356
took profits on 3rd entry in REDF, i will look to re-enter it later long, or perhaps another stock,,,have only 25% of shares left, sold 75% of shares to lock those profits'
'
339
bear eve stars on spy iwm possible, still only day 2
339
VXX and TZA have a poss morning star 3 day candle pattern, with this as day 2, and a gap higher tomorrow as day three. the last one i mentioned worked, but this is early entry only as the pattern is not formed
331
new interim trgt REDF 944 befor the 1023
318
we may see some wild action today afterhours
317
tza has high volume and can trade afterhours 4pm, may take profits today on the tza, else will hold as swing
316
bought tza 22.30
306
stopped out of vxx scalp, took profits
300
TLT only made 118.40,,missed the 118.60 trgt by 3pm
254
to protect scalp profits, stop raised to .46 for half of vxx and breakeven for other half
251
VXX hit the .62 trgt and is hanging out there now,,,still see higher than .61 since it made it this high
245
1308 es test holgind first try as normal but looks breakable lower
240
IBM continuing lower ahead of earnings
239
vxx at 1% profit target from entry scalp earlier today, tvix about 2%,,,half off and keeping half makes sense
236
1308 es test, thats the pivot, from 1pm
234
vxx trying for .62,,,i still think if it makes .62 it will go higher than that
232
TLT nice move on 3min chart BUT not much volume behind it, likely stall at .50 unless vol increases
228
CORN and Cotton futures have also popped up, often a signal for higher vxx and lower spx
222
but TLT needs that .60 to really move,,not hit yet
221
if TLT rises during the 2pm==3pm hour, often vollatilty increases as the "safety trade higher" comes in
220
higher TLT should be good for VXX TVIX
200
vxx at 2952 scalp target for entry #2 again here
159
if TLT can close today over 118.60 then it has a chance of its daily correction having ended, for a run at a retest of prior daily highs, then new highs
157
if VXX tests 2965 today, it will probably make highs over that today, toward second saclp target
155
watching TLT from the 2pm--3pm hour may provide enlightenment
151
We have Microsoft (MSFT), Intel (INTC), Google (GOOG), and IBM (IBM) reporting after the close today.
149
IBM selling off a bit here, not good for IBM DOW
136
REDF has had buying support on declines to 860,,question is: if it doesnt pullback, will they chase it higher????
132
1308 and 1312 pivots, in between no mans land
131
the ES reaction here at 1311 /1312 may well determine how ES closes today, likely to close in direction of over or under the 1312
127
imo ANN multiweek/months i remain bearish , i believe it will break under 2250 and again under 2150 for new lows,,,but anything can happen with chart changes
122
REDF over 897 is more impt than over 900 imo,,last 889 but has been resist here, and above at 925
118
scalpers could reenter vxx again her 2931 and have same trgt again, .50,for half, with higher trgt for second half
1235
first trgt 2953 vxx hit and exceeded
1223
vxx looks headed for .50 test, but must hurdle it to sustain higher, same trgts
1211
vxx over 2952 intraday, could pop nicely if it can hurdle that, last 2930 and still a vxx buy signal on 3min charts
1210
clearly 924 is a trgt on redf b4 the 1023 trgt,,,,based on simple 925 last prior high,,but i still want to see how it reacts to the 925 test if it gets there, as it may break it higher, esp if the test comes after 2pm
1205
now the 15min es is in a bear rising wedge
1155
vxx trgts 2950 and 3140
1148
3min chart scalp long signal on vxx
1148
bought vxx here 2931, to take profit today if able
1108
spx daily bear rising wedge
1108
look at ES 3min chart: large 10am red candles, and small green ones on bounce, suggests lower, among other factors
1105
HPQ "should" fall harder than spx,,,daily hpq in a sideways rectangel vs up for spx last few days
1103
i'm trying to give REDF a chance to break over the 9.25 prior high, why continue to hold for now, with higher lows on daily
1100
887 redf broke higher, now 899 trgt b4 1023
1053
HPQ market maker analysis suggest the MM are pushing up the price, but they are shorting into it, imo,,one reason why i added shorts, its also near resist, and could drift higher while the MM build their positinos
1048
adding HPQ shorts here 2707, to take profits on half today if able, and hold half longer
1045
1308.75 es short could work here
1018
PUTS have NOT kicked in yet tho,,,red on those atm but see lower in feb or march for those
1016
i might continue to actively trade REDF in and out,,,so far did 2 roundtrips on REDF with 8% and 7% profit, and a hjalf roundtrip at 5% profit
1013
for now my orders on REDF: sell limit 10.23, or stop 8.07, last 8.79
957
AA puts still have timje to move up to 50 cents
955
Adding FEB 9 puts in AA here at 10 cents, don't usually do this but they are cheap enough for a try-me trade,
946
i still think TLT is going higher ,for swings,,,TLT daily broke resist, now backtesting imo
943
if REDF gets a close over 8.90,,,it should move to its higher targets, even if spx goes down,,,doesnt follow the spx
941
vxx same trgt to "move",,,needs over 32.60, last 2986
934
IBM has not been trading great lately, if IBM disappoints i think it will affect HPQ, hence the indirect IBM earnings trade via hpq instead of ibm itself
900am
REDF long has also gapped higher this morning (still have second half, having taken profit yest on half)'
858 AM
Premarket MPEL is trading at 11.08 so its 10.97 target from 2 days ago has been achieved.
Various Short positions have not kicked in yet, but I am holding them still.
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Thursday, January 19, 2012
Wednesday, January 18, 2012
Wednesday thoughts
240
shorted CHRW 66.95ish
234
shorted LINE via puts
234
shorted ANN here 2371
229
Shorted REN via puts
201
shorted hpq near 2683 here
1234pm
bought back TMF here near 70.50, TLT and TMF back in buy zone
1030
REDF has shot up again today, at 5% profit since entry yesterday, certainly nothing wrong with taking profits on half here (or all of it), tho i still see higher,,,i'll keep half
943
i am taking off for a few hours, or on and off sporadically today, letting REDF bake a little while so may miss opp to take profit exit, then buy lower, today
940
if vxx can get over 32.53 then it may really surge higher, not there yet
939
VXX pushing up against yesterday high, higher vxx likely
915
still waiting to re-enter TLT tmf 3x, no entry yet since exit 2 days ago,,,
eventually SHORT TLT or long tbt multiweek swing may present, but thats far away atm, not near setup, for a huge correction lower in tlt and higher tbt
848
two trades on redf 6% and 7% profit each so far, this is the third entry, i'm "actively" trading the redf swing, i'm still short in AA SAP DB STD, and still long VXX, all swings
847
REDF next major target is 10.23, it achieved its first swing target yesterday of 8.87 with a high of 9.25.
As posted, I took profits at 8.87 and then bought it back at 8.45 yesterday
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
shorted CHRW 66.95ish
234
shorted LINE via puts
234
shorted ANN here 2371
229
Shorted REN via puts
201
shorted hpq near 2683 here
1234pm
bought back TMF here near 70.50, TLT and TMF back in buy zone
1030
REDF has shot up again today, at 5% profit since entry yesterday, certainly nothing wrong with taking profits on half here (or all of it), tho i still see higher,,,i'll keep half
943
i am taking off for a few hours, or on and off sporadically today, letting REDF bake a little while so may miss opp to take profit exit, then buy lower, today
940
if vxx can get over 32.53 then it may really surge higher, not there yet
939
VXX pushing up against yesterday high, higher vxx likely
915
still waiting to re-enter TLT tmf 3x, no entry yet since exit 2 days ago,,,
eventually SHORT TLT or long tbt multiweek swing may present, but thats far away atm, not near setup, for a huge correction lower in tlt and higher tbt
848
two trades on redf 6% and 7% profit each so far, this is the third entry, i'm "actively" trading the redf swing, i'm still short in AA SAP DB STD, and still long VXX, all swings
847
REDF next major target is 10.23, it achieved its first swing target yesterday of 8.87 with a high of 9.25.
