Monday thoughts

400
a small short position could work AH if ES gets 1425

353
slight overshoot on the 8800 upro trgt, will close this one out today, before 4pm
hoilding other swing positinos still

335
still think agq silver will hit 47 and 50

323
missed upro trgt by 12 cents, raising order to sell at 8900 instead of 8800 since it will often overshoot on near misses like that,,,will re-eval later if 8900 not not

301
Still have limit order to sell UPRO 8800, approaching target now


Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Mon thoughts

1255
hit 4489---holding sexond half until 1259pm or 10.14

1246
took profit on half nugt, about 1.5% gain, 2 hours

1243
4484 next gdx trgt

1240
or unless 10.14 limit order to sell is filled, tho prob wont make that high. on nugt

1240
hit .70 trgt, holding a bit longer on nugt until they drop their bids

1232
for NUGT:  44.70 gdx trgt if able

1136
Market makers invest banks are not buying the gdx nugt, but they raised their sell levels. watching to see if can scalp a lil piece here on this slow day


1130
 long NUGT

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Friday thoughts

359
out of AA which didnt give much. tho TZA and NUGT daytrades were ok for a slow day, about 2.5% gains for all three

354
i will close the AA trade b4 the close

331
hit 1425 trgt es, may try 1428

249
78% still long bias,same trgt

242
1427 MM sell level atm on ES

241
MM just dropped both bids and asks,,,watching reaction,,possible invalidation and break lowr

234
suggests 1425 and 28 if the 21 holds

232
ES 76% long rang, but unusual tight and signal only valid while ES over 1421...usually is wider looser than that

150
Long in AA

1242
decided to close nugt cuz was only a scalp. have the AGQ for swing and other positions swing.  going out for awhile, may scalp again later. todays closed scalp tza 13.76--13.92 and nugt 9.84--9.95,,,about 1% gain on each

1239
changed my mind, took profits on NUGT sclap

1236
so , i've set my lim order on scalp to just under the MM level for NUGT, if i did the calc conversion right from GDX to NUGT,,,may adjust it later LOL

1233
4503 and 4560 MM buy sell levels on GDX atm, intraday, they are somewhat near but not exactly at the 15min boll bands

1230
1014 nugt trgt for now, may exit b4 then, scalp...have the agq for swing

1202
watching next 5 candles on NUGT 3min chart

1154
long NUGT

1142
tza will prob hit other targets, but its only a scalp so decided to exit on 1392 trgt from 1476 entry this morn, primarily because ES is near support and not wanting to stick around to see if holds bounces or breaks

1138
13.92 tza trgt was just achieved, still waiting on 1400,,,,,14.12 trgt but will take 1400 exit

1134
74% rang es

1109
1392 wuold be easier exit, trying for 1400 for now,,one could choose to hold longer but for now just scalping this

1108
watching here on the tza scalp now, to take quick scalp profit, no exit yet but may come in next 1--9 min

1059
72% sell signal intraday rang on IWM. also, MM gentle sell interest here


1054
1 trgt  1400 tza

1053
bull harami on 15min but uncfonfirmed one

1052
tza trade partial rational: bought 2nd lower low on 3min chart, after it based a few candles and began move up

1046
tza long 13.76. scalping only for now in tza

1019
when NUGT or GDX pulls back on the 15min chart, and then moves sideways basing, may present an opp for new long

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Thurs thoughts

355
going to close the tza scalp small gain,,have other positions swing already non-tza, didnt move much

302
71% short signal intraday rang, es  iwm,, es 1437.50 and tza 13.47

232
13.77 trgt 1 on tza

231
possible investment bank mini sell interest, is reason

230
bought tza 13.48

217
13.21 i'll buy tza if it hits there today, above 13.17

156
IF the IWM decides to push higher, it should set up a shortable bearish divergence on the 60 minute charts, one is currently in process of forming,,, timing analysis suggests that it could take 4-8 trading hours, but that time would be reduced if a large move was made today instead

127
there is HUGE volume in silver today SLV. perhaps capitulation, to be followed by higher. possible react same way as Nov. 2 high volume day

1030
i have no idea whats going on with silver, i'm red there now
,,,,but the same happened with my oil trade swing: went red first, then recovered

1028
: even 13.17, the first time will be a small profit,,,
that is, when iwm es gets to resist, it will pb, so can short it, but the first pb will likely be bought, so limited downside first time

10:28
tza may not get down to the buy level of  13.17, i might try tza higher, but for now, 13.17 is still the number

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Wedn thoughts

225
added more silver via AGQ

219
first trip to es 1425ish is likely to be bought if it gets there,last 1436

216
: need to be careful...see that bull flag on IWM 60min?  if it breaks higher, trgt approx 85.70, but willing to take tza earlier near IWM 85.20 since there is resist there too

206
IWM starting to become shortable for swings imo, just needs a little more time, still waiting for the setup to enter the first layer short

133
Silver may still drop another 1-2 % from here, but imo its attractive at these prices for swings
long using SLV or AGQ

114
maybe in 1 hour tza will be buyable intraday-- watch to see if it can put in some sideways candles on the 15min chart to stop the bleeding, and a move over those tight range 15min highs could give an entry,,or a buy near the 15min lows AFTER it has based sideways, for a trade to hold for minutes---hours

1247
85.20 IWM is about where i'm looking to short,

1247
also a pullback in oil on the 15min or 60min chart is buyable imo, depends on how long one wants to hold it, UCO or USO, may not get it today , might need to wait

1247
placed limit order to buy tza 13.17, after cancelling this morn to wait it out, may raise price later but for now remains 13.17

