Friday thoughts

344
imo longs here es 1433 for swings look good

318
TLT hit 124.36, just under 124.40 trgt to short, and has stalled,,,i'm not taking the additinoal short but watching tlt since have tmv swings

303
giving it time to see if weakness warning is headfake or not, since % still high

some weakness warnings now on es at 1435
remain in fas #2 for now tho

245
106.97 current FAS trgt

244
interesting market maker investment banking intraday reports:  SPX did NOT MAKE its posted market maker sell level, but XLF finanan FAS hit it exactly .... apparently the MM were not interested in waiting for spx after the financials hit their sell levels,,, one reason why i exited fas earlier today right near MM trgt

244
ES may bounce here now, 1435 last

220233
back in fas

for swings, TLT 60min chart has a nice bear diverg on it on price:rsi, shortable via tbt 2x or tmv 3x

220
i might take some TBT if TLT gets to 124.40

158
for now, ES remains firmly at 74% long bias, for same array,,,as long as ES is over 1434/33 it should remain valid

147
for swings, still see higher amd aa cat upro vtnc,,,, lower tlt, higher tmv 3x....vtnc has really made a huge move lately

141
RAISED lim order on fas to 180 from 107,,,
can always sell lower later

139
 hit 106.30 fas....trgt 1

126
106.27 still fas trgt 1 for today,,,but for now lim order remains higher at 107, from 104.13 entry

126
Market Maker reports: they are not buying here, but have their sell levels near 1448 spx....thats 1448 spx not es

may drift toward that trgt

125
notice the volume bar at 13:12 time....its a clue that that es may continue in the direction that it decides here

114
whichever way ES breaks here, may set tone direction for rest of day,,,in next few candles on 3min es,,,volume increasing a bit here

1259
of course, its already made a large move intraday, so array would be 1438,,1440, 1444

1259
may get another "move up" signal soon on ES,,,none yet but getting close

1235
xlf  fas already closed the gap, still see higher

1219
106.27 now not 106.00

1219
107.00 limi sell on FAS,,,but interim 106.00 trgt fas from 104.12 posted entry this morn, last 105.76,,,,will see what happens at 106 and may sell early, plenty of other long positions still if it moves higher,

1213
may stall here es 1436 on scalps,,,titer stop on half might make sense

1210
TLT has now moved below yesterdays close,having been green earlier in day

1209
xlf and fas,,,made new daily highs, ahead of spy spx,,,,as expected since they were a bit stronger

1207
broke the 1434 on first try,,,foreshadowed by the early 74% ring :)

1149
when 74% rings like that,,,under the resist 1434,,,if will often break thru the resist without stall,,,no guar of course, just generality

1147
74% rang, es 1432

1134
fas or upro could work here

1133
72% rang at 1431 es

1104
a test fo 1434 ES would likely trigger 72%, unsure

1104
es 1431,,,70% rang for es long bias intraday,,,its early and not in 74--85% range, could go lower still, but 70% suggests basing (aka sideways with up bias)

1053
watching next 4 candles on 3min chart
 today es is moving in 4-6 candle "trends"
 this curr candle, first one in the new mini intraday trends

(10:40:30 AM): notice how xlf is a bit stronger than spx today, why i took fas

957
took FAS long


Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Thurs thoughts

404
single trade of 14 million dollars of CAT bought in time sales, green, at 4:01 PM

231
imo ES bullish into todays close, while over 1437 es

223
: cat hit 8712 trigger, watching if it reacts or not


220
CAT now on 72% long,,,took awhile, behind es

213
suggests poss over 1444 if the 3min signal plays out, within 9 minutes

213
: es 3min bell sounded

208
needs over 8712 to move, could trigger buying if 8712 hit

207
cat still buyable, at 8700 last

202
: 78% suggests over 1444 es, tho 1438 test lower first poss, valid while es over 1438, and bias not to test lower first but break higher instead

