Algo System Performance Results

Two Unique 100% algorithmic strategies that it took me three years to develop!

* Can be started with small accounts, as little as $1,000.

* Algo knows how to work in multiple markets: Bull, Bear, sideways, trendless.

* Consistent results since 2005, with no major “dips” in the account (see graphs below). Some strategies produce great returns, but if the trader starts the strategy during a “dip” period, their accounts will be wiped out before they can realize any gains.

* The system is run 100% algorithmically.  There is no reason for any human decisions, just buy when the algorithm triggers a buy, and sell when it triggers a sell. Simple. Protection from emotions, which often bankrupt traders.

Algo: Day Trades

 Algo: Swing Trades

* It’s very unusual for newsletters to publish a list of ALL trades for a given period, but I’ve attached such a list here. And not just for a “great” two month period, but since 2005!!!  Traders are bombarded with marketing offers, and they want hard, cold information like this to decide whether the strategy is appropriate for them. (Graphs and attached trade list assume a modest trade of 4 ES futures contracts, backtested from 2005 until 2014.)  The gains would be higher if they did not include commissions, but I’ve actually included them to give a more realistic return.  The attached results do not compound or re-invest (which could produce dramatically higher results).

Other features:

* Two strategies, one for day trading and one for swing trading.

* Swing trading is easy: trader can buy at either 4:00 P.M. or 9:30 A.M, whichever is more convenient for the trader. So they can set their trades the night before, say at 7:00 PM, and just leave for work the next morning. 5 minutes of their time is all that is needed. Trades are always entered and exited at 9:30 AM or 4:00 PM.  

* For traders that crave more trades, the day trading strategies provide this. ALL TRADES are closed before 4:00 PM when the market closes, which eliminates overnight risk.

* Strategy can be used with futures such as ES, or etfs like SPY, UPRO, SPXU, TNA, TZA.

* Strategy is easily scalable using futures. My examples use 4 contracts of ES to demonstrate how this can be used by the little guy, but traders can easily trade 5, 10, 20 or even more contracts when their accounts increase, thereby dramatically increasing profit potential.  

Here’s the TradeList, all 9,436 of them (displays a PDF file inside browser).   

https://drive.google.com/folderview?id=0B4pQnMHUSMCNR29jNlRjeXdUOHFQMGhXNXNsTnUxQQ&usp=sharing

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

wedn

took advantage of the 9% surge today in jnug to exit and lock 26% gains. still holding the gdx nugt for multiweeks longer, but out of jnug for now. will see what gold and gdx do from 2pm--4pm today,,,may get volatile

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

tues

333
 30.20 JNUG i'll sell some, half only, if it gets there

259pm
well i'm out of the TZA for now, taking advantage of this pop to exit, swing, and continue to concentrate in the jnug gdx nugt gld slv areas. and might take half of JNUG off today if it surges some more in next hour

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

thurs

940
i took gains on jnug  second half. 22% gain in 3 days. still holding the nugt gdx though, for higher

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

wedn

323
at 23.71 jnug,here, i took gains on half jnug...still hoding all the nugt gdx for higher, and half jnugand will re-buy jnug maybe later

320
24.88 GDX is Inv Bank sell level, watching to see if it can get there

319
gdx now at prev posted target 1:  23.75 jnug, gdx 24.63

1147
possible surge in coming hours days to new daily highs, as gdx goes for 24.67 and 25.30, likely areas to take gains on JNUG

i will also be watching to see whereGDX is at, if gold can retest 1285 gold futures GC. then 1305 area

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

monday

1139
took small DUST gain. in JDUST now, quick trade

1038
took a DUST daytrade but still see higher gdx nugt in swing timeframes

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

thurs

344
gold still has awhile to go to fill its gap. gld. which wmay be good for gdx nugt

333
still see GDX to 40-50 in time, weeks months not days, so will hold the nugt gdx for 300 or 400% targets

332
but for the short term trade, its enough for me.  out JNUG 23.47, from 15.40
for a 52% gain

250
SPX ES SPY "look like" they want to try a little bounce here beffore 4pm, maybe only 2 pts ES, but imo its too risky long. so trying the GS, which is much safer intraday, and if SPY decides to bounce, GS should too. If spy crashes, GS should react less harshly given the daily relative strength

247
when i saw GS, i then checked 3x FAS but didn't like the chart as much, so simply buy more shares in GS to mimic the 3x.

242
bought GS long for trade into the close.

it wont move crazy wild like uvxy or tza tna nugt, but GS is actually GREEN today, near flat from test but green

201
UVXY 34.01: taking half off at 8% gain in 3 hours.

1053
still have jnug from 15.40, continue to trail the stop, didnt buy at bottom but its up now 41%

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

wedn

1206
 IDEA: buy uvxy here 31.10, and sell at 3:55pm today

the strategy has a 60% win rate, so it does take losses. but yearly ROI on this is about 204%
so, if one doesnt like to take losses, this is not the strategy for them. but the gains are greater than losses, on a yearly basis

1133
i've tightened stops on jnug as it approaches prev posted 1940 trgt...or 26% gain from 15.40 entry...didnt enter at bottom but will take the 26% min gain.  GDX NUGT multiweek holding for 40-50 GDX

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

1004
it's been awhile, i dont trade it a lot, only at spx extremes, but i'm now in VXX long, swing

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

monday

144
long jnug 16.56

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Firday

341
23.41: MM buying this atm GDX

337
my data says that tho GDX had red daily candle yest and today (today smaller thus far), this is why:  MM were buying, then selling, then buying lower. BUT the total amount bought was always higher than amt sold, thus they have a net accum for the day

they do that for 2 reasons: to make money profits on 5 cents at a time, and to keep price down as they just keep buying back what they just sold

334
he last 5min candle in gdx was MM accum not selling

332
23.40 gdx is an old inv bank buy level

318
no signif accum or distrib by MM in GDX right now, will see if that changes by 4pm

1219
MM are buying GDX in the background here at 23.43...it could drop more but they are accum

1141
4pm sys is still on hold shorts, because of late day bounce yest it did not trigger "take short gains and reverse long". still short for now

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

thurs

338
gold futures have moved up to test 15min resist, next is 60min resist higher test if it breaks this

240
gold broke 5min resist, now looking for tst of 15min resist higher

228
MM aer buying a lil more gdx here as gold tests 5min resist. not buying a lot, but some

210
MM are buying GDX again. i know there has not been much movement, just posting the data updates, so later u can see how the accumulation was done

