Monday, December 31, 2012

Monday thoughts

400
a small short position could work AH if ES gets 1425

353
slight overshoot on the 8800 upro trgt, will close this one out today, before 4pm
hoilding other swing positinos still

335
still think agq silver will hit 47 and 50

323
missed upro trgt by 12 cents, raising order to sell at 8900 instead of 8800 since it will often overshoot on near misses like that,,,will re-eval later if 8900 not not

301
Still have limit order to sell UPRO 8800, approaching target now


Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Monday, December 24, 2012

Mon thoughts

1255
hit 4489---holding sexond half until 1259pm or 10.14

1246
took profit on half nugt, about 1.5% gain, 2 hours

1243
4484 next gdx trgt

1240
or unless 10.14 limit order to sell is filled, tho prob wont make that high. on nugt

1240
hit .70 trgt, holding a bit longer on nugt until they drop their bids

1232
for NUGT:  44.70 gdx trgt if able

1136
Market makers invest banks are not buying the gdx nugt, but they raised their sell levels. watching to see if can scalp a lil piece here on this slow day


1130
 long NUGT

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Friday, December 21, 2012

Friday thoughts

359
out of AA which didnt give much. tho TZA and NUGT daytrades were ok for a slow day, about 2.5% gains for all three

354
i will close the AA trade b4 the close

331
hit 1425 trgt es, may try 1428

249
78% still long bias,same trgt

242
1427 MM sell level atm on ES

241
MM just dropped both bids and asks,,,watching reaction,,possible invalidation and break lowr

234
suggests 1425 and 28 if the 21 holds

232
ES 76% long rang, but unusual tight and signal only valid while ES over 1421...usually is wider looser than that

150
Long in AA

1242
decided to close nugt cuz was only a scalp. have the AGQ for swing and other positions swing.  going out for awhile, may scalp again later. todays closed scalp tza 13.76--13.92 and nugt 9.84--9.95,,,about 1% gain on each

1239
changed my mind, took profits on NUGT sclap

1236
so , i've set my lim order on scalp to just under the MM level for NUGT, if i did the calc conversion right from GDX to NUGT,,,may adjust it later LOL

1233
4503 and 4560 MM buy sell levels on GDX atm, intraday, they are somewhat near but not exactly at the 15min boll bands

1230
1014 nugt trgt for now, may exit b4 then, scalp...have the agq for swing

1202
watching next 5 candles on NUGT 3min chart

1154
long NUGT

1142
tza will prob hit other targets, but its only a scalp so decided to exit on 1392 trgt from 1476 entry this morn, primarily because ES is near support and not wanting to stick around to see if holds bounces or breaks

1138
13.92 tza trgt was just achieved, still waiting on 1400,,,,,14.12 trgt but will take 1400 exit

1134
74% rang es

1109
1392 wuold be easier exit, trying for 1400 for now,,one could choose to hold longer but for now just scalping this

1108
watching here on the tza scalp now, to take quick scalp profit, no exit yet but may come in next 1--9 min

1059
72% sell signal intraday rang on IWM. also, MM gentle sell interest here


1054
1 trgt  1400 tza

1053
bull harami on 15min but uncfonfirmed one

1052
tza trade partial rational: bought 2nd lower low on 3min chart, after it based a few candles and began move up

1046
tza long 13.76. scalping only for now in tza

1019
when NUGT or GDX pulls back on the 15min chart, and then moves sideways basing, may present an opp for new long

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Thursday, December 20, 2012

Thurs thoughts

355
going to close the tza scalp small gain,,have other positions swing already non-tza, didnt move much

302
71% short signal intraday rang, es  iwm,, es 1437.50 and tza 13.47

232
13.77 trgt 1 on tza

231
possible investment bank mini sell interest, is reason

230
bought tza 13.48

217
13.21 i'll buy tza if it hits there today, above 13.17

156
IF the IWM decides to push higher, it should set up a shortable bearish divergence on the 60 minute charts, one is currently in process of forming,,, timing analysis suggests that it could take 4-8 trading hours, but that time would be reduced if a large move was made today instead

127
there is HUGE volume in silver today SLV. perhaps capitulation, to be followed by higher. possible react same way as Nov. 2 high volume day

1030
i have no idea whats going on with silver, i'm red there now
,,,,but the same happened with my oil trade swing: went red first, then recovered

1028
: even 13.17, the first time will be a small profit,,,
that is, when iwm es gets to resist, it will pb, so can short it, but the first pb will likely be bought, so limited downside first time

10:28
tza may not get down to the buy level of  13.17, i might try tza higher, but for now, 13.17 is still the number

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Wednesday, December 19, 2012

Wedn thoughts

225
added more silver via AGQ

219
first trip to es 1425ish is likely to be bought if it gets there,last 1436

216
: need to be careful...see that bull flag on IWM 60min?  if it breaks higher, trgt approx 85.70, but willing to take tza earlier near IWM 85.20 since there is resist there too

206
IWM starting to become shortable for swings imo, just needs a little more time, still waiting for the setup to enter the first layer short

