353
selling most of swing CAT here for about 9% roi,,,will keep small amoutn,,may try to buy back later lower ,,
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Thursday, June 30, 2011
Friday, June 24, 2011
Friday thoughts
334
perhaps es gets 1270 b4 the close
315
*127.44
315
lowering order,spy 128.44 lim sell if able, at resist test
248
keeping intc longs over weekend,,,intc daily higher low, not near yest low like spy
245
there is resist at 127.50 tho,,,
245
will sell spy 127.83 lim if able
211
spy wick over 128.20
206
theres es 126475,,,bulls need to step up here
153
XLU util etf moving higher
146
if unp can get over 101.10 then good chance it has made its low of day
143
in a perfect world on this pattern, es wouldnt go under 1264.75 thru rest of day
140
3 large 3min es green candles,,,near turn time,,,bulls trying here,,watching for followthru
117
15min UNP stoch is flattening at 35,,combined with the 15min candle patterns, this often results in resumption of the prior stoch direction, in this case up
1250
time analysis suggests 1:17pm turn time, if accurate
1249
adding here at ES 1265,,via SPY
1030
paper trade, not a real trade: intc 22 calls at 28 cents....want to explore how intc acts on the optinos side, i am long the underlying instead
1027
weak,but bullish vol diverg
1027
thus far,,,ES 9am and 10am candles 60min:::: volume is less today
1024
compare 3min intc to 3min spy
1015
adding more intc 2156,,for over 2172 trgts
1012
ES,,,a 15min close back over 1273,,,will maybe mean the low of day is in when that happens
952
es 1273 long via spy,,upro is 3x for more leverage
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
perhaps es gets 1270 b4 the close
315
*127.44
315
lowering order,spy 128.44 lim sell if able, at resist test
248
keeping intc longs over weekend,,,intc daily higher low, not near yest low like spy
245
there is resist at 127.50 tho,,,
245
will sell spy 127.83 lim if able
211
spy wick over 128.20
206
theres es 126475,,,bulls need to step up here
153
XLU util etf moving higher
146
if unp can get over 101.10 then good chance it has made its low of day
143
in a perfect world on this pattern, es wouldnt go under 1264.75 thru rest of day
140
3 large 3min es green candles,,,near turn time,,,bulls trying here,,watching for followthru
117
15min UNP stoch is flattening at 35,,combined with the 15min candle patterns, this often results in resumption of the prior stoch direction, in this case up
1250
time analysis suggests 1:17pm turn time, if accurate
1249
adding here at ES 1265,,via SPY
1030
paper trade, not a real trade: intc 22 calls at 28 cents....want to explore how intc acts on the optinos side, i am long the underlying instead
1027
weak,but bullish vol diverg
1027
thus far,,,ES 9am and 10am candles 60min:::: volume is less today
1024
compare 3min intc to 3min spy
1015
adding more intc 2156,,for over 2172 trgts
1012
ES,,,a 15min close back over 1273,,,will maybe mean the low of day is in when that happens
952
es 1273 long via spy,,upro is 3x for more leverage
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Thursday, June 23, 2011
Thursday thoughts
403
INTC has a bull key reversal day candle, tho its not a great one,,,would have been better if intc low was 2090 and hi was 2190,,,it engulfed yest candel daily but the daily 4 day range is wider
401
CAT closed up 0.39% from yest close after a 3.5% intraday move,,,INTC closed up 1.47% cs yest close
326
FDX trading over yesterdays high atm
318
CAT blew thru the 9987 trgt,,, still have 103,,,107,,,111 trgts
315
INTC has done nothing for 10 years,,,,if it gets moving it could see 30 as its a heavily shorted stock,,,nothing to suggest that atm,,,just a thought
313
not sure if it can do it,,but a daily close over 2175/ pref 2200/2210 intc would be v significant
312
INTC has tested and marginally broken yesterdays high
308
a few days ago we talked about how turbulence often accompanies a macd hist daily cross from <0 to over 0,,,this action today is typical of that as it crossed yest/day b4 on SPY
300
WOW huge green candles ES CAT UNP 3min charts
206
LOL the CAT daily chart is now a mess,,,with a bad data print to $9,877.00,,crazy data,,dont know if i ever saw a 10,000 dollar misprint before
203
cat chopping around now in 9860--9920 area,,,waiting for settlement b4 any more scalps there
201
exiting scalp CAT 9900,,,will keep swing piece,,and buy back later,,from 9730 entry this morn
119
raising stop on CAT to 9857,,,if stopped will take profit and look to reenter again lower..... last .81
103
**1.52%,,,typo
101