1101
uco stop 27.84 to protect gains, in case of sudden move down

1056
investment banks have not dropped the "buy level" yet on oil, if they do drop it, i'll exit sooner

1055
UCO order lim sell to take profit at 29.00 if able, will prob adjust it a bit later, dont usually hacve orders with .00  on them

1045
OIL is really moving here today :)

1041
but thats just me, i am only trading the extremes now on indices dow spx russell, and using commod oil gold silver tlt bonds treasuries and individ stocks ibm cat intc etc while not at extreme


1040
my silver got hammered yest but still see higher silver for swing, but not adding to it, not layering or averaging.  Oil however is doing well, holding that also for higher.  AGQ  UCO


1038
still waiting to see if tza wants 13.17 or not, may buy it there

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Tues thoughts

1257
: i just place an order on tza: below the market, limit 13.17, about 5% lower than here

1255
out of IBM, made a nice 2 day move, should still go higher but i dont want to watch it. will re-eval using these funds later, prob for something else not IBM

1250
Getting ready to exit longs in IBM, no exit yet but stop tightened. already out of TNA. silver took a dive but holding that one still. all swings

947
if one bought silver yesterday, could take half off here and keep half. AGQ up 1% atm, should see 51.50ish next

946
IBM is up this morning a bit more than spx dow, and ibm is testing resistance, which looks like it will break higher after consolod or pb first. i will hold the IBM, having already posted the exit in TNA

941
ES hit yesterday's posted targets in the overnight session. Intraday over 1424 ES would be bullish, under that could push prices lower, but any break under 1424 that comes after 11AM today is likely to be bought on the first break.

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Mon thoughts

400
ES just hit 1425.75 just under the 1426 secondary trgt
1431 looks poss now

359
i ythink silver moving up coming days, may have bottomed today on the 60min and daily charts

356
es testing the 12/3 daily high now

345
ES just hit its 1422 target posted 2 hours ago, 1426 next, tho its at scalp trgt right now, from the 72% long signal

237
TLT looks like it wants under 122 in the coming hours days

221
moving lower here but on lower vol,,,tricky
susceptible to rapid move back up

215
: if ES gets 1421, it might not go lower the rest of today

214
76%, 1422, 1426 t

204
4 minutes later, at 76%, 1422, 1426 t

200
1422 would be trgt 1

200
72% long bias rang on ES, intraday signal not swing, at 1418

119
1455, 1461 intraday resist tza

116
if silver moves today, may take half off and keep half for later

141
added silver long via AGQ

1226
ES just hit the 1422 target posted last week late, still looks higher, may get a pb first

1222
60 min charts for ES TF SPY IWM are now on buy dip long for next 2-16 hours

1145
spx daily still bullish for now.
1398 and 1410 are spx supports on daily. in order to convert to daily downtrend, 1410 at least must break with a close under it

1385 is another support under that,,then it could make a run for 1340,,,but needs to slice through those first imo

1142
IBM outperforming the dow right now, IBM up 1% vs dow up 0.6%

1139
IBM trying to break 193.50 resist, if it does the dow may follow, the dow jones indus is heavily weighted by IBM which is the most expensive dow compnon, ibm near 200 vs cvx near 100

1138
silver still buyable long swings imo, days weeks hold times, to actively trade in out, SLV or AGQ 2x

1119
  lim order filled, took profit for now, tna

1117
just noticed my lim order from friday for tna was missed by one penny LOL... high 5969, order at 5970

 tna should hit 60.12ish

955
same targets, same limit orders to sell position, for TNA and silver AGQ. For now, holding the oil UCO and IBMfor higher

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Friday thoughts

400
interesting that IBM made a high today over yesterdays high, tho it didnt hold the gain. dow which ibm is a compon of, did not make the high. dow is heavily weighted by ibm, currently IBM is the heaviest weighted component

350
Investment banks have parked prices of many stocks, and bonds, in no mans land, so one could just wait for extreme movement later and then take swing or scalp positions

349
not suggesting that i trade the news, just throwing out the data points

348
investment bank reports indicate that smart money took no positions today based on news, however a 3day analysis of activity is slightly bullish for stocks, and more bearish for treasuries, based on report data that i've collected

 market makers continue in trade mode, hedged both ways

340
and oil has moved up, but not reached trgt, so still holding that

340
if i didnt already have silver swing AGQ, i'd buy it here, but i will not add to it, not far enough away from my purchase price to make sense

slv and agq today are down a little, red candle, but very low volume on them after higher volume days before.

251
on these dull days, it's often beneficial to wait until 3:45--400pm to see what happens, and then sometimes a swing entry will reveal itself at the close, for swings not daytrades obviously

201
daily and 60min charts still in uptrend, no lower lows yet, though a possible lower high might be forming now

1245
oil just revisited its target for a second time, is likely on way to next higher target now

1219
watching to see if tna stays over 5870 on pb

1216
hit 5921. watching reaction. pb would be ok

1212
TNA 59.21 would probably give 74% , then TNA may hit its trgt posted 930am-ish

1207
72% signal starting to manifest a little here, watching what happens

1155
if AGQ silver stays over 50 for next 2 hours, i might add more

1154
IWM just rang 72% intraday up bias, possible pop higher, intraday signal only not swing signal
: at 8250 iwm, 1409 es
 its not at 74 or 78% tho

1147
60min and daily iwm are bullish still to me, those are what i use for swings

1135
spy down red 0.3% while IWM up green 0.2%, small but its there and maybe useful intraday

1108
oil is now at its first trgt, but not taking it off here, holding it (target posted 10:23 this morn)

1104
uy: fwiw, something is "not right" with spy and es levels, and market maker investment bank levels, they usually are better correlated than this, a bit unusual tho not unheard of.

often, that means a sudden move out of nowhere, intraday,

1055
silver may not make its move to its trgt today, might need to wait longer, looking at 15min 60min and daily charts on it

1052
es at resist now intraday mini 1412. may pb lower then revisit 1412 then break it for 1420 trgt. if it pulls back, i might add to TNA position, unsure. the "pullback setup" could take an hour or more to go lower first, then sideways, if it occurs. Alt is that it simply breaks over 1412 or below 1408 instead

1048
IWM a bit stronger than SPY this morn

1039
*1420 not 1416, typo
That was also the level posted yest before 1pm as a target, which was hit before.

