457
i'm watching 1.3756 for euro re-entry short again poss,,,had order to short today if it got there but didnt,,,will eval charts if it does
if euro moves sideways instead,,,may still find a short near present price,,,will let it chop a littl
DX 4 hour chart from jan 19 shows nice bull diverg which resulted in dolllar higher bounce, but usually it will retest lower or go sideways
419
at 6:00 AM-ish, OIL CL made a low of 85.88, which was NOT retested during the 930--400pm session... 86.36 was the low of 930--400pm
411
USO did well today, sold at 36.95 as posted below, high of day was 37.02, closed at 36.64,, will re-eval long/short opps in oil tomorrow or coming days for re-entry
352
ZSL is bear 2x silver etfs but chose to just short slv 1x instead
352
I shorted silver SLV 29.61
150
VIX daily has a bullish for vix rising MACD line, almost about to cross over 0, with higher lows, bull diverg vs price since dec 22,,,bullish for vix, BEARISH for spx for swings
147
DRV 1554 looks interesting here, tho i'm not taking a postion,,,have enough shorts for now
138
i will buy back uso sold at 36.95 at limit buy uso 3607 if filled, last 3646
116
COST is a swing
116pm
shorting COST 74.62
1217
Shorted GILD 38.79, swing
1206
I have a limit order to sell TLT 90.43, may sell at 8980/8990 trgt if stalls to long there instead
1144
i have lim order to buy EUO 19.11 if able, last 1926
1143
EUO may want 1909/ 1911
1142
EUO (etf to short euro) 19.27 looks "almost ready" for swing,,,waiting to buy euo for now but getting close
1138
filled on uso sale, profits locked, will look to reenter later.
1122
if able i will lim sell uso 36.95
1111
if able i will lim sell uso 37.23
1017
uso daytrades would hold longer
1016
USO is now near target #2,,,scalpers would watch carefully and take profits near here, 3662 vs 3633 entry
1003
just hit 3649 trgt
1000
scalp trgts to start uso 3649, 3665
958
can also be used as scalp
957
trade idea: swing add more uso 36.33
944
4 minutes later, 1314 trgt hit,,,,1310/11,,,1306 simple horiz trgts down in ES, hit 1214 and held, bnc to 1315.50 then lower is one poss pattern, not trading it
940
*1314
939
ES charts continue to suggest lower IF it can break the 1214 support,,,charts suggest it will in comoing hours
937
TLT has broken over its 60min downtrend resist line, expecting it to hit higher swing targets, then may be able to reverse short tlt
913
CORN zc is down 0.82%, good for shorts or dba puts existing swing
911
tomorror,,,1030am is crude inv oil report
908
OIL cl is volatile this morn, having plunged to 85.88 and now bounced upt to 86.56 last,, think it will go higher for swing position
902
TDA has an updated for ThinkOrSwim,,, if it doesn't crash or lock up today i'll be in shock, since almost everytime they upgrade it causes awful performance issues, making it unusable for hours at a time
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Tuesday, February 8, 2011
Monday, February 7, 2011
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Monday ramblings
326
or from 3812 uso
324
..........................................