124
price drifded a bit lower, but MM buying again here 23.57 gdx. may be a nice bounce in coming hours days, as they are accum

1237
MM buying again here at gdx 23.63 now

1138
MM are buying GDX nugt here at gdx 23.62

1057
just bought JNUG long, to sell in hours or days

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Friday

308
Ah...a few minutes later, there it goes...1970 to 1950 drop on JNUG...means nothing imo for swings, but useful for the daytrades :)

302
still have not seen any reaction, but ATM theres a lot of sell pressure on GDX. watching to see, as below  post

'253
some MM are postitinoed to sell GDX right here 24.34, higher than normal. will see if it holds over the 24.25 and 24.10 areas despite the sell pressure, which has not triggered anything, yet. will also see if they change their mind and exit the sell stance. intraday info only,


213
4pm system swing is holding SPXU (short of spx) from 54.40, will hold over weekend

152
at 1:15, the 15min chart bull flag broke higher on GC gold futures, now a small backtest expected, then to test 1305, then break over 1305, last 1302

151
scalp trgt here. 1971 jnug
it should pullback a bit here on jnug, give anothe opp for scalp long later

1202
GDX 24.12 is another buy area, MM not Inv Bank

1201
if JNUG drops lower, its likely to return to this level, the MM and Inv Bank levels are almost always revisited. scale in, layer price levels

conversely, it can pop higher at the buy level, to 1980 resist, and 20.00 break higher

1158
1948 scalp jnug here could work
MM buy level

1149
USLV position is also up 8% today from yest,silver

1145
just now, took at quick 8% gain, SOLD HALF the JNUG at 1970, and will look to buy it back lower. keeping other half jnug, and all the nugt gdx

113
up 8.5% now jnug in one day since yest, trgt 2 is 23.80, last 19.70, for a 30%ish gain if trgt 2 hit. NUGT targets swing even higher, tho multi week hold. JNUG i might trade in and out before the 30% trgt, but holding for now. watching to see what it does today thru the day, and watching gold as it tests yet AGAIN the 1300 area. if gold can stay over 1300 for 3 days, NUGT JNUG may surge 30%

1025
JNUG up 4% from test when it was bought, but i'm holding it for much higher targets, swing 2-10 days.

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

thurs

357
bought JNUG swing here near close. 1796
looks like Inv Banks were buying GDX thru the day despite its decline today, and Barrick Golds horrificness

Trades can be viewed at the links below.

http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-100k-port/portfolio/Holdings 

http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings

http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1

For details on the portfolio see this posting:

http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

tues

359
i'm adding some USLV here, at close, for swing. for higher silver 3x

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

friday

358
GDX now just 2 cents from its second trgt for today, posted this morn. hit first already

354
NO LONG ENTRY on 4pm sys for dia or spx.

352
gain  8% just on scalp piece of jnug. holding the rest swing

232
i'm going to buy some UDOW swing today, if 4pm sys says exit shorts and buy long. using the DOW instead of sp500. the dow did not break its march lows, like ths sox did

224
4pm sys is going to give a "take gains on shorts, and go long, today if it closes here or lower...idk about this next "long" but thats what it will do

216
at trgt 1 of 24.27 gdx posted b4, or 4% jnug, scalp

213
took gains on half gdx scalp, saving the swings of course, if using jnug scalp, its at 3% gain from entry today

206
24.27 and 24.44 gdx scalp trgts. last 24.15

1256
24.23--24.27 scalp trgt on gdx, will take gains there for scalp piece, holding jnug for over todays highs

1033
i'd like to see gdx nugt jnug close over yesterdays highs

1028
JNUG bought yest is up 8.5% but i'm just holding it for higher targets. may sell later today, or may hold over weekend. the nugt and gdx i will def hold

gold futures are up $1500 per contract

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

thurs

358
gold futures breaking resist in final trading minutes, 60min chart

313
JNUG could fall lower, but i like that gold made a new low early in day but quickly reversed higher, and that may carryover to higher gold in coming hours days

312
i'm adding JNUG here, bought it today for lower than sold for yesterday, swing
if gold goes toward 1300 (just a resist test) then JNUG could surge 10% fast

258
just now, 74% buy signal rang on GC gold futures, intraday signal not swing signal

254
GDX hit 23.90 buy area but i'm not adding any here, since bought a lil earlier today
23.87 was an Inv Bank buy area


238
so far i'm liking the gold chart todays action, and may add to existing swings in GDX NUGT JNUG

213
if gold gets back to 1300 today, will be a nice

209
back long GC gold 1291.5. should break 1292


202
took gains on gold futures. holding gdx

124
15min gold GLD and futures GC look like they are breakable higher on the resist test. also notice the triangle on the 5 and 15 MA on the 15min chart

119
GC gold now testing  15min resist, watching to see if it holds or breaks higher

1240
also trading the gold futures gc, same entries as gdx

1239
2420 first trgt gds. will see reaction there and may hold longer or take daytrade gain there.

1233
long GDX daytrade here.

1223
cancelled gdx buy order for now. will reveal later

1130
i might not get a fill on the limit order, but right now i'm only interested in buying the second low, or shorting the second high, using the 5 min chart. sometimes the trade doesn't get initiated, but its a safer, lower risk strategy for day trades.

1126
i have a limit order to buy GDX for daytrade at 23.90, last 24.06, may change the order in coming minutes hours. good today only.

one could also use NUGT or JNUG 3x instead of 1x gdx, but I prefer gdx because of better fills this time of day.

1006
lots of volatail in gold and gold futures GC this morn, and could be a significant turning point, depending on what it does next few hours

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

wedn

200
JNUG has nicely exceeded the prev posted trgt of 20.24, last 20.45

1218
* decided to take half of JNUG off here to protect gains, still holding the rest, as well as nugt gdx swings,for higher

 GOLD is flashing an intraday sell signal, so took some jnug off

1217
still holding for jnug daily stretch trot
jnug GDX is on a ramp today, jnug up 6% from yesterday

1117
JNUG 20.24 trgt. have an order to sell there to take profits, last 19.14. good today only, if it does not get up there today, then may raise the target higher.

