Wednesday, September 14, 2011

Wede thoughts

353
the short ES at aapl 392 wouldve worked,,,from 1194 to 1186 es but was too late in day to take,,,missed that one---chris

348
aapl target from this morn was 392, it hit high of day 392.21,,,, ES trgt was 1196, high of day was 1196.25

348
took profits on half of aapl,,,decent run up from 373 to 390/392===chris

341
1190.50 es pivot raised into the close---chris

338
KO coca cola is on a hold swing long for at least 4 more hours, into tomorrow, for first trgt,,,with other higher trgt to follow in coming days weeks---huge KO candle daily,

336
sellers may be waiting at spx 1209--1214---chris

333
es just hit 1196 trgt,,,watching reaction

332
this is squeeze i was mentioning yesterday,,,,market maker reports suggested they were covering yest==CHRIS

328\but aapl may not pullback,,it has a habit of not looking back when it breaks daily weekly resistances

328
aapl swing may fall all the way back down to 378 where i will buy back if it does,,,will take profit on half of it today,,hopefully the exit is not too early like the INTC exit was early,,,will keep half aapl and 100% of KO  BA---chris

325
KO flying now since that 15min trigger buy,,,will hold overnite,,,new yearly highs---chris

320
ES is now at the "short es at aapl 392" setup from 11am trigger now, but risky taking that here,,,i'm staying out of the short scalp

319
1196 es target next,,,still watc hing for sudden selloff tho charts do not suggest it,,,anything can happen in this volatility

314
i will hold the KO and BA longer, since their resistance are higher--chris

311
taking off 25% of aapl 391.73 swiong here at qqq resist,,,tho i still see the higher trgts

311
q2qq now testing daily high from aug 31,....,may stalll,,impt test here

309
QQQ overshot its daily trgt by about 10 cents ;)

309
that buy alert 85% just hit its trgt 1190 es from 1183

304
aapl just hit 391.80,,,considering the 392 daily trgt set at 10am being hit since its so close,,now watching reaction because over 392 gives 394 fast

303
aapl either holds here and makes new daily highs or i'm taking the profit on half from 373,,,391.42 last

302
aapl 390.40 v tight aapl stop now on half to protect profits==chris

259
over 1184 es, the buy alert will reamin at 85% confid or higher

256
qqq now about 10 cents from 11am daily trgt,,,may overshoot it

255
ES 118 buy alert just triggered, 78% confid,,needs 85% to really move,,intraday only

252
es break under 1181 risks 1177 test==chris
over 1181 bullish into the close, IMO

243
conserv swings would take profit on half of aapl swing here at 391 stall,,,others would use the 388.70 stop instead

238
still have qqq 5568 daily trgt as long as 3min support holds, hit 5554 so far

237\
under es 1181 may cause a selling spree, intraday only not swing

236
SPY short scalps may be setting up now, not formed yet imo, but may get one==chris

226
aapl emergency stop set at 388.7 in case of fat finger plunge==chris

221
volume since 1015am has been light, so watching carefully here ....i will sell half of aapl if it appears weakness is coming, hoping to buy it back lower, and will keep the second half (swing) for higher. no sale yet....hope to ride to the close but may need an early exit.

213
INTC just hit the 21.20 trgt from yest,,,i exite too early on the .73 stop order *shrug*, still see long opps on INTC but will wait for pb, not today

208
intraday,,,(non swing) SPY 15min intraday chart has used up all its "sideways up bias" candles, and has moved up since the 1150AM candle counting started, so now need to watch carefuly, and use support as guide. SPY still bullish while over 15min support instead of candle counting.

206
watch over 392 aapl, could go quick to 394 if 392 breaks (same as b4)==CHRIS

204
KO got its confirming close on the 15min for the long swing and is continuing higher.

1246
sideways then up 15min chart pattern from 1200pm still valid,,still more remaining candles, no short setup yet

1241
danger to short the qqq here at 5520 imo,,,,5568 qqq trgt

1239
possible breakout in KO higher,,,not confirmed yet but 3min and 15min suggest possible ---CHRIS

1230
KO is close to giving the confirming close for new long entries swing on 15min, but it is not there yet,,,may drop first,,, XLF may be setting up for a  short, or long faz



1204
because if the 392 aapl breaks it could quickly see 394

1203
the first intraday test of aapl 392ish will likely stall and may present an opp to SHORT scalp SPY or QQQQ but i am not taking the short, idea only, for scalp not swing