133
Silver may still drop another 1-2 % from here, but imo its attractive at these prices for swings
long using SLV or AGQ

114
maybe in 1 hour tza will be buyable intraday-- watch to see if it can put in some sideways candles on the 15min chart to stop the bleeding, and a move over those tight range 15min highs could give an entry,,or a buy near the 15min lows AFTER it has based sideways, for a trade to hold for minutes---hours

1247
85.20 IWM is about where i'm looking to short,

1247
also a pullback in oil on the 15min or 60min chart is buyable imo, depends on how long one wants to hold it, UCO or USO, may not get it today , might need to wait

1247
placed limit order to buy tza 13.17, after cancelling this morn to wait it out, may raise price later but for now remains 13.17

1101
uco stop 27.84 to protect gains, in case of sudden move down

1056
investment banks have not dropped the "buy level" yet on oil, if they do drop it, i'll exit sooner

1055
UCO order lim sell to take profit at 29.00 if able, will prob adjust it a bit later, dont usually hacve orders with .00  on them

1045
OIL is really moving here today :)

1041
but thats just me, i am only trading the extremes now on indices dow spx russell, and using commod oil gold silver tlt bonds treasuries and individ stocks ibm cat intc etc while not at extreme


1040
my silver got hammered yest but still see higher silver for swing, but not adding to it, not layering or averaging.  Oil however is doing well, holding that also for higher.  AGQ  UCO


1038
still waiting to see if tza wants 13.17 or not, may buy it there

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Tuesday, December 18, 2012

Tues thoughts

1257
: i just place an order on tza: below the market, limit 13.17, about 5% lower than here

1255
out of IBM, made a nice 2 day move, should still go higher but i dont want to watch it. will re-eval using these funds later, prob for something else not IBM

1250
Getting ready to exit longs in IBM, no exit yet but stop tightened. already out of TNA. silver took a dive but holding that one still. all swings

947
if one bought silver yesterday, could take half off here and keep half. AGQ up 1% atm, should see 51.50ish next

946
IBM is up this morning a bit more than spx dow, and ibm is testing resistance, which looks like it will break higher after consolod or pb first. i will hold the IBM, having already posted the exit in TNA

941
ES hit yesterday's posted targets in the overnight session. Intraday over 1424 ES would be bullish, under that could push prices lower, but any break under 1424 that comes after 11AM today is likely to be bought on the first break.

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Monday, December 17, 2012

Mon thoughts

400
ES just hit 1425.75 just under the 1426 secondary trgt
1431 looks poss now

359
i ythink silver moving up coming days, may have bottomed today on the 60min and daily charts

356
es testing the 12/3 daily high now

345
ES just hit its 1422 target posted 2 hours ago, 1426 next, tho its at scalp trgt right now, from the 72% long signal

237
TLT looks like it wants under 122 in the coming hours days

221
moving lower here but on lower vol,,,tricky
susceptible to rapid move back up

215
: if ES gets 1421, it might not go lower the rest of today

214
76%, 1422, 1426 t

204
4 minutes later, at 76%, 1422, 1426 t

200
1422 would be trgt 1

200
72% long bias rang on ES, intraday signal not swing, at 1418

119
1455, 1461 intraday resist tza

116
if silver moves today, may take half off and keep half for later

141
added silver long via AGQ

1226
ES just hit the 1422 target posted last week late, still looks higher, may get a pb first

1222
60 min charts for ES TF SPY IWM are now on buy dip long for next 2-16 hours

1145
spx daily still bullish for now.
1398 and 1410 are spx supports on daily. in order to convert to daily downtrend, 1410 at least must break with a close under it

1385 is another support under that,,then it could make a run for 1340,,,but needs to slice through those first imo

1142
IBM outperforming the dow right now, IBM up 1% vs dow up 0.6%

1139
IBM trying to break 193.50 resist, if it does the dow may follow, the dow jones indus is heavily weighted by IBM which is the most expensive dow compnon, ibm near 200 vs cvx near 100

1138
silver still buyable long swings imo, days weeks hold times, to actively trade in out, SLV or AGQ 2x

1119
  lim order filled, took profit for now, tna

1117
just noticed my lim order from friday for tna was missed by one penny LOL... high 5969, order at 5970

 tna should hit 60.12ish

955
same targets, same limit orders to sell position, for TNA and silver AGQ. For now, holding the oil UCO and IBMfor higher

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Friday, December 14, 2012

Friday thoughts

400
interesting that IBM made a high today over yesterdays high, tho it didnt hold the gain. dow which ibm is a compon of, did not make the high. dow is heavily weighted by ibm, currently IBM is the heaviest weighted component

350
Investment banks have parked prices of many stocks, and bonds, in no mans land, so one could just wait for extreme movement later and then take swing or scalp positions

349
not suggesting that i trade the news, just throwing out the data points

348
investment bank reports indicate that smart money took no positions today based on news, however a 3day analysis of activity is slightly bullish for stocks, and more bearish for treasuries, based on report data that i've collected

 market makers continue in trade mode, hedged both ways

340
and oil has moved up, but not reached trgt, so still holding that

340
if i didnt already have silver swing AGQ, i'd buy it here, but i will not add to it, not far enough away from my purchase price to make sense

slv and agq today are down a little, red candle, but very low volume on them after higher volume days before.