Inv Bank first sell level is near there

still holding NUGT GDX swings for higher, even if profits are taken today in JNUG. the jnug target is about 6% higher from current price, and 26% higher than 16.00 level

1000
jung got a nice bounce here!

gold looks weak here still on hourly daily, although GDX has done well last 2 days. however if gold reverses higher instead of testing 1276 lower, then that could cause a parabolic move up in the miners gdx nugt

939

not much new, i'm holding the JNUG NUGT from few days ago for higher prices, swing, it's in profit zone now but imo has a lot of upside

if jnug tests prior highs from march, that would be about double, move 100%ish,

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

thurs

249
i'll maybe buy more JNUG if gold higts 1296.20 in coming minutes

248
jnug could also easily double in value, and still be well below march 14 high, even accounting for decay

247
jnug could easily bounce 35%, and that would only be a test of april 9 high

218
GOLD 5min futures chart has inv HS on RSI: watching to see if it bounces

1136
GM all. added JNUG here. swing, at 18.00

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

friday

1267
Thus far, daily gold is doing well, not surging,but consolod, holding up well

952
there it goes. took 2% gain in 2 minutes on half JNUG :)
holding other half

951
GDX was testing its opening high, after 15min of trading, why i bought the JNUG....that normally results in a higher hi intraday, good for scalp

948
just bought long JNUG....will quick trade that in addition to nugt

946
HOLDING the nugt gdx quick swing that i bought yesterday

944
exited oil SCO for small gain...i dont know which way its going, swing, not liking the conosolod here, so i'm out. will re-eval later.

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

thurs

313
GDX is approaching next buy level, but i'm not adding to it now...maybe later or at 4pm or in coming days...half size position is enough

235
next buy area in gdx nugt is gdx 24.40 area if it decides on lower not higher, tho it could bounce instead as a result of golds strength today GLD /GC

233
high vol 5 min red candle in oil...watching to see if it retests lows, and if those lows hold or not...if they do hold then i might do an early exit on the shorts entered earlier today near highs, to lock gains profits...will see what it does....i dont reallly want to be short oil if it stays sideways on 60min cuz then its prone to break higher, since 60m trend is up and this is countertrend short


229
GDX has declined today from its gap up, BUT gold remains green and bullish

225
 oi may want to test 103/102.85 area...there are more wicks to the lows than the highs, on 60 min chart

134
NUGT GDX quick trade: At 24.70 GDX, Added buy #2 of 4 here of NUGT, still valid imo to hold overnight for quick swing

scaling in per plan, and both buys/buy backs were less than what we sold it for this morning pre-market

336
i will hold both the SCO oil and GDX NUGT overnight, not selling today

1131
boought back NUGT GDX again here at gdx 24.93...but scaling in this time...buy 1 of poss 4,,, quick trade

60 min gold chart: bull flag: and looks like 15min resist wants to break higher in gold...note that its near resist now, so a pb and lower first would be ok...but i want "some" shares to participate in the 60min and daily bullish patterns

1125
tightened stop on msft...maybe out of MSFT for now....wil re-eval laster...was only suppoaws to be quick trade, so out in 1 day frim short yesterday

1035
long SCO,

1012
oil could make a nice quick trade entry today, long or short depending on where it goes: wait for the extreme, and fade it (buy  low, sell high, but not here, at extremes...easiest way to trade oil imo

we have a daily doji on the oil futures, aka indecision, aka could go either way

1009
look at silver daily: it's lagging GOLD, since gold is already over its april 4 high. but if silver breaks out and catches up, remember that silver is generally more volatile than gold, moves faster when it goes

i remain long silver xlv uslv, and may add to it for a quick trade later today

1002
MSFT short will not move like nugt of course, modest targets, but MSF starting to kick in now lower
USLV is up over 4% today from yest
also looking at possible new trades: shorts in oil, longs in REN, maybe more silver as it may break the rectangle, re-entry into quick swings in gold vdx nugt


742
premarket here, ..i took the 13% gain on nugt hold for 2 days ago....on quick trade piece. still holding multiweek nugt and GDX for GDX 45+

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

thurs

742
premarket here, ..i took the 13% gain on nugt hold for 2 days ago....on quick trade piece. still holding multiweek nugt and GDX for GDX 45+

Trades can be viewed at the links below.

http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-100k-port/portfolio/Holdings 

http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings

http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1

For details on the portfolio see this posting:

http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

wedn

400
MSFT short trgt 1 = 38.60

358
for swing longs on 4pm sys: signal is to exit here, today, take long gains, move to cash no long no short

340
still think nugt headed to 45.0 near term, at 41.00 now

324
Investment Bank reports suggest they have sold shorted MSFT...will see what it does in coming hours days

310
watching 25.17 GDX: if it gets over that, another run for the highs likely...last 24.99

236
GDX hit a few pennies above 25.30 trgt, and has now pulled back...normal behavior

226
25.74 GDX would be next trgt after 2530...almost there now at 25.20 last

225
4pm sys on spx is take gains today on longs, move to cash, flat, no long, no short...if its near this level at 4pm

223
i will hold even if gdx gets 25.30 trgt, since thats only trgt #1.... last 25.09 gdx

221
HUGE green candles on NUGT 15min and 5min charts as it breaks resis and surges higher...still holding this... i will hold overnight since theres still a lot more room higher, and this surge is bullish for coming hours days

204
GDX nugt trgt at gdx 25.30

201
WOW the nugt just woke up, 5min chart, new highs...watching reaction as gold dipped also but then a quick pop...choppy

200
MSFT 15min chart has a big red candle and then a bumch of small green ones...its often a bearish setup, so trying this lil short

157
SHORTED, quick trade, MSFT 40.20

140
exited gdx scalps here, small gain, not sure which way its going. i still have the NUGT re-entry bought this morn and will hold THAT overnight

1219
gold futures GC 15min chart , rsi(14), the rsi has a bull ing HS and dbl bottom pattern...for a run back to 1308/1311, which could push nugt up several percent points

1215
daytading gdx nugt here could work, gdx 24.59, as gold is back at 1305

1056
GOLD just broke 15min resist over 1305. watching reaction. but gold is holding up well given that it gapped down this morning

there are going to be some trapped shorts here now....why we exited early this morn on counter-trade dust

1006
went LONG in NUGT 38.70, swing
nugt could drop, but its ok imo....i'm already buying it back lower than i sold it for the other day, and also the quick short via DUST netted a gain, so some down in nugt would be ok.... looking for nice gains again in nugt swing

900
btw, gold futures actually rose last nite to test 1314, befor this big drop in gold this morn.... rose on decent vol for night trading...tho of course the morn drop vol is higher....


