Wednesday, June 19, 2013

Wedn thoughts


304
Getting some reactions here one day after 4pm system issued short sell alert (yest)


Trades can be viewed at the links below.

http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-100k-port/portfolio/Holdings 


For details on the portfolio see this posting:

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Tuesday, June 18, 2013

Tues thoughts


356
sold ung 3% gain.
bought UVXY 69.00

4pm system method: signal to enter new shorts, spx, and take gains on long is ringing here at 3:55 PM.


Trades can be viewed at the links below.

http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-100k-port/portfolio/Holdings 


For details on the portfolio see this posting:

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Monday, June 10, 2013

Monday thoughts

359
raising sell order on UNG to 21

352
still shortable at this price imo, if missed the 4pm system posting on friday 4pm

352
4pm sys says the bias is toward the lower buy level, not the higher sell levels

351
SPY buy/sell levels on Inv Bank: they are at 165 and 170 right now as we move into close...so in coming days those would prob cause a reaction

they are not interested here "in the middle"

328
ES SPX SPY looks headed lowere into the close today
1642 last ES

326
look at the uber light volume in SPY today....here comes summer

325
15min RSI on UNG is painting a kind of bull inv HS pattern,,,see it?

323
 ung far from its 5MA daily...snap back 1-3% ung, or 2-6% ugaz trgts


313
going to try a scalp on UNG...instead of UGAZ,,,,higher vol better fils on ung
20.28 UNG long

1154
NUGT and DUST have been even more volatile than UVXY vix, larger moves in the nugt dust gold miners long short

1152
no rush on the UVXY imo...of course it moves up fast...but usually there are at least a few small daily candles on it before big surge up...if i miss sudden move up without a fill 5877 then will look for other opps....still have the SPXU posted Friday, and lots of NUGT

1149
NUGT swing doing well.

have an order to buy UVXY 58.77 if it gets there,  60.75 last price

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Friday, June 7, 2013

Friday thoughts


359
took upro profit, xiv profit, and reversed to spxu

354
spy may want 168 higher before lower. 168 is Investment Bank Sell Level, but i'll take the 4pm trigger if over 164.60, may be early

349
here it is....164.60 spy ....needs to close over that and will exit UPRO and reverse short, in 4pm system

347
4pm system is VERY close to saying "exit long and immed reverse short'....but it has not rang...will wait unless it rings...1-2 points more may do it

311
4pm system is often early, and it is not yet signalling "take profits on long" or "reverse to short"....waiting at least for it to say exit long, b4 the uvxy....tho the system is close to giving signal as posted earlier today...watching


309
may want UVXY again, BUT not yet...i'd like to see SPX closer to todays highs, or higher,,,,UVXy can get small daily candles after these big ones and drip drip drip lower, so being picky n patient...b

1134
not adding nugt here since already bought more, but may add 1047 at next buy level

1133
NUGT is approaching its buy trgt posted b4 of 1070, last 1075,,,"close enough" to consider it being hit

1132
if spx pulls back a lot today, then 4pm sys will likely say "hold longs and dont exit yet and wait for re-test"_...... the system is 100% algo based without any human interpretation, so just postulating here based on prior experience

1128
IF the spx closes near here 1642, it looks like the 4pm trading system (82% win success rate since year 2000) is going to signal a "take profits in UPRO long and immediately reverse short SPX". Note that the 4pm system does NOT always say to short at same time as exiting the long position, this happens sometimes not always. will know more at 3:55PM

1059
nugt may be waking up here intraday scalp,,,sudden lil move here...watching for followthru. 1135 and 1180 trgt...have order in at 1180 for now in case of sudden surges

1053
4pm sys should give a "take profit on upro spx longs" in next 1-3 days fwiw....wont necesarrily give short signal right awa but may start to move sideways and stop bleeding a lil on shorts

1050
NUGT migth see 1070 lower, b4 higher, and poss add more there. 1070 is an Inv Bank buy area
1135 mini trgt 1 on nugt, last 1100

1049
enough shares to scalp some today/tomorrow, and hold rest for higher swing nugt

1048
bought nugt back 1101.

still have half position of nugt from lower price, averaged up not down, bought back shares sold at 1147 (posted lim order week ago,filled yest)

1030
posted few days ago that SPY had 82% chance of going over 163.50 (per 4pm swing system)... has exceeded it today at 164.28 last. still has not signaled an exit, and in UPRO from 126.40, last 133.63 upro


Trades can be viewed at the links below.

http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-100k-port/portfolio/Holdings 


For details on the portfolio see this posting:

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Thursday, June 6, 2013

Thurs thoughts


319
UVXY move to 740 was 27% gain  from 580. move to 840 t2 would be 44%. swing.

311
UVXY hit its 7.49 trgt today,posted several times past few days weeks...order filled, nice gains, still have a piece of UVXY left, and the UPRO from yest...still expect same as yest, that SPX would trade both above and below yest closing price, for opps on both long and short side, just depending on timeframe, tho still not quite sure which comes first


Trades can be viewed at the links below.

http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-100k-port/portfolio/Holdings 


For details on the portfolio see this posting:

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Wednesday, June 5, 2013

wedn thoughts


405
unique "in the middle" type price where both longs and shorts could work. imo price will go both above and below todays levels, just dont know which will come first,but both should come regardless of who comes first LOL.

403
UPRO here could work at 126.30, for a target of 131.50 and 135.00 approx.
I've bought some, half size upro in one account...the longer term account i'm keeping the UVXY 2/3 position...

400
IMO...the spx is susceptible to bounce and chance to reload shorts, 4pm sys on a buy long spx...more downside coming imo after bounce, so all depends on one's trading timeframe in choosing long or short, they could both work at this level

348
SPY is very close to its daily 50 moving avg now, basically testing it....overshoots under it are common, but so is stalling above it then bouncing...could do either in coming days

11:17 AM


: same trgts on uvxy nugt. uvxy may hit its trgt 1 today. or close to it.


UVXY move to 740 would be 27% up from 580. move to 840 t2 would be 44%. swing.

 nugt has a chance of doubling, or more. mid term holds. sounds like a lot but this is unusual chance in the miners. and other stocks in port have done similar



Trades can be viewed at the links below.

http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-100k-port/portfolio/Holdings 


For details on the portfolio see this posting:

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Monday, June 3, 2013

Monday thoughts


1224
15min SPY may try to bounce, but still see down bias on the 60m charts from timing perspective

1223
4-12 more hours down sideways bias on SPY for swings, UVXY may hit its swing targets in that time ...so holding now

1149
NUGT action today may be signif, as it finally broke higher and made a higher high today going back 16 days

1139
709 stall expected uvxy, last 695

1139
based on Inv Bank levels, i've lowered my sell order a bit on uvxy to 740 from 749, for today, to sell 1/3 there and take gains

1135
so, another opp imo for underwater shorts to get an exit...not necessarily right here, as lower expected....but watch for starts of sign back up and get out opp... similar to last opp posted awhile back to "get out and re-enter"

1133
swings,,,theres 82% chance that spx will go up and get a daily close over 1630,,,,but expecting  more downside first

based on results dating back to year 2000

1131
posted last week: expect pennant to convert to bull flag by resolving down...still could be bullish lil later but meanwhile enjoying the uvxy higher and spx lower

and thats waht we are seeing here

1128
swings NUGT up 10% today, UVXY up 8%...still same swing targets and acting as expected
UVXY may get its 724-749 trgt soon...last 689
then 840, then 3rd trgt not set yet



Trades can be viewed at the links below.

http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-100k-port/portfolio/Holdings 


For details on the portfolio see this posting:

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".