tuesday ramblings (and Mon nite futures)

409
ahh...i just noticed that 4pm method---it's hedged itself via SSO,,, 4238,, this is v unusual for the 4pm method,,,prob a result from the sideways chop,,hmm

405
that sds swing 4pm method came v v close to stopout,,but conditions not met,,,barely in there, so its short another day at least, currently down 1 or 1.5% on it

359
taking some scalp profits on csco, small not much,,holding rest swing,,,still swing short jpm spx wfc csco and intc

353
warning...VIX is rising here into the close,,,for swings

345
the 4pm setup still says stay short,,,v close to stop out but no stopout yet

317
looks ready to drop to .22ish

316
intc is v precarious now,,,support is holding so its support till broken, but precarious

300
INTC close under 2030 and pref under 2322 would be v bearish, last 2035,,its at support here so could bounce,,,watching reaction

252
csco trgt first 2311 then 2301,,,2311 could see b4 3:08pm

247
JPM is now just 6 cents from  its .78 trgt :)   watching



to see if it runs thru .73 or bounces
 
 
244
if we get ES stage 1 and stage 2 selling then 1186 trgt,,,lower for stage 3

242
further INTC may see a "key reversal day bearish" depending on its close, higher hi, lower lo, close near the low

241
engulfing would be more bearish than dark cloud

240
intc is almost in danger of getting a bear engulfing candel daily, or modified dark cloud cover (no gap up tho)


239
stage one selling from es alert about to kick in if signal is right

233
1191 ES sell alert

232
csco sell alert at .20

228
JPM making new lows of day, 3694 last :)

226
but with down bias

226
sideways first,,see which way it breaks

225
60min chart SPY warns of lower but no confirm in pattern yet

210
last .25 csco

210
csco hit .24 trgt,,,watching reaction,,,may want over .30 but see under .24 later

207
csco swing/scalp  combo 2324 could work, last .22

159
JPM is not participating at all in rally,,,short jpm green 1.5%

156
my 4pm method sds may stop out today for about 1% loss,,,unsure,, if so it would be first sso/sds 4pm prog loss in 2010,,so its due for one

140
wont auto cover at 3678 since it may want trgt 2 of 3623

139
may end up taking some jpm off at 3678 trgt then re-shorting (same as did in csco),,,will keep half of JPM tho in case "no bounce"

130
grr this JPM just wont let me add short,,,still running with 3765 short,,,trying to add 3738 more but bounce stalled .20

126
still have setup, if aapl misses 31140 and moves under 308.50, may short the 108.50 break lower, unsure

125
still have the aapl short limnit order 311.40, last 309.94

111
low ES volume tday

1247
es close to my 1191 trgt,,,119075,,,adding shorts,,,,may want 1193 or higher tho

1236
still have 3738 lim short jpm, last 3711

1230
rite now,, the MM r testing buyers,,,letting it drift up if able on their own

1228
also thinking that jpm csco intc shorts will outperform the spx shorts

1227
i'm already short ES swing via SDS from 1188,,why i'm not adding here

1224
CSCO sell alert now,,,80% ,,,for lower low to 2300

1214
combo scalp swing,,,,if the scalps hit trgt then i take profit else hold overnite

1211
rarely will i short the 3rd test of high cuz they often breakout higher,,,but charts say trying it here is worth it, for me

1210
i will still short 1191 ES if able, same trgt as this morn

1205
for swings
charts suggest that this intc bounce is danger to go long on

1200
oil is now


on a buy the dips,,but no entry here,,,  then a higher hi or equiv hi with a bear diverg, then short, in hours days not minutes

1156
JPM isnt letting me bak in to add shorts,,,,maybe in few hours idk

1154
charts telling me to stay short intc either way here for swing,,,see lower intc

1153
intc is rite at support here near 2039,,,shouyld bounce ,,if not then 20 cents lower trgt,,,see it breaking lower for swings, intraday poss bounce

1151
csco 2313 then 2307 roadmap, last 2309

1146
2301 csco trgt down, then 2278,,,

1143
CSCO sell alert 78% at 2314

1142
tomorrow: if QEs is lower than expected,,,could fall hard,,,sell news

1139
WFC 60min poss desc trianlge with 2440 trgt, last 2591, if its triggered,,,trgt near the 2437 horiz support so it lines up nicely,, if WFC falls then JPM should fall harder, short both atm

1130
MM may have just taken their loss rite here, csco, unknown at 2318

1128
csco charts say "down" for swings nonetheless, the MM stuff is intraday only

1127
csco marketMakers should try a spike in csco,,if they cannot get it then csco could see 2278 later today, as they will quickly change sides, rite now they look to be slightly long, if they can't get out then they will sell and make up the long loss via short side

1124
csco "should" bounce to 2325/27 even if its only a quik spike up, last 2318, but staying short scalp for now, no cover

1101
15min ES SPY charts say "short bounces" intraday,,, maybe 1190 ES, unconfirmed trgt

1031
for now i have a 311.40 short limit aapl if it gets that hi, last 308.30

1030
aapl swing short "almost ready" 308.50 but not full baked,, but if it goes higher and back down here, may short the decline, AAPL is my qqqq proxy, i believe it will fall harder if it falls

1014
short adding some csco here .29,,,this time got filled,,lower from .37

1007
i will lim short csco 2337 if able, last 2328, swing scalp combo, to add to existing csco short swing, to reshort shares covered yest 2290 for profit

1003
if .38 were filled would take scalp profits quik here .25, hold rest for .17 and lower and reshort bounces jpm

957
i'm sticking with .38 cuz could see .45 or .55ish so wont pay more premium for now, and i'm already swing short jp from 3765 few days ago friday i think

tues 950 AM
limit short more jpm 3738 if able for combo swing/scalp

monday 843pm
euro 60min has a bear diverg: higher prices, lower rsi peak, watching to see if it moves lower in coming hours days


* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".