As posted, I took profits at 8.87 and then bought it back at 8.45 yesterday
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Tuesday, January 17, 2012
Tues thoughts
351
bought redf back at 8.45 and 8.46
327
no entry yet, but before 4pm today, i'm going to buy back REDF again for the third time, it overshot its target 7% profit, and has since plunged lower,,,but charts suggest a nother move up again in this volatile stock
246
i have no more long positions now,,,exited all today
245
i dont think ES will test its highs today,,,possible top in ES imo
242
added more AA puts .15,,,the .12 did not get filled
235
as feared, and warned by vix and TLT,, spy spx fell, stopped out of ROK and took profits for now,,,will look at new entries later
218
stop ROK raised again 8037
210
action of vxx vix and tlt concerns me on the long side, so took the profit
209
i CANCELLED the order to buy back MPEL, it was not filled, for now i'm on the sidelines
208
raising stop on ROK to 79.8 to protect profits, last is 8056
124
yes if MPEL doesnt move lower i'll be paying more for it than i sold it for, but i expect higher if it can get 1078,,been hangng around 1075 for hours now
122
i took profits on MPEL here at 1073, and will buy lower again, OR i'll buy at 10.78 buy stop above the market
116
MPEL is in a daily uptrend last 5 days, and has not had much pullback at all today despite a gap, odds favor into the close , rather than lower,,,aka trend day
100
MPEL continues to hang out 2-3 cents from its high of day and also resist, despite the spx move down intraday
100
ROC is at a "buy back" level here now, for swing, and poss scalp also, 8021 last, may move lower first but in the zone
1214
129875 more resist
1213
theres the 1297 ES scalp trgtr higher resist test, BUT its on a big candle so may break higher here
1157
wow REDF now up 9% in one day!
1142
MPEL breakable higher poss in next 1--9 minutes per 3min charts
1141
MPEL now coiling to build momentum for its upside break,,,one cent under resist and 3 cents under breakout #
1138
7% profit on REDF in 2 days taken,,,i will now buy it back again lower, later
1137
WOW what a move on REDF,,,took profits at the 887--890 trgt :)
1132
the more impt REDF resist is 8.89,,,,may take profits up there and then try to buy back lower, would be the 7% profit trgt if redf hits it
1131
REDF is waking up and may break its daily high resist at 879, 870 last
1117
MPEL still pushing against resist, 1073 last, 1075 resist, with 1077 breakout #
1115
ROK 60min is forming its 3rd bull flag,,,i plan to exit to take profits on the next break higher on the 3rd flag if able, and then mayber reenter lower again, curr up 2.5%ish
1101
looking for an ABC corection lower on the TLT 15min chart not deaily, and will likely enter long TLT TMF on the lower low, if able, same strat as b4,,, for second long entry after taking profits on friday
1100
9.99 AA trgt from 990 scalp, last 993, and i will short this bounce via puts if filled on the puts
1058
there it is,,,hit .25,,,but remeber resist 1097
1057
1294.25 buy stop ,above mkt, would give es long scalp setup
1055
es short scalp, still forming with no entry signal yet at 1093 last,,also theres resist at 1097
1053
9.90 here short term scalp long signal on AA for a retest of its highs,,not swing
1050
above the mkt at 10.78 buy stop MPEL is a breakout buy, i will not add sinnce i entered on friday under 1040,, last 1072, 1075 resist
1045
here comes the second low on 3min es, or a dbl bot instead, for the long scalp i mentioned 45 min ago,,,still no entry setup yet, forming still, and i will likely not trade it, just throwing out ideas for discussion
1037
i'm ADDING to AA puts if able at .12,,,last .13
1036
MPEL is now testing daily resist and its new dialy high,,,expecting it to make a higher daily hi and break this resist
1030
REDF also has a 20% profit target on the underlying stock, not on options calls
1029
12.40 is primary resist daily on MPEL above
1029
my limit sell order on MPEL is at 12.00 for now,,tho has an 11.97 trgt, may sell lower
1025
3min chart on es is basing now
1014
TLT has broken over its 15min resist,,,i am going to wait before buying it back, tho its below prior exit price,,,think it has another pb coming first,, if it breaks higher instead, i might buy back near prior exit area and pay the premium depending on charta
1003
another lower low on the daily 3min, then smaller 3min basing candles, would setup a long scalp, not formed yet,, similar to the pattern on fridays long scalp, buy the second lower low and divergence
1003
for scalps, this move down on ES will likely be bought and bounce on first try, tho no scalp entry yet,,,i likely will not take the long scalp on ES,,,just throwing out ideas,,i prefer individ stocks long instead of spy tna etc for now
1002
but i still ahve short swing positions in AA DB SAP STD,,long VXX
1000
on REDF daily,,i'm looking for it to breakout, like ROK did on daily, similar pattern tho REDF not in the uptrend that rok is
958
REDF daily and 60min--making a 3rd/4th drive at a prev high test,,,could break higher this time,, often 3-4 will break
951
REDF just hit its 4% profit trgtr from entry on fridya, but i want to see if it can break to new highs daily, so holding it here longerimo,,,please watch the TLT---notice its flat today despite move up on SPX<,,,still think re-entering TLT will present, and lower spx
950
imo,,,please watch the TLT---notice its flat today despite move up on SPX<,,,still think re-entering TLT will present, and lower spx
946
MPEL and ROK longs are 2 entirely diff strategies: ROK is a "breakout to new highs in existing uptrend daily" trade,, vs MPEL / REDF trades as "trading the move up from a bottom base, daily"
945
1085--1091ish resist on MPEL tho,,may exit there on stall and re-enter lower like i did b4 at the 1055 resist, unsure
944
imop MPEL doing well,,it has broken over prior 1064 high, making new highs
943
ROK trgt is 84, may sell sooner to take profit and re-enter, still far from trgt at 81 last but its making new daily highs
933
ROK has also made a new high, at 8051, up 1% this morn
TLT TMF 3x looking to re-enter but no entry yet
932
MPEL is also up nicely at 2.1% profit atm
931
Newly entered REDF long on Friday has gapped up 3.1% this morning, still holding it for now. it has hit the 3.60 target posted on Friday, but giving it some time to see if it wants higher
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
bought redf back at 8.45 and 8.46
327
no entry yet, but before 4pm today, i'm going to buy back REDF again for the third time, it overshot its target 7% profit, and has since plunged lower,,,but charts suggest a nother move up again in this volatile stock
246
i have no more long positions now,,,exited all today
245
i dont think ES will test its highs today,,,possible top in ES imo
242
added more AA puts .15,,,the .12 did not get filled
235
as feared, and warned by vix and TLT,, spy spx fell, stopped out of ROK and took profits for now,,,will look at new entries later
218
stop ROK raised again 8037
210
action of vxx vix and tlt concerns me on the long side, so took the profit
209
i CANCELLED the order to buy back MPEL, it was not filled, for now i'm on the sidelines
208
raising stop on ROK to 79.8 to protect profits, last is 8056
124
yes if MPEL doesnt move lower i'll be paying more for it than i sold it for, but i expect higher if it can get 1078,,been hangng around 1075 for hours now
122
i took profits on MPEL here at 1073, and will buy lower again, OR i'll buy at 10.78 buy stop above the market
116
MPEL is in a daily uptrend last 5 days, and has not had much pullback at all today despite a gap, odds favor into the close , rather than lower,,,aka trend day
100
MPEL continues to hang out 2-3 cents from its high of day and also resist, despite the spx move down intraday
100
ROC is at a "buy back" level here now, for swing, and poss scalp also, 8021 last, may move lower first but in the zone
1214
129875 more resist
1213
theres the 1297 ES scalp trgtr higher resist test, BUT its on a big candle so may break higher here
1157
wow REDF now up 9% in one day!