1037
Market Maker / Investment Banks sell level intraday is currently at 1416 ES, which just happens to coincide with the 1:00 PM high from yesterday

1409 last es

1023
oil UCO looks good thought its susceptible to a move lower first, until it gets over 2670 ,,last 2640

953
AGQ lim order to sell at 52.70 for now, actively trading both the tna and agq,,,other stocks in port holding longer,,,AGQ moves with gold but not 1:1

949
TNA quick profit target is 59.70. Limit order to sell there.

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

thurs thoughts

345
 LOL the tna hit 5905 not 5907...close enough, overrode order and in at 5888

327
silver 60min chart has a triple bullish divergence, price:rsi, and double bull diverg price:macd

314
order to buy TNA if it tna hits 59.07 higher, swing, above the market

313
if es gets over 1422 i might buy tna,

310
 ES bearish while under 1422, last 1417, over 1422 bulls could push it higher,

304
silver agq is still near the price i bought it at. if it moves today i'll take profits and look to re-enter, else i'll just hold this overnight. willing to take a small profit today if it presents though, since i have other stocks in the swing port for longer hold periods/

1058
long agq 5080

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Wedn thoughts

9:37
Exited UPRO at breakeven, or for a few pennies loss, depending on the fill,
will re-eval later.

still have longs in IBM UCO oil AMD

Trades can be viewed at the links below.

http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1

For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Friday

356
will take small profit on AGQ silver b4 the 4pm. already closed positions in vse.

1103
AGQ trgt is 54.20. i will sell if it gets there.

1102
long silver AGQ again

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Thurs thoughts

354
i will exit AXLN before the close, small profit. already exited it on vse.marketwatchl.com

150
ALXN lim sell 94.70 if able

1239
long alxn

1152
while away doing errands, AGQ shot up to 53.34, over the 53,17 trgt. Sold at 53.17. about 3% gain in 2 hours.

will look to possibly re-enter AGQ a third time (once today, once yesterday).


1006
AGQ has already rocketed nicely since purchase. already at 1.5% profit gain in 15 minutes. have an orfer to sell limit 53.17. will sell then look to buy again back. last 5247.

950
long AGQ again

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Wedn thoughts

319
took profit on silver AGQ

126
5270 first trgt agq. will sell there if able

106
long silver AGQ
took profit in tna

1002
bought TNA back


Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Tues thoughts

1032
bought TNA

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Monday thoughts

1113
got stopped out of UCO, took profits, and just bought back cheaper at 28.21 area, swing

1038
i put a stop on UCO 28.59 to protect profits on it

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Fri thoughts

228 pm
added UPRO long swing at 1414 es


Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Wedn thoughts

1033
long oil uco, swing, added to existing position

1026
went long AA


Trades can be viewed at the links below.

http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1

For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Friday thoughts

327
imo, looking at daily, es continues sideways daily, obviously big move lower today but still over the 1410 breakout point. will be watching to see what es and spx do in coming days weeks

119
also notice that TLT has only bounced up to yesterdays high, where it was harshly rejected,

119
some individual stock components may be waking up here, watching to see if it affects the spx with intraday bounce or not, last es 1434

117
 poss bounce coming now on ES at es 1434.
 it could be big, idk, watching

1030
added more silver here via AGQ. May sell half of it later today, and keep half, as swing

\1001
Silver is still buyable here for swing imo

957
bought IBM long, starter position, swing. see links in yellow bhelow for port details.


Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Thurs thoughts

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

1149
 as mentioned before,,,spx often breaks higher on the 3rd or 4th test of resist highs on daily chart
es is still 10 points away from prior high

1146
swing longs in oil, silver, spx, upro all green atm, but not at targets yet,,,holding for the higher targets


1115
still same trgts on oil, higher


1105
ES array is same as 2 days ago post at noon: 1452 ES trgt, . If the 1452 breaks higher, then next trgt 1456, 1464, 1468, 1488 ... for swings i remain long and will continue to wait to short this market


 10:37
For es, still using the same array as 2 days ago, same swing targets, still long silver agq oil uco spx upro


* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

wedn thoughts

354
i think 1445 spx will be bought on first trip down there, if it decides to move lower b4 higher

351
swing,,still have 25% of entire port in UPRO for now, long spx

128
looks like silver wants another higher hi intraday

119
ES still on 72% long scalpl, may hit 74% in next few minutes,watching

111
oil close to 72% scalp long signal

105
long upro at es 1456,,,may exit the UPRO today

1155
obviously this is an easy spot to see to take partial profit on silver, simple resist not complex, testing high from 2 days ago simple resist

1153
also market makers support is at 85.50 intraday level so it has a good chance of going there at least lower

1151
still think higher CAT, but taking the gift. not much profit but 1% gain better than 3% loss,,,CAT should go up another 1% but not worth risk imo for now,,,will regroup on it later, maybe. money better spent in oil and silver now imo

