Tuesday, November 2, 2010
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Monday, November 1, 2010
tuesday ramblings (and Mon nite futures)
409
ahh...i just noticed that 4pm method---it's hedged itself via SSO,,, 4238,, this is v unusual for the 4pm method,,,prob a result from the sideways chop,,hmm
405
that sds swing 4pm method came v v close to stopout,,but conditions not met,,,barely in there, so its short another day at least, currently down 1 or 1.5% on it
359
taking some scalp profits on csco, small not much,,holding rest swing,,,still swing short jpm spx wfc csco and intc
353
warning...VIX is rising here into the close,,,for swings
345
the 4pm setup still says stay short,,,v close to stop out but no stopout yet
317
looks ready to drop to .22ish
316
intc is v precarious now,,,support is holding so its support till broken, but precarious
300
INTC close under 2030 and pref under 2322 would be v bearish, last 2035,,its at support here so could bounce,,,watching reaction
252
csco trgt first 2311 then 2301,,,2311 could see b4 3:08pm
247
JPM is now just 6 cents from its .78 trgt :) watching
to see if it runs thru .73 or bounces
244
if we get ES stage 1 and stage 2 selling then 1186 trgt,,,lower for stage 3
242
further INTC may see a "key reversal day bearish" depending on its close, higher hi, lower lo, close near the low
241
engulfing would be more bearish than dark cloud
240
intc is almost in danger of getting a bear engulfing candel daily, or modified dark cloud cover (no gap up tho)
239
stage one selling from es alert about to kick in if signal is right
233
1191 ES sell alert
232
csco sell alert at .20
228
JPM making new lows of day, 3694 last :)
226
but with down bias
226
sideways first,,see which way it breaks
225
60min chart SPY warns of lower but no confirm in pattern yet
210
last .25 csco
210
csco hit .24 trgt,,,watching reaction,,,may want over .30 but see under .24 later
207
csco swing/scalp combo 2324 could work, last .22
159
JPM is not participating at all in rally,,,short jpm green 1.5%
156
my 4pm method sds may stop out today for about 1% loss,,,unsure,, if so it would be first sso/sds 4pm prog loss in 2010,,so its due for one
140
wont auto cover at 3678 since it may want trgt 2 of 3623
139
may end up taking some jpm off at 3678 trgt then re-shorting (same as did in csco),,,will keep half of JPM tho in case "no bounce"
130
grr this JPM just wont let me add short,,,still running with 3765 short,,,trying to add 3738 more but bounce stalled .20
126
still have setup, if aapl misses 31140 and moves under 308.50, may short the 108.50 break lower, unsure
125
still have the aapl short limnit order 311.40, last 309.94
111
low ES volume tday
1247
es close to my 1191 trgt,,,119075,,,adding shorts,,,,may want 1193 or higher tho
1236
still have 3738 lim short jpm, last 3711
1230
rite now,, the MM r testing buyers,,,letting it drift up if able on their own
1228
also thinking that jpm csco intc shorts will outperform the spx shorts
1227
i'm already short ES swing via SDS from 1188,,why i'm not adding here
1224
CSCO sell alert now,,,80% ,,,for lower low to 2300
1214
combo scalp swing,,,,if the scalps hit trgt then i take profit else hold overnite
1211
rarely will i short the 3rd test of high cuz they often breakout higher,,,but charts say trying it here is worth it, for me
1210
i will still short 1191 ES if able, same trgt as this morn
1205
for swings
charts suggest that this intc bounce is danger to go long on
1200
oil is now
on a buy the dips,,but no entry here,,, then a higher hi or equiv hi with a bear diverg, then short, in hours days not minutes
1156
JPM isnt letting me bak in to add shorts,,,,maybe in few hours idk
1154
charts telling me to stay short intc either way here for swing,,,see lower intc
1153
intc is rite at support here near 2039,,,shouyld bounce ,,if not then 20 cents lower trgt,,,see it breaking lower for swings, intraday poss bounce
1151
csco 2313 then 2307 roadmap, last 2309
1146
2301 csco trgt down, then 2278,,,
1143
CSCO sell alert 78% at 2314