1142
MPEL breakable higher poss in next 1--9 minutes per 3min charts
1141
MPEL now coiling to build momentum for its upside break,,,one cent under resist and 3 cents under breakout #
1138
7% profit on REDF in 2 days taken,,,i will now buy it back again lower, later
1137
WOW what a move on REDF,,,took profits at the 887--890 trgt :)
1132
the more impt REDF resist is 8.89,,,,may take profits up there and then try to buy back lower, would be the 7% profit trgt if redf hits it
1131
REDF is waking up and may break its daily high resist at 879, 870 last
1117
MPEL still pushing against resist, 1073 last, 1075 resist, with 1077 breakout #
1115
ROK 60min is forming its 3rd bull flag,,,i plan to exit to take profits on the next break higher on the 3rd flag if able, and then mayber reenter lower again, curr up 2.5%ish
1101
looking for an ABC corection lower on the TLT 15min chart not deaily, and will likely enter long TLT TMF on the lower low, if able, same strat as b4,,, for second long entry after taking profits on friday
1100
9.99 AA trgt from 990 scalp, last 993, and i will short this bounce via puts if filled on the puts
1058
there it is,,,hit .25,,,but remeber resist 1097
1057
1294.25 buy stop ,above mkt, would give es long scalp setup
1055
es short scalp, still forming with no entry signal yet at 1093 last,,also theres resist at 1097
1053
9.90 here short term scalp long signal on AA for a retest of its highs,,not swing
1050
above the mkt at 10.78 buy stop MPEL is a breakout buy, i will not add sinnce i entered on friday under 1040,, last 1072, 1075 resist
1045
here comes the second low on 3min es, or a dbl bot instead, for the long scalp i mentioned 45 min ago,,,still no entry setup yet, forming still, and i will likely not trade it, just throwing out ideas for discussion
1037
i'm ADDING to AA puts if able at .12,,,last .13
1036
MPEL is now testing daily resist and its new dialy high,,,expecting it to make a higher daily hi and break this resist
1030
REDF also has a 20% profit target on the underlying stock, not on options calls
1029
12.40 is primary resist daily on MPEL above
1029
my limit sell order on MPEL is at 12.00 for now,,tho has an 11.97 trgt, may sell lower
1025
3min chart on es is basing now
1014
TLT has broken over its 15min resist,,,i am going to wait before buying it back, tho its below prior exit price,,,think it has another pb coming first,, if it breaks higher instead, i might buy back near prior exit area and pay the premium depending on charta
1003
another lower low on the daily 3min, then smaller 3min basing candles, would setup a long scalp, not formed yet,, similar to the pattern on fridays long scalp, buy the second lower low and divergence
1003
for scalps, this move down on ES will likely be bought and bounce on first try, tho no scalp entry yet,,,i likely will not take the long scalp on ES,,,just throwing out ideas,,i prefer individ stocks long instead of spy tna etc for now
1002
but i still ahve short swing positions in AA DB SAP STD,,long VXX
1000
on REDF daily,,i'm looking for it to breakout, like ROK did on daily, similar pattern tho REDF not in the uptrend that rok is
958
REDF daily and 60min--making a 3rd/4th drive at a prev high test,,,could break higher this time,, often 3-4 will break
951
REDF just hit its 4% profit trgtr from entry on fridya, but i want to see if it can break to new highs daily, so holding it here longerimo,,,please watch the TLT---notice its flat today despite move up on SPX<,,,still think re-entering TLT will present, and lower spx
950
imo,,,please watch the TLT---notice its flat today despite move up on SPX<,,,still think re-entering TLT will present, and lower spx
946
MPEL and ROK longs are 2 entirely diff strategies: ROK is a "breakout to new highs in existing uptrend daily" trade,, vs MPEL / REDF trades as "trading the move up from a bottom base, daily"
945
1085--1091ish resist on MPEL tho,,may exit there on stall and re-enter lower like i did b4 at the 1055 resist, unsure
944
imop MPEL doing well,,it has broken over prior 1064 high, making new highs
943
ROK trgt is 84, may sell sooner to take profit and re-enter, still far from trgt at 81 last but its making new daily highs
933
ROK has also made a new high, at 8051, up 1% this morn
TLT TMF 3x looking to re-enter but no entry yet
932
MPEL is also up nicely at 2.1% profit atm
931
Newly entered REDF long on Friday has gapped up 3.1% this morning, still holding it for now. it has hit the 3.60 target posted on Friday, but giving it some time to see if it wants higher
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Friday, January 13, 2012
Friday thoughts
338
buying now since it may see 8.60 b4 the close
337
i just bought REDF back again for swing long,,,same stock i took 4% profit on b4,,,see higher REDF
310
1284.25 es was hit, should see its next 1289 trgt now
305
clearly MPEL has more resist at 10.64, simple prior hjigh, if it moves up from here, tho 1097 trgt is above it, may take off half or all of it depending on the close today
305
taking half off from 1278ish here at 1283 would make sense, 5 points profit (i didnt trade it)
305
heres the 1283 es test,,,looks breakable higher,,the scalp long entry from before suggests to watch this area, if it doesnt break higher over 1284, likely pullback
255
MPEL--no conclusive Markt Maker analysis that I can see
253
market maker analysis on ROK suggests they are buying it, despite lower,,,for higher later today or in coming days
250
ES needs over 1284 intraday to move up, imo,,,if 1284 is hit, could see 1289
241
5444 last sap, near 5500 resist, with targets 51.50 and 4800
239
took SAP Mar12 52.5 Put,,using options for this short since SAP reporting soon,
SAP has been on the short list for 4 days now,,,
213
oil is now stuck in the middle of its daily huge range, i'm not trading it here, could go either way, esp given its wild swings lately
157
the 60min chart on MPEL has a bull coil, it has momentum to spring higher if that coil breaks
155
es trying to test 1283,,those who took short scalp would watch reaction there,,,es needs to clear 1284 else lower coming
151
a VXX close over approx 31.25 today would confirm the prior bull morning star, and a close over approx 3225 would confimr yesterdays inverted hammer,,the vxx closes would be bearish for spx swings
134
scalp mpel trgts 2 and 3 are up higher at 1060 and 1097
134
MPEL scalps could take 1% prodfit here, near trgt 1,,,,swings i'm holding longer
129
ROK fell asleep :( tho still over its entry price
102
VXX swing is starting to look v promising now, nice daily candles, for coming balstoff higher,,may take days but thats fine
1249
the es scalp setup triggered,,,i'm not trading it,,,
1240
MPEL scalp or swing here 1036 could work
1240
ES scalp above mrkt at 1278.50 could work,,this one i might trade, unsure
1231
3min candle count suggests waiting just a bit b4 scalp
1230
this would be about the time for that ES scalp here at 1278,,,conserv would scalp over 1279.50
1225
if es can get over 1284, it may test 1289/90,,,still dont see a long swing tho, only scalp
1217
ES needs to clear 1284 on the next bounce else its in trouble, and will see lower
1216
i'm not taking the scalp, just throwing out ideas
1215
es hit 1278 trgt and held support there
1215
here is that second lower low we expected on es 3min,,,if it bases, then a long scalp may present