1142
watching CAT here, and might exit it and re-evaluate it, for a small profit 1% or breakeven,,,it was red 3% so may take the gift here to exit,,,but waiting for now

1130
silver breaking higher, new intraday hi just made

1116
72% rang, long es bias, "up here" at 1454,intraday signal

1015
CAT has now moved to breakeven point after having been down 2-3%, but i am electing to keep hold the  position instead of "escaping" exit now

1010
1452 and 1456 targets have been hit :) .... reaction here should give clues as to whether 1464 is next


1000
 ES array is same as yest noon post: 1452 ES trgt, . If the 1452 breaks higher, then next trgt 1456, 1464, 1468, 1488 ... for swings i remain long and will continue to wait to short this market

949
TLT hit its lower trgt 121 this morning. nice move up for TMV as a result.
On sidelines now watching TLT, to see if a long or short opp presents.
Still see lower TLT later, but waiting for now since it can bounce. but also not wantint to trade the bounce long just yet if at all via TMF.

938
bought agq, long silver

927
watching to see if oil futures can get over 94.00 or better yet 94.30. not sure if it happens today or not, but charts are suggesting a possible breakout over this important resistance level. last oil still only at 92.40 so watching to see what it does.   will be observing action in oil futures /CL   and etfs USO  UCO

For now, i remain long oil via UCO, at about 7% gain now, but looking for 15-30% gains later.

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Tues thoughts

1006
ES array is same as yest noon post:  1452 ES trgt, last 1448. If the 1452 breaks higher, then next trgt 1456, 1464, 1468, 1488 ... for swings i remain long and will continue to wait to short this market

308
CAT swing remains red 1.73%, but still see higher CAT for swing, it can move fast, like a 2x or 3x etf

306
holding the oil

306
took 4.5% profit from TMV bought yest, and will look to reenter again later
 still see higher tmv, lower tlt, but will wait to reload on it, since portfolio has other open positions

241
exited AXP long with small profit, dont want to risk holding thru earnings, tho it looks like it will go higher

221
oil waking up now?

205
TLT made lower low as expected, still see lower

140
TLT now testing near low of day, and looks breakable for a lower low,,,higher TMV

137
74% es long bias intradat rang, watching to see if it breaks 1450

1209
increasing volume right now, could see a move on ES

1156
1452 ES trgt, last 1448. If the 1452 breaks higher, then next trgt 1456, 1464, 1468, 1488 ... for swings i remain long and will continue to wait to short this market

of course quick short trades can work also, i'm just electing to wait for now. .... the timeframe that one intends to hold is a big factor.

1115
TMV and UCO from yest are at 4% and 5% trgt gains, small port holding all, larger port taking some off

1106
TLT time analysis suggests 2-4 hours more down in treasuries

1033
 treas TLT timing analysis suggests bearish TLT another 2-4 hours

830ish
ES is up 7 points so spy upro tna are gapped up at the moment. traders could take quick profits premarket here if they bought yesterdays close, as posted in the blog at yesterdays close

Trades can be viewed at the links below.

http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1

For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Monday thoughts

404
looks like a possible gap UP on SPX tomorrow

358
i'll hold half the oil and tmv, took quick 5 hour profit on other half, still have everything else swing, giving it time

1223
SCO up 2%ish since entry earlier today, TMV up 1%ish, scalp trgt 1 here, higher scalp and swing targets.

1039
oil sco long 2978 could work here, scalp or swing, i'm not buying more since already in from lower prices but this buyable imo

1035
swing,bought TMV back again, frequently trade tmv tmf tlt tbt, tmv is 3x bear short of treasuries


Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Friday thoughts

401
when the bear pattern does fail, new highs often result instead, about 2% higher than previous high

401
today ES has a bearish shoot star candle, but there are several things to suggest it will not signal a reversal, or a large one if it does pullback. Shoot stars need confirmation, and other things need to support them to be effective.

352
8590 cat mini trgt

351
 lim sell axp 5897 if able else will hold

309
on daily es, this is the third try to break 1468ish,,,it failed thus far on the third try,,,but there's also common saying "beware shorting the third try at a high"...often breaks higher, swing

204
oil waking up

134
they just raised the buy level on ES...to 1458

133
Investment banks right now have dropped their buy level, with a sell level at 1467ish ES

130
1454 next supp under that

129
an es minor break here down to 1457 1458 and then bounce up would be a headfake down,,watching if it sustains under 1457 if it gets there for no headfake,,1460 last

110
may bounce in 18 minutes signal rang at 1461.40 es

108
TLT is likely to test lower to 120.70 area, the question is, does it bounce first and allow re-shorting?

104
CAT 60min chart has a mini bull inv HS, and dbl bottom on it,,,see it?

101
72% rang es

1252
sold half uco
sold half at avg cost,,,of oil,,,avg down intraday accomplished its purpose, avg cost on uco 29.47

1203
added UCO

1129
es 1458 support level

1119
70% ES long rang, not 72% yet

1117
bought oil long, via UCO,,,STARTER position only
if oil moves today, will take profits, else will hold overnight

1055
market makers are interested in buying nugt at todays low, fwiw

for swings that would be bullish for gdx nugt,,,tho i'm on the sidelines now,,,exited yesterday,,,nugt did hit the posted 1850 trgt,,,see a pb then over 1850 later

1034
altern is to just place a stop under low of day in tmv,,,but range so narrow that stop will prob get hit, so taking it a bit higher off here

1033
TLT may try to make a sudden move higher, if it does i will reshort tlt via tmv,,,i still plan to re-enter TMV,,just want out now because its range is very small after a decent 3% move higher this morn in TMV

