Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Wedn ramblings (and Tues eve ES futures)

427
fwiw, on SPY weekly charts, every stochastic 14,3,3 double top since May 2009 has resulted in a pullback to the 15 or 20 period weekly moving averages,,, a stoch dbl top is now being carved out in SPY and already has the bearish cross on it, with SPY 20 MA at 122.43,,, 15MA = 124.44,, 50 MA = 116.12

404
CORN /ZC has a shooting star,,,still short DBA from yest

359
TLT scalps could take 0.8% profit,,,i'm holding most of mine as swing, with a lil profit taking here,,, TLT or tbt

348
es low vol today, spin top, normal after yest and prior 3 days

345
oil overnight is too tricky here for me,,,staying out both long and short

335
scalpers on tbt short might get 1-2% profit b4 close,,,
i will def hold at least some of thie long tlt short tbt overnight swing

329
imo,,,i still see the daily es spx moving sideways another 5 sessions,,,,approx 1260--1306 ES

319
TLT calls, or tbt puts, could work here

252
TLT 60min in a bull fallinig wedge,,,bought here at wedge support, macd MmM bull pattern,bull diverg 15min rsi, 10min chart testing Parab SAR resist

249
waiting on a tbt swing position,,,to hold multi weeks months, no entries yet

247
i still see higher tbt but think TLT has a bounce in it

246
long TLT 9003 here, scalp swing,,,or can short 2x TBT

213
on 25% of USO left now,,,may re-enter, lkater

207
mental stop 3826 uso for half of remaing half,,,i always keep 25% at breakeven stop, lower

205
uso is v close to resist now,,,watching careful here for stall or break higher or move lower, scalp R, 3835 last, near its posted trgt

202
about 1% prof in uso, 2%ish on  uco 2x

202
taking off half the uso here 3826 to guar profits, hold other half


201
uso emerg stop hard at 38.12 in case of sudden down move

157
USO daily has the adam in adam/eve bull pattern,, so whipsaw and chop in oil would be normal in coming days, if eve forms

151
uso 60min has bull flag, which i'm trading inside

134
USO SCO just hit 3822 scalp trgt, 0.95% / 1.8% profit,,,,

125
3822   3837 USO scalp trgts,,,will watch reaction at .22 to see if taking it off there of holding longer, last .14,, tricky in oil cuz of us dollar bullish basing

107
IBM puts are starting to look like they could work around here,,maybe let it go higher, or enter on break of support

1255
uso may want 3725 or lower for swings, options,,,just a scalp for now, may hold as initial swing entry if it doesnt go anywhere,,,

1245
3820 scalp trgtr uso

1244
going long USO here 3793 , small starter position,,,for scalp swing,,,not spot for options entry imo,, UCO is the 2x long oil alternative

1232
still short euro via EUO from yest, 0.80% roi atm,,,ibm 0.14%, spxu --1.26% red, vxx 0.25%, dba short still,,holding all for now

1224
USO UCO oil are starting to form long swing patterns, no entry yet, may take another few hours , unknown,,60min needs to pb more imo b4 entry

1209
cancelling TZA scalp order, never filled

1207
DBA small candle daily but starting to fill small gap,,,may be cracking,,,still short dba from yest, agric swing

1201
1440 last

1200
1434 tza lim if filled

1158
tza 1440 almost ready, no entry yet

1154
WOW silver just took a hit lower, 3min, no pos there

1153
my tza trgt to buy yest was 1417, it hit 1420 near that trgt but didnt entr,,,wanted to see sideways first

1152
lim buy tza 1422, last 1439,, for scalp,,, will prob pay higher but order is there for now,,, this is a small position for dinner money only,,, may need to try a few times or take losses

1146
using tza instead of spxu for scalp since it looks like tza has about twice the daily range

1142
TZA 60min has bull harami on it, but unconfirmed, so i am trying to trade the pullback b4 the confirm with expect of confirm later, based on 3min charts, also watching macd rsi

1137
looking for entry in TZA for scalp/ swing combo,,,if it hits day trgt i'll sell else keep as swing,,,no entries yet

1110
1298 es trgt , test low, no position just watching,,
..............................
well i have the spxu swing from yest currently red 1.3% but not from today,,,still see higher spxu, lower es  spx for swings

1103
prob wont get filled, but have an order to double my position DBA Mar 19 2011 32.0 Put,, for 5 cents lim, last  .15/.25

1049
CANCELLING order lim to add vxx 2953, will do manually, never filled, still have the starter position 3035 cost from yest

1042
caution: VXX is very wild and only for aggressive trades, or in small size positions to allow for wide stops, imo vxx should only be part of a mixed portfolio with other positions mixed in

1031
2953 vxx lim could work long, last 30.10

1013
yesterday i suggested today could be a spin top whipsaw day, thus far we have it on the daily candle in ES,,, breaks of support could cause a bigger candle but for now we have chop within a small candle spin top / doji

1011
still waiting for SLV long opp to present, none found yet, missed yesterdays nice pop up,,, still see a pb comoing in slv,,,watching to see if "go long" swing slv develops b4 "go short swing"

1010
IBM at 60min support here, could bounce or sideways, but real trgt 1 is 162.15 lower, last 16287 from 16325 short entry,,, other swing target IBM is to fill the gap 15300ish  151.52ish

1000
IBM is not pariticpating in the rally on spx 3min chart, ibm 3min down

913
VXX is up nicely pre-market, IBM is down (good for shorts), euro is down (good for shorts),

........... Corn is higher (but staying short tho red right now)

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

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