uso trade idea is red 3770 vs 3688,,,still is valid swing to hold over imo
323
trade idea could take 20 cents-ish profit here,on part of vxx
322
es 131650,,,131675 make sense as stops for shorts
321
15min es chart says lower or sideways ES,,,BUT its too late in day to be v accurate now
318
ES just hit the 1314 target,,,watching reactino here now,,, 1314 impt intraday supp imo
308
NFLX sswing pattern should allow for exit of the shorts to take profit, then re-short again, nflx should bounce, then the next move down should be bigger,,,,in coming days weeks,, position trades could hold a piece of the shorts thru the whipsaw
300
would take 1315.25 to lock small profit, 2-3 points on es
256
getting near 1314 trgt,,,, trade idea would save some shorts and cover some at 1324.25/1324 lim if able
240
if 1314 is hit, it could bounce v quickly up 2 points on first try 1314
238
1314.25 lim cover es makes sense on at least half of es short
232
es mental stop 1317.50 for 1318 short trade idea,,,should go lower or sideways here else risking higher reentry,,will watch reaction 131750 if it gets there
226
uso bull falling wedge 60min getting tighter, CL oil supp 8725 last 8756
206
tlt moving up but 8938 may stall it b4 the higher trgts,,,, 8938ish is 60min dtl resist
153
TLT trying to break higher now,,,
148
poss bull inv head shoulders, uso daily, incomplete and uncomfirmed
146
UCO Mar 19 2011 12.0 Calls at .50/.55 trade idea
143
uso or uco calls could work here, uso 3688 last
139
es 1314 scalp trgt, prob stall there,,,,1314/1314.25
136
1318 es short could work here, or vxx 2853
122
es may want 1324,,,watching for poss siwng short entries 1319--1324, no setup yet
107
and sep 24,,,aug 22
105
atm, uso dail has higher lows since May 26
104pm
USO 15min now in wave 5 down of its coreection,,,expecting higher soon in oil,, a bull diverg is also forming in 15min
1218
tlt trgt 8950, 8980
tlt trgt 8950, 8980 to start, then see reaction there for further long or reverse short
1217
TLT is basing on 15 n 60min, may break higher in coming hours days
1215
scalps. es never hit 1318.75 for short trade idea,,,cancelling that idea,,,will see what it does on next 3min bnc
1211
es may bounce, shorting next bounce could work, 3min chartt,, may take 6--63 minutes to bounce
1202
NFLX here 220.36 short looks good, still in from 219.75
1201
cat 60 min says scale in shorts could work here, but may want higher, i'll let it chop around a little longer
1200
CAT hit 100.00 trgt and almost reached the 101.00 add shorts trgt,, may want 101.50
1159
Trading idea: ES short 1318.75 could work, uso long 3712 for 3730/3740/3767 trgts scalps
1018
CAT just hit its 100.00 trgt,,,watching for 101.00ish next... short 100/101 might work
947 am
Trading on and off throughout the day. Fewer postings.
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
or from 3812 uso
324
..........................................
uso trade idea is red 3770 vs 3688,,,still is valid swing to hold over imo
323
trade idea could take 20 cents-ish profit here,on part of vxx
322
es 131650,,,131675 make sense as stops for shorts
321
15min es chart says lower or sideways ES,,,BUT its too late in day to be v accurate now
318
ES just hit the 1314 target,,,watching reactino here now,,, 1314 impt intraday supp imo
308
NFLX sswing pattern should allow for exit of the shorts to take profit, then re-short again, nflx should bounce, then the next move down should be bigger,,,,in coming days weeks,, position trades could hold a piece of the shorts thru the whipsaw
300
would take 1315.25 to lock small profit, 2-3 points on es
256
getting near 1314 trgt,,,, trade idea would save some shorts and cover some at 1324.25/1324 lim if able
240
if 1314 is hit, it could bounce v quickly up 2 points on first try 1314
238
1314.25 lim cover es makes sense on at least half of es short
232
es mental stop 1317.50 for 1318 short trade idea,,,should go lower or sideways here else risking higher reentry,,will watch reaction 131750 if it gets there
226
uso bull falling wedge 60min getting tighter, CL oil supp 8725 last 8756
206
tlt moving up but 8938 may stall it b4 the higher trgts,,,, 8938ish is 60min dtl resist
153
TLT trying to break higher now,,,
148
poss bull inv head shoulders, uso daily, incomplete and uncomfirmed
146
UCO Mar 19 2011 12.0 Calls at .50/.55 trade idea
143
uso or uco calls could work here, uso 3688 last
139
es 1314 scalp trgt, prob stall there,,,,1314/1314.25
136
1318 es short could work here, or vxx 2853
122
es may want 1324,,,watching for poss siwng short entries 1319--1324, no setup yet
107
and sep 24,,,aug 22
105
atm, uso dail has higher lows since May 26
104pm
USO 15min now in wave 5 down of its coreection,,,expecting higher soon in oil,, a bull diverg is also forming in 15min
1218
tlt trgt 8950, 8980
tlt trgt 8950, 8980 to start, then see reaction there for further long or reverse short
1217
TLT is basing on 15 n 60min, may break higher in coming hours days
1215
scalps. es never hit 1318.75 for short trade idea,,,cancelling that idea,,,will see what it does on next 3min bnc
1211
es may bounce, shorting next bounce could work, 3min chartt,, may take 6--63 minutes to bounce
1202
NFLX here 220.36 short looks good, still in from 219.75
1201
cat 60 min says scale in shorts could work here, but may want higher, i'll let it chop around a little longer
1200
CAT hit 100.00 trgt and almost reached the 101.00 add shorts trgt,, may want 101.50
1159
Trading idea: ES short 1318.75 could work, uso long 3712 for 3730/3740/3767 trgts scalps
1018
CAT just hit its 100.00 trgt,,,watching for 101.00ish next... short 100/101 might work
947 am
Trading on and off throughout the day. Fewer postings.