1208
when ROk gets back over .72, should make a run for its highs at 8014, then new highs
1208
they are trying to form a bull Inv HS on the es 3min chart
1207
we have the first smaller candle on es 3min,,prob one more 3min chart low, that would be scalpable long,,not suggesting swing long
1203
poss 1277 support on ES,intraday only on 3min charts
1202
heres the 3min pullback from resist,,,when the candles start to base, it could make a scalp now swing, long
1146
tho i still prefer individ stocks over es
1145
ABOVE the mkt long 1284 could work, es sclp
1144
1283 ES 15min resist test coming here,,,may stall sideways or lower
1143
active traders wouldve bought bak ROK at 7975 as it backtest its breakout out
1140
ROK hit 8015 and pulled back to 7977,,,as expected,,,still see higher ROK later tho,,,why we took off some at 8014 trgt
1137
we got advance warning yesterday of today's selloff in ES --remeber those small 15min candles on the way up? often it falls kinda hard afterward
1135
took off half of ROK scalp portion at the 8014 trgt,,,still see higher,,about 1.6% profit from entry this morn
1130
ROK 7997 lsat,,,been trying to get over 80,,i think it will do so,,pop to 8014 then mayb stall again
1119
TLT TMF took 7 days to do it but it hit its first trgt
1118
theres goes TLT and TMF,,,my stop was hit as expected, took profits, and will look to buy it back swing at lower price,later
1110
ES longs, scalp only not swing, may present but i'd wait a bit for a 3min chart pullback,,,i prob wont trade it since the individ stocks like ROK are outperforming spx
1106
allowing a little room for a pop higher, else i'm out of TMF TLT for now
1105
raising stop on TMF to 71.19,,v v tight,, will prob get stopped out to take profit, and will try to buy again lower,,,TLT is right near resist here and is at trgt 1,,so i dont want to lose profit on it
1058
ROK has done it---broke over yesterdays high as expected,,still holding it
1057
if MPEL hits 1099 today i will sell again second time to take profit, and look again to reenter
1054
ROK is now just 16-20 cents away from yesterdays high, 79.54 last
1052
MPEL fell about 2% from entry, and has now bounce back to entry breakeven,,nervous would exit here,,i remain long mpel for now, swing, and will take profits today if it moves
1049
looking to short NRGY on a bounce, not yet
1049
rok already testing its daily high, and close to yest hi test
1043
DBA--agriculture, is approaching swing buy zone, but no entry, yet
1042
STD at impt place here,,if it breaks 6.90 and then breaks 6.80, the PUTS should do well,,,still have not moved much since entry
1033
raising stop on TMF to 70.69,,if stopped out i will take profits and buy back lower,,,TLT and TMF should fall further if stopped, tho still see higher later even if stopped
1028
while MPEL has fallen since entry,,,MPEL is much more volatile
1028
there goes rok :)
1027
TLT===imo the first 60min pullback will be bought, so not taking tlt or tmf profits, has not even started a pb yet
1025
ROK 15min chart is bullish vs ES 15min chart,,still see higher rok
1021
if TLT breaks over 122.22,,,then "wee" will come for TLT TMF imo,,tho stall at 121.70ish expected
1019
vxx up now nicely from 3097 post, last 3214,,,vxx call may give 300-400% before they r done
1014
tza idea up 3.2% from yest close,,,make sense to tighten stops here, or take profit and reenter
1012
this looks bad on es,,,i still think it will bounce and the bounce will be shortable,,,why waiting on the short instead of shorting weakness under 1278
1007
for now, i will NOT take the ES 1278 short below the mkt
1002
despite SPX, i'm looking for ROC and MPEL to make new highs,, plan to add shorts in some stocks later today perhaps
952
yesterday I posted that TLT closed well, holding the 119.30,,,TL:T up nicely this morning at 121.15 last,,,TMF up also
948
bought back ROK 78.80 long
945
back in MPEL long 10.40,
926
if oil can climb back to 100, may be a good short swing opp or even poss daytrade, but curr below 9850 at 9821 last
917
agressive could scalp long here, but scalp only, as a "buy support" trade,,,i'm not taking it
916
if ES hits 1278, i may jump on short, below the market, into weakness not strength,,but preferably es will bounce and then get smaller sideways candles, and then enter a short up higher
915
es "looks bad" now at 1281, but likely will bounce from this area even if it goes a bit lower,,,failure to bounce would be bad for bulls and could intiate stronger than expected selling,,,still see lower ES later
906
if you took the TZA trade at yest close, or AH yest, its now at 2.2% profit, halfway to the 4% trgt1,,,could take partial profits here
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
buying now since it may see 8.60 b4 the close
337
i just bought REDF back again for swing long,,,same stock i took 4% profit on b4,,,see higher REDF
310
1284.25 es was hit, should see its next 1289 trgt now
305
clearly MPEL has more resist at 10.64, simple prior hjigh, if it moves up from here, tho 1097 trgt is above it, may take off half or all of it depending on the close today
305
taking half off from 1278ish here at 1283 would make sense, 5 points profit (i didnt trade it)
305
heres the 1283 es test,,,looks breakable higher,,the scalp long entry from before suggests to watch this area, if it doesnt break higher over 1284, likely pullback
255
MPEL--no conclusive Markt Maker analysis that I can see
253
market maker analysis on ROK suggests they are buying it, despite lower,,,for higher later today or in coming days
250
ES needs over 1284 intraday to move up, imo,,,if 1284 is hit, could see 1289
241
5444 last sap, near 5500 resist, with targets 51.50 and 4800
239
took SAP Mar12 52.5 Put,,using options for this short since SAP reporting soon,
SAP has been on the short list for 4 days now,,,
213
oil is now stuck in the middle of its daily huge range, i'm not trading it here, could go either way, esp given its wild swings lately
157
the 60min chart on MPEL has a bull coil, it has momentum to spring higher if that coil breaks
155
es trying to test 1283,,those who took short scalp would watch reaction there,,,es needs to clear 1284 else lower coming
151
a VXX close over approx 31.25 today would confirm the prior bull morning star, and a close over approx 3225 would confimr yesterdays inverted hammer,,the vxx closes would be bearish for spx swings
134
scalp mpel trgts 2 and 3 are up higher at 1060 and 1097
134
MPEL scalps could take 1% prodfit here, near trgt 1,,,,swings i'm holding longer
129
ROK fell asleep :( tho still over its entry price
102
VXX swing is starting to look v promising now, nice daily candles, for coming balstoff higher,,may take days but thats fine
1249
the es scalp setup triggered,,,i'm not trading it,,,
1240
MPEL scalp or swing here 1036 could work
1240
ES scalp above mrkt at 1278.50 could work,,this one i might trade, unsure
1231
3min candle count suggests waiting just a bit b4 scalp
1230
this would be about the time for that ES scalp here at 1278,,,conserv would scalp over 1279.50
1225
if es can get over 1284, it may test 1289/90,,,still dont see a long swing tho, only scalp
1217
ES needs to clear 1284 on the next bounce else its in trouble, and will see lower
1216
i'm not taking the scalp, just throwing out ideas
1215
es hit 1278 trgt and held support there
1215