1142
tomorrow: if QEs is lower than expected,,,could fall hard,,,sell news
1139
WFC 60min poss desc trianlge with 2440 trgt, last 2591, if its triggered,,,trgt near the 2437 horiz support so it lines up nicely,, if WFC falls then JPM should fall harder, short both atm
1130
MM may have just taken their loss rite here, csco, unknown at 2318
1128
csco charts say "down" for swings nonetheless, the MM stuff is intraday only
1127
csco marketMakers should try a spike in csco,,if they cannot get it then csco could see 2278 later today, as they will quickly change sides, rite now they look to be slightly long, if they can't get out then they will sell and make up the long loss via short side
1124
csco "should" bounce to 2325/27 even if its only a quik spike up, last 2318, but staying short scalp for now, no cover
1101
15min ES SPY charts say "short bounces" intraday,,, maybe 1190 ES, unconfirmed trgt
1031
for now i have a 311.40 short limit aapl if it gets that hi, last 308.30
1030
aapl swing short "almost ready" 308.50 but not full baked,, but if it goes higher and back down here, may short the decline, AAPL is my qqqq proxy, i believe it will fall harder if it falls
1014
short adding some csco here .29,,,this time got filled,,lower from .37
1007
i will lim short csco 2337 if able, last 2328, swing scalp combo, to add to existing csco short swing, to reshort shares covered yest 2290 for profit
1003
if .38 were filled would take scalp profits quik here .25, hold rest for .17 and lower and reshort bounces jpm
957
i'm sticking with .38 cuz could see .45 or .55ish so wont pay more premium for now, and i'm already swing short jp from 3765 few days ago friday i think
tues 950 AM
limit short more jpm 3738 if able for combo swing/scalp
monday 843pm
euro 60min has a bear diverg: higher prices, lower rsi peak, watching to see if it moves lower in coming hours days
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
ahh...i just noticed that 4pm method---it's hedged itself via SSO,,, 4238,, this is v unusual for the 4pm method,,,prob a result from the sideways chop,,hmm
405
that sds swing 4pm method came v v close to stopout,,but conditions not met,,,barely in there, so its short another day at least, currently down 1 or 1.5% on it
359
taking some scalp profits on csco, small not much,,holding rest swing,,,still swing short jpm spx wfc csco and intc
353
warning...VIX is rising here into the close,,,for swings
345
the 4pm setup still says stay short,,,v close to stop out but no stopout yet
317
looks ready to drop to .22ish
316
intc is v precarious now,,,support is holding so its support till broken, but precarious
300
INTC close under 2030 and pref under 2322 would be v bearish, last 2035,,its at support here so could bounce,,,watching reaction
252
csco trgt first 2311 then 2301,,,2311 could see b4 3:08pm
247
JPM is now just 6 cents from its .78 trgt :) watching
to see if it runs thru .73 or bounces
244
if we get ES stage 1 and stage 2 selling then 1186 trgt,,,lower for stage 3
242
further INTC may see a "key reversal day bearish" depending on its close, higher hi, lower lo, close near the low
241
engulfing would be more bearish than dark cloud
240
intc is almost in danger of getting a bear engulfing candel daily, or modified dark cloud cover (no gap up tho)
239
stage one selling from es alert about to kick in if signal is right
233
1191 ES sell alert
232
csco sell alert at .20
228
JPM making new lows of day, 3694 last :)
226
but with down bias
226
sideways first,,see which way it breaks
225
60min chart SPY warns of lower but no confirm in pattern yet
210
last .25 csco
210
csco hit .24 trgt,,,watching reaction,,,may want over .30 but see under .24 later
207
csco swing/scalp combo 2324 could work, last .22
159
JPM is not participating at all in rally,,,short jpm green 1.5%
156
my 4pm method sds may stop out today for about 1% loss,,,unsure,, if so it would be first sso/sds 4pm prog loss in 2010,,so its due for one
140
wont auto cover at 3678 since it may want trgt 2 of 3623
139