1031
out of TMV for now, looking to buy again later

1022
1468 es is simple clear easy to see resist,,,but imo there is enough momentum to break it higher today.... "rule" says resist is resist until broken of course, something to watch,, 1472 es for ex

1014
axp tested yest hi, pulled back to near yest close, where i bought it,,,,next test of yest hi it can break it higher

1013
axp, one of the dow 30, daily looks like it wants to test 5940 area, daily macd recent hist cross over 0, stoch mvoing over 62,

1003
Market Maker reports: intraday only, atm, they are in trade mode, no bias up or down, but "trade mode" does tend to favor the direction of the existing trend, in this case up

951
also imo,,,for newer traders, or traders with struggling accounts: simple approach to fix that:  trade less frequently, pick your spots, and trade LONGSIDE only ... again its not that i'm a bull, but statistically market spends more time sideways or up, than down. Even in a bear market.  Fantastic gains can be made shortside, but it's trickier and harder, statistically.

948
es 1468 next trgt,,, know it sounds like a broken record but still not swing shortable at 1468 trgt imo,,,will wait for 1488, or a different chart landscape at 1460s


942
CAT is now finally shifting into 3rd gear,,,now leading finally, CAT up 1.4% vs spy up 0.5%
TMV also up nicely today, 3% while AA up 2%


Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

thurs thoughts

352
exited NUGT, took profit, will look to reenter again later,,,exited only to reduce risk and # of open positions, still see higher nugt gdx,, NUGT may revisit 1750 area lower before 1850--2000, unsure

212
nice day for AA today, its up 3% vs 0.65%,,i remain long AA swing

154
if ES tests 1457 again, its likely to break it higher

146
78% rang and remains valid intraday as long as es over 1451.50
under that would invalidate it

143
78% es long is almost ready to ring, has not rung yet, despite being near daily highs

142
next 5 candles on the ES may determine its direction for rest of day,,watching here now

141
LOL the NUGT is stuck exactly at the interim resist here,,,still see 1851 tho, 1817 last

135
the "ES might pb" warning is now significantly less risk,,less poss of the pb,,,but tite stops still make sense for scalps

135
Large port, took off half NUGT here at resist trgt to lock gains profits,,,small port holding 100% for higher

133
NUGT at the 1814 resist area, watching reactions, still see 1850 after

130
if scalping tighten stops makes sense
 es still expected higher, but some intraday signals say it might pb,,,
 getting "battling algo" signals, impossible to tell what it will do
 swings, no change,,,intraday only

122
new daily highs on gdx nuigt

108
1814 resist on nugt b4 the 1850 trgt

1249
1850 interim nugt trgt, last 1790

1234
Tues  3pm analysis predicted Wedn green,,,thurs analysis suggests that 1460 breaks higher on es coming hours days

1234
i still believe the 1460 breaks, multiday pattern continues to act as expected thus far

1147
GDX  NUGT testing near high of day now, breakable higher imo

1124
aggressive could buy here 1452 ES,,,i'm not buying since already have enough from lower, but could work

1116
NUGT   GDX holding near the highs here intraday

1100
: ES trying to break here higher,,,watching if it makes it

1044
CAT has now broken its bull flag, ahead of ES,,,will ES follow? prob

1040
CAT is beginning to lead DOW SPX a bit on the 3min charts, watching to see if it continues or not

1021
watching next 2 candles on 3min chart

1018
74% ES rang, idk if it pulls back b4 higher but 74% suggests it may not

1016
TNA from yest post now at trgt 2,,,holding for trgt 3 higher makes sense with tite stop, on remaining half

1015
ES remains at 72% long bias even up here, has not changed

1012
CAT has STILL not really joined the rally club,,,cat underperforming the SPX for now, idk if it will join, but if it does, watch out above :D

1008
i wouldnt even short 1468 es yet, because it can hang out in a 3-4 point range if it does happen to get up there in coming hours days

1000
they just dropped the ask, on es

957
1455 is market maker sell level ahead of news in 3min

947
TLT shorts swing,,,time analysis suggest it may make a nice move lower in 6-9 days hold time,,,holding the tmv for now

944
GDX nugt are on a "hold for 1-3 days" for higher setup as well

943
ES may test 1460 today and break it higher, imo,, no guarantees of course but pattern continues to act as expected, got the green day yesterday as expected, next step 1460 and break



Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Wedn thoughts

233
the CAT might be done with its nap, if it can get over 8500 here, intraday,,,similar to yesterdays wake up

122
hit 1447.50 es,,,watching to see if it triggers anything or not

118
traders that like tite stops could do es here 1447, stop 1446.50 or 1445.75,,,i['m not trading it that way

114
rationale: that would violate a market maker sell level at 1447.25

113
if ES hits 1447.50, then an alarm for "may break soon" would ring, higher es, good for 18 minutes, for a new daily high

1246
i would EXIT that short if i entered it, now,,,LOL,,breakevenish

1245
 agressive could scalp short here, i'm not taking it, for a test of support mentioned,,

1241
Market maker lowered their buy levels a bit here, to es 1443.50,,may see a move near there
may be buyable if it hits there,intraday, in next 30--60minutes

1235
Market Makers have raised their asks a little bit now,,watching to see if it pops or not,,,nothing agressive yet, but its higher

1234
the 72%   74% algos lead the tick,,the larger ticks follow later, after "intent" becomes "reality"

1233
but the fact that their bids are so close and tight, is bullish, unless they drop the bids

