Monday, August 17, 2009

ES futures update

Well the ES plunged to 982.75 thus far in ES overnight trading, decisively breaking important support at 998. The 982.75 is very close to the Aug. 3 breakout higher point of 981.

The bears remain in control now as long as ES < 997. However, as nasty as this looks, we need to beware of the bulls stepping in around the 985 level, which could propel prices over 1016.

Bearish: Any advance today makes it no higher than 997. Ability to hold ES under 992 sets up the bears for a powerful nasty plunge lower to 972, 963, 950/46

Bullish: Bulls would need a powerful advance up, breaking above 992 and 998, then need to test and hurdle 1007 if there is any chance of them getting to 1016 or 1025/50.

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