may end up taking some jpm off at 3678 trgt then re-shorting (same as did in csco),,,will keep half of JPM tho in case "no bounce"
130
grr this JPM just wont let me add short,,,still running with 3765 short,,,trying to add 3738 more but bounce stalled .20
126
still have setup, if aapl misses 31140 and moves under 308.50, may short the 108.50 break lower, unsure
125
still have the aapl short limnit order 311.40, last 309.94
111
low ES volume tday
1247
es close to my 1191 trgt,,,119075,,,adding shorts,,,,may want 1193 or higher tho
1236
still have 3738 lim short jpm, last 3711
1230
rite now,, the MM r testing buyers,,,letting it drift up if able on their own
1228
also thinking that jpm csco intc shorts will outperform the spx shorts
1227
i'm already short ES swing via SDS from 1188,,why i'm not adding here
1224
CSCO sell alert now,,,80% ,,,for lower low to 2300
1214
combo scalp swing,,,,if the scalps hit trgt then i take profit else hold overnite
1211
rarely will i short the 3rd test of high cuz they often breakout higher,,,but charts say trying it here is worth it, for me
1210
i will still short 1191 ES if able, same trgt as this morn
1205
for swings
charts suggest that this intc bounce is danger to go long on
1200
oil is now
on a buy the dips,,but no entry here,,, then a higher hi or equiv hi with a bear diverg, then short, in hours days not minutes
1156
JPM isnt letting me bak in to add shorts,,,,maybe in few hours idk
1154
charts telling me to stay short intc either way here for swing,,,see lower intc
1153
intc is rite at support here near 2039,,,shouyld bounce ,,if not then 20 cents lower trgt,,,see it breaking lower for swings, intraday poss bounce
1151
csco 2313 then 2307 roadmap, last 2309
1146
2301 csco trgt down, then 2278,,,
1143
CSCO sell alert 78% at 2314
1142
tomorrow: if QEs is lower than expected,,,could fall hard,,,sell news
1139
WFC 60min poss desc trianlge with 2440 trgt, last 2591, if its triggered,,,trgt near the 2437 horiz support so it lines up nicely,, if WFC falls then JPM should fall harder, short both atm
1130
MM may have just taken their loss rite here, csco, unknown at 2318
1128
csco charts say "down" for swings nonetheless, the MM stuff is intraday only
1127
csco marketMakers should try a spike in csco,,if they cannot get it then csco could see 2278 later today, as they will quickly change sides, rite now they look to be slightly long, if they can't get out then they will sell and make up the long loss via short side
1124
csco "should" bounce to 2325/27 even if its only a quik spike up, last 2318, but staying short scalp for now, no cover
1101
15min ES SPY charts say "short bounces" intraday,,, maybe 1190 ES, unconfirmed trgt
1031
for now i have a 311.40 short limit aapl if it gets that hi, last 308.30
1030
aapl swing short "almost ready" 308.50 but not full baked,, but if it goes higher and back down here, may short the decline, AAPL is my qqqq proxy, i believe it will fall harder if it falls
1014
short adding some csco here .29,,,this time got filled,,lower from .37
1007
i will lim short csco 2337 if able, last 2328, swing scalp combo, to add to existing csco short swing, to reshort shares covered yest 2290 for profit
1003
if .38 were filled would take scalp profits quik here .25, hold rest for .17 and lower and reshort bounces jpm
957
i'm sticking with .38 cuz could see .45 or .55ish so wont pay more premium for now, and i'm already swing short jp from 3765 few days ago friday i think
tues 950 AM
limit short more jpm 3738 if able for combo swing/scalp
monday 843pm
euro 60min has a bear diverg: higher prices, lower rsi peak, watching to see if it moves lower in coming hours days
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Monday ramblings / ES Futures Monday pre-market
419
next POMO is Nov 4
414
for me, uso over 3550 is bullish, break under that may setup another short opp in oil or long SCO,, else may even consider long oil later
414
OIL: uso has a bear black candlestick today but this needs confirm,,,limbo here,,,charts till warn oil may go higher,,,