here is that second lower low we expected on es 3min,,,if it bases, then a long scalp may present
1208
when ROk gets back over .72, should make a run for its highs at 8014, then new highs
1208
they are trying to form a bull Inv HS on the es 3min chart
1207
we have the first smaller candle on es 3min,,prob one more 3min chart low, that would be scalpable long,,not suggesting swing long
1203
poss 1277 support on ES,intraday only on 3min charts
1202
heres the 3min pullback from resist,,,when the candles start to base, it could make a scalp now swing, long
1146
tho i still prefer individ stocks over es
1145
ABOVE the mkt long 1284 could work, es sclp
1144
1283 ES 15min resist test coming here,,,may stall sideways or lower
1143
active traders wouldve bought bak ROK at 7975 as it backtest its breakout out
1140
ROK hit 8015 and pulled back to 7977,,,as expected,,,still see higher ROK later tho,,,why we took off some at 8014 trgt
1137
we got advance warning yesterday of today's selloff in ES --remeber those small 15min candles on the way up? often it falls kinda hard afterward
1135
took off half of ROK scalp portion at the 8014 trgt,,,still see higher,,about 1.6% profit from entry this morn
1130
ROK 7997 lsat,,,been trying to get over 80,,i think it will do so,,pop to 8014 then mayb stall again
1119
TLT TMF took 7 days to do it but it hit its first trgt
1118
theres goes TLT and TMF,,,my stop was hit as expected, took profits, and will look to buy it back swing at lower price,later
1110
ES longs, scalp only not swing, may present but i'd wait a bit for a 3min chart pullback,,,i prob wont trade it since the individ stocks like ROK are outperforming spx
1106
allowing a little room for a pop higher, else i'm out of TMF TLT for now
1105
raising stop on TMF to 71.19,,v v tight,, will prob get stopped out to take profit, and will try to buy again lower,,,TLT is right near resist here and is at trgt 1,,so i dont want to lose profit on it
1058
ROK has done it---broke over yesterdays high as expected,,still holding it
1057
if MPEL hits 1099 today i will sell again second time to take profit, and look again to reenter
1054
ROK is now just 16-20 cents away from yesterdays high, 79.54 last
1052
MPEL fell about 2% from entry, and has now bounce back to entry breakeven,,nervous would exit here,,i remain long mpel for now, swing, and will take profits today if it moves
1049
looking to short NRGY on a bounce, not yet
1049
rok already testing its daily high, and close to yest hi test
1043
DBA--agriculture, is approaching swing buy zone, but no entry, yet
1042
STD at impt place here,,if it breaks 6.90 and then breaks 6.80, the PUTS should do well,,,still have not moved much since entry
1033
raising stop on TMF to 70.69,,if stopped out i will take profits and buy back lower,,,TLT and TMF should fall further if stopped, tho still see higher later even if stopped
1028
while MPEL has fallen since entry,,,MPEL is much more volatile
1028
there goes rok :)
1027
TLT===imo the first 60min pullback will be bought, so not taking tlt or tmf profits, has not even started a pb yet
1025
ROK 15min chart is bullish vs ES 15min chart,,still see higher rok
1021
if TLT breaks over 122.22,,,then "wee" will come for TLT TMF imo,,tho stall at 121.70ish expected
1019
vxx up now nicely from 3097 post, last 3214,,,vxx call may give 300-400% before they r done
1014
tza idea up 3.2% from yest close,,,make sense to tighten stops here, or take profit and reenter
1012
this looks bad on es,,,i still think it will bounce and the bounce will be shortable,,,why waiting on the short instead of shorting weakness under 1278
1007
for now, i will NOT take the ES 1278 short below the mkt
1002
despite SPX, i'm looking for ROC and MPEL to make new highs,, plan to add shorts in some stocks later today perhaps
952
yesterday I posted that TLT closed well, holding the 119.30,,,TL:T up nicely this morning at 121.15 last,,,TMF up also
948
bought back ROK 78.80 long
945
back in MPEL long 10.40,
926
if oil can climb back to 100, may be a good short swing opp or even poss daytrade, but curr below 9850 at 9821 last
917
agressive could scalp long here, but scalp only, as a "buy support" trade,,,i'm not taking it
916
if ES hits 1278, i may jump on short, below the market, into weakness not strength,,but preferably es will bounce and then get smaller sideways candles, and then enter a short up higher
915
es "looks bad" now at 1281, but likely will bounce from this area even if it goes a bit lower,,,failure to bounce would be bad for bulls and could intiate stronger than expected selling,,,still see lower ES later
906
if you took the TZA trade at yest close, or AH yest, its now at 2.2% profit, halfway to the 4% trgt1,,,could take partial profits here
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Thursday, January 12, 2012
Thurs thoughts
401
exited oil shorts at exact low of day, from trg posted an hour in advance :)
400
took profits on roc 2.25% rok 1.61% and sco 8%ish
351
7957 and 4408 stops on roc and rok
346
i plan to take profits on at least some if not all of ROK and ROC, may not have time to post,,,1.5%-3% profit,,,ES would need to move 13-30 points to do that,,,why i've been trading stocks
336
tite stop on sco 38.20 on remaining piece,,if stopped out will take profits and buy back later
309
took partial profits right at my 98.50 oil trgt :) from 103 and 101.70,,,using sco 2x
237
still holding roc and rok....they r moving up now again,,,but still plan to take partial prfotits on them today b4 close
235
TLT is holding 119.30 ,,,for now
226
ROC and ROK now up 1.5% from yest vs flat ES,,,still holding but will likely take some profits on them today, in the 3-5% profit zone
224
USO and CL charts suggest to hold oil shorts swing at least 4 more hours, which spills over until holding overnight until tomorrow,,the charts suggest that a long signal, if one comes, would not come before 6 hours, with 2 hours in no mans land
223
if TLT is over 119.30 at 3:00 pm,,,would be nice for TLT longs n TMF
219
LOL yet ROK is making new daily highs, as oil falls
217
oil sellers intraday are almost exhausted but could still see more down, with a lil bear flag up first or sideways
216
oil may not find buyers until 9850
215
just hit 9970 while typing,,,see what happens
214
sco shot from 3630 ear;oer today to 3745 last,,, active traders would tighten stops and enter/exit actively, but give it a little room to break lower on oil, higher on sco
212
sco shot from 3630 ear;oer today to 3745 last
212
if oil sees 99.70 it may get additional selling, plunged to 100.09 and bounced
208
there it goes, oil lower :) as sellers were not exhausted yet
207
oil 15min down volume on last move down is not "too much",,,it can move lower,,,volume bar is decent but not suggsting that sellers on oil are exhaustede
203
if the es short scalp sets up,,often we will see the 3min stoch over 80, down to 60ish, then back over 80, then short
200
for es short scalp setup, looking for more up, then sideways, then down a little not lot, then up, and short that last UP, if it presents
159
es 3min now starting its expected bounce,,still no short signal imo
146
one more push on ROC and ROK would be fine, may exit on such
142
es now basing to prep for expected bounce b4 short,,,could make a lower low on 3min first, unsure
141
oil support 1 broke:) ,,now to test supp 2
