Friday thoughts

[16:00:25] theres 1357, trgt es from 2:17pm,,tho nothing magical about it,,,,simple horizontal resist

[15:56:29] TLT is NOT on a buy long swing yet using same system as short spx, one reason among many i'll just wait
[15:56:41] they work better when they r in sync

[15:48:44] using one strategy, SPX IWM triggered swing shorts here, but i'm not taking it,,,will wait this one out,,,and triggered tza long
[15:49:07] 1 to 9 day hold time, avg under 4 days


[15:44:57] silver also up nicely today 4%ish slv

[15:38:28] uso oil hit the 3200 trgt area and is being held under it
[14:27:17] es may go after 1357 today, simple prior daily hi
[14:16:31] i'd exit the tza if i were in it, breakeven, could pop higher but not worth risk imo
[14:06:40] tza scalp could work here, but i'm not takin git
[14:06:50] 18.21ish

[14:04:07] if ES 1346 breaks today lower, it may cause more selling, watching mini support there, but over that bullish intraday

[13:19:14] took off gdx and nugt daytrades here too
[13:19:21] keeping nugt gdx swings tho
[13:20:52] 1.2%....3.5% gdx nugt daytrade gain,,,3% and 9%ish gains from yesterdays entries
[13:16:49] took some off here in uco, 12% is a lot in 1 day
[13:14:19] i might take some of the oil swing off today and try to buy back lower, but will def keep some
[13:14:22] uco
[13:14:53] my plan was always "sell on a big up day some of it"

[13:11:40] i still would not short this, even tho it made the required "round trip wait" posted earlier, spx
[13:10:22] ES now testing resist,,,impt resist test here
[13:01:23] watching to see if GDX can hit todays high, then 4540
[12:35:10] GDX hit 4460, over 4457 trgt, watching reactions and trgt 2
[12:15:48] ES 1343 or 1337 areas may be bought on first try there,

[11:59:41] i have a feeling that spx might have bottomed, and is going to break 1367, but will wait to see what the charts develop

[11:23:13] 4457 resist 1 scalp on gda, then high of day
[11:20:15] i have a breakout signal on gdx 3min, why i added more at same price
[11:18:32] added more gdx, near same price as b4, 44.34,,,,didnt have many shares to start,,,still only half full

[10:49:57] for scalp, bought position one in gdx 4436, may add more, bought back only part of what was sold this morn,,seperate from the gdx swing piece

[10:27:53] if SPX get to 1370,,1375,,,thyat could cause a short covering
[10:26:25] if ES does not test 1337, bullish imo for higher over 1350, watching to see how these charts develop, nothing complicated, simple horizontal support
[10:20:57] since may 21 on spx, what's there? a higher hi, and a higher low, and now spx trying for another higher hi
[10:16:43] for daytrades, the first dip will likely be bought, since there was no selling pressure at the open,,,imo i'd wait for a decline and then a bounce and short that bounce, not here, for daytrades,,may take awhile to form,,also spx may just dribble sideways all day

for now i'm on sidelines in spx scalps and may not do anything today with them
[10:08:40] 1347 to 1357 ES resist zone, it may try for its upper limit

[09:25:17] ES hit 1349, considering the 1350 trgt posted yesterday as achieved....still see higher ES possibly later but will watch and see what the charts do now


[09:18:35] gdx up 3.5%, nugt 10%, uco oil up 8%ish,,,taking profits on some shares makes sense, tho the swing trgts call for still higher prices in them all


Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Thurs thoughts

[15:59:56] out of half at .34,,,didnt make .43
[16:00:12] took loss on half, to reduce risk
[15:53:57] i'll take half of gdx off and keep half,,trying for 43.43 from 43.56 avg entry today, last .31
[15:51:28] 4370---4400 is "real" first trgt but not likely to get there today
[15:50:22] 43.43 trgt, last 43.29

[15:49:35] my trgt was 43.30,,,it hit 43.32gdx,,, but i think it has one more pop left in next few minutes,,,swing trgts are much higher of course
[15:45:49] now they r buying resistance gdx, should pop higher
338
just hit that level. 30 next mini trgt, then same as posted below
[15:36:21] 43.23 is a market maker level on gdx
[13:48:41] purely from a tech perspective, spx is moving sideways on the daily....no intense damage done imo to bull, yet
[13:47:28] also next week holiday week could see spx move higher on low volume
[13:46:54] on spx, everyone is expecting a huge sell off due to obama-care supreme court ruling. i would not be surprised to see this trap some shorts, and have spx moving higher in coming days weeks
[13:19:06] also look at daily volume on GDX,,,,see the declining volume as it moves lower? imo, thats bullish
[13:19:39] tho today may put in a higher volume "washout" day

[13:09:04] intraday ES long scalp at 69% just rang, 1312 ES
[11:20:31] theres actually an easily identifiable "zone" on the daily chart: 43.66--44.00 (prior daily lows),,GDX
[11:05:23] GDX looks like it will bounce to 4360, then stall
[11:05:28] then pb then higher
[10:30:15] 4322 GDX added, close enought to 4317 "add more trgt",,,it may go lower than 4317 b4 bounce, gdx is v volatile and the targets are tricky when the spx is also volatile at the same time
[10:02:15] fwiw, some of the low volume and small cap stocks have bids under them, which is often bullish intraday esp when news is around,,,,no guarantees but something to watch,,,,and comare themn to IWM TNA TZA
[09:59:03] UCO looks good rite now, daytrade long, too
[09:59:06] or uso
[09:59:25] LOOKS like it may fill gap, or higher
[09:47:02] SPY gap theory, evaluates to null for long short scalp here based on gap
[09:43:26] long GDX quick trade
[09:43:34] diff from gdx nugt swings
[09:35:54] same with GDX gap down, tho atm gdx working higher, so it may see a high over 945 hi instead of low under 945 low,,,something to watch