857
maybe later today....long or shorts in gdx will give an opp, swing
see how gold reacts, and gdx, in first hour-2 hrs of today at least imo

 initially, scalpers would short bounces, but for fast trades not swings...then see if it gives a long or short swing opp later after the dust settles haha

850
i want to give GOLD some time to settle, to see if gold futures can stay over 1300. if gold can stay over it, that would be bullish tho it def looks breakable lower with the big red candle this morn in gold futures. but i'm out of the quick trades in gold shorts dust from test

848
pre-market, i just took gains on DUST i bought yesterday. it may well go higher, but it was only supposed to be a quick trade, so i'm out

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

tues

352
GOLD now testing its daily lows...see lower gold coming hours, futures GC
its bearish to close on or near support

343
out 40.45 nugt, 24.91 gdx, as the MM sellers showed up

343
i'm out of NUGT mid term swing. and might hold some DUST overnight
still see higher gdx, but pullback possible so fading that. gold still looks like it needs to move lower then higher

306
just now, intraday sellers showed up on gdx .84, watching to see if they stay or leave

133
moved down a bit due to sellers here, gdx...again modest quick trade targets

131
a few sellers just showed up at 24.70 GDX,,,watching to see what they do here

131
BUT GDX is consolod on 15min chart and could break higher...glad that this is second short today not first, and took gains on first short b4 they disappeared...still see higher gdx for swings tho

113
also look at the shoot stars...several of them...on gold futures, 15min chart


109
for short term, the way that gdx and gold CLOSE today at 4pm may be very important for short term swings. if it closes "good" without a selloff, esp in gold, then i might add to existing gdx nugt gld slv uslv positions

right now, gold is behaving bullishly, altho it looks like it might crack lower before 4pm...so "how much" it goes lower (if at all) is impt. will it close bullishly, or "slip" with a selloff?

100
0vernight volume patterns in gold futures GC show some "churn" 2AM green candles and the  8AM/9AM red candles....because of the red candles, they usually will retest lower....withouth the red candles i wouldnt have scalped

also the 5 min and 15min gold charts are in small downtrends, tho they are trying to bounce and base atm

1248
im short there also but not likely to hold overnight, as long as gold is over 1300. last 1309 gold...if gold stays over 1300 on 60m daily charts, then the 60min is consolodiating imo for higher gold

1157
SHORTED again, another quickie

1145
OUT shortt for quick scalp gain...cash now for scalps, GDX DUST

GDX could drop a lot more, but the trade was only supposed to be quick , so out for now
so out for now before profits disappear during intraday moves

1136
gold is now testing 15min and 60min support, looks breakable lower, only a modest decline, to cover shorts and maybe reverse long for an overnight hold

1123
gold looks a little lower intraday. shorted GDX, quick trade only

957
out of JNUG for quick 7% gain from entry yest postied. could go higher but its just a quick swing. stilll have NUGT GDX multiweek trades,holding those for higher.

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

252
.in for quick trade long  SLV silver, could also do 3x

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

friday

"gift pricing" imo on gdx nugt jnug

341
340
also, even the small MM have their GDX sell levels set on gdx 24.72, near/above todayas highs...which is much wider spread than normal for them. the Inv Banks sell level gdx is 25.20 and 27

338
gold could drop again on daily but it looks much better now than last 5 days. which is why i decided to "wait" until buying jnug until today

330
bought some jnug here, swing, 2201

1249
gold chart GLD, 15min chart has bull flag consoled

1248
hi, SPY is forming a bear "key reversal day" candle: higher high and lower low, on daily chart

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Friday

359
out dust 24.24

GDX almost always does this crazy high vol in last 15min or 1 min of day, as we talked about earlier today...of course most stocks do this, but it's exaggerated in GDX

333
 the GDX daily chart looks good, BUT the GLD chart does NOT look as good, so for swings i'm keeping the existing NUGT GDX holds, but i'm not adding back any of the JNUG that i took gains on earlier today, because GLD chart is iffy

320
wtach gold testing 15min supp now

246
MM gold now moved to sidelines...watching intraday still

244
gdx moved a bit lower in response to MM pressure..they've relieved it some...alll intraday stuff doesnt matter for swing

but helpful applic for scalps

241
MM just positioned to sell gold gdx: watching reaction
24.27 gdx

200
BELOW the mkt at gdx 24.24 i'll add shorts....last 24.29....quick trade only, still see higher GDX NUGT for mid term swings

157
GLD 15min chart still suggests gold needs a small pb lower

1235
got a lil DUST. scalp only not swing. 24.36

1202
5min gold futures stil dropping. when the 5min chart bounces, i might place an order to buy under the bounce on pb...but waiting for the "down" to finish first

1033
: JNUG from yest: because i have lots of nugt gdx, i've take gains on jnug and will buy back on a pb on 5 or 15min chart if we get one

1029
and gold is STILL susceptible to a pullback despite its bullish intraday look here...gold FUTURES   had a few quick nasty intraday moves down in the last 20 hours, and those often retest with higher lows and lower vol...

1026
and watch gold in addition to gdx

1026
mid term swings:  if GDX can hold on here, it could really go....the 60min candles on gdx are big (i.e. impulsive), not small trickle higher, thus far....so if we get 2-4 big candles, then sideways, it would be a bull formation, and that would push the 60m stoch up over 80, and watch to see if it can "ride" over 80 for over 6 hours...if so then the formation is likely bullish and a "set tighter stop to protect gains" as well as "buy dips if they present and are small/medium not big dips"

1017
nonetheless, GDX GLD have a lot of work to do on the shorter term 60min...60min chart still in downtrend that must be broken higher

1015

GC gold needs to get daily closes over 1310 in next 3 days...if it does then a bull flag should be forming on daily chart, and gold will "regain" its 200MA, which is marginally pierved lower atm...under the 200 isnt horrible as long as it doesnt stay there...the 50 MA is above the 200 on GC and if it starts to move sideways then a moving average ascending triagle will form

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

thurs

2:35
4pm sys: suggesting an early EXIT SHORTS now SPX SPY spxu
THAT one was not very profitable on 4pm sys, but better than loss
so, CASH on 4pm sys, no long no short

took 20% gain on NUGT quick trade 2-3 days hold. out for now. still holding multi month GDX tho for 40.00ish

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

wedn

920
ES trading about 8 points lower. gap down in SPY today was expected.
also, gold is trading +18 higher, also expected, GLD gap UP this morn, good also for NUGT GDX GLD

this is what i posted yesterday:

it would be "better" if 4pm sys does NOT give an exit today, and if SPY closes right on support 187.00ish it could be bearish and gap down in the morning.