140
oils testing support 1 now, support 2 close below it
139
this first 3min pb on ES will likely bounce,the bounce may be shortable, scalp, imo
129
ROC 45.50 trgt, last 44.08, new dily high just now
126
the 2:30--3pm pm action on TLT today--may be v impt clue,,will watch what it does
123
oil USO and CL futures daily---beginning to coil now,,often break higher bvut "something" tells me this one will break lower
122
oil continues its same whipsaw song and dance,,,several days now
121
the move down to the 119.30 TLT buy trgt was harsh, but TLT has held nicely thus far, bouncing to .60
117
notice the tiny candles on the 15min ES chart move up,,,could be trouble for ES later
111
that es scalp long signal from this morn,,,says sell it now to take profits,,,,i didnt trade it but chart says sell 1289
108
TLT is now at 119.30 buy area posted earlier, but it got here so fast, makes sense to let it settle down b4 adding any,imo
104
VXX daily shoot star, but at the bottom those are bullish candles despite the pb
1242
TLT needs to hurdle over 120.30, then it should pop higher nicely, last 120.05,
1241
EXC hit 40.02 today, right near its 40.00 trgt from yest, tho i took profits yest a bit early
1231
TLT looks ready to make a break over its 15min resist soon
1230
huge green candle on ROC 3min, to make a new daily high
1226
TLT 15min is now testing its resist, as expected hour ago
1141
there it is,,broke to a new high on ROK
1140
poss new highs intraday on ROK in next 3--12 minutes
1130
TLT 15min chart is bullishly consolod ,,it may make a move to test its 15min highs next
1113
ROK swing trgt 82ish, last 7866, but i will likely trade it actively in and out, due to spx and dow bearish warnings, swings
1108
ROK at trgt 1, 7877 last, may stall here but see higher,
1107
15min ES bull harami, almost confirmed,,,at same time a bull harami still baking on the 60min es,,,good for intraday scalps only not swings, long
1104
3min ROK is now forming a BULL W formation, 7960 trgt approx
1056
but ROK "should" make new daily highs, over 7880, so im holding it
1055
nervous ROK longs could exit here breakeven,,i will continue to hold it
1033
for now, STD puts are not moving yet, still see lower std tho, higher puts
1032
ES scalp bounce alert, 76% confid, here at 128450,,scalp only NOT swing
1030
my posted VXX trgt from yest was 31.80,,thus far it hit 31.82 and has pb as expected, last 31.67,,tho much higher later after pb intraday
1025
intraday, the next 3min candle, nmot this one, may provide a good clue to direction of ROK for coming hour(s),,,may continue in direction of that candle
1025
TLT may want 119.30,,,if so poss area to add to TLT swings
1015
VXX at 3176 right near 3180 trgt,,,may stall here and pb
1009
aggressive scalp only could work here es 1285.50,,ES,,i'm not taking it
958
long ROK 78.32,,i may take profits as soon as today on ROK,,,ROK is diff company than ROC, i have both
952
for long hedges, ROC i still see hitting 45.50, last 43.54,,i remain long ROC the underlying stock not options, with PUTS in AA DB STD ,,,calls in vxx
947
a VXX dail close over 31.25 and pref over 31.75 would confirm the bull morning star candle pattern that i mentinoed yesterday
945
if tlt gets over 120.30, then 120.80 and 121.70 next higher trgts
943
VXX taking off at the open here, but needs to clear 31.80-32.00 for the REAL upside surge
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
exited oil shorts at exact low of day, from trg posted an hour in advance :)
400
took profits on roc 2.25% rok 1.61% and sco 8%ish
351
7957 and 4408 stops on roc and rok
346
i plan to take profits on at least some if not all of ROK and ROC, may not have time to post,,,1.5%-3% profit,,,ES would need to move 13-30 points to do that,,,why i've been trading stocks
336
tite stop on sco 38.20 on remaining piece,,if stopped out will take profits and buy back later
309
took partial profits right at my 98.50 oil trgt :) from 103 and 101.70,,,using sco 2x
237
still holding roc and rok....they r moving up now again,,,but still plan to take partial prfotits on them today b4 close
235
TLT is holding 119.30 ,,,for now
226
ROC and ROK now up 1.5% from yest vs flat ES,,,still holding but will likely take some profits on them today, in the 3-5% profit zone
224
USO and CL charts suggest to hold oil shorts swing at least 4 more hours, which spills over until holding overnight until tomorrow,,the charts suggest that a long signal, if one comes, would not come before 6 hours, with 2 hours in no mans land
223
if TLT is over 119.30 at 3:00 pm,,,would be nice for TLT longs n TMF
219
LOL yet ROK is making new daily highs, as oil falls
217
oil sellers intraday are almost exhausted but could still see more down, with a lil bear flag up first or sideways
216
oil may not find buyers until 9850
215
just hit 9970 while typing,,,see what happens
214
sco shot from 3630 ear;oer today to 3745 last,,, active traders would tighten stops and enter/exit actively, but give it a little room to break lower on oil, higher on sco
212
sco shot from 3630 ear;oer today to 3745 last
212
if oil sees 99.70 it may get additional selling, plunged to 100.09 and bounced
208
there it goes, oil lower :) as sellers were not exhausted yet
207
oil 15min down volume on last move down is not "too much",,,it can move lower,,,volume bar is decent but not suggsting that sellers on oil are exhaustede
203
if the es short scalp sets up,,often we will see the 3min stoch over 80, down to 60ish, then back over 80, then short
200
for es short scalp setup, looking for more up, then sideways, then down a little not lot, then up, and short that last UP, if it presents
159
es 3min now starting its expected bounce,,still no short signal imo
146
one more push on ROC and ROK would be fine, may exit on such
142
es now basing to prep for expected bounce b4 short,,,could make a lower low on 3min first, unsure
141
oil support 1 broke:) ,,now to test supp 2
140
oils testing support 1 now, support 2 close below it
139
this first 3min pb on ES will likely bounce,the bounce may be shortable, scalp, imo
129
ROC 45.50 trgt, last 44.08, new dily high just now
126
the 2:30--3pm pm action on TLT today--may be v impt clue,,will watch what it does
123
oil USO and CL futures daily---beginning to coil now,,often break higher bvut "something" tells me this one will break lower
122
oil continues its same whipsaw song and dance,,,several days now
121
the move down to the 119.30 TLT buy trgt was harsh, but TLT has held nicely thus far, bouncing to .60
117
notice the tiny candles on the 15min ES chart move up,,,could be trouble for ES later
111
that es scalp long signal from this morn,,,says sell it now to take profits,,,,i didnt trade it but chart says sell 1289
108
TLT is now at 119.30 buy area posted earlier, but it got here so fast, makes sense to let it settle down b4 adding any,imo
104
VXX daily shoot star, but at the bottom those are bullish candles despite the pb
1242
TLT needs to hurdle over 120.30, then it should pop higher nicely, last 120.05,
1241
EXC hit 40.02 today, right near its 40.00 trgt from yest, tho i took profits yest a bit early
1231
TLT looks ready to make a break over its 15min resist soon
1230
huge green candle on ROC 3min, to make a new daily high
1226
TLT 15min is now testing its resist, as expected hour ago
1141
there it is,,broke to a new high on ROK