[09:33:25] watching SPY during first 10--20--30 minutes here, if it does not make good progress at closing the gap, a lower low intraday below 9:45 often follows, same gap theory as yesterdays quick 1 hour long scalp in oil uco uso gap up, but reversed since spy gap down

[09:24:57] that buy area based on 60min bull falling wedge, horizontal support combo, and poss rsi bull diverg on gdx daily and 60m charts
[09:23:49] it might not get there, but i have a limit order for GDX 43.17, for quick trade, can use gdx or nugt
Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Wedn thoughts

[15:58:09] 2%ish gain nugt daytrade, 1%ish uco,,,,still holding swing pieces seperate acct

346
MM still buying this lil dip


[15:39:52] buying again MM,,,will stop posting ,,,they r too active
[15:37:40] MM selling now a little, if they dont stop i'll exit

[15:36:27] still buying at 3min resist
[15:32:09] holding second half of gdx scalp until MM start selling or stop buying
[15:23:37] looks like they r trying for 1332 es, prior daily hi
[15:19:07] MM still buying gdx here, at higher price, at least for now, 44.30
[15:12:13] Market Makers gently buying at mini resist .25 on gdx not selling it,for now anyways, applies intraday

[13:15:46] this could be the start of a move to 1350 ES
[12:56:22] GDX nugt at 1% and 3% trgts from scalp entry this morn, 4450 gdx
[12:56:34] 4470 next trgt, continuing to manual trail stop higher on remaing half

[12:36:39] GDX continues pushing resist on 15min chart
[12:10:21] GDX now pressing against 15min resist,,,idk if it breaks it higher or pulls back, watching reaction, but 15min suggests higher even if pb first
[12:01:03] GDX 4450--4480 next trgts higher
[11:50:00] GDX has bounce back up to the prior 44.30 trgt, half off, and watching to see if it goes higher, scalp piece,,
[11:14:40] if nervous, nugt gdx scalps could exit here near breakeven or small profit, i'll keep mine for now,,, GDX is v volatile and could also easily pop higher

[10:24:12] GDX needs over 4430 to really move,watching to see if it can get there
[10:17:24] gdx and nugt are in the scalp buy long range here imo, in gdx 4403

10:17
out of USO scalp, 1%ish profit, scalp ,,,holding UCO still

[10:12:56] it does not always work, but has good success rate: if a stock gaps higher, and does not pb much or start to fill the gap much in the first 10-20 minutes of trading, it will often make a higher intraday high over the 9:45 AM high,,,simple gap theory, for quick trades scalps, like uso today, see post from 9:49 AM post
[10:10:03] uso 3050--3070 trgts to start
[10:06:30] oil now testing daily high, still see a break higher on it, oil
[09:49:32] USO oil has not made much attempt to fill gap lower in first 15 - 20 minutes of trading, often when this happens, a higher daily high follows
[09:36:30] theres a strong bid this morn at the open here on spx
[09:36:40] watching to see if it sustains or not

[09:31:23] oil is now at resist, larger port makes sense to take some off,,,smaller port will just hold longer

[09:30:27] nice gap up in UCO oil if holding swing, still below trgt tho so holding for
[09:27:58] oil also up, not as dramatically
[09:25:10] sudden move higher in gold /GC futures just now premarket

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Monday thoughts

[13:36:31] 1307--1310 resist area test here, impt intraday resist test, watching
[13:10:30] fri high 4535, that area being tested now, gdx
[13:08:19] still waiting for nugt 1247ish swing trgt 1, last 1135
[13:07:33] GDX hit 4517 trgt intraday, swing trgts still higher

[12:09:54] 4517 next gdx trgt
[12:00:01] gdx 4480 hurdled, now watching to see reaction at high of day

[11:43:42] 4480 resist on gdx, then high of day resis

[11:42:10] sudden move in GDX 3min chart, watching to see if theres any followthru or not, nugt gdx
[10:58:06] TLT continues to visit 127 area and that resist is holding, still a shortable swing area imo, or TMV 3x long

[10:02:52] look at GDX 3min chart, imo that is v bullish action for intraday ,,,other charts bullish for swings

[09:55:54] GDX made a trip lower but has bounced, still see higher GDX NUGT swings
[09:56:03] still buyable here imo

[09:52:59] tna here 4726 could work here,

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Friday thoughts

[16:00:48] TLT held the 124.80, but is in a precarious position here
[15:47:14] this reaction here at resist test could be signif and carry on thru monday if it breaks higher
[15:47:18] es

[15:36:56] TLT should stay over 124.80 today, if not then it could move much lower, send the spx much higher, in coming hours days

[15:04:41] MIND is waking up here, maybe
[15:04:50] just broke 15min resist chart
[14:17:15] although this time the RSI went really low, suggesting that a bounce is coming, BUT the low rsi also suggests that a bear market in oil may be approaching (months not days)

[14:15:50] the last time USO oil had an rsi bullish diverg like this was october 3, and we know what happened after that, daily charts
[14:08:02] for swing, uso is on "hold 1-3 more days"
[14:08:19] if it pulls back in that time then i will buy dip, else i'll run with what i have now

[14:06:42] SLV and GLD have new ones today too
[14:03:28] im not sure if it will work, but GDX NUGT have the same "go swing long" signal that USO UCO got yesterday, for multiday swing holds

[12:35:03] uco hit 24.67 near the .70 trgt, 2620 above is heavier resist and that one is a swing trgt (vs scalp trgt at .70)

[11:59:22] shows how volatile MIND is: mind individual stock is up 1.7% today, the 3x ERX is up 0.4%,,,mind at 4 times the volatil of a 3x LOL