if its a big red daily candle, and that candle closes near a support level, its easy to break support and continue lower via a gap down. closing on support on a big red candle is potentially very bearish, swing perspective

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

tues

331
GLD GDX swings: i dont know if they are going higher or lower in next few hours, but imo if they go lower, it will bounce back near here, and i'd be a buyer lower to add to existing postion. if it goes higher, then we have some shares in the position now in order to participate in case it just goes higher and  does not go lower

323
it would be "better" if 4pm sys does NOT give an exit today, and if SPY closes right on support 187.00ish it could be bearish and gap down in the morning.

if its a big red daily candle, and that candle closes near a support level, its easy to break support and continue lower via a gap down. closing on support on a big red candle is potentially very bearish, swing perspective

259
NICE moves in SCO also, last 2 days

253
notice the small pop in NUGT, after the GLD "foreshadowed" warned of it 30 min earlier
next: we need to see if it sustains, or if its false, on both gld and gdx
MM sell level is 26.16 on gdx...inv bank is at 27.01 sell

235
Analysis could be "wrong" for sure, but IN GENERAL, retail shorts (or sells) "too early"...the daily GLD is tempting to "short" near resist here, but imo its too early and gld wil go higher, test the resist, and maybe even break it another 2-3% higher, or 8% on gdx

so trading GLD UGL SLV USLV GDX NUGT

224
god breaking higher here now as expected, watching to see if it follows thru....and watching if gdx nugt follow higher after god physical

218
15min gold chart: poss break higher, over 15m resist

217
just bought half size position at 26.01 gdx, may add more later

215
if the GOLD chart gc gld remains like this on 15 and 60min charts, i'm going to buy back the NUGT that i sold this morn near highs, for cheaper. swing.

1029
took gains on NUGT bought yest. still holding multiweek GDX swing, diff trades. will re-eval buying nugt again later. unknown if its going higher or lower in next few hours, so on sidelines on the quicktrade from test

4pm swing system remains on "hold shorts SPX"

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Monday

350
holding al the nugt overnigth...1% gain not enough to justify taking half off

1248
doubled nugt quick trade here, may sell half of it today, and keep half for longer. this is diff than the gdx multimonth hold, separate trades

1022
NUGT already up 1% since entry today

1020
stopped out sco. took gains. will re-eval buy back later
]
1020
stop on SCO 29.13 to protect gains on oil. will rebuy sco later if stopped out,

1015
: bought back NUGT again long here. gold may break resist on 60min charts. testing it now

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

fri

1117
USO oil might be forming a very volatile megaphone top, look at daily chart from  Feb 18 and notice that higher high AND lower lows are developing...its a very choppy formation if it does form

1030
shorted oil here. quick trade. 102.47

936
i might take a daytrade later in gold slv gdx or nugt, but waiting for now...massive high volume red down candle on gold, so want to give this time to settle. even a short might work instead of long. watching for now

volume in gold futures GC is already almost as much as total daily volume yesterday, and its only been an hour

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

thurs

1008
nugt..marginal break higher, watching if it follows thru or not :)

959
BACK in NUGT here, quick swing
i'll add more if it goes lower, but looks like this may break higher: 60min candle

954
GDX testing highs, trying to break multiday resist...watching if it gives a pb or not...will add on pb, and may add "up here", buy back stuff sold test

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

wedn

350
oil uso is closing right at the "close here bearish" target posted test

218
just sold half of eco, keeping half
if oil puts in 2 more red day candles, then 'wee' :)

202
might buy back nugt again

201
i just took gains on NUGT quick swing, near high of day here

gold is giving a poss intraday warning, may start selling on gold
still see higher for multi week gdx holds, but out of quick swing nugt for now, and holding the gdx multi week. 2 diff trades

157
sco uso are getting to "nice to close the day near here" target

1257
GDX still acting well. notice it bounced after 5min chart pb
i'm still holding it

1219
oil testing lows of day, minor break lower but watching if it bounces or goes lower, imo lower for swings, even if it bounces

1128
gold gld is now testing 60min resist..watching reaction. it still looks breakable higher

1055
if uso oil closes near 36.20 today (it may not as its still further lower) then it might gap lower tomorrow. and sco gap up. a close on support, on a down day, makes a gap lower poss on next day. uso 36.20/36.30 area is daily support level

1023
GDX is at 26.40 right now....this # has been a popular midpoint stalling on both up and down in gdx for quite some time now

still holding nugt from test, up 3%

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

202
gold is giving a poss intraday warning, may start selling on gold
still see higher for multi week gdx holds, but out of quick swing nugt for now, and holding the gdx multi week. 2 diff trades

tues

152
 there it goes...look at gold gld
watching to see if it is false break or not

151
78% intraday alert just fired intraday on long gold gld
its testing resist now on gold, so may pb....but alert suggests it could just break higher

127
look at GLD 60 min chart, it looks like it may try to break resist higher and fill gap

gld gapped down, but no follow thru intraday lower, and is testing the 60min resist now

120
just bought nugt, i'll put a stop on whatever nugt is at if we get a daily CLOSE (not intraday) under GDX 25.40

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

tues thoughts

400
remember: "overbought" does not always mean lower, sometimes it means sideways

356
fortunately today, GOLD gave a warning before gdx fell hard, and was able to exit and take some gains on the warning

354
glad took gains on the quick swing gdx nugt...its going to be impt to see if it moves sideways or lower in coming hours days. im on the sidelines on the quick swings on gdx, both long and short r tricky here imo, but multimonths i see higher vdx

328
note that financials weaker than spx. xlf vs spy, as was the case last week and for awhile

322
i bought a half size position of SRS etf

317
gold looking tired. protecting profits and taking some gdx off here. 60min charts

i still have multiweeks month hold on gdx nugt tho, 2 separate trades

202
OIL is creeping higher here but imo still goes lower for swing. notice the volume on the 60min chart of USO

high vol red candle, low col green candles

1248
GDX just marginally broke  resist...watching to see if it gets follow thru intraday higher

1209
silver shoudl test higher 22.75/23.20
: gold should test 1360

951
uso to fill gap lower on daily/60m chart, another trgt, about 1% lower uso, 2% higher eco approx

but i'll hold oil shorts for now 

946
oils. that first trgt would boost sco about another 3% higher in gains from here, approx

943

still short oil via longs in sco. watching to see what oil does if it gets to 99.80 area, target ...will it hold or break support lower....will hold or close accordingly