200
78% rang 1442.50 es

145148
78% almost ready to ring on es long intraday,,,hasnt rung yet but close


es 1448 and 1452 next trgts, with a cap likely at 1452,,,pb at 1452 if it got there, with poss break over 52 toward 1468 and 1488 later

142
quick to 1444, watching reactions now :)

141
1443 es trigger posted earlier today hit ,,,likely 1444 then over 1444 as a result

1259
1344 revised mini trgt from 1343 es

1235
active traders could take the $ from the sold upro, and buy cat,,,as an example

1234
IF it decides to try to catchup, CAT can get 89.70 trgt, last is 87.10,, 3% higher trgt

12091217
if one took upro from yest near close, this would be area to take gain on half, 2.2%ish, and keep half


if es gets 1443 without pb, watch out above,,,trying for the 1443 now

1208
CAT is lagging SPX on this lil pop :(      TMV has popped nicely up tho,,,,watching if cat catches up

1205
we could see a break without a stall ,,,given jump from 74 to 76 without stall pb

1205
clkearly there is resist ES 1438 1439,,,,but has enough momentum to break it higher,,tho usually would stall, esp at noontime

1200
usually would pb 2 points b4 76%,, possible earlier than normal pop in ES today,watching

1158
74% long bias intraday ES rang

1150
amd daily has a v nice bull diverg on price: rsi,,,look at sept 6 and sept 26 candles, also 8/8 and 9/11 candles suggest nice upward movement expectations for patient swings

1144
if AMD can get to 4.00 test,,,it may stall pb,,,but a break over 4.00 is likely if it tests that area,,,swings not intraday

1140
poss early stage breakout happening in AMD for higher, swings

1024
amd strong today vs spx,,,amd up 3% vs flat spx

1021
since i'm trading less hours these days, doing other stuff,,, i generally doing swings not quick trades,,,but if a new entry swing makes a decent move the same day, i'll quick trade it,,,but entry is made with intent to hold


940
for swings, the larger moves downside for shorts spx will be when 1.) TLT under 118, or (2) ES at 1488, or (3) ES daily exhibits tiredness in 1440--1460 range as manifested by bear diverg and smaller sideways candles.

 still looking for shorts in those conditions, if charts support it when condition met,,,still waiting for now, may take awhile (weeks)

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Wednesday thoughts

107
TLT daily chart since July, easy to see, simple: lower highs, lower lows

105
still see vtnc to 800 or 1200, could still double from here

103
VTNC made a nice move from 3.64 to 6.00 lately,,, 64% move since sept 7,,those small caps can really move around LOL

1259
TMV red 7% now,,,UPRO small pos red 5%,,,,but still valid trades imo,,,TMV has been good to us, giving multiple 20-30% gains on multiple trades,,,and TMF earlier in the year as TLT went up


1255
hi all,,, yest and this morn nice day for those short,,, hope y'all did well there, tho of  i wasnt short
swing existing positions, still same analysis, no changes or actions at this time
: still trading sporadically part time

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Tues thoughts

Travelling again :D

122
VTNC up 10%, possibly from insider trading news
: ceo  and cfo have bought stock
 those small caps can be wild volatile
everything else on swings, no changes in analysis, letting them bake


Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Monday thoughts

246
es array trgts 1452, 1458, 1462, 1468

243
if one took 1447 scalp signal, makes sense to tighten stop on half here, let half ride higher, 4 pts scalp gain

236
1457 next trgt on es on move over 1452.25 intraday

121
72% long ES bias rang, at 1448.25 es,,,its an intraday signal not swing

1104
imo,,,long swing still valid, and still buyable at these prices, for AMD  VTNC  AA

1103
 added more TMV here, at TLT 122.60, swing
TLT may see 123--124 first,,,but if TMV moves today i'll likely take profits on half of it and hold half,,,if it does not move ,,,intend to hold all shares for swing


Trades can be viewed at the links below.

http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1

For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Friday thoughts

112
VTNC up 6% today, toward its first trgt

1146
72% es trigeering poss reaction?