1201
AAPL and XOM are USA largest two companies by market cap

1200
for swings, AAPL presents danger to qqq shorts,,,aapl daily chart is MUCH DIFF looking than SPY or QQQ,,,aapl in process now of trying to break a daily bull coil,,,if it does QQQ should benefit higher

1152
intraday,,SPX dueling 15min and 60min charts suggest sideways UP to me,,,==,,,watching next 6 bars candles on the 15min chart for now, they suggest higher atm for next 6

1143
still waiting for swing short entries in spx or in select stocks or sector etfs

1143
KO trade idea (i'm already long KO) coca cola: ABOVE the market, KO long on a 15min candle close over 69.65 for swing, with targets 71.75 and then new yearly highs over 72 to 74ish

1109
aapl just broke to new daily highs, tho spx still under its high of day==CHRIS

1040
aapl is reslient, now back testing todays high,, over 389 gives 392 trgt

1028
also watch ES 1157 ,,,same # as yest,,,just hit again and held support

1005
still waiting for opp to swing short the spx or financials, no entry setups yet imo

1003
still see higher KO, it made the new yearly high as expected on 9/8 and has pulled back,,,still see another yearly high for coca cola

1001
if aapl gets 60min candle close over 392 target, followed by daily close over it, should test the 2011 high 405 and make new yearly highs, last yearly high made July 26

951
AAPL long swing has hit interim 388 target, next trgt 392, still holding this longer. AAPL has a marginal break higher out of its daily bull coil that I've been talking about the last week.  But needs a confirmation since the break is marginal. for now tho, aapl charts remain bullish and continue as expected.

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Tuesday, September 13, 2011

Tues thoughts

334
ES bounced one point over that 1:30 pm pivot which held support, bounce 8 points

332
imo its prudent to also consider that tomorrow may cause a short covering spike higher, and that maybe the smart short swings have covered today already,,,just a thought,,

322
ES still over intraday #  over 1157 ES from 1:30pm post,,, IMO still bullish over that, bearish under, same pivot

321
watchin 2055 area on INTC to see if its goes that low, and if it holds as breakout support or not,, i'm already out

307
watch the daily bull triangle on AAPL, its close to breaking higher in coming hours days. A break higher may give new highs over 405 eventually (swings). aapl had held up pretty well even on vicious downside days on SPX. last aapl 385.

305
still see higher INTC but didnt want to risk losing profit

302
stopped out of INTC for 4.5% profit,,,,will buy back later (may not buy back today)... still holding the longs on AAPL   KO   BA swing

251
2 cents away from being stoped on intc,,,still in for now

237
Setting stop on INTC at 20.72 in case it moves lower. if stopped out will take profits and look to reenter. don't want to get caught in mass move lower and see profits evap. 4.5% to 6.5% profit on INTC depending on if stop hit, or if target it hit instead.

154
INTC now 18 cents from first target of 2097, still holding for the 21.23 if able, if not, will take profits on INTC if the 15min chart pulls back (will exit on bounce of pb if it moves lower below 15min support)

125
IMO intraday: over 1157 ES bullish, break under 1157 bearish (3 and 15 min candle closes not spikes)==CHRIS

111
daily aapl trgt 387.50, last 383.50==CHRIS

108
new intraday highs on INTC and KO also here

107
AAPL has broken over its daily high on the first try,,watching to see if sustains now or not==CHRIS

1255
looking to re-short the SPX again swing, but not here, at higher levels or diff charts, may be days or weeks waiting

1254
aapl, meanwhile watching reaction to see if stalls or simply pushes over it on the first try

1253
aapl close to testing its high of day, charts suggest it will make a higher daily high today, after initial stall on test, may take 1-3 hours,

1242
I've placed a limit order to sell INTC at 21.23 for today for 6.57% profit if filled. I still see higher INTC after that but will sell and look to buy it back lower. This is above the 20.97 target, I may sell at 2097--2100ish if it doesnt surge today. last intc 2054, up 1.23% from yest and one cent under its high of day

1012
AAPL continues consolod higher in its daily bull coil, needs to break it for higher swing targets to be hit, still valid long IMO swing, higher aapl would be good for QQQ   TYP  QLD== CHRIS

1010 am INTC has broken over its highest daily high since Aug 18 and is now on its way to its first swing long target :)

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Monday, September 12, 2011

Monday thoughts

401
Huge green daily candle on INTC, closing above fridays high

358
 i still see higher aapl ko intc for swings,,,coca cola KO should retest its new yearly high made few days ago and make a higher high,,,charts on aapl KO much diff looking than spx