[11:44:09] oil uco looks like it wants 2470 test next higher
[10:20:27] that stuff is wild tho, 2-3% intraday moves
[10:19:24] NUGT GDX now back at scalp long levels
[10:19:37] 1104 nugt
[10:09:02] USO price made a lower low on June 21, rsi a higher low, hence the diverg[10:07:29] The daily bull diverg on USO oil: RSI looks like it may be completing today, from June 11 and June 21
[10:07:50] still in formation but may be finishing
[09:59:08] 2.5% - 3% profit on nugt scalp, 15minutes
[09:58:16] scalpers could take gains in nugt hhere at 1134 from morn entyr 11.01 nugt
[09:58:29] gdx at resist, swing i'm holding longer nugt

[09:30:18] imo GDX NUGT are buys here, or yest near close, 44.72 gdx,, 11.01 nugt
Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Thurs thoughts

[14:29:17] sold silver, took loss on it, and bought NUGT at same time
[14:29:28] small port test

[11:57:37] in the next 4 days, USO oil should get some type of bounce per timing analysis, how big i dont know

[11:11:08] added more SLV here
[10:48:05] SLV should pop here, if it does likely will take small scalp profit and look to reenter

[10:05:19] could use AGQ 2x instead
1002
long SLV 26.68
Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Wednesday thoughts

[15:53:53]   MIND is another one of those volatile stocks. look at the daily chart. today's candle looks small, but the high to low spread is 2% range today LOL

[15:39:39] daily RSI on USO has a nice bull diverg

[15:26:40] a USO move over 31.00 woulod suggest strongly that the bottom is in for USO oil, and higher
[15:27:17] thats about equiv of over 26.20ish UCO
[15:21:00] also look at VOLUME on USO
[15:21:05] see how big it is?
[15:21:26] "down here" thats not bearish imo,,,sellers will get exhausted,,,,its at the bottom not the top, thus i remain long oil via UCO

[13:02:36] NUGT hit its trgt in this whipsaw, took the quick 2 hour profit, will look to re-enter again later
[13:02:49] limit order filled

[12:19:15] i removed stop from UCO for now, waiting and holding initial position, not adding, red 5%ish atm

[11:20:07] obviously 1300--1310ish area is an interim trgt for NUGT from 1270 (simple 3min resist prior high)

[10:52:20] 1347 trgt 1 for nugt, higher trgts later, will sell all in small port there if able and buy again later, large port will sell only some of it
[10:35:13] long again in NUGT GDX initial entry may add more later
[10:27:49] DIS hit 48.00 today, nice move from 44.26

[09:45:37] TLT short / TMV long is a good example of both the disadvantages and advantages of "scaling in": disadvantage, only had a small position, so percent profit looks nice is misleading because of fewer shares, less dollars,,since an opp never presente to "add to" the position,,,, advantage: got a small profit

[09:32:10] TMV hit 56.00 trgt from 53.3 yest or day b4, order filled at the market 5600--5602
[09:26:57] TLT currently trading about 70 cents below yest close, set to gap down

[09:25:36] small port TMV (3x tlt short) same trgt as yest, i have order to sell at 56.00 (below trgt 56.24) for small port all shares, large port order to sell half of remaining shares

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Tuesday thoughts

[15:58:31] holding new oil longs, UCO USO swing

[15:56:45] may raise to 56.30 trgt later, TMV

[15:55:14] same trgt on TMV small port, holding it for now until trgt hit, 56.00 sell at market

[13:46:55] if it were noon-time i'd take off the TMV on small port and then try to re-enter it again, but at this time of day it can move, so holding the TMV for now instead

[13:45:23] watching for oil to make new daily highs, testing now, USO UCO
[13:45:27] oih
[13:45:29] cl
[13:44:22] 125.41 trgt hit on TLT. or close enough
[13:36:32] simple horiz support trgts on TLT, nothing complicated

[13:35:48] 124.60 and 125.40 lower trgts on TLT next, then 121
[13:34:11] theres the TLT break lower, holding small port 100%, but 25% more off on large port at 2%ish trgt TMV, still have half in large port, and 100% in small port
[13:25:51] looks breakable lower imo, TLT
[13:25:15] watching to see if TLT makes a lower daily low by 3pm
[11:54:39] uco stop 25.40 for now, will change it later
[11:49:50] long oil via UCO 2x

[11:14:31] IF TLT can break support at 125.80 then it may test lower to 125.20, small move but waiting for now, holding the TMV 3x,, have not had a chance to add more shares to initial entry in small port TMV, since TMV only went briefly lower after entry yesterday, so waiting for a decent move lower in TLT to exit (higher tmv),,, or opp to add to swing if TLT bounces first,, large port still have 75% shares left
[10:22:37] MIND is up 3% today, but still about 9% away from its trgt 1

[09:53:53] TMV hit 1% proft trgt posted 930am for large port, took some off, still holding in small port all shares TMV (or TLT short 3x)

[09:33:09] TLT has gapped down 0.66%ish this morning, holding the swings on small port for lower trgts (TLT short, 3x TMV long),,large port will take some off at 1%ish profit area

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Monday thoughts

[14:27:18] NUGT testing near its high of day, may go higher, may pb, so decided to exit for now

[14:26:28] took 11% gain on rest of NUGT in small port, large port still holding 25% of shares, will look to buy GDX and NUGT again in next 1-3 days

[14:13:56] note: the TLT short is early entry, half size position, may add more later
[14:14:13] TLT may go higher b4 lower but been watching the 127 area for a few days now as re-entry area

[14:13:05] shorted TLT swing via long TMV 3x etf

[14:09:05] also exited SSYS,

[14:05:16] wow huge drop in TLT, intraday 3min chart, watching reactions

[14:01:44] took aapl profits early here, will look to reenter later
[14:03:04] still see higher, but reducing risk, since have other long positions that are outperforming AAPL, so exited to lower risk, less $$$ exposure,, still holding GDX  MIND  NUGT  SSYS  VTNC for now

[13:38:54] imo waiting to see if ES wants 1347 test makes sense b4 any shortnig, still see higher swings

[13:36:12] after being flat at 9:32 AM vs SPY down 0.5% then, SSYS has popped nicely, still holding longer, SSYS up 3.5%ish today vs friday