938
4pm sys still on hold shorts, this one may take a loss, we will see

937
GM all...taking gains on UNG shorts, double sized position

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

fri

256
 took gains on half the gdx nugt scalp that bought earlier today. holding other half overbite

223
look at gold gld: it has already broken OVER its prev 60min highs...breaking right now

219
UNG may try for new highs 28.20 and 28.68...before lower...i'm not adding anything to UNG tho

210
it needs more time, but notice the bull triangle forming on the lines of the 20 and 50 mov avg on 60min chart...rising 50ma and flat 20ma

its beginning to look like gdx will see over 27 before 25, if this continues...will be watcing the action

27.30 is inv level sell for GDX, last 26.60

118
GDX hsa broken above 15min chart resist as expected, going for test of 2685

1208
scalping GDX again here....in addition to multi week swing

initial trgt on scalp: 1.5%ish gdx, or 4%ish nugt
trgt 2 is 4% gdx gain, 12% nugt

the multi week hold has much higher targets of course, over 50%

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

thurs

348
GDX: recovered all of yest losses, and on to new daily high just now

324
someone bought USO, but AFTER the earlier vol on CL futures...still see lower USO OIL for swings tho, and i remain in SCO

323
USO 5min volume: they may close oil higher at 103

230
vol on UNG 5min chart picking up

151
oil is now testing 60m support, still see lower oil,swing

1012
: just doubled swing position in short oil via SCO
it's also scalpable, daytrade or quicktrade with poss hold overbite

1011
just doubled swing position in short oil via SCO

1004
FAZ swing is doing nice now

1000
For swings, gdx is acting bullishly at least right now. notice how the 60min chart is beginning to get oversold, but the price on the daily doesnt have severe damage

gdx is acting like roadmap posted test, but still needs a few more hours to see if it wants another try for lower or not

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

wedn

358
4pm sys update
SPY is "almost there"...may see a decent move lower in coming day(s)

322
UNG: look at Feb 4 candle, then todays candle. then look at feb 5 candle

216
FAZ swing is green but not at target yet, still holding it

311
GDX..imo tomorrow may be a "BUY MORE" day gdx, nugt, depending on chart...

309
SPX SPY 4pm sys update: will update again at 3:55pm, but right now, 4pm sys is approaching a change to "exit long and go short" BUT HAS NOT SIGNALED YET, and its not even "almost there", its at about 60%, when it gets to 80% then it will be "almost there".... just mentioning here as an update, and a reminder that the biggest move often comes right after the "almost there"....often thats where most of the profit gain comes from...


304
took small gain on half the scalp from earlier today, KOLD
could go lower into close, but not risking it,,,it also went higher than expected, so being cautious
STILL SWING SHORT the UNG tho, the kold was just a scalp\

i've doubled my UNG short position, swing, today

258
UNG: last time RSI was under 30 on the small timeframe 5 min chart was feb 14, thats kinda long for the 5 min....not talking about the 60min

254
stat: the last 5min candle on UNG was the highest volume 5 min candle since feb 11

205
gdx will be interesting to see what it does in next 2-12 daytime trading hours daytime. the 60min is starting to get oversold, but it has not dropped much on the daily, which would be bullish for swings...of course it could drop in the remaining time

155
today we have seen "more than normal" volatility on eS....not a steady drip up....we may see a larger than usual move in the 200-300 timeframe today

GDX has been in range last few days 26.00--26.67, testing near 26.00 now...watching to see if it stays in range or breaks

scalping KOLD now , short nat gas

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

tues

309
took scalp gains on half scalp nugt (scalp not swing, holding swing piece)

247
GDX NUGT scalp giving us the breakout here, tightening stops, stretch trgt vdx 26.97

102
gdx nugt scalp could work here

slv making new intraday highs

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Friday

345
big bearish reversal on UNG today after hitting a high early in day, on v low vol, now red and dropped 3%

120
realllllllyyyyy low vol on ung today  compared to prior 10 days

107
slv took profit on half off, quick n easy scalp, stopped half

1253
a few minutes later, heres expected marginal break in silver,,,new daily high, watching for move higher

1246
silver intraday is acting stronger than gold, so chose silver

1245
took a long in SLV quicktrade. may exit today or hold overnight. i expect it to break ovre 2050 to new daily highs

1118
shorted oil here swing, via long SCO, 30.30

1039
now we just need UNG to drop so i can close short there, curr red UNG short but felling ok with it, its acting normally

exited the ung long too early and went short a bit early on it, but at least the long gave a gain, and hoping for net gain on both trades (long + short)


1029
took gains on gdx nugt from yest, 3% / 9% in 1 day

951
 interesting,,,maybe bad data, because i was NOT stopped out here on the wick to 26.27 vdx

946
26.40 raised sell stop on gdx nugt for half position, other half holding for weeks more

943
GDX yesterday Inv Bank buy/sell  levels 24.45/25.88 and 26.00 secondary sell.
Will have updated levels for today shortly, they r fluttering around atm

937
NUGT gdx gapped up as expected today, i have a stop on yesterdays NUGT GDX at 26.20 GDX to protect gains. 1 day gains 6-7% nugt,

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

thurs

358
may see a gap up on GDX in morn..notice gold GLD /gc

356
holding shorts in spx and ung. holding longs in GDX NUGT overnight

127 adding vdx here nugt
should make new daily highs

1214
OIL may pop higher,,,still waiting to short that,,,been waiting all week,no entry yet

1210
also have the 24.13ish prior inv bank level as trgt lower ing

1207
may be a bit early if looking at 5 min chart, but 15min sugg poss pb UNG

1206
shorting 2478 UNG here, for quick trade, first target 24.40

1133
 nugt trgt is 150ish from 26, last is 45.60...tho we wont see "150" on the chart because it splits a lot

1131
 new gdx nugt bought yest doing well, up 6% today nugt, and nugt up a whopping 73% from 26.00 level

1128
ung may decline to 24.40, then up to 25.00...a move here from 2480 to 2440 would be normal if it does not break resist on first try....