342
INTC up 2% atm, still have 21 first trgt swing, last 20.13 near Fridays high of day,,big green daily candle

AAPL still in its daily bull coil

1145
INTC now rallying nicely, almost up to Friday's high.up 2% today from friday atm,  still expecting a break over fridays high for swing pos

1036
AAPL up 0.35%, INTC up 1.2% despite SPX down 1.1% this morning. still holding the aapl intc ba ko longs swing for now

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Friday, September 9, 2011

Friday thoughts

1208
if it rallies i will exit the intc, but willing to hold also,,,intc is only down 0.254% today vs spx down 2.8%

1206
i enterede here swing long INTC 19.92

932
AAPL showing amazing resilience this morn as SPX opens down 1%, aapl is up 0.1%, holding its own. May add to existing aapl position later.

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Thursday, September 8, 2011

Thurs thoughts

345
385.50 aapl scalp at breakeven, nervous would exit here, tho i think higher in coming days....i'm keeping the swing aapl still,,, qqq scalp day is red atm

235
60min and daily spx suggest more upside IMO for swings,

140
SPY down 0.5% today but AAPL still up 0.5% today, KO still up 1.1% today, still holding for the higher swing targets...KO has broken to new yearly highs for 2011 today :) == CHRIS

1157
*385.50 aapl instead,here

1151
QQQ TYP buy alert,,, 77% confid

1149
poss daytrade long entries setting up on 3min charts for TNA  ES  QQQ TYP ==chris

1143
UPS power backup, plus Cisco dual WAN router with 2 internet ISPs, gives 99.999% uptime for both electricity and internet,,,if elec goes off,,battary power kicks in,,,if one ISP (like TimeWarner) fails, then the other (like AT&T) kicks in, uninteruppted without missing a single tick

1121
60min boll bands on KO and AAPL now stretched upward,,,they need to flatten out,,,or have a close over it then under it, before upside done

1117
yest i mentioned that "larger pullbacks" usually happen when the price is farther away from the 5 period moving avg on the 60min chart than it was yesterday,,, today we are starting to see AAPL  KO  and SPY pull higher away from the MA,,,but still more upside expected first,, MACD  RSI and timig analysis on 60min charts also say similar imo

1110
BA on the other hand, is being diffucult :(

1108
AAPL now right near bull coil resistance on daily chart, with more horiz resist at 392, if 392 breaks higher then should see over 405 but a stall at 394 where i have an order to take profits on half at 394 if able

1102
aapl up nicely but entering a resistance zone here,,,multiple aapl resistances ahead that it needs to clear, may form a wedge here, 388.30 last,,

1036
KO coca cola swing has broken over its prior high of 71.10 from Sept 1 as expected yesterday. Still holding KO for higher targets

1034
lim sell aapl 394.00, it hit the 387.30 trgt from yest, but as mentinoed, now waiting for next higher trgt. may sell 391 later, but for now order set to take profits 394, on half of swing, from 373.23 entry. 387.26 last

947
KO swing just hit trgt #1, test of prior weekly high,,,still see a higher high, holding for next target up.

942
yesterday order to sell half of aapl was not filled, cancelled that order and will re-eval. sell target is now the higher targets instead. was designed to exit yest and re-enter today. aapl up .97 right now


* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Wednesday, September 7, 2011

Wednesday thoughts

408
many stocks are close to their upward sloping 5 per moving average on the 60 min chart,,,usually they will move further away (higher) on the 60 min b4 large downside,,, exhaustion usually comes further away from the tight 5 MA

402
ES broke the 1196 resist, but too late

359
could gap down, and move lower, but i'll wait to short

358
i do not have a swing short signal at the close here,,,--CHRIS

343
candle 3min ES bull harami, poss 60min hammer, at 2 points over 1190 supp

334
*1196 on a non shoot star 3min chart

333
1190 supp and 1195 resist on ES may tell the close, on a break of either to continue that direction

326
i wouldnt be surprised to see some type of shoot star daily candle, tomorrow spx qqq etc

322
compare daily and 60min  KO  AAPL to SPX / DOW charts,,v diff

312
for me,,, SPX is "too high and not hi enough to short" today for swing,,,i'll wait and risk missing the opp-- spx is in no mans land near the tennis service line here, not at the baseline nor at the net