251
on these dull days, it's often beneficial to wait until 3:45--400pm to see what happens, and then sometimes a swing entry will reveal itself at the close, for swings not daytrades obviously

201
daily and 60min charts still in uptrend, no lower lows yet, though a possible lower high might be forming now

1245
oil just revisited its target for a second time, is likely on way to next higher target now

1219
watching to see if tna stays over 5870 on pb

1216
hit 5921. watching reaction. pb would be ok

1212
TNA 59.21 would probably give 74% , then TNA may hit its trgt posted 930am-ish

1207
72% signal starting to manifest a little here, watching what happens

1155
if AGQ silver stays over 50 for next 2 hours, i might add more

1154
IWM just rang 72% intraday up bias, possible pop higher, intraday signal only not swing signal
: at 8250 iwm, 1409 es
 its not at 74 or 78% tho

1147
60min and daily iwm are bullish still to me, those are what i use for swings

1135
spy down red 0.3% while IWM up green 0.2%, small but its there and maybe useful intraday

1108
oil is now at its first trgt, but not taking it off here, holding it (target posted 10:23 this morn)

1104
uy: fwiw, something is "not right" with spy and es levels, and market maker investment bank levels, they usually are better correlated than this, a bit unusual tho not unheard of.

often, that means a sudden move out of nowhere, intraday,

1055
silver may not make its move to its trgt today, might need to wait longer, looking at 15min 60min and daily charts on it

1052
es at resist now intraday mini 1412. may pb lower then revisit 1412 then break it for 1420 trgt. if it pulls back, i might add to TNA position, unsure. the "pullback setup" could take an hour or more to go lower first, then sideways, if it occurs. Alt is that it simply breaks over 1412 or below 1408 instead

1048
IWM a bit stronger than SPY this morn

1039
*1420 not 1416, typo
That was also the level posted yest before 1pm as a target, which was hit before.

1037
Market Maker / Investment Banks sell level intraday is currently at 1416 ES, which just happens to coincide with the 1:00 PM high from yesterday

1409 last es

1023
oil UCO looks good thought its susceptible to a move lower first, until it gets over 2670 ,,last 2640

953
AGQ lim order to sell at 52.70 for now, actively trading both the tna and agq,,,other stocks in port holding longer,,,AGQ moves with gold but not 1:1

949
TNA quick profit target is 59.70. Limit order to sell there.

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Thursday, December 13, 2012

thurs thoughts

345
 LOL the tna hit 5905 not 5907...close enough, overrode order and in at 5888

327
silver 60min chart has a triple bullish divergence, price:rsi, and double bull diverg price:macd

314
order to buy TNA if it tna hits 59.07 higher, swing, above the market

313
if es gets over 1422 i might buy tna,

310
 ES bearish while under 1422, last 1417, over 1422 bulls could push it higher,

304
silver agq is still near the price i bought it at. if it moves today i'll take profits and look to re-enter, else i'll just hold this overnight. willing to take a small profit today if it presents though, since i have other stocks in the swing port for longer hold periods/

1058
long agq 5080

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Wednesday, December 12, 2012

Wedn thoughts


9:37
Exited UPRO at breakeven, or for a few pennies loss, depending on the fill,
will re-eval later.

still have longs in IBM UCO oil AMD

Trades can be viewed at the links below.

http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1

For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Friday, December 7, 2012

Friday

356
will take small profit on AGQ silver b4 the 4pm. already closed positions in vse.

1103
AGQ trgt is 54.20. i will sell if it gets there.

1102
long silver AGQ again

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Thursday, December 6, 2012

Thurs thoughts

354
i will exit AXLN before the close, small profit. already exited it on vse.marketwatchl.com

150
ALXN lim sell 94.70 if able

1239
long alxn

1152
while away doing errands, AGQ shot up to 53.34, over the 53,17 trgt. Sold at 53.17. about 3% gain in 2 hours.

will look to possibly re-enter AGQ a third time (once today, once yesterday).


1006
AGQ has already rocketed nicely since purchase. already at 1.5% profit gain in 15 minutes. have an orfer to sell limit 53.17. will sell then look to buy again back. last 5247.

950
long AGQ again

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Wednesday, December 5, 2012

Wedn thoughts

319
took profit on silver AGQ

126
5270 first trgt agq. will sell there if able

106
long silver AGQ
took profit in tna

1002
bought TNA back


Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Tuesday, December 4, 2012

Tues thoughts

1032
bought TNA

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Monday, December 3, 2012

Monday thoughts

1113
got stopped out of UCO, took profits, and just bought back cheaper at 28.21 area, swing

1038
i put a stop on UCO 28.59 to protect profits on it

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".