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Friday, February 4, 2011
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Friday ramblings / Thurs eve futures
347
1310 es i'll add short via spxu,,,if not will add b4 close, for swing
341
8918 tlt lim sell some
328
i will 8930 TLT lim sell some
256
lim sell some tlt 8973 if able
242
there's another gap intraday, es, unless i have bad data from provider
241
see the gap down intraday in 3min charrt ES? low vol nonsense,, gap downs like this are kind of rare in ES in middle of day, esp at 2:41pm,,,warns of poss liquidity problems, bearish
231
uso,. ,,,3740,,,going long swing, buy #1 of poss 4
this is still an "early" entry for me, but chart looks good for starting long here
225
remvonig stop on tlt, will hold overnite if no movement today
214
notice ES daily bearish broadening formation
141
Limit short CAT 100.80 if filled, prob no fill today but will take it on a surge, last 99.29,, lim short order is just below the 101.00 stretch target
129
Mondays are often bullish it's true, but these charts are suggesting to me a warning of a possible gap DOWN on monday,, impossible to tell but risk is higher than normal, highest its been in months, imo
117
instead of puts options, i elected to directly short the underlying, but a small position to limit risk
116
last 3 candles of the 60min candle pattern on nflx shows tiredness, why i took an early entry short here,,,tho could trickle higher
108
219.80,,, finally shorting NFLX,,but this is a starter, early position,,,may go higher
102
they might be able to push this mkt higher but retail did not step in this morn to buy,,, mkt looks stretched,, when retail stops buying the mkt generally falls, as they are generally the last to buy, near the top,,from swing perspective not scalps
100
once again, zzzzzzzzzzzz,,, no participation,,just like yest
1204
stop .66 on tlt scalp ,,changed a lil from .70
1149
2963 limit buy would be better, 2966 last
1148
2969 re-entyr to vxx could work here for another scalp, i'm not ree-entering seince already have some left
1131
TLT 8900 here stop 8870 could work
1107
still have a "hold shorts all day" daytrade es, no exit signal yet for the all day multihour hold
1105
es 129825,,,close ebough for 129800 trgt, is considered hit,,,still see lower but stall poss
1103
next vxx trgt 3042
1056
trading idea on es, also hit its scalp trgt for 4 points profit
1055
vxx just hit 2996, trgt #1,,, if u had a lim order would have picked up 1.05%ish on that piece
1047
es scalps from 1304.25 can take 4 points profit 1300.25 limit if its hit, dayt would hold half longer and take half off
1043
have a lim order to sell half vxx 30.97 if able
1034
...............................................