259
changed to sell at 386.87 half of aapl from 373.23 entry yest

249
lim sell half of aapl swing at 387 if able

243
BA up 3.6% today,,,still see the higher swing targets,tho may pullback some first - CHRIS

235
aapl just hit 384.94,,considering the 385 trgt hit,,,still see the 387ish tho aapl has lagged today

222
IMO timing analysis suggests no valid swing short until at least 4 hours passes by (for spx not es),,,so no short setup will present today swing,, and tomorrow would be buy dip if it presents, then short later,,,see another rally first and the first support test being bought

215
BA and KO have bull hammers, may surge into close toward their first targets

159
another ES buy signal intraday just triggered, but since so close to 2pm beige, less reliable

138
stop 1190.50 on half of the ES scalp idea makes sense, stop same on other half -chris

133
these charts to me,,,suggest taking partial profits today on some longs,,,holding some,,,and buying a pullback if one comes tomorrow,,,then short later

126
the 15min chart likely needs another 8 bars before sell signal presents, even then prob will not get sell short signal today

1255
be back later,,,hope u all have a great day-- still have same trgts on AAPL  385, 387, 391, 398,,,and KO  BA  ---

1241
AAPL still lagging

1241
scalp, 1188.50 stop would give a free ride higher, for small profit if stopped on es (1.50 pt profit)

1237
scalpers would use a manual trail stop on the ES--CHRIS

1232
85% ES buy alert,,,watching to see if it follows thru upside or not---CHRIS

1224
intrday, if es breaks under 1185 then 1181 trgt,but 1185 holding for now

1214
ES buy signal now at 82% confid

1213
ES over 1188.50 more impt than over daily high IMO, for another poss 6 points higher

1210
387 daily aapl trgt #1 (after stall at prior daily high of course)

1205
in 6minutes another signal should confirm or deny previous one

1203
needs 85%ish to trigger meaningful upside

1203
78% confid intraday buy alert just triggered, es 187 with 1185 support

1152
idea: aapl here, 383.75, for scalp to a higher daily hi

1152
i likely will take at least partial profits today on long swings,,,and may hold longer depending on charts -tho KO BA both say "hold at least another 6-9 trading hours, that would suggest buy the dips if presented and hold a portion of it

1148
KO now about 60 cents from making new daily highs trgt

1141
imo AAPL  KO  BA will outperform spx qqq --CHRIS

1123
scalpers on ES SPX QQQ etc could take profit at aapl 385.30 resist

1119
AAPL 3min is lagging the spx and qqq atm,,,if aapl catches up it should push spx qqq to new highs intraday,, however, aapl had an up day yesterday and was very strong against the downtrend

1115
BA corrected deeper than expected, but recovered nicely today.--- CHRIS

1114
KO cocal cola nice followthru from yest big green daily candle, still see new highs over 71.10 hi of 9/1,,,70.48 last

1021
i still see higher aapl, still holding the swing piece of it for now, having taken profits on scalp piece

943
KO swing target is new daily highs over 71 prior hi

934
spx is in a gently upward sloping huge range on daily and 60min charts. i dont know if its a bear flag, or bull consolodation, but i still see higher spx until the supports break. also daily has higher highs and higher lows, altho they are "small" compared to the range

926
spx 1193, 1200, 1208, 1227 targets,, if 1170 holds i think spx sees 1227 (swing targets)

925
AAPL up nicely this morning. still holding for higher targets swing.

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Tuesday, September 6, 2011

Tues thoughts

411
imo, for spx (not es) next 4-8 hours bias is sideways / up --chris

400
385,,390,,400 approx aapl swing trgts

356
KO swing is near breakeven, but huge green candle on coca cola today,,will hold longer

228
aapl scalps would take 1% profit here, and re-enter on break over 378.25ish depending on charts,,,swings would hold aapl longer

226
aapl at 377.70 near the 378 trgt, watching reaction ,,,considering 378 trgt as being hit since it was so close.

221
at resistance intraday now on ES, 1162, watching reactionss

203
aapl hit 375 trgt but real # is over 378,, needs to hurdle 378 for sustainable higher prices

156
1156 and 1149 ES supports-chris

151
ES hit the 1158 trgt from 1:23 PM,,,should go higher now

125
if AAPL gets over 375 the qqq should benefit

123
3min ES chart suggesting a try for 1158+ on ES

122
watching if ES breaks over 1158 intraday,

116
long AAPL here 373.20, swing--chris

1256 PM
SWING: For now, I'll buy AAPL limit 367 today if able. It may not decline that far. Last aapl 372.50. May buy AAPL over 373 later if it doesnt move lower to 367


* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".