[13:13:59] NUGT is volatile intrument, todays range alone is about 9% from todays high to low of day

[13:11:35] GDX at 4750 trgt now, watching to see if this breaks higher, over 4750 gives the next trgt, still holding half NUGT, at 9% gain but still holding since onlyh half is left (exited other half near this area b4)

[11:23:52] GDX and nugt moving up sharly here but GDX needs to clear 4750 before real upside accel, NUGT needs over 13.30ish
[10:49:03] aapl up 1.5% today vs SPY near flat,same targets
[10:21:53] next trgt on aapl, will sell at 587 if it gets there, half of remaing (which will leave 25% left)
[10:11:52] still see MIND making a similar move in time
[10:10:27] wow ACIW has moved up 5% today alone, and over 14% from its prior daily June lows,, some of these stocks can really move, volatile
[09:45:00] hit 578 aapl, order filled, holding second half for higher
[09:40:00] still same trgt on aapl, will take off half at 578 if it gets there, higher trgts later

[09:34:26] aapl now flat fwiw

[09:32:04] interesting that SSYS has opened flat vs SPY down 0.5%, will see what it does,,
[09:21:06] reaction to greece similar to spain: overnight surge in futures, and lower at 9:30 AM, although this time SPX may rally back quicker than spain reaction (hours days)
Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Friday thoughts

[15:59:58] 9 points profit on second half of ES scalp, 5 points on first half


[15:52:05] MIND up 4.4% today, could still go 20-40% higher for swing holds

[15:41:52] still think aapl sees 578+, holding it for now, swing
[15:39:19] compare XLU daily chart to spy, next pullback in XLU etf i may go long (not today)

[14:44:09] another 2-3points-ish would have spy testing its prior daily highs

[14:41:06] ES scalp hit first trgt 5 points, makes sense to take off half if scalping from earlier, keep other half

[13:20:21] AAPL not participating in this bounce, conversely MIND up 2% today, SSYS up 3.3%, GDX flat

[12:58:47] TLT just made a lower low on the 3min chart, spx did not, so far the pattern mentioned below is starting to morph as expected, tho of course it could always change
[12:58:58] but atm, TLT is continuing lower, spx has started reversal higher
[12:59:23] look at candles from 1236pm on the 3min charts of spy and tlt side by side

[12:51:09] of course, that relationship does not always work, but imo those are the stats. there are a lot of "misalignments" today in the stats

[12:49:45] it is a little unusual to see TLT and SPY moving in the same direction on the 3minute and 15minute charts. Usually TLT wins this battle over SPX, meaning that the TLT trend will continue and the SPX trend may reverse. for today, that would suggest lower TLT and higher SPX into the 4pm hour

[12:06:02] es still at 72% long scalp signal, to hold scalps , no change in it yet

[11:12:21] if ES doesnt get over 1333 in next 27minutes, the signal will prob drop back to 70 or 68%, or may change to short

[11:10:15] 72% es signal rang, up from 70% long scalp intraday

[10:31:18] so far todays range is small, small daily candle on spy

[10:23:39] may take gdx another 1-3 days to move, we should know by then its status,,imo dips are buyable in that timeframe gdx nugt

[10:14:30] ES missed the 4 point trgt scalp, only got to 3 pts, conserv would exit, agressive would interpret the miss to mean it will overshoot the orig trgt if it gets back up there

[10:12:14] aapl needs a 15min candle close over 574 to get any upside traction tho, 572ish last

[10:08:40] TLT now in the re-shortable area 127ish, tho i'm waiting to add again
[10:08:50] could use TBT or TMV long to short tlt

[10:06:16] aapl 60min chart suggests bounce imo, 578--582

[10:02:55] es scalp trgt 1 is 4 points, maybe more if resist breaks

[09:58:38] 70% es long scalp signal just rang, es 1328

[09:51:34] still have this GDX n NUGT,,,if gdx breaks over 4755 then 4870 and 4950 trgts, and the 4870 could break higher on the first try without much pb
[09:53:40] that would put GDX at about 1% and 5% higher, NUGT 3% and 15% higher, for NUGT trgt 21%ish gain if hit


[09:48:12] over 1343ish spx imo is where the shorts would get squeezed harder
[09:48:24] same area as yest spx pivot
Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Thursday thoughts

[15:15:52] this is just the start, still see higher SPX IWM for swings, actually all of this wildness is not even "wild" from a swing perspective,,,alll just chop inside the range


[15:12:16] LOL well thats one way to get 1326 trgt ES from yest

[14:13:42] triangle in SPY

[14:12:53] 60 min ES dbl bot , bull W formed

[13:16:49] ACIW went "lower than expected" on daily to 37, and has moved up to 39.68, so out for now near breakeven after that 7% move higher

[13:05:21] ACIW now trying to test its high from 4 days ago, having broken over yest high,

[12:40:04] ACIW has broken over yesterdays high

[12:38:09] bulls may not be finished today, ES could break over 1322

[12:15:01] if tna gets to 4775ish, it is likely to break higher (not rite away, after possible pb first)

[12:12:30] 3min bull flag es
[11:52:52] AAPL swing long still red 1.5%,, NUGT has dropped from 8% to 5% gain, but still holding both swings, still see higher for each,, also ACIW MIND SSYS VTNC

[10:20:14] for about 3 weeks now, the 1316 es area has been a circular recurring pivot

[10:08:19] in 1 to 3 days, Cotton long may present a long opp using BAL etf,,,on a pullback in cotton futures /CT
[10:09:16] DBA agric etf may be ready for swings long now, or in coming hours,,,i have neither cotton or agric yet,,,throwing out ideas

1670 to 1970 would give about 18% move in MIND

[09:59:00] MIND stock is waking up, its another volatile stock good for swings, it may move 20-40% higher for multi days weeks hold

[09:50:56] MM continue to sell, push the price down, and then buy it back lower
[09:51:20] accum vs "distrib"
[09:49:43] i know yesterday intraday "looked bad", and this morning maybe too,,,but market maker reports still say they are accumulating long positinos, fwiw,,, one factor to consider among many others