1231
MarketMakers need to raise their asks here or it wont pop higher,,,they could raise it suddenly, but atm they are holding it down here,,,poss accumulating here, def in trade mode atm,,,but if they raise the ask then es spx can pop up,,,they already have a bid under it for now

1229
 74% rang 1447.50
might break here soon now, if the 74% triggers action

1216
72% ES rang, "up here" at 1447

1157
watching 1445.75 es, for 1451 trgt then 1454 if able

1150
1454 ES trgt, last 1447

1126
posted yesterday that 1440 es sellers might get tired today, and move up green, looks like they are tiring,,over 1440 es and esp over 1442 bullish imo

1121
nugt is volatile, so size accordingly

1120
NUGT still buyable here imo, scalp or swing or both, still holding it from yesterday

1027
TNA at scalp trgt 1 now, higher targets above

947
es may try for 1436 test, last 1439

946
TNA 6180 could work here

927
1436 was es overnight low, 1444 overnight high


Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Tues thoughts

351
christopherstockguy (3:50:29 PM):  cat putting in a bullish hammer on daily chart today
christopherstockguy (3:50:40 PM): after several down days on cat
christopherstockguy (3:51:11 PM): hammer would be better, if CAT were lower than here, but it has enough "down days" to say the trend is down, not sideways, thus a valid reversal candle

342
MACD histogram on daily TLT looks like it will close with a bear tick down today, lower hist than yest,,,,atm its lower, will depend on the closing #,,,it was also down at 3pm if one uses 3pm as the close for TLT and treas

TBT and TMV may benefit, swings

301
CAT maybe waking up here now

255
buying the close, taking gains at the open, worked on friday and yest and today,,,tomorrow could be a green day if 1440 sellers get exhausted,,,just things to watch,,,what-ifs

252
christopherstockguy (2:51:51 PM): they are making these mini support breaks, but theres no big selling on the breaks
christopherstockguy (2:52:00 PM): i think spx goes higher for swings

122
TLT has dropped a bit here, see if spx reacts or not
relationship TLT:SPX not always 1: (-1) correlated


1133
AMD was up 4%ish today at one point, now back to yest close down,,,,could be a good swing buy opp,,may be finishing it bottoming daily

1132
72% on gdx nugt rang, longside
nugt 1760

1056
ES did drop despite 72%,,something didnt look rite, but just reporting what the # says,,,still on 72% tho

1048
72% rang on ES long bias intraday, tho looks like it could still pb more first

1035
bought NUGT, may be a quick trade

937
AMD off to a nice running start today,,stiull waiting for it to make its move,,,like VTNC did b4


Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Monday thoughts

358
: closed TBT breakeven in small port
keeping tmv swing,,,no reason to hold the extra risk


bears need to close it under 1442 es imo, else bullish,,,even a close under 1442 does not give a swing short setup imo

347
swing,,,out of the wild ride on VTNC for now,,,will look to buy it back later,,,small 3%ish profit,,,,still see another 10-40% higher but will re-eval later, after the wild ride

333
see if they close es at 1442

330
like friday, fas upro tna may be buyable here, to hold overnight

325
theres a pretty big pullback on ES intraday today, but i'm not sure it will stick....the up volume is higher than down volume candles

136
bought TBT

1231
MM gently buying again now intraday, nothing agressive yet

1127
some indicators suggesting we might get some movement soon here,,,building

1113
if it doesn test higher, may go to 1444, which might present buying opp, watching for now

1112
timing analysis says ES may try to test the 1451 high of day in next 12 minutes, and poss break it,,,watching to see if it pulls back or goes for the test, 68% confid on the higher side

1105
1455 es is a mini interim trgt for longs

11021105
for quick scalpers, limit short 1455 ES migth work, but i will NOT take that trade, idea only,,,last es 1449

1102
its close to 74% but has not rung yet

1046
72% ES long bias just rang, "up here" 1448
may pb first, but it rang

1043
ES 1443 may present a buying opp if it gets there, possibly above that

1041
Market makers continue to gently buy here intradaya, as price goes lower a bit here

1026
MM have their sell levels pretty tight as well, so in trade mode,,,, ES  SPX wont move higher aggressively until they raise the sell levles, but there is buy level support there, for now

10071025
for both swing and intraday perspective: at this moment, reports suggest that market makers and investment banks are not aggressively buying,, BUT they have RAISED their bids, which is bullish,,, unknow atm if they are trying to sell / distrib or buy for higher prices later,,,in any event atm they are not interested in heavy selling unless they lower the bids,


*3% not 2%

1006
marginal new high in VTNC as it makes small 2% move today up, still see higher trgts, tho nervous swings could exit VTNC here with small gain/breakeven,,its a volatile stock

10031006

SPX now testing trendline resist on 60 min charts, with horiz resist higher than the trendline, expecting trendline to break higher to test the horiz resist above

940
: 2 quick fas trades, one friday, one today,, 5.2% gain on both

940
if i didnt have other longs i would keep FAS,,,but still have cat aa amd upro tmv vtnc, so using fas as quick trade and holding others

935
if one took FAS on friday , could take quik 2% gain here, i'll hold for now for higher trgts small port

928
ES a bit choppy here b4 the open


Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Friday thoughts

344
imo longs here es 1433 for swings look good

318
TLT hit 124.36, just under 124.40 trgt to short, and has stalled,,,i'm not taking the additinoal short but watching tlt since have tmv swings

303
giving it time to see if weakness warning is headfake or not, since % still high

some weakness warnings now on es at 1435
remain in fas #2 for now tho

245
106.97 current FAS trgt

244
interesting market maker investment banking intraday reports:  SPX did NOT MAKE its posted market maker sell level, but XLF finanan FAS hit it exactly .... apparently the MM were not interested in waiting for spx after the financials hit their sell levels,,, one reason why i exited fas earlier today right near MM trgt

