top plus a bear diverg
1259
another vxx buy alert,,this one has 3360 trgt to start ,, 3344 last
1218
taking second vxx position here 3340
1217
just got a qqqq sell alert 82%
1207
5630 QQQQ TRGT lower then stall
1148
typ at 2136
1147
usually this qqqq pattern will move down, then back up,,,shorting the first "down" which may be small, watching reactions n price
1146
5650 shorting qqqq here, half size, will add more if goes higher
1140
sco is 2 cents below new entry, slightly red now
1139
this second VXX entry is down below cost now ,, still holding, still see higher vxx,,,its v volatile with wild swings
1127
no qqqq short entry yet, but getting closer
1032
vxx buy alert 3392
1021
next trgt on vxx, i will lim 3570 vxx sell at swing target #1 if able, prob not today
1012
oil short via sco long could work here, 998 sco
1011
vxx day trgt 3480 first, last 3408
1007
buying VXX here 3411 for combo scalp swing
952
first utx price was 7994 when it opened then i raised it to 8007 for now,,, will reeval after i see how high it pushes here,,,missed 7994 trgt, hit 7990 so far and now 7974 last,, often the price will pop 10 cents over the even # like 80.00 and it was moving fast b4 so highered the lim order to short,,,but may need to short at lower levels
944
80.08 UTX changin lim order for now
941
i'll short UTX again 7994 lim if filled, may enter lower if needed
935
only prob on qqqq is gap was quickly filled this AM,,,gap theory suggests a lower daily low from 5629 when that happens,, i'll short the bounce, then maybe reverse long, waiting for bounce opp
933
poss re-entry for oil short CL entry today, waiting for opp
921am
GM
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
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