[09:44:12] imo, for swings, gold will see higher, but may take 2 days b4 higher, next 2 days could go either way
[09:44:59] GDX NUGT miners, same as gold tho they do not always mirror, small port i'm holding the NUGT through all this for a multiday / weeks swing, large port can actively trade in and out of NUGT GDX DUST and use the volatility of them.   GDX range for today only is already at 2%ish range hi to low today, 6%ish already in nugt,, the NUGT and DUST are very volatile


Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Wedn thoughts

[16:22:41] IWM SPY have bull diverg on price:rsi on May 18 and June 4,, also on May 18 the MACD hist was under 0, not hist over 0 tho signal line still under 0
[16:22:44] for swing traders

[11:25:42] this is the approx timeframe when aapl would try for new daily highs, if its following the pattern, and velocity remains constant

[11:10:02] testing 1316 es,,suppport is lower but if this holds it may pop another 8 points higher

[11:05:51] watching 1316 es mico support, real supp is lower but over 1316 holding bullish imo
[11:06:05] if it holds for next 15min

[10:58:54] surprisingly ES and AAPL both on 70% stay long scalp intraday, even tho its at resist now
10:57
9 minutes has passed, AAPL held over 576 supp trgt, watching to see if it makes a higher intraday high in next 27 min or not

[10:48:23] if AAPL holds over 576 for next 9 minutes, would suggest MM beginning to pay a "premium" for the stock in expectation of higheer, under that could still see a try for 572 lower

[10:44:29] Market Maker reports: they have stopped some selling to accum, watching reactions to see if it moves highere here, its at resist on ES , AAPL and other

[10:38:08] may exit NUGT small port if it hits 11%ish gain trgt, depending on reaction, if it gets there, last 8.74% gain,, will look to reenter again later if exiting, as it still has more upside in GDX and NUGT

[10:20:54] GDX is at swing trgt 1 rite now, along with gdx, trying to hold the small port for swing trgt 2 higher if possible
[10:21:09] but its at resist, which remains resist until broken
[10:11:11] SSYS long swing still valid here imo, at 4550ish
[10:01:49] Market Maker reports on AAPL suggest they are selling it near 578 but only in order to buy in the 575 area, and suggest they will try to push it to 570-72 if able,,,only when they are done selling/buying will it go up,,,but atm the MM are in accumulation long in aapl imo per reports, it can take some time to manifest itself higher

[09:56:20] daily, 60m, and 15m charts on AAPL suggest higher within next 1--3 days

[09:54:30] aapl still valid here imo long at 575 last ,,,short term swing or scalps,,,,long term lower aapl (multiweek months) but not the spot to short it now imo

[09:48:51] marginal break higher on over aapl 60min chart resist, but it needs to sustain over 578 to get any real upside traction, the break is only marginal atm

[09:37:24] AAPL is holding up ok atm, flat from yest close, tho at 2% loss atm,,,holding it longer still long,,,

[09:30:50] NUGT gapped up, at 7% gain, taking off half in large port,,holding it longer in small port
[09:31:13] SPY did NOT gap up
[09:31:21] gap analysis inaccurate yest nite


Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Tues thoughts

[15:59:38] not tradeable imo, but gap analysis suggests gap up tomorrow morning

[15:57:59] conversely, june 4 and june 5 had bull spy daily candles, those ones were valid from the perspective of having a pre-existing downtrend to reverse

[15:53:58] some candle watchers may see a bull harami on spy daily, imo that pattern does not apply because not enough prior red daily candles, same reason as the bear pattern was invalid on June 7
[15:54:27] imo, spx has more upside,,,just mentioning that the "bull harami" isnt valid

[13:51:28] exited cotton longs via BAL, will look to re-enter later, took loss on the swing trade small port

Still see higher cotton but it may pullback first, so out for now
[13:41:50] small port i'm holding it thru this,,,large port actively buying and selling,4750ish GDX or 1290-300ish nugt
[13:42:09] later over 15 on nugt
[13:43:56] gdx has resist 4700--4720, if that breaks then 4770, 4850 next trgts, think it can break higer over time

[11:35:52] NUGT up 5.5% from yest entry, aapl down 2.1% from entry yest, holding both still, no exits atm
Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Monday thoughts

[14:45:21] adding tna 4694,
[13:08:47] es at 70% long scalp still. close to 72%

[13:07:42] ,if ES can get over 1320, low of day may be in imo
[11:46:03] AAPL testing it high of day rite now, watching reaction, see a higher hi imo

[11:16:29] TNA here 4782 could work long
[11:11:42] ES now at 70% scalp long signal, 1315
[11:06:14] aapl on 70% intraday long buy scalp, at 586.00,,,may help spx

[11:04:06] nugt entry is a bit early even for scalp, about 9 minutes early, but trying at support here

[11:02:44] long NUGT

[10:47:54] next pullback in gdx may present long opps in gdx and nugt, scalp and or swing, on 3min charts if it pulls back, watching for possible entry

[10:05:47] AAPL up 1.4% today vs flat spy, so went with aapl

[10:02:44] long AAPL

Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Friday thoughts

[15:55:13] exited ALTR 0.7%ish loss, holding other longs
[15:55:32] have "enough" long, want to reduce risk at expense of taking a small loss now on it
[15:55:42] small port, out
[15:28:57] NUGT small port, took the 4.3% profit, exited
[15:29:02] large port, holding some swing
[15:29:16] will look to reenter later nugt,


[14:37:08] TLT selling at 2--3pm hour is not good for TLT, and is often helpful to spx

[14:35:10] TLT looks headed to 124.50 lower, helping the spx

[14:23:55] TLT did not make .40, was rejected at .30, good for spx bulls intraday

[14:07:58] if TLT gets over 125.40 it could cause some chop on the spx ripple affect
[14:08:06] 125.16 last tlt