244
ES may bounce here now, 1435 last

220233
back in fas

for swings, TLT 60min chart has a nice bear diverg on it on price:rsi, shortable via tbt 2x or tmv 3x

220
i might take some TBT if TLT gets to 124.40

158
for now, ES remains firmly at 74% long bias, for same array,,,as long as ES is over 1434/33 it should remain valid

147
for swings, still see higher amd aa cat upro vtnc,,,, lower tlt, higher tmv 3x....vtnc has really made a huge move lately

141
RAISED lim order on fas to 180 from 107,,,
can always sell lower later

139
 hit 106.30 fas....trgt 1

126
106.27 still fas trgt 1 for today,,,but for now lim order remains higher at 107, from 104.13 entry

126
Market Maker reports: they are not buying here, but have their sell levels near 1448 spx....thats 1448 spx not es

may drift toward that trgt

125
notice the volume bar at 13:12 time....its a clue that that es may continue in the direction that it decides here

114
whichever way ES breaks here, may set tone direction for rest of day,,,in next few candles on 3min es,,,volume increasing a bit here

1259
of course, its already made a large move intraday, so array would be 1438,,1440, 1444

1259
may get another "move up" signal soon on ES,,,none yet but getting close

1235
xlf  fas already closed the gap, still see higher

1219
106.27 now not 106.00

1219
107.00 limi sell on FAS,,,but interim 106.00 trgt fas from 104.12 posted entry this morn, last 105.76,,,,will see what happens at 106 and may sell early, plenty of other long positions still if it moves higher,

1213
may stall here es 1436 on scalps,,,titer stop on half might make sense

1210
TLT has now moved below yesterdays close,having been green earlier in day

1209
xlf and fas,,,made new daily highs, ahead of spy spx,,,,as expected since they were a bit stronger

1207
broke the 1434 on first try,,,foreshadowed by the early 74% ring :)

1149
when 74% rings like that,,,under the resist 1434,,,if will often break thru the resist without stall,,,no guar of course, just generality

1147
74% rang, es 1432

1134
fas or upro could work here

1133
72% rang at 1431 es

1104
a test fo 1434 ES would likely trigger 72%, unsure

1104
es 1431,,,70% rang for es long bias intraday,,,its early and not in 74--85% range, could go lower still, but 70% suggests basing (aka sideways with up bias)

1053
watching next 4 candles on 3min chart
 today es is moving in 4-6 candle "trends"
 this curr candle, first one in the new mini intraday trends

(10:40:30 AM): notice how xlf is a bit stronger than spx today, why i took fas

957
took FAS long


Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Thurs thoughts

404
single trade of 14 million dollars of CAT bought in time sales, green, at 4:01 PM

231
imo ES bullish into todays close, while over 1437 es

223
: cat hit 8712 trigger, watching if it reacts or not


220
CAT now on 72% long,,,took awhile, behind es

213
suggests poss over 1444 if the 3min signal plays out, within 9 minutes

213
: es 3min bell sounded

208
needs over 8712 to move, could trigger buying if 8712 hit

207
cat still buyable, at 8700 last

202
: 78% suggests over 1444 es, tho 1438 test lower first poss, valid while es over 1438, and bias not to test lower first but break higher instead

200
78% rang 1442.50 es

145148
78% almost ready to ring on es long intraday,,,hasnt rung yet but close


es 1448 and 1452 next trgts, with a cap likely at 1452,,,pb at 1452 if it got there, with poss break over 52 toward 1468 and 1488 later

142
quick to 1444, watching reactions now :)

141
1443 es trigger posted earlier today hit ,,,likely 1444 then over 1444 as a result

1259
1344 revised mini trgt from 1343 es

1235
active traders could take the $ from the sold upro, and buy cat,,,as an example

1234
IF it decides to try to catchup, CAT can get 89.70 trgt, last is 87.10,, 3% higher trgt

12091217
if one took upro from yest near close, this would be area to take gain on half, 2.2%ish, and keep half


if es gets 1443 without pb, watch out above,,,trying for the 1443 now

1208
CAT is lagging SPX on this lil pop :(      TMV has popped nicely up tho,,,,watching if cat catches up

1205
we could see a break without a stall ,,,given jump from 74 to 76 without stall pb

1205
clkearly there is resist ES 1438 1439,,,,but has enough momentum to break it higher,,tho usually would stall, esp at noontime

1200
usually would pb 2 points b4 76%,, possible earlier than normal pop in ES today,watching

1158
74% long bias intraday ES rang

1150
amd daily has a v nice bull diverg on price: rsi,,,look at sept 6 and sept 26 candles, also 8/8 and 9/11 candles suggest nice upward movement expectations for patient swings

1144
if AMD can get to 4.00 test,,,it may stall pb,,,but a break over 4.00 is likely if it tests that area,,,swings not intraday

1140
poss early stage breakout happening in AMD for higher, swings

1024
amd strong today vs spx,,,amd up 3% vs flat spx

1021
since i'm trading less hours these days, doing other stuff,,, i generally doing swings not quick trades,,,but if a new entry swing makes a decent move the same day, i'll quick trade it,,,but entry is made with intent to hold


940
for swings, the larger moves downside for shorts spx will be when 1.) TLT under 118, or (2) ES at 1488, or (3) ES daily exhibits tiredness in 1440--1460 range as manifested by bear diverg and smaller sideways candles.

 still looking for shorts in those conditions, if charts support it when condition met,,,still waiting for now, may take awhile (weeks)