407
119.07 up is first spy wick AH,,not that many shares on 11907 tho,, 105k
356
keeping half csco swing, but scalped csco 2317 short ,,cover 2292 for 25 cents profit for a non-3x instrument,, sds up 40 cents
354
coverd .92 csco,,still have half
352
2286 lim cover if able 50% csco
343
csco headed bak down :)
315
and wfc drops from 2600 to 2560
314
institutional sell alert, 74%,,,
311
1172.25 ES intraday trgt
308
jpm now down 3714 from 3780
306
aapl is still over 300 but may not surive a 3rd test there,,, a close under 299should bring the qqqq lower for swings
304
es suppport range 1176-80 v impt intraday tday,,has found support 1179ish b4,,, still bearish intraday es under 1181
259
the vix says it wants higher vix, bearish spx for swings
241
ES just hit 1179trgt 117925 but see lower still,, came an hour late on the trgt
240
intc is the only stubborn short but i remain short intc,,still see a hard fall intc swing
238
whoa 3738 jpm falling like a rock now :)
236
jpm 3675 trgt ,last 3749
235
wow JPM just dropped 3785 to 3752
231
csco will prob stall at .87 b4 .78,,,,watching to see if .87 reacts
228
csco makes a new lower low of day :)
219
watching the es 1182,,,not sure if it will hold much more tests b4 break
215
csco is rite at 2301 now,,,may bounce to 2310/17 but think it will crak lower,,if it cracks then 2377 next to fill the order to cover half
211
hmm JPM now beginning to weaken also ,,,i am still short that
207
but there is also a poss bull inv HS on 15min csco,so wtaching both ways
206
csco 15min bear desc triangle forming that points to 22.70,,,below but near the 22.75 trgt and below the .77 limit cover half shares,for now,, its helpful when chart patterns point to targets that are also close to horizontal pivots, as this one does
204
csco continues down nicely,,still holding for lower trgts
139
ES is right at the 3min DTL testing now,,watching for reaction up or down,,,3min is newly est so less strong R
131
watching for a wedge to form in 15min down
128
its 1:28 pm,,,1 min from target time,,,watching reaction here
111
japanese candl analys says if the es gets a 15min close under 1180 then it likely wont see over 1187 rest of day
107
es trgt 1179 by 13:29pm at curr velocity
103
poss mini bear M in 3min es 1179 trgt if triggered
1257
8350 would be an early short at R,,but i'll wait
1255
as expected, oil has moved up,,,looks like more up/sideways oil if 84 breaks higher /cl,,i mentinoed friday oil wanted higher
1254
LOL i mistyped csco as ccso---that stock is $2.35 !
1253
charts suggest ES low of day is not yet in
1250
limit cover half csco if able 22.77 to lock profit,,letting other half ride lower to 2200 2150
1231
1million shares SPY green,,,300k red,,more chop expcted
1230
higher is ok,,,i'll just add more,,,missed the 2335 entry
1229
csco is now testing one of its multiple trendlines now,,why i added some here, on 15min chart
1226
csco is a comno scalp/swing,, adding bak shares that took profits on at 22.86, last 2317
1225
adding more csco shorts here at 2317,,,will try to add more higher if able
1149
es resist 3min horiz 1186, dowtnredline 118850
1143
still have same csco trgts,,,would still be surprised that it doesnt bounce at 2275 if it gets there, lastr 2302,,, expect bounce,then break lower under 2275
1137
grrr missed the add csco short by about 5 cents,,,now dropped to 2202,,,still looking to add more on bounce, have 50% size atm
1105
15min ES watching for poss diamond pattern to form, half done now
1043
*119.60 LOL
1042
program trader has limit short spy 116.60 to hold for over 15min, all day, (or could use long spxu sds there)
1036
csco has fallen lower, no fill on the "add shorts" but charts still suggest it should pop up too allow adding in coming hour/s
1007
short swing lim 2335 csco if filled, last 2326, this is to re-short the 50% i took profits on Friday
943
1million SPY red traded just now, 119.31
934
sds swing (long sds, short spx) from 2740 and 2705, to hold for days weeks
024
good morning.
See post below about swing short position.