[13:29:27] watch to see if nugt breaks out here
[13:29:35] i think it can, tho resist is resist till broken

[13:24:05] still holding all shares of NUGT in small port, at 3% gain from entry this morn but holding it for the higher prices

[13:20:38] took small 1.3%ish profit on FRX from yest,,,its below trgt, still see higher but have other longs so exiting here, and will look to buy back later

[13:15:17] TLT now approaching 125 area, a move down from 127ish high today, 2%ish,,,

[12:38:42] FRX has marginally broken yesterday's high on its first try, bullish for frx,,,and yest high was a break over rectangel resist on daily chart

[12:12:38] FRX hit 3554 or a few cents from prior hi made yest, watching to see if it can break over this area to next trgt zone

[11:45:17] small port i plan to hold the FRX thru the test of 3560 and probable pullback on test, pb would be normal, but its a swing so i'm holding it, not actively trading it unless the decline from test is "too big", if that happens then will re-eval

[11:42:05] FRX looks headed to test 35.50/35.60 area, and possibly break it higher, daily chart

[11:39:18] that was 3min decline on gdx chart,,,could stil head lower b4 it finishes tho its bouncing again now,,,expected possibility of lower than this, if that was "it" for the 3min decline, would be bullish intraday for gdx nugt

[11:18:03] small port nugt: i intend to hold this all the way thru the next 3min chart decline and bounce all way back up, unless it just decides to surge higher first,,,

[11:05:20] large port nugt at 2.5% + trgt on partial shares, holding small port 100% shares longer

[10:50:08] large port makes sense to take quick 1.2%ish gain on nugt,,,small port holding all share for higher
[10:50:23] nugt

[10:29:39] will scalp and or swing NUGT, like yesterday
[10:28:35] long NUGT, i bought a bit earlier than expected, looks like a pop here possible

[10:20:56] next pb in GDX NUGT looks tradeable long imo, watching for entries,


[10:01:34] TLT back in the re-short area 127, or tbt tmv longs,,,,waiting for re-entry but the setup is forming


Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Thursday thoughts

[16:04:17] there is a candle pattern name for today's spy, its a bearish meeting line, which is "less bearish" than the more reliable dark cloud cover
[16:04:31] HOWEVER, it is a REVERSAL pattern, meaning a change from bull to bear
[16:04:52] 2 days of green candles often is not "enough" for a trend using candle patterns
[16:04:58] they work better with more candles,

[14:42:54] 72% es long scalp signal

210
spy candle is red, but an spx close over 1311 is still not deep into yesterdays candle and that will often cause problems for shorts

144
FRX broke over resist to new multimonth highs today, above the rectangel...is it a false breakout? we will know in coming days

[13:38:50] exited UTIW with 1%ish loss, small starter position that never got added to, still see higher utiw but i'm out cuz of its massive move today higher after a post earning rept low

[13:19:10] 70% ES long alert rang, scalp intraday only,,,es may pullback b4 72% is hit

[13:11:37] poss 60min bull flag in frx

[13:10:51] FRX 15min dbl bot, daily uptrrend


[13:08:51] went long FRX


[12:34:52] UTIW dug itself out of the hole, conserv traders would exit here this swing with a 1.5% loss and try to buy later,,,i will hold it in both small and large ports, since the position is small and it looks higher in coming days weeks to enter the profit zone


[12:35:18] rallied from 1380 low to 1550+, last 1540ish


[12:31:28] long here ALTR, actively trading if it moves up to scalp, else swing

[12:16:42] nugt near 1247 trgt, tryoing for 1277 on small port if able,,,watching carefully and actively trading the large port

[12:11:34] out of wmt, 3 cent loss,, i may regret exiting WMT but it was early entry and did not act as expected, it may try another 1% higher b4 lower

[12:08:44] this coming move lower on ES may be bought, i will likely exit WMT and look to re-enter, still waiting for now

1155
[11:55:04] large port could take 25-50% of share on nugt off for quik 2.2% gain,,,small port holding

[11:52:18] nugt hit 1193 trgger, watching for 1247 next

[11:50:57] conserv traders on WMT would exit here breakeven and look for better entry point, for now i remain in WMT tho

[11:45:07] if nugt hits 1192, then 1247 intaday trgt

[11:42:10] if WMT cannot make a lower low on the 3 and or 15min charts, likely to exit it and try again, actively trading it for now

so positions i trade actiuvely,, other i just let sit n bake

[11:40:46] may 24 support test gdx

[11:39:37] theres a bull diverg on 3min GDX so trying to trade it actively here, it is early, its also at support on daily else i'd wait,,,but trying, see what happns


[11:36:28] added more nugt to give enough shares to scalp,first entry was starter only, entry 2 of poss 4
[11:36:43] added on small port also,

[11:25:04] NUGT is v volatile, size accordingly

[11:24:07] long NUGT here, just entered, starter positino may add later, will also actively trade NUGT and take profits today if it moves, looks set for intraday bounce, then pullback

[10:10:06] WMT short is 4 to 12 hours early per the daily and 60min charts, but want some exposure to it, may add more later

[10:08:01] Market maker reports on WMT, for swings, suggests they are holding up price but shorting into it, when they pull the bid it shyould drop nicely, may take some days to move

[10:02:48] WMT combo swing and scalp short,,,still holding longs in other stocks, long and short both, but the charts on them look much diff

[10:00:34] SHORTED new pos in WMT

[09:50:10] cotton should move 10-15% higher imo

[09:37:04] out of stx from 2216 here at 2369, is not up with the ES so will look to reenter later
 [09:37:54] only 6.9% gain, still see the higher targets on STX seagate, but not happy that its not participating in this pop on ES so will look to active trade it and buy again later

[09:28:49] es is trying for that 1333-1335, i'm not shorting even there if it gets there b4 10AM, too tricky on high vol open if it decides to break it higher (i dont think it will do that, but imo not worht risk)