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Wednesday thoughts

107
TLT daily chart since July, easy to see, simple: lower highs, lower lows

105
still see vtnc to 800 or 1200, could still double from here

103
VTNC made a nice move from 3.64 to 6.00 lately,,, 64% move since sept 7,,those small caps can really move around LOL

1259
TMV red 7% now,,,UPRO small pos red 5%,,,,but still valid trades imo,,,TMV has been good to us, giving multiple 20-30% gains on multiple trades,,,and TMF earlier in the year as TLT went up


1255
hi all,,, yest and this morn nice day for those short,,, hope y'all did well there, tho of  i wasnt short
swing existing positions, still same analysis, no changes or actions at this time
: still trading sporadically part time

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Tues thoughts

Travelling again :D

122
VTNC up 10%, possibly from insider trading news
: ceo  and cfo have bought stock
 those small caps can be wild volatile
everything else on swings, no changes in analysis, letting them bake


Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Monday thoughts

246
es array trgts 1452, 1458, 1462, 1468

243
if one took 1447 scalp signal, makes sense to tighten stop on half here, let half ride higher, 4 pts scalp gain

236
1457 next trgt on es on move over 1452.25 intraday

121
72% long ES bias rang, at 1448.25 es,,,its an intraday signal not swing

1104
imo,,,long swing still valid, and still buyable at these prices, for AMD  VTNC  AA

1103
 added more TMV here, at TLT 122.60, swing
TLT may see 123--124 first,,,but if TMV moves today i'll likely take profits on half of it and hold half,,,if it does not move ,,,intend to hold all shares for swing


Trades can be viewed at the links below.

http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1

For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Friday thoughts

112
VTNC up 6% today, toward its first trgt

1146
72% es trigeering poss reaction?

1143
 LOL this is so weird...i have AA and CAT charts near each other,,,just move the decimal place and they are the same price 9.17 and 91.70

1131
72% long bias es just rang, intraday,,, technically the signal is 72% SPX not ES

1120
may be buyable 89.50ish cat

1102
also trying to get a long in CAT, dow compon,,but no setup yet,,,CAT does well both long and short side, nice stock to trade

1056
bought AA long here, new position, layer 1 of poss 4, prob only will buy 2 layers, for swing, or if it moves today will take gains today

1029
dow compon DIS disney daily, continues to do well,,,,uptrend since nov 2011 with no big pb sideways like the spx dow had

946
ok out of TNA, stop hit, 3% quick profit trade from yest,,,plan was to trade this one fast and hold other positions...still holding the other stuff swing

832
6647 tite stop tna

931
tna mini trgt 6720,,will watch reaction if it hits there, ,,,at 3% gain atm

922
 it might not make 1488,,,but its the trgt until uptrend breaks

922
IF the ES gets up to 1468, i still will not short it for swings. still looks like it will try to test that area higher, no change in charts analysis from last 3 days.  i will continue waiting to short. possibly at 1388 or on lower TLT as mentinoed. Time analysis suggests it may be another 4 days before a swing short opp presents,,,imprecise approx quick look time analysis.

906
pre-market, TNA has overshort its 10:50 AM trgt set yest, but i'll wait to sell the TNA,,,see what it does in first 5--60minutes,,UPRO TMV still have same plan to hold for higher percent gains than tna

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Thurs thoughts

400
if TNA moves up during afterhours i will sell it, curr at a small gain now,,,,intend to keep all the upro amd tmv vtnc as swings with no afterhours sales

330
watching to see if they drop lower the bid, thus far havent, into the close

326
they r not shorting it, they r trading atm,,,by my reports

325
Market Makers have been in trade mode most of day,,,have started to do some gentle buying now, nothing major,,their spread is now tite and still in trade mode with the bias still higher while over the pivots

323
: back at the iwm 85.27 pivot again, watching reactions,,,

321
still at 74%,,,no changes, supports held, etc

139
watching if bears sell here, and push under 1447,,imo over 1447 remains bullish intraday

138
impt ES resist test now intraday, bias to break higher

104
TLT is at 77% lower bias now

12411252
added tna


imo 8527 more impt than 8540

1240
bears held 85.27 IWM so far,,,still watching that level

1204
IWM just hit 85.27 trigger,,,watching if it pops over .40 intraday for higher hi,,,

1202
74%

1200
72% likely will remain valid as long as ES over 1447

1200
 72% rang

1155
70% long bias just rang on es,,,intraday

1128
intraday, bears want IWM under 85.27,,,bulls over it,,,last 85.19,,,,a move over 8527 suggests a break over 8541 prior 3min chart high,

1050
65.70 mini trgt on TNA

1047
but, market maker and investment bank levels have NOT changed much since yest, a little but not much,,,until those change then ES remains capped to the upside

1046
for swing, a 60min candle close over ES 1455 would suggest a test of 1468, and it now suggests a later break of 1468 after stall on test, toward 1488ish approx

1039
AMD daily bull divergences, last drop was less intense (slowing down momentum), macd under 0 but on its way over 0, poss forming a higher low now on daily

1015
should have added to UPRO this morn instead of TNA,,,tried diversifying,, idea was that TNA will "catch up" and then "pass out" spx,,,will see what happens

949
es now testing overnite low support 1445

930
TNA filled in vse.marketwatch

911
i dont often do this, but bought TNA premarket, if it moves today will sell it, else will hold as swing, entry 1 of poss 4 entries,,,likely i will only add one more layer, or none at all, given other positions .... small port on vse.marketwatch.com i'll buy at the open if its near curr price, vse does not allow afterhours orders


Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".