taking another piece of CAT off here makes sense, 2.52% profit, to hold the rest for higher
1251
*9875
1251
CAT making new daily highs,,watching reation at 9900 if gets there,,,interim trgt,,,9975 last
1239
15min ES stoch is getting flat,,,usually not always it will resume its prior direction b4 the flatness,,,in this case up
1216
: for scalp part of scalp/swing combo,,i chose CAT because it made a nice early morn high then pulled backk,,,so traded the retest of high (which its done),,,,,now watching to see if it can break it higher or not,,,,also, intraday CAT is outperforming DOW heavily,,,, DIA went up 0.44% since cat entry,,,vs CAT up since entry 1.33%
1208
5 days or so ago,,,i mentinoed that SPY macd hist was near to cross above 0,,,and that this is often volatile but eventually higher,,,, we are seeing that now as it crossed over yest
1206
CAT may stall here at its high of day test,,,watching reactions for stall or breakthru higher
1204
but diversified,,,also using UNP FDX for transports instead of IYT
1203
CAT market maker reports suggesting institutinos like this stock for multimonth holds
1154
but that timing analysis is just another tool like rsi stoch etc,,,can't trade on it alone
1153
yesterday i posted to expect a low today at 11am,,,thus far low of day was at 10:51 am bar on ES 3min chart
1138
makes sense to take profits on part of CAT here,,,1.1% roi from this morn,,then try re-enter lower if able else run with rest of positino higher
1137
3min chart hit .45 not .47 ,,,chart suggests maybe pb on cat b4 over .47,,,considering .47 trgt hit here ,,,, .40 last
1121
trying for 9987 today if able,,,else may need to sell scalp part lower
1119
CAT scalp/swing trgts: 98.47,,99.87,,103, 107, 111,,last 97.75 from 97.30 entry this morn
1058
ES is at the beggininng of the 11am--1pm timing bottom from yest,,,watching reactions here as it enters the beginning of the stage
1049
on daily charts,,,if ES breaks 1250 then it will start to form a megaphone volatile bottom mentinoed yesterday,,and could be in for a very volatile wild summer,,,not saying it will break,,,just something to watch
1029
CAT 9730
951am
looks like we got that down hard,,tho harder than i expected,,,,may enter partial long early,,,still looking at 11am--1pm for poss bott short term for 2 hour--3 day swing
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
INTC has a bull key reversal day candle, tho its not a great one,,,would have been better if intc low was 2090 and hi was 2190,,,it engulfed yest candel daily but the daily 4 day range is wider
401
CAT closed up 0.39% from yest close after a 3.5% intraday move,,,INTC closed up 1.47% cs yest close
326
FDX trading over yesterdays high atm
318
CAT blew thru the 9987 trgt,,, still have 103,,,107,,,111 trgts
315
INTC has done nothing for 10 years,,,,if it gets moving it could see 30 as its a heavily shorted stock,,,nothing to suggest that atm,,,just a thought
313
not sure if it can do it,,but a daily close over 2175/ pref 2200/2210 intc would be v significant
312
INTC has tested and marginally broken yesterdays high
308
a few days ago we talked about how turbulence often accompanies a macd hist daily cross from <0 to over 0,,,this action today is typical of that as it crossed yest/day b4 on SPY
300
WOW huge green candles ES CAT UNP 3min charts
206
LOL the CAT daily chart is now a mess,,,with a bad data print to $9,877.00,,crazy data,,dont know if i ever saw a 10,000 dollar misprint before
203
cat chopping around now in 9860--9920 area,,,waiting for settlement b4 any more scalps there
201
exiting scalp CAT 9900,,,will keep swing piece,,and buy back later,,from 9730 entry this morn
119
raising stop on CAT to 9857,,,if stopped will take profit and look to reenter again lower..... last .81
103
**1.52%,,,typo
101
taking another piece of CAT off here makes sense, 2.52% profit, to hold the rest for higher
1251
*9875
1251
CAT making new daily highs,,watching reation at 9900 if gets there,,,interim trgt,,,9975 last
1239
15min ES stoch is getting flat,,,usually not always it will resume its prior direction b4 the flatness,,,in this case up
1216
: for scalp part of scalp/swing combo,,i chose CAT because it made a nice early morn high then pulled backk,,,so traded the retest of high (which its done),,,,,now watching to see if it can break it higher or not,,,,also, intraday CAT is outperforming DOW heavily,,,, DIA went up 0.44% since cat entry,,,vs CAT up since entry 1.33%
1208
5 days or so ago,,,i mentinoed that SPY macd hist was near to cross above 0,,,and that this is often volatile but eventually higher,,,, we are seeing that now as it crossed over yest