[09:10:21] often averaging UP actually makes more $$$ than trying avg down


[09:09:10] my small position on UTIW is getting hit this morn,,,happens when u hold swings thru earnings, still think UTIW higher in coming days weeks, tho i am NOT adding to it or averaging down, at least not yet


[09:05:46] 1333ish ES intraday i may short the simple resist, for scalp only to start, if when it gets up there
 [09:06:13] however imo, if ES does get to 1335 ES, after a pullback it will break over 1335 later


[09:03:01] TLT shorts should do well, on a bounce, swings, via long tbt or tmv 3x imo
 [09:03:15] tlt short may outperform spx longs,,will have a mix of both

[08:57:15] cotton futures are flying high, up 5%, trying to break this viscious daily downtrend its been in
847
[08:47:25] looking for re-entries into TLT shorts, via tbt or tmv, possibly today, hoping for a bounce, should get one

840
TNA up nicely and close to yesterdays posted targets. taking profits pre-market or at the open makes sense, since I have other long positions in both small and large ports. If i didnt have other longs i might hold the TNA longer.

TNA at 17% profit gain from Monday posted entry.


Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Wedn thoughts

imo,[16:40:54] some of that money in treasuries is from GS not necessarily smart money, and will be used to move the spx artifically higher
[16:42:35] all that TLT parabolic move was not from retail,,,the smaller retail uses bank savings accounts cash, not treasuries

[16:35:23] 1315--1320 area is a prior market maker active area, staying over that suggests higher b4 signif lower

[16:34:06] if ES is over 1320 at 930am, and does not get under 1314 by 1030am, could go to 1327--1335 b4 signif pb

[15:58:27] TLT hit its 125ish trgt tho the exit was early, will try to reload on a bounce,short, 127.10 last
[15:58:35] *125.1


[15:55:17] theres a possible bull W forming on SPX daily charts, speculation only since early stage formation

[15:51:37] if ES is over 1312 at 4pm, higher than 1312 at 415, and overnite at some point, likely
347
15min bull flag broke ES TNA, now trying for the higher hi

341
giving gdx  nugt 1 to 3 days to see what it does, ideally it will continue to move lower but not aggressively so, if that pattern forms then may re-enter long swings


[14:48:55] still waiting/ trying for the 49ish trgt on remaining TNA, or 77.00ish IWM

[14:33:59] ES 3min put in the lower low, 15min chart now trying to break its bull flag, ES

[13:50:57] if TLT can claw back to 126.50, may be re-shortable,,,still waiting to add, no reentry yet


[13:33:35] but 2pm may bring some wildness, may be best to just wait

[13:32:42] one more low on ES 3min charts may setup scalps, for quick hands, not there yet
[13:32:54] would also setup bull diverg, scalp only since its 3min charts

[13:30:23] the 3min ES chart has a mini bull flag on it, trying to break it higher for new intraday highs, but the 2pm reports reaction likely rules today, last ES 1308

[12:47:09] taking off half of stx 2360 from 2216 entry yest makes sense,
[12:48:49] gain on that piece 6.4%ish, real trgt was 7.5% but stalling here, still see higher STX seagate so keeping half

1239
multiweek months trgt on GDX is about 18% higher, NUGT 35--50% higher depending on nugt decay

[12:38:58] the pb suggests DUST to go higher first, but i'm not trading the dust for now

[12:38:16] watching for re-entry into long GDX or NUGT, too soon now,waiting for the 15min and 60min chart pullbacks, may take hours or few days to form, should look like a bull flag if it forms as expected, on sidelines now

1236
5080 swing trgt on TNA after interim trgts are hit

1215
7650ish IWM, TNA 4800ish trgts approx

[12:13:38] out tlt
[12:14:19] 5495 took profit on all but 25% shares in TMV
[12:15:12] from 5054 entry yest

still see higher TMV, lower TLT , but will try to reenter later.

[12:04:23] TLT breaking lower a bit now, watching to see how much it can push

[12:03:36] bull diverg on TLT 15min chart are starting to form but not baked yet,,,planning to exit the TLT short if it can move lower and finish the diverg, then re-short higher later ,,,if able

[12:01:05] TLT chart suggests it mioght get one more decent move lower today, if so may exit the small port TLT shorts via TMV long

[11:52:16] STX seagate up another 3.75% today, is at interim trgt here, but also close to next trgt which is abnother 2%ish higher from here

[11:35:07] IWM SPX SPY are all on "hold longs thru any 15min chart pullbacks" for multihour multiday swingts, imo

[11:32:45] thought: remember that SPX could dribble higher on small candles to form a wedge, it often happens on this type of pattern,,,and frustrates early short entries,,,imo early to swing short here unless willing to endure stops,

1100
short term plan for TLT shorts / TMV long: take profits if TLT gets near 125 (may 30 support), and hold it for next 4 hours, eval after 4 hours, then prob next 8-12 trading hours. right now its on a 4-12 hour hold short regardless of price action, will re-eval in 4 hrs time unless a large move comes lower first

Mid-term: same trgts on TLT, up to 10% lower on TLT, 20-30% higher TMV

last TLT 127.03
1053
TNA is now at the 5% higher posted trgt yesterday, but still holding it longer in small port for now,


1000
in coming days, SPX may want to retest its low, but over 1288 spx is bullish, it is also poss that 1288-1295 will hold and 1262 will NOT be tested

938
es 1300 overnite high, 1300.50

937
TLT hit yest posted trgt of 127 but holding for now, to see what it does with 126.50ish, if that breaks than should accell more selling lower

934
TLT continuing to move nicely lower, lots of room on downside for TLT,,,higher tbt tmv
Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Tues thoughts

358
1970ish first MIND trgt, then 22, then over 24 in time,,, if it sees 1970 i'll sell some on large port, hold small port longer