1140
poss new highs intraday on ROK in next 3--12 minutes
1130
TLT 15min chart is bullishly consolod ,,it may make a move to test its 15min highs next
1113
ROK swing trgt 82ish, last 7866, but i will likely trade it actively in and out, due to spx and dow bearish warnings, swings
1108
ROK at trgt 1, 7877 last, may stall here but see higher,
1107
15min ES bull harami, almost confirmed,,,at same time a bull harami still baking on the 60min es,,,good for intraday scalps only not swings, long
1104
3min ROK is now forming a BULL W formation, 7960 trgt approx
1056
but ROK "should" make new daily highs, over 7880, so im holding it
1055
nervous ROK longs could exit here breakeven,,i will continue to hold it
1033
for now, STD puts are not moving yet, still see lower std tho, higher puts
1032
ES scalp bounce alert, 76% confid, here at 128450,,scalp only NOT swing
1030
my posted VXX trgt from yest was 31.80,,thus far it hit 31.82 and has pb as expected, last 31.67,,tho much higher later after pb intraday
1025
intraday, the next 3min candle, nmot this one, may provide a good clue to direction of ROK for coming hour(s),,,may continue in direction of that candle
1025
TLT may want 119.30,,,if so poss area to add to TLT swings
1015
VXX at 3176 right near 3180 trgt,,,may stall here and pb
1009
aggressive scalp only could work here es 1285.50,,ES,,i'm not taking it
958
long ROK 78.32,,i may take profits as soon as today on ROK,,,ROK is diff company than ROC, i have both
952
for long hedges, ROC i still see hitting 45.50, last 43.54,,i remain long ROC the underlying stock not options, with PUTS in AA DB STD ,,,calls in vxx
947
a VXX dail close over 31.25 and pref over 31.75 would confirm the bull morning star candle pattern that i mentinoed yesterday
945
if tlt gets over 120.30, then 120.80 and 121.70 next higher trgts
943
VXX taking off at the open here, but needs to clear 31.80-32.00 for the REAL upside surge
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Wednesday, January 11, 2012
New ideas for possible entry on Thursday
Below:
New ideas from tonight's screen (narrowed down from screener results of over 400)
LONG Breakout with volume today
MHO 1150-1250 OR 8.5%
ROK 78-83 OR 6.5%
HSTM 1830--1920 OR 5%
HALO 1000-1100 OR 10%
MENT 1330-1375 = 3%
GHDX 2800-2900 = 3%
PLFE OVER 11.00
SHORTS Breakdown with volume today. Vol generally over 500,000
SAP
REXX
PPL
ANN
CHRW
CHK
SWN
BBG
The above could work for both underlying stock or the options. To reduce risk, I tend to use options for shorting if it's a small cap, lower volume, or lower priced. Most of these have a dual purpose: hold for 2-5 days, and also suitable to hold for a few weeks. So on options I'll usually get ones with about 60 days expiration left.
The 2-5 days sometimes end up as quick same day exits if they happen to move that day, like todays same day 4.5% move on REDF and 2% on MPEL. I have higher targets for MPEL but it closed right at resistance so I took profits at 3:55 PM. Can always re-enter.
Options trades have been giving 60--300% in a few days, with AA the only current 60% loss (tho there is still time left on AA puts and they may easily recover). The options profits would be even higher if I used same month options; conservatively I'm using 2-3 months options to give it room if it needs time to correct first; though I generally buy in the money.
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Wedn thoughts
401
a HUGE volume candle on ROC on the last 6 minutes b4 the close as it surged up,,,,highest vol all day and most of the days volume
401
REDF 4.2% in 1 day,,, MPEL 2% in 1 day,,, EXC 70% (puts options) in 3 days,,,still holding TLT TMF ROC SCO puts in DB STD AA ,,,and vxx calls
358
out of MPEL `036 and 1037,,,over 2% profit from entry this morning
355
i will hold ROC longs overnite,,,resist higher on that
355
preparing to take profits on MPEL b4 the close here,,,may not be able to type my exit
336
theres 1035 trgt,,,watching to see if it gives the next expected 2 targets, mpel
322
if mpel hits 1035, should see the 1039 test higher
318
TLT taking off after 3pm is a bit unusual, bullish as its reacting to futures
315
if MPEL hits 1086 i'll sell it, may sell a piece earlier at lower price to lock some more profit
311
not sure if it plays out, but 60min oil CLfutures have bear HeadShoulders at the top here
306
1039 MPEL prior daily hi resist,,,,watching if it tests it and breaks it higher, tho normal is a stall on first test, 1029 last
300
MPEL may be on the move, up 1.4% from entry this morn
258
VXX daily chart---see the 3 day candle pattern: morning star, with today day 3, and confirm needed after today---bullish for VXX
253
DB deutche bank 60min looking toppy and should pb,,,still holding the option puts swing, not much movement on them yet,,,same for STD puts
247
look at that volume bar on 3min oil chart and 15min chart ...large bar CL futures
241
imo,,, "early long entries" on VXX are here, or on the next 60min chart pb, tho i already entered yest / day b4
229
OIL continues its whipsaw rangebound dance, now its down again near lows
208
glad i took profits on REDF at 8.75,,last 8.33,,not buying it back yet
207
but SINA is a bit early,,,could decide to break daily rectangl higher, so watching for now
205
SINA short could work (idea, i have no position), 57.00
119
8.88 trgt redf next,,,may get hit today, if so then i exited too early
118
took profit on REDF that i bought this morn, it surged to a 4.2% profit, and didnt want to let it go away,,,may buy it back later,, i didnt intend to sell REDF so quickly,,planned to hold as swing, but profit opp presented,,,looking to buy it back ,,,maybe even today
106
REDF now at the 8.73 trgt,,,it has ability to break higher on first try, watching reaction now
100
EXC may want to bounce to 41.25...so out for now at the low of day (unless it makes another low)
1259
took profits on EXC puts, 75% in 2 days,,,may buy puts back later,,,holding all other positions still
1248
if exc does not break 4055 soon, i will likely take profits on puts 75%ish and look to re-enter, possibly reenter even later today
1240
VXX "should" catch up to TLT,,,tlt usually leads
1239
clearly 40.00 EXC is an approx trgt,,,,too lazy to calc exact trgt, wont matter with options anyway
1238
EXC now testing low of day,,i want 4000,,last 4061,,,
1237
TLT has a 15min breakout higher, if its real then it should see 121.50 trgt next,if the breakout holds,, 119.86 last
1221
REDF trgt hit, now at 3% up since entry this morn,,still holding as a see a break over prior high coming
1220
MPEL is starting to breakout now, can move nicely higher, new intraday high, and broke highest hi last 5 days
1215
i'm using TLT and TMF etf, not options but actually the TLT options calls havent done so badly, when i bought TLT and TMF, TLT Mar 119 calls were 3.35,, last 3.50/3.60
1208
yest vxx broke the 3060 and hit 3100 as expected, still see much higher vxx
1207
\TLT ande TMF still looking like a breakout higher coming, remaining long those swings,, bull consod on 60min charts
1140
SPPI is on the move now at 1586 from 1582 and will likely break over 1600,,no position in sppi, just watching the "wanted to buy but no money" trade
1128
REDF up 2% since entry this morn, still see its higher trgts
1120
still have DB puts, those havent moved much, and STD puts from yest
1119