1206
CAT may stall here at its high of day test,,,watching reactions for stall or breakthru higher
1204
but diversified,,,also using UNP FDX for transports instead of IYT
1203
CAT market maker reports suggesting institutinos like this stock for multimonth holds
1154
but that timing analysis is just another tool like rsi stoch etc,,,can't trade on it alone
1153
yesterday i posted to expect a low today at 11am,,,thus far low of day was at 10:51 am bar on ES 3min chart
1138
makes sense to take profits on part of CAT here,,,1.1% roi from this morn,,then try re-enter lower if able else run with rest of positino higher
1137
3min chart hit .45 not .47 ,,,chart suggests maybe pb on cat b4 over .47,,,considering .47 trgt hit here ,,,, .40 last
1121
trying for 9987 today if able,,,else may need to sell scalp part lower
1119
CAT scalp/swing trgts: 98.47,,99.87,,103, 107, 111,,last 97.75 from 97.30 entry this morn
1058
ES is at the beggininng of the 11am--1pm timing bottom from yest,,,watching reactions here as it enters the beginning of the stage
1049
on daily charts,,,if ES breaks 1250 then it will start to form a megaphone volatile bottom mentinoed yesterday,,and could be in for a very volatile wild summer,,,not saying it will break,,,just something to watch
1029
CAT 9730
951am
looks like we got that down hard,,tho harder than i expected,,,,may enter partial long early,,,still looking at 11am--1pm for poss bott short term for 2 hour--3 day swing
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Wednesday, June 22, 2011
Wednesday thoughts
324
will be interesting to see,,,current analysis suggests some type of basing with poss long entry 11am--1pm,,,if this is right
322
i have a minor timing alert around 11 AM tomorrow
302
INTC has miniature daily candle
247
2167,,2189,,2208 INTC trgts,,
151
INTC 21.52 swing long
137
UNP 102.80 adding,,,will scalp/swing combo
130
cancelled order on ebay short,never filled
1213
UNP can also be scalped,,it is slightly more volatile than SPY, less than the 2x etfs,,tho when it picks a direction it can move faster than the 2x (mostly for swings on faster)
1153
if ebay short is filled, order to close at .27 trgt
1150
if filled, will lim sell UNP 104.97 from 103.17 cost
1130
105 and 110/111 trgts on unp,,
1129
15min ....3min chart suggests may make new daily high and not come back down here,,,unsure
1129
in UNP long swing now, 103.17,,,paying premium,,,may add more later on pb
1120
lim order UNP 102.27 if filled, if not may pay higher,later
1118
since May, UNP daily has held a rectangle formation vs the downside spx chart
1117
(railroad transports play)
1117
watching for reentry long in UNP, 3-15 day swing
1104
watching EBAY for poss short entry sccalp
1016
Market Maker reports suggest that MM are buying key DOW stocks here,,,but letting the price drop,, buying as it drops. not sure how long they continue to let it drop, but suggests a long opp may present today,,,no setup yet,,, the 15min chart should give the signal.
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
will be interesting to see,,,current analysis suggests some type of basing with poss long entry 11am--1pm,,,if this is right
322
i have a minor timing alert around 11 AM tomorrow
302
INTC has miniature daily candle
247
2167,,2189,,2208 INTC trgts,,
151
INTC 21.52 swing long
137
UNP 102.80 adding,,,will scalp/swing combo
130
cancelled order on ebay short,never filled
1213
UNP can also be scalped,,it is slightly more volatile than SPY, less than the 2x etfs,,tho when it picks a direction it can move faster than the 2x (mostly for swings on faster)
1153
if ebay short is filled, order to close at .27 trgt
1150
if filled, will lim sell UNP 104.97 from 103.17 cost
1130
105 and 110/111 trgts on unp,,
1129
15min ....3min chart suggests may make new daily high and not come back down here,,,unsure
1129
in UNP long swing now, 103.17,,,paying premium,,,may add more later on pb
1120
lim order UNP 102.27 if filled, if not may pay higher,later
1118
since May, UNP daily has held a rectangle formation vs the downside spx chart
1117
(railroad transports play)
1117
watching for reentry long in UNP, 3-15 day swing
1104
watching EBAY for poss short entry sccalp
1016
Market Maker reports suggest that MM are buying key DOW stocks here,,,but letting the price drop,, buying as it drops. not sure how long they continue to let it drop, but suggests a long opp may present today,,,no setup yet,,, the 15min chart should give the signal.