yea my tlt from yest is down red about 1%ish rite now,,,still holding for last bounce,,,then will look at tlt short
1026
adding piece 2 here for vxx daytrade 2956
1023
NFLX may see 232, dont think will make it, but one can see NFLX 218-204 = 14,,, 218+14 = 232,,, still like short but it did make a higher daily high over 218
1016
EURO just hit lower trgt from yest, next trgt same, 1.3465
1014
1300, then 1298/1298.50 first trgt ES
959
nflx could still break over 218
958
i like nflx short also, but am still waiting, watching last 4 days,,,needs another few hours of work for me, or an extreme move higher,, waiting on 60min since it will be a swing
954
29.96 first trgt vxx daytrade or 0.71%
950
2975 scalp vxx,,, holding swing vxx for higher, last 2973
942
for day, i have a short the bounces setup, fwiw, no entry yet
925 am
good morning
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
1310 es i'll add short via spxu,,,if not will add b4 close, for swing
341
8918 tlt lim sell some
328
i will 8930 TLT lim sell some
256
lim sell some tlt 8973 if able
242
there's another gap intraday, es, unless i have bad data from provider
241
see the gap down intraday in 3min charrt ES? low vol nonsense,, gap downs like this are kind of rare in ES in middle of day, esp at 2:41pm,,,warns of poss liquidity problems, bearish
231
uso,. ,,,3740,,,going long swing, buy #1 of poss 4
this is still an "early" entry for me, but chart looks good for starting long here
225
remvonig stop on tlt, will hold overnite if no movement today
214
notice ES daily bearish broadening formation
141
Limit short CAT 100.80 if filled, prob no fill today but will take it on a surge, last 99.29,, lim short order is just below the 101.00 stretch target
129
Mondays are often bullish it's true, but these charts are suggesting to me a warning of a possible gap DOWN on monday,, impossible to tell but risk is higher than normal, highest its been in months, imo
117
instead of puts options, i elected to directly short the underlying, but a small position to limit risk
116
last 3 candles of the 60min candle pattern on nflx shows tiredness, why i took an early entry short here,,,tho could trickle higher
108
219.80,,, finally shorting NFLX,,but this is a starter, early position,,,may go higher
102
they might be able to push this mkt higher but retail did not step in this morn to buy,,, mkt looks stretched,, when retail stops buying the mkt generally falls, as they are generally the last to buy, near the top,,from swing perspective not scalps
100
once again, zzzzzzzzzzzz,,, no participation,,just like yest
1204
stop .66 on tlt scalp ,,changed a lil from .70
1149
2963 limit buy would be better, 2966 last
1148
2969 re-entyr to vxx could work here for another scalp, i'm not ree-entering seince already have some left
1131
TLT 8900 here stop 8870 could work
1107
still have a "hold shorts all day" daytrade es, no exit signal yet for the all day multihour hold
1105
es 129825,,,close ebough for 129800 trgt, is considered hit,,,still see lower but stall poss
1103
next vxx trgt 3042
1056
trading idea on es, also hit its scalp trgt for 4 points profit
1055
vxx just hit 2996, trgt #1,,, if u had a lim order would have picked up 1.05%ish on that piece
1047
es scalps from 1304.25 can take 4 points profit 1300.25 limit if its hit, dayt would hold half longer and take half off
1043
have a lim order to sell half vxx 30.97 if able
1034
...............................................
yea my tlt from yest is down red about 1%ish rite now,,,still holding for last bounce,,,then will look at tlt short
1026
adding piece 2 here for vxx daytrade 2956
1023
NFLX may see 232, dont think will make it, but one can see NFLX 218-204 = 14,,, 218+14 = 232,,, still like short but it did make a higher daily high over 218
1016
EURO just hit lower trgt from yest, next trgt same, 1.3465
1014
1300, then 1298/1298.50 first trgt ES
959
nflx could still break over 218
958
i like nflx short also, but am still waiting, watching last 4 days,,,needs another few hours of work for me, or an extreme move higher,, waiting on 60min since it will be a swing
954
29.96 first trgt vxx daytrade or 0.71%
950
2975 scalp vxx,,, holding swing vxx for higher, last 2973
942
for day, i have a short the bounces setup, fwiw, no entry yet
925 am
good morning
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Thursday, February 3, 2011
VXX Chart bullish
Daily Ramblings are below this post.
Chart intended for swing holds.
Notes to Numbers on Chart
1. Bullish divergence in VXX as vxx makes a lower low but rsi and macd make higher lows.
2. Confirmation: VXX, MACD, and RSI all make higher lows.
Even a move to 29.00 would not necesarrily negate the structure, just more fully define it.
Click the chart to see it full size.
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Chart intended for swing holds.
Notes to Numbers on Chart
1. Bullish divergence in VXX as vxx makes a lower low but rsi and macd make higher lows.
2. Confirmation: VXX, MACD, and RSI all make higher lows.
Even a move to 29.00 would not necesarrily negate the structure, just more fully define it.
Click the chart to see it full size.
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
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