1001

Inv Bank Buy sell levels UNG now are 23.50 / 25.00

UNG old sell levels 25.01, 24.52, 24.80

UNG old buy level 23.14

GDX current levels 24.45/25.88

GDX Inv Bank levels from yesterday :  24.50 / 26.00

But remember the "old" numbers, as they tend to also stick as explained other day

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

wedn

333
will cover 22.80 ung good today only, after that will adj price

412
added more shorts spx fax spxu

348
i'm going to buy some more GDX nugt today, swing, and leave room to add more later if it goes lower in coming days, building long term position in it,,atm have a half size position, will add another 25% more today

 waiting until 3:55 or so to buy

329
adding some UNG shorts here again...headed lower

241
Inv Bank buy/sell levles on GDX i'm waiting for:  24.50 / 26.00

238
if UNG can get back to 2450ish i will prob add more shorts, last 23.92

210
for UNG: Inv Bank buy level 1 is still same at 23.14...might cover my shorts there, or hold for break under it, depending on chart action

1203
UNG: note how the Inv Bank levels are respecting and working: the 24.50 sell level was pierced higher, but now its under it...this is waht almost always happens, and lets traders swing or scalp around the Inv Bank levels...they tend to be v reliable

1106
Inv Bank buy raised sell levels on UNG:  to 25.01 from 24.52 and 24.80 ... remember the "old" levels usually stick, or are revisited...so if those levels are met or pierced higher, it should retrace back lower to them, still have half size short, no additions yet... nothing unusual in UNG behavior so far

1043
timing analysis: per 60m chart analysis: UNG "should" go sideways/up for next 4 hrs, if it does NOT then it would be bearish...it's why i only have a half size short on it, because it's early entry...but other things are hinting it might fail early...we will see... i might ADD more shorts higher at 24.50/24.80ish if it gets there, last 24.06....but "higher" would NOT invalidate the trade plan

1034
im SHORTING ung here, 24.01....half size only,

1011
i still might try for a quick short on ung before long again
no entry yet, but port has cash avail to buy more GDX NUGT SPXU or maybe short UNG, freed up cash on sales yesterday in half GDX, PFE

1011
note that they've dropped the ask on ung,,,i think it was 2480ish, if so its a bit bearish intraday....still see over 2500 ung later but may drop to 23 or lowr first

1009
curr Inv Bank buy sell levels on UNG:  23.14 / 24.52

1007
oil has popped higher as expected, still waiting for swing short oil entry, getting close

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

tues

341
took gains on half the ged / nugt...will try to buy again lower later

247
im OUT of UNG for now, just sold, for smaller profit than Dragon had...imo UNG higher on swings but didnt really like UNG action even tho it "followed the roadmap"

i want to let UNG whip around awhile more and get into a narrower less volatile daily range, for my purposes of mid term swing not quick swing, so out for now
 still have same targets on UNG, i just being conservative and want to sit it out, esp since there are other opps... always an pop somewhere

UNG i do not like that it pierced the Inv Bank level 23.30, even tho its now over it 23.80....it suggests higher UNG but also suggests that perhaps Inv Banks are not done buying yet and they may try to press it down again....its v choppy

1214
: on UNG: this was posted on friday 223 pm: 23.30 was a prior Inv Bank level...almost ALWAYS a stock will bounce back to those buy levels even if it pierces below it,,,have posted many examples of that in the past. the Inv Banks have simply dropped their bids, because some of the smaller banks and retail may sell here, and they just want it cheaper if they can get it. a normal thing on UNG would be: break 23.30 lower, break 22.90 toward 22.80ish,,,,then later go back over 23.30...tho not back over today if it hits 22.80ung now at 23.47.

today tues:  notice how today, ung is now back above that old Inv Bank buy level 23.30,

1210
in faz 22.22

bought FAZ, half size...may add more later, swing. 4pm sys will give a short signal if spx closes here or higher, and one could short spx via short spy or long sds spxu. i've chosen to specifically short the FINANCIALS here as they are weaker. official 4pm sys signal does not come until 3:55pm

1206
took gains on PFE. exited.

1148
woww nugt up 12% today vs test

1056
GDX has gapped up the last 2 days, and is at highs of today so far
today might be spot where i take some partial gains on GDX NUGT multi week positions, but i'd keep half, only sell half and then look to buy that half back again later... short term after today it could pullback but target is still almost another 100% higher here on GDX, and more on nugt


gdx up 1.7% nugt 5.5% pfe  ung 2% all higher today.
nugt continues its quest.
still see higher PFE swing, higher targets on all vdx nugt pfe ung.

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

mon

1031
4pm sys on SPY SPX may give a swing short signal today...its at "enter new short now" but its not 3:55pm,,,,only takes trades based on conditions at 3:55pm

NUGT up almost 10% in 1 day
PFE up
UNG down 1.5%

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Friday

336
see GDX? If it closes here or higher, it closing right at resistance on the daily chart,,,thats bullish because its very easy to get OVER resistance if the stock gaps on the next day....always be mindful of stocks that "close" on support or resist levels....its very easy to break the next day, and when it breaks it triggers stops,,,,in GDX case it could gap over 2420,  then trigger a move to 25/26

259
added more ung, buy #2, swing

256
: just bought initial starter position in UNG at 23.68...buy signal triggered 78%
still will add to it at lim 22.85 but looks headed higher now


253
"failure" to test 23.30 today on ung...would be bullish imo...as it means that some buyers showed up ABOVE the Inv Bank buy levels

248
y: good for today only,,,i will book some gains on GDX NUGT if GDX gets 23.47
still see vdx to 50, so will only sell part of it, and will try to buy back next week if it gets 24.47 today

223
23.30 was a prior Inv Bank level...almost ALWAYS a stock will bounce back to those buy levels even if it pierces below it,,,have posted many examples of that in the past

the Inv Banks have simply dropped their bids, because some of the smaller banks and retail may sell here, and they just want it cheaper if they can get it

221
a normal thing on UNG would be: break 23.30 lower, break 22.90 toward 22.80ish,,,,then later go back over 23.30...tho not back over today if it hits 22.80

219
** i just dropped my bid on UNG
now 23.01 lim order, not 23.30

144
good for today only, i have a lim order to buy UNG 23.33 if it gets there, lsat 23.78, for a bounce to first trgt 24.73 then stall, then pb, then higher. swing

i'm using the 1x ung not the 2x or 3x because i dont want to deal with decay. willing to hold this awhile and add to it. 50% position size if filled

1031
60min charts on SPY IWM XLF have bearish Head Shoulder patterns....for some it might be easier to see the bullish inv HS on fas tza

1013
UNG is lower 3.2% this morn but should be ok for swing longs, i have not bought any UNG yet but might today

we mentioned yesterday that UNG might go lower today, before higher

1012
but nugt is up 6% this morn, still have the nugt GDX PFE longs

1012
well 4pm sys left some profits on the table with its early exit swing long yest...usually it would have held longer as posted, but it took an early exit because the prior selling was harsh and it was at resist and 29 other reasons LOL