the problematic AA feb puts remain a thorn, loss 50%ish atm, still see a better exit on the AA puts tho,later
1118
EXC puts now at 70% profit, in 2 days
1117
EXC they are still not letting up for air, almost all of the last 15min candles have had a lower low,, when EXC does manage a bounce on 15min chart, the first bounce will likely be sold, and then a retest of the low, or lower low, where I will prob take profit
1114
OIL "should be" bearish bias / sideways next 2-4 hours,,,if it manages to break higher over resist b4 then, would be bullish for oil, still bear bias atm
1109
EXC approaching trgt #2 as it makes a new intraday low here, will likely take profits on 50-100% of position at trgt 2 below, 40.00ish
1104
WARNING: position size on the small caps ,,,i always have smaller size position than large caps,,,small caps fun, v profitable, but more risky
1046
ROC went long 43.10
1037
oil has managed to break under 101,,,now watching 100 area
1032
TLT is now testing resistance,,,pressing against it,,,likely break higher
1026
EXC may be heading to 40 next
1025
EXC has broken the 4088 support and hit 40.66,,,still holding the puts longer :)
1023
went LONG in MPEL 10.15, swing
1011
went LONG in REDF 8.35---8.40 for swing
942
newly entered STD short from yest is also lower 1% today,,options PUTS should follow
938
TLT is up this morn, still ahve the TLT TMF longs
937
OIL i'm watching 101 vs 100,,,,if 100 does not break lower, oil might get bullish, still bearish on it for now,but watching
935
EXC just hit its first trgt posted yest at 40.88 /40.92,,but i'm waiting to see if this breaks lowr before taking profits. PUTS up 44% atm
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
a HUGE volume candle on ROC on the last 6 minutes b4 the close as it surged up,,,,highest vol all day and most of the days volume
401
REDF 4.2% in 1 day,,, MPEL 2% in 1 day,,, EXC 70% (puts options) in 3 days,,,still holding TLT TMF ROC SCO puts in DB STD AA ,,,and vxx calls
358
out of MPEL `036 and 1037,,,over 2% profit from entry this morning
355
i will hold ROC longs overnite,,,resist higher on that
355
preparing to take profits on MPEL b4 the close here,,,may not be able to type my exit
336
theres 1035 trgt,,,watching to see if it gives the next expected 2 targets, mpel
322
if mpel hits 1035, should see the 1039 test higher
318
TLT taking off after 3pm is a bit unusual, bullish as its reacting to futures
315
if MPEL hits 1086 i'll sell it, may sell a piece earlier at lower price to lock some more profit
311
not sure if it plays out, but 60min oil CLfutures have bear HeadShoulders at the top here
306
1039 MPEL prior daily hi resist,,,,watching if it tests it and breaks it higher, tho normal is a stall on first test, 1029 last
300
MPEL may be on the move, up 1.4% from entry this morn
258
VXX daily chart---see the 3 day candle pattern: morning star, with today day 3, and confirm needed after today---bullish for VXX
253
DB deutche bank 60min looking toppy and should pb,,,still holding the option puts swing, not much movement on them yet,,,same for STD puts
247
look at that volume bar on 3min oil chart and 15min chart ...large bar CL futures
241
imo,,, "early long entries" on VXX are here, or on the next 60min chart pb, tho i already entered yest / day b4
229
OIL continues its whipsaw rangebound dance, now its down again near lows
208
glad i took profits on REDF at 8.75,,last 8.33,,not buying it back yet
207
but SINA is a bit early,,,could decide to break daily rectangl higher, so watching for now
205
SINA short could work (idea, i have no position), 57.00
119
8.88 trgt redf next,,,may get hit today, if so then i exited too early
118
took profit on REDF that i bought this morn, it surged to a 4.2% profit, and didnt want to let it go away,,,may buy it back later,, i didnt intend to sell REDF so quickly,,planned to hold as swing, but profit opp presented,,,looking to buy it back ,,,maybe even today
106
REDF now at the 8.73 trgt,,,it has ability to break higher on first try, watching reaction now
100
EXC may want to bounce to 41.25...so out for now at the low of day (unless it makes another low)
1259
took profits on EXC puts, 75% in 2 days,,,may buy puts back later,,,holding all other positions still
1248
if exc does not break 4055 soon, i will likely take profits on puts 75%ish and look to re-enter, possibly reenter even later today
1240
VXX "should" catch up to TLT,,,tlt usually leads
1239
clearly 40.00 EXC is an approx trgt,,,,too lazy to calc exact trgt, wont matter with options anyway
1238
EXC now testing low of day,,i want 4000,,last 4061,,,
1237
TLT has a 15min breakout higher, if its real then it should see 121.50 trgt next,if the breakout holds,, 119.86 last
1221
REDF trgt hit, now at 3% up since entry this morn,,still holding as a see a break over prior high coming
1220
MPEL is starting to breakout now, can move nicely higher, new intraday high, and broke highest hi last 5 days
1215
i'm using TLT and TMF etf, not options but actually the TLT options calls havent done so badly, when i bought TLT and TMF, TLT Mar 119 calls were 3.35,, last 3.50/3.60
1208
yest vxx broke the 3060 and hit 3100 as expected, still see much higher vxx
1207
\TLT ande TMF still looking like a breakout higher coming, remaining long those swings,, bull consod on 60min charts
1140
SPPI is on the move now at 1586 from 1582 and will likely break over 1600,,no position in sppi, just watching the "wanted to buy but no money" trade
1128
REDF up 2% since entry this morn, still see its higher trgts
1120
still have DB puts, those havent moved much, and STD puts from yest
1119
the problematic AA feb puts remain a thorn, loss 50%ish atm, still see a better exit on the AA puts tho,later
1118
EXC puts now at 70% profit, in 2 days
1117
EXC they are still not letting up for air, almost all of the last 15min candles have had a lower low,, when EXC does manage a bounce on 15min chart, the first bounce will likely be sold, and then a retest of the low, or lower low, where I will prob take profit
1114
OIL "should be" bearish bias / sideways next 2-4 hours,,,if it manages to break higher over resist b4 then, would be bullish for oil, still bear bias atm
1109
EXC approaching trgt #2 as it makes a new intraday low here, will likely take profits on 50-100% of position at trgt 2 below, 40.00ish
1104
WARNING: position size on the small caps ,,,i always have smaller size position than large caps,,,small caps fun, v profitable, but more risky
1046
ROC went long 43.10
1037
oil has managed to break under 101,,,now watching 100 area
1032
TLT is now testing resistance,,,pressing against it,,,likely break higher
1026
EXC may be heading to 40 next
1025
EXC has broken the 4088 support and hit 40.66,,,still holding the puts longer :)
1023
went LONG in MPEL 10.15, swing
1011
went LONG in REDF 8.35---8.40 for swing
942
newly entered STD short from yest is also lower 1% today,,options PUTS should follow
938
TLT is up this morn, still ahve the TLT TMF longs
937
OIL i'm watching 101 vs 100,,,,if 100 does not break lower, oil might get bullish, still bearish on it for now,but watching
935
EXC just hit its first trgt posted yest at 40.88 /40.92,,but i'm waiting to see if this breaks lowr before taking profits. PUTS up 44% atm
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
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