354
MIND surging b4 earnings here ,,,will be interesting, up 7%ish from yest on this volatile stock

339
TLT precarious here, approaching that "dont think it will make it today lowre" trgt

330
[15:30:31] still see much higher MIND, but note that: Mitcham Industries, Inc. (NASDAQ: MIND) announced today that it will release financial results for its fiscal 2013 first quarter ended April 30, 2012 after the market closes on Tuesday, June 5, 2012

326
normally i'd take profit on tlt shorts today, TMV long and try re-entry later, but i'm holding the remaining half due to the parabolic move up, similar to the false breakout lower awhile back that was followed by this massive move up

322
[15:21:25] VTNC :$ but holding it like a non expiring option, the stuff is volatile, still see higher later
[15:22:00] not adding any more vtnc atm, not cost averaging, down 10%ish atm

301.
TLT,,,not likely to close under 127.50 today, but if it did, could signal the top is in for it for now

259
TLT gapped down yest and today, so may not tomorrow, but still not at trgt so 3rd gap possible nonetheless

258
TLT imo is susepticble to a gap DOWN tomorrow

254
can also see it on 15min chart of IWM  TNA

254
3min TNA: has 2 successfull bull flags on it, broke higher at noon and 1:30pm, correlates with other stats for higher into close

234
STX is at scalp trgt 1.5% profit for second entry today, first gave 2.6%, makes sense to keep half and sell half here on scalps, swing trgts r same, higher

231
15min bull coil on ES, poss wedge forming

215
watch TLT next 45 minutes, see what it does

154
it "should" still break to new highs imo, but taking some off makes sense if many shares

153
considering trgt 1 hit at 1384, close enough,,,if scalping large ports makes sense to take 25-50% off, holding rest

147
74% usually means the first trgt will break higher, but who knows? "usually" also means "not always" LOL

146
es should get the frist trgt

142
pop trgt 1 is high of day, trgts 2 and 3 same as b4

 139,
ES hasnt popped like it usually does on a move from 72 to 74%, ,,its still at 74%

74% just rang for es pop higher, watching reaction, at 1280 es

1257
ES is almost ready to give a "pop higher" signal intraday only but hasnt rang yet,,,a move from 72%--74% would be the trigger, its close rite now

1250
ES needs to hold over 1274 else risk downside, over 1274 bullish intraday imo

[12:47:47] STX seagate now back in scalp long range if exited higher earlier today on scalp piece, swing trgts were higher, a scalp entry here is aggressive since the 15min chart may want more down b4 up...22.16 last

[12:43:58] *bull engulf not harami

[12:43:30] for candlewatchers,,,if IWM can close a bit higher than here, it will have a bull harami 2 day candle pattern that would be confirmed with a subsequent close over whatever todays high is,,,,in this case the harami might itself be a confirmation of yesterday's bull hammer


1236
127ish TLT trgt still

 [12:36:10] 1290--1305 es trgts,,, 

1233
ES action suggests a break over 1284.50 today imo, for a higher intraday high, last 1280

1120
TLT about halfway to its daily trgt lower, another 1% lower,,,for swings 5%, 15%, 30% trgts lowr in time

1014
STX at 2.6% profit target if scalping it from this morn, swing trgts 10-30% higher

1004
selling some TMV from yest, 2.5% large port,,,holding 100% shares in small port, from yest entry

1001
42.10 to 43.70 tna, still have half

1001
[10:00:50] ES now at resist, sctive longs might take profit here
[10:00:54] still see higher es later

large port TNA, half off, keeping half
 956
TLT could easily move 1% lower today (2% total), not saying it does but its do-able,,,was do-able yest also but didnt happn

[09:36:27] STX back in the buy zone now, for swings ,seagate


928
TMV (short treasuries 3x) is trading at about 1.5% profit area from yesterday posted entry,  active traders could take profit on some or all shares here, large port i'll take some off, small port i'll hold all shares for now
Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Monday thoughts

226
large port tna es upro scalp neart 1% profit on 25-50% of shares, small port has higher trgts instead on 100%+


103
4210 TNA here could work

103
70% es long scalp signal rang, may turn to 72% in next 3-9 minutes, at 1269 ES

945
Added more TMV here, to both scalp and swing, is 3x TLT short


920
whta a nite on ES futures, from a 9 pointish drop to 1262 to rally back up 17 points to 1279, volatile out there
Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Friday thoughts

258
[14:58:27] DIS long is allowing re-entry, if u went in at 4425 and out at 4600ish, its back to 4450ish now,,,its a dow component but not as heavily weighted,,,the daily DIS chart is impressive imo compared to DIA SPY

256
[14:54:59] i still believe that TLT is topping, headed 20-40% lower on the 1x,,,more on the 2 or 3x treas etfs
[14:55:44] this is the exact opposite of the prior TLT "long reversal" from 111 area


245
DGP gold up 8% today. closed position and will look to reenter gold later, still see higher gold

114
small port. exited AGQ silver, keeping gold, still see higher silver but wanted to take 4-5% profit b4 it disappears, Silver been fluctuating,,,still exposed via longs in gold that i'm holding, dgp


1159
AGQ nearing 5% profit, still holding for now. SLV at 27.83 last, nearing its lower trgts, but also higher targets for silver afterwards.

1025
For SLV AGQ, market makers imo are in "trade mode", they are buying then selling, but the bias is that they are trading long intraday atm, but taking quick profits and then re-entering. Intraday, that suggests longside entries on silver.

I continue to hold AGQ, 4%ish profit atm, same trgts for slv 2780--2815,, then 2860, then 2950, 3100
1006
AGQ silver is up, at 3%ish profit, but i'm going to hold it for now. If I were actively trading this, i would exit and re-enter, but for now i'll just let it sit. Active trading would take profit on 50-100% of shares. still have the dgp gold longs too.


Trades can be viewed at the links below.


http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1/portfolio/Holdings
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-public-1


For details on the portfolio see this posting:
http://christopherstockguy.blogspot.com/2012/04/link-to-trading-portfolio-of-posted.html

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".