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Friday, June 17, 2011
Friday thoughts
326
we still have 35 min b4 close so vol could change, but are sellers getting tired/fewer? Less volume on today's selloff, Candle from 2 days ago on ES has higher volume ,,, spy shows similar, with a higher low
238
MCD 8260 last....approaching 8297 trgt, up 1% today
221
82% buy alert es
220
es 3min made marginal break higher on horiz resist
218
poss TBT breakout higher coming here (lower TLT),,tho i have no positions there
142
1267/68 remains impt ES pivot to watch,,,move back above it, with a 15min candle close over it, would negate prior quick spike under it
129
upro 6995,,,sso 4900
127
early entry 1264 es long could work, must be willing to endure poss lower low first
124
step 1 on patterns says 1263 ES may be low of day since 9:30 AM now,, but is NOT confirmed,,,pattern needs confirm
116
CORN was up this morn but has turned back down as expected,,,but still no long setup swing imo,,waiting,,prob till next week
112
ES is forming a possible pattern that will suggest the low of day is in, but not baked yet,,,another 15-60minutes needed,,watching to see if pattern confirms,,,not suggesting low is in yet,,,pattern still in dev
1147
interim trgt 13.06 on ATML, last 12.84 from 12.68 entry this morn,,,will sell 1306 if able and then try to buy back, may change later depending on charts intraday
1045
15min bar clkosed just over the 1268, right at trgt for now,,,watching still awhile, for multihour timeframe imo is bullish while closing over it, sugg poss basing after the gap,, 3min suggests could go lower in meantime
1014
*13.33
1013
13.37 ATML first trgt, 5.3% roi if hit
1008
ATML is more volatile alt for INTC, semicond
1007
12.68 ATML long
951
watching if ES 15min candle closes stay over 1268ish ES, a bit higher from the prior 1265ish ES last 2 days
945
CORN long may present an opp swing but waiting for entry,,,watching to see what it does here,,,will usually take one more trip down first, w this pattern
934
took profits in AET 43.75,,,will look to reenter. took profits in AIG 28.4,, will look to reenter later,,, holding csco longer
929
GM
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
we still have 35 min b4 close so vol could change, but are sellers getting tired/fewer? Less volume on today's selloff, Candle from 2 days ago on ES has higher volume ,,, spy shows similar, with a higher low
238
MCD 8260 last....approaching 8297 trgt, up 1% today
221
82% buy alert es
220
es 3min made marginal break higher on horiz resist
218
poss TBT breakout higher coming here (lower TLT),,tho i have no positions there
142
1267/68 remains impt ES pivot to watch,,,move back above it, with a 15min candle close over it, would negate prior quick spike under it
129
upro 6995,,,sso 4900
127
early entry 1264 es long could work, must be willing to endure poss lower low first
124
step 1 on patterns says 1263 ES may be low of day since 9:30 AM now,, but is NOT confirmed,,,pattern needs confirm
116
CORN was up this morn but has turned back down as expected,,,but still no long setup swing imo,,waiting,,prob till next week
112
ES is forming a possible pattern that will suggest the low of day is in, but not baked yet,,,another 15-60minutes needed,,watching to see if pattern confirms,,,not suggesting low is in yet,,,pattern still in dev
1147
interim trgt 13.06 on ATML, last 12.84 from 12.68 entry this morn,,,will sell 1306 if able and then try to buy back, may change later depending on charts intraday
1045
15min bar clkosed just over the 1268, right at trgt for now,,,watching still awhile, for multihour timeframe imo is bullish while closing over it, sugg poss basing after the gap,, 3min suggests could go lower in meantime
1014
*13.33
1013
13.37 ATML first trgt, 5.3% roi if hit
1008
ATML is more volatile alt for INTC, semicond
1007
12.68 ATML long
951
watching if ES 15min candle closes stay over 1268ish ES, a bit higher from the prior 1265ish ES last 2 days
945
CORN long may present an opp swing but waiting for entry,,,watching to see what it does here,,,will usually take one more trip down first, w this pattern
934
took profits in AET 43.75,,,will look to reenter. took profits in AIG 28.4,, will look to reenter later,,, holding csco longer