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

thurs

359
4pm sys in cash, took gains on long spx iwm and volatil shorts,,,,,4pm sys waiting for next signal...it might be long or short next, idk

spx can easily creep higher, overshoot resist, then back lower, on daily...but on sidelines now cash for SPX....still have longs in PFE  GDX SLV SLW

356
took gains on 75% of shares in shorts in VXX UVXY and in long XIV....will reload another day, and keep 25% now

UVXY dropped 20% today :)

still see lower vix, lower uvxy, higher xiv, but its choppy and i'm respecting SPX resist after a harsh selling... so took gains on the vix to be safe

1147
fwiw, big "bad tick" wick down on SPY 1min chart just now, not on ES
could just be bad data, just making the observation

1121
spx is at trgt posted 2 days ago..tho often it overshoots higher, headfakes, etc...taking the gain here on half, as "good enough"

5 min charts say spy es SPX may pb intraday

notice the inverse relationship between GDX and SPX continues intraday, as gdx is now bouncing

1121
took quick gains on half of XIV bought 2 days ago, as SPX is now at resist and may pullback intraday, forcing vix higher and xiv lower

1021
 GDX NUGT: might give long entries for swing in coming hours days....
its consolodating on daily, and if it can hold up in the range here, would be bullish for next trot higher

v
totally normal to see a little weakness in GDX because of the surge on SPX

1006
wow sudden move on the VIX down here on 5min chart, good for XIV longs and shorts in VXX UVXY

934
 the 4pm sys will prob signal a "take profits on long SPX" today if ES closes over 1757ish...

remember that this time, its going to give an "exit early" signal and move to cash...not to a short reversal position as explained posted yesterday

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

wedn

105
SPY gap now filled on 15min chart...short term bullish act

1234
4pm sys is still on hold longs from 2 days ago

 4pm does not give price trgts, it uses multiple conditions plus price volume, not price alone...but u can "simulate" it to get price trgts...it says SPY should bounce over 178.50 in fowrard simulation mode, tho i'm not sure it gets that high

 theres resist on the chart near 177 spy

btw, 4pm sys is "self adjusting"...it usually gives an "exit long" signal when 89% of conditions are true, BUT this time it's self adjusted to sell the longs at 78% true (lower, sooner, more conservative)? Why? becuase the sys "sees" that the selloff was "harsher" than normal, so will exit earlier,,and then prob stay in cash not long or short, awaiting next signal


1128am
 the intraday chop on SPX ES continues
whipsaw up and down intraday

SPX key levels for 4pm closing price (short term swing timeframe):
below 1735 would be bearish
over 1760 would be bullish

multiweeks swings/positions timeframe: still bearish, and Inv Banks want lower

Multiweeks timeframe simple idea: short volatility vix using UVXY and or VXX, should work better than long XIV due to decay on the XIV leveraged instrument

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

205
interesting that 1x PFE is up 2.5% and 3x TNA only up 1.67% today...pfe showing strength admist weakness in DOW SPX

and pfe had higher hi yest and today both days, tho its being sold off from the new highs

however as posted test, imo there are still un-squeezed shorts in pre, and should see more upside to targets posted yest

154
well long PFE and XIV long and UVXY short VXX short are all working well from yest entries, no exit yet, will let them bake awhile longer before taking profits. also stil in GDX NUGT multi week positions

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Monday

356
im shorting UVXY VXX, long XIV, quick swing
trading the volatility ETFS

344
remember that 4pm sys uses 30+ "conditions" in addition to price, its signals do not come based on price alone, so any "suggested targets on price" that i get are from "forward forecast simulation" based on velocity and conditions AT THE TIME the sim is run....

Investment Banks reports are now showing signs of buy dips, sell rips mentality and action by the larger banks..volatility may increase and we may be seeing some chop for awhile in the coming days weeks, with big ups and downs

342
"4pm swing system" suggests that SPY might try for a bounce up to 178.80 area, or 1790ish spx not es.... if it manages a bounce the "multiweek position system" may give an "add shorts" signal...multiweek remains on short, while 4pm sys playing the squiggles says buy long today at 3:55pm

i'm not sure SPY will get over 177.00ish tho

317
if gdx could close over 23.35 today, it would be signif and suggest more bullishness for vdx nugt.
tho tomorrow i'd maybe be a buy in GDX if it decides to go lower instead, swing, multi weeks.

316
sellers are waiting at 1760--1763 ES,

313
the 5 min chart "should" bounce, tho it may be limited... 60 min needs another few hours.
Last ES 1736

200
32 and 34 approx trots on PFE

200
they reported on jan 28...and pay a dividend in a few days

159
data suggests that shorts have NOT been squeezed out of pfe yet, shorts entered before earnings but the stock went sideways up after earnings, not down....could see a nice bounce on pfe as the shorts get squeezed ....even a small bounce in the DOW or SPX could trigger it

156
LONG....i just bought PFE at 30.75, swing...individual stock pfitzer, a dow jones comp on

144
Im taking profits on 25% of shorts here at TF 1090, via tza

136
might be BETTER for bulls if it goes lower today and doesnt bounce, rather than bouncing today, though that sounds backwards

135
SPX is now at or near daily support but could still slip another 10 points or so lower from here today

134
if it were 4pm right now, 4pm sys would say "go long spx"... it will prob give a long signal today
with modest gain expectation from 4pm sys
other sys, for multi weeks months holds though, says stay short....

if the 4pm sys gives a LOSS on this long, it would be significant, as it did 100% wins in 2013 and 78% wins over last 10 years...that is, poss trend change to bearish, if a loss comes from this signal




1223
approaching 1746 spx support level on daily, tho i'm not adding longs at support. remaining short.

1101
see the small descrpancy between cash SPY and futures ES?  SPY is "further away" from broken support...look at daily chart lows

930
NUGT multi week hold now at 46% gain,,,still holding for much higher targets
Entries were posted here earlier.

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Friday thoughts

321
ES has broken under the 1832 # posted before this morn and yest....watch for a 4pm CLOSE under it

121
still watching same ES # as posted yest...watching for a close on ES under 1834, with < 1829 more bearish


1151 am
for the patient long term holders on NUGT, its now up 44% from its lows on daily chart,,,with much more to go...up 10%ish today

NUGT could easily double from current price, for about 250-300% gain from its lows, then stall, then go even higher over 70...for multi-month holds

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".