1143
 LOL this is so weird...i have AA and CAT charts near each other,,,just move the decimal place and they are the same price 9.17 and 91.70

1131
72% long bias es just rang, intraday,,, technically the signal is 72% SPX not ES

1120
may be buyable 89.50ish cat

1102
also trying to get a long in CAT, dow compon,,but no setup yet,,,CAT does well both long and short side, nice stock to trade

1056
bought AA long here, new position, layer 1 of poss 4, prob only will buy 2 layers, for swing, or if it moves today will take gains today

1029
dow compon DIS disney daily, continues to do well,,,,uptrend since nov 2011 with no big pb sideways like the spx dow had

946
ok out of TNA, stop hit, 3% quick profit trade from yest,,,plan was to trade this one fast and hold other positions...still holding the other stuff swing

832
6647 tite stop tna

931
tna mini trgt 6720,,will watch reaction if it hits there, ,,,at 3% gain atm

922
 it might not make 1488,,,but its the trgt until uptrend breaks

922
IF the ES gets up to 1468, i still will not short it for swings. still looks like it will try to test that area higher, no change in charts analysis from last 3 days.  i will continue waiting to short. possibly at 1388 or on lower TLT as mentinoed. Time analysis suggests it may be another 4 days before a swing short opp presents,,,imprecise approx quick look time analysis.

906
pre-market, TNA has overshort its 10:50 AM trgt set yest, but i'll wait to sell the TNA,,,see what it does in first 5--60minutes,,UPRO TMV still have same plan to hold for higher percent gains than tna

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Thurs thoughts

400
if TNA moves up during afterhours i will sell it, curr at a small gain now,,,,intend to keep all the upro amd tmv vtnc as swings with no afterhours sales

330
watching to see if they drop lower the bid, thus far havent, into the close

326
they r not shorting it, they r trading atm,,,by my reports

325
Market Makers have been in trade mode most of day,,,have started to do some gentle buying now, nothing major,,their spread is now tite and still in trade mode with the bias still higher while over the pivots

323
: back at the iwm 85.27 pivot again, watching reactions,,,

321
still at 74%,,,no changes, supports held, etc

139
watching if bears sell here, and push under 1447,,imo over 1447 remains bullish intraday

138
impt ES resist test now intraday, bias to break higher

104
TLT is at 77% lower bias now

12411252
added tna


imo 8527 more impt than 8540

1240
bears held 85.27 IWM so far,,,still watching that level

1204
IWM just hit 85.27 trigger,,,watching if it pops over .40 intraday for higher hi,,,

1202
74%

1200
72% likely will remain valid as long as ES over 1447

1200
 72% rang

1155
70% long bias just rang on es,,,intraday

1128
intraday, bears want IWM under 85.27,,,bulls over it,,,last 85.19,,,,a move over 8527 suggests a break over 8541 prior 3min chart high,

1050
65.70 mini trgt on TNA

1047
but, market maker and investment bank levels have NOT changed much since yest, a little but not much,,,until those change then ES remains capped to the upside

1046
for swing, a 60min candle close over ES 1455 would suggest a test of 1468, and it now suggests a later break of 1468 after stall on test, toward 1488ish approx

1039
AMD daily bull divergences, last drop was less intense (slowing down momentum), macd under 0 but on its way over 0, poss forming a higher low now on daily

1015
should have added to UPRO this morn instead of TNA,,,tried diversifying,, idea was that TNA will "catch up" and then "pass out" spx,,,will see what happens

949
es now testing overnite low support 1445

930
TNA filled in vse.marketwatch

911
i dont often do this, but bought TNA premarket, if it moves today will sell it, else will hold as swing, entry 1 of poss 4 entries,,,likely i will only add one more layer, or none at all, given other positions .... small port on vse.marketwatch.com i'll buy at the open if its near curr price, vse does not allow afterhours orders


Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".