929
GM
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Thursday, June 16, 2011
Thursday thoughts
401 pm
AIG CSCO AET all outperformed spx today,,,spx SPY up 0.22%,,they were up 0.50% (twice as good).,, 1.42% (6 times better) ,,,, and 0.70% (3 times better)
1214
still no real 60min ES close over 1265, continuing to watch since 9:18AM, tho its trying
918
watching for 60min es close over 1265
8:58 am
my charts still have same setup as yest at close,,,suggests long spx,,,from pattern forming prior 3 days,,for multihour/days holds
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
AIG CSCO AET all outperformed spx today,,,spx SPY up 0.22%,,they were up 0.50% (twice as good).,, 1.42% (6 times better) ,,,, and 0.70% (3 times better)
1214
still no real 60min ES close over 1265, continuing to watch since 9:18AM, tho its trying
918
watching for 60min es close over 1265
8:58 am
my charts still have same setup as yest at close,,,suggests long spx,,,from pattern forming prior 3 days,,for multihour/days holds
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Wednesday, June 15, 2011
Wednesday thoughts
346
an ES close over 1263 would be decent, imo, tho still in bottom part of candle
343
Market Maker reports suggest "someone" was buying AET today,,,will see what happens in that stock in coming days
342
if AET could get a close over 43.44 that would be nice tho not required
329
MCD only down a few cents, near flat, vs 1.8% down in spx,,,but waiting to add MCD longs,,,,charts suggest it may want another trip lower first,,,,also they may sell the "safe" mcd to buy the small caps,,so waiting on re-entry
321
if the financials decide to rally,,, AET may get side benefit and do well in coming days,,,the AET chart daily stronger than spx
315
agressive could go long swing spx here,,,this is setup from yesterday
1220
of course, ES and SPX # are more valid than sso
1219
4866 is prior SSO low
1153
long in AIG, 28.01
1151
filled on SSO 48.90
1145
lim sso 48.90 if able
1131
idea: for multihour /days holds, AIG (lol *gag* yea i know) is forming a decent base on 15min and also daily, with scalps poss in meantime,, 15min bull diverg forming,
1035
also looking to buy back shares in TBT that were sold yest (equiv to 2x short of TLT)
1033
still looking for opp to reenter spx long swing, same setup as yest, not baked yet all the way,,,may need another 1-4 hours,, also looking to buy back shares in MCD sold yest but no buyback yet,,, MCD now testing yest highs already and may breakout, not buying that breakout,,will wait for settling down
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
an ES close over 1263 would be decent, imo, tho still in bottom part of candle
343
Market Maker reports suggest "someone" was buying AET today,,,will see what happens in that stock in coming days
342
if AET could get a close over 43.44 that would be nice tho not required
329
MCD only down a few cents, near flat, vs 1.8% down in spx,,,but waiting to add MCD longs,,,,charts suggest it may want another trip lower first,,,,also they may sell the "safe" mcd to buy the small caps,,so waiting on re-entry
321
if the financials decide to rally,,, AET may get side benefit and do well in coming days,,,the AET chart daily stronger than spx
315
agressive could go long swing spx here,,,this is setup from yesterday
1220
of course, ES and SPX # are more valid than sso
1219
4866 is prior SSO low
1153
long in AIG, 28.01
1151
filled on SSO 48.90
1145
lim sso 48.90 if able
1131
idea: for multihour /days holds, AIG (lol *gag* yea i know) is forming a decent base on 15min and also daily, with scalps poss in meantime,, 15min bull diverg forming,
1035
also looking to buy back shares in TBT that were sold yest (equiv to 2x short of TLT)
1033
still looking for opp to reenter spx long swing, same setup as yest, not baked yet all the way,,,may need another 1-4 hours,, also looking to buy back shares in MCD sold yest but no buyback yet,,, MCD now testing yest highs already and may breakout, not buying that breakout,,will wait for settling down
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
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