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
next POMO is Nov 4
414
for me, uso over 3550 is bullish, break under that may setup another short opp in oil or long SCO,, else may even consider long oil later
414
OIL: uso has a bear black candlestick today but this needs confirm,,,limbo here,,,charts till warn oil may go higher,,,
407
119.07 up is first spy wick AH,,not that many shares on 11907 tho,, 105k
356
keeping half csco swing, but scalped csco 2317 short ,,cover 2292 for 25 cents profit for a non-3x instrument,, sds up 40 cents
354
coverd .92 csco,,still have half
352
2286 lim cover if able 50% csco
343
csco headed bak down :)
315
and wfc drops from 2600 to 2560
314
institutional sell alert, 74%,,,
311
1172.25 ES intraday trgt
308
jpm now down 3714 from 3780
306
aapl is still over 300 but may not surive a 3rd test there,,, a close under 299should bring the qqqq lower for swings
304
es suppport range 1176-80 v impt intraday tday,,has found support 1179ish b4,,, still bearish intraday es under 1181
259
the vix says it wants higher vix, bearish spx for swings
241
ES just hit 1179trgt 117925 but see lower still,, came an hour late on the trgt
240
intc is the only stubborn short but i remain short intc,,still see a hard fall intc swing
238
whoa 3738 jpm falling like a rock now :)
236
jpm 3675 trgt ,last 3749
235
wow JPM just dropped 3785 to 3752
231
csco will prob stall at .87 b4 .78,,,,watching to see if .87 reacts
228
csco makes a new lower low of day :)
219
watching the es 1182,,,not sure if it will hold much more tests b4 break
215
csco is rite at 2301 now,,,may bounce to 2310/17 but think it will crak lower,,if it cracks then 2377 next to fill the order to cover half
211
hmm JPM now beginning to weaken also ,,,i am still short that
207
but there is also a poss bull inv HS on 15min csco,so wtaching both ways
206
csco 15min bear desc triangle forming that points to 22.70,,,below but near the 22.75 trgt and below the .77 limit cover half shares,for now,, its helpful when chart patterns point to targets that are also close to horizontal pivots, as this one does
204
csco continues down nicely,,still holding for lower trgts
139
ES is right at the 3min DTL testing now,,watching for reaction up or down,,,3min is newly est so less strong R
131
watching for a wedge to form in 15min down
128
its 1:28 pm,,,1 min from target time,,,watching reaction here
111
japanese candl analys says if the es gets a 15min close under 1180 then it likely wont see over 1187 rest of day
107
es trgt 1179 by 13:29pm at curr velocity
103
poss mini bear M in 3min es 1179 trgt if triggered
1257
8350 would be an early short at R,,but i'll wait
1255
as expected, oil has moved up,,,looks like more up/sideways oil if 84 breaks higher /cl,,i mentinoed friday oil wanted higher
1254
LOL i mistyped csco as ccso---that stock is $2.35 !
1253
charts suggest ES low of day is not yet in
1250
limit cover half csco if able 22.77 to lock profit,,letting other half ride lower to 2200 2150
1231
1million shares SPY green,,,300k red,,more chop expcted
1230
higher is ok,,,i'll just add more,,,missed the 2335 entry
1229
csco is now testing one of its multiple trendlines now,,why i added some here, on 15min chart
1226
csco is a comno scalp/swing,, adding bak shares that took profits on at 22.86, last 2317
1225
adding more csco shorts here at 2317,,,will try to add more higher if able
1149
es resist 3min horiz 1186, dowtnredline 118850
1143
still have same csco trgts,,,would still be surprised that it doesnt bounce at 2275 if it gets there, lastr 2302,,, expect bounce,then break lower under 2275
1137
grrr missed the add csco short by about 5 cents,,,now dropped to 2202,,,still looking to add more on bounce, have 50% size atm
1105
15min ES watching for poss diamond pattern to form, half done now
1043
*119.60 LOL
1042
program trader has limit short spy 116.60 to hold for over 15min, all day, (or could use long spxu sds there)
1036
csco has fallen lower, no fill on the "add shorts" but charts still suggest it should pop up too allow adding in coming hour/s
1007
short swing lim 2335 csco if filled, last 2326, this is to re-short the 50% i took profits on Friday
943
1million SPY red traded just now, 119.31
934
sds swing (long sds, short spx) from 2740 and 2705, to hold for days weeks
024
good morning.
See post below about swing short position.
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Sunday, October 31, 2010
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)