Thurs thoughts

401
exited oil shorts at exact low of day, from trg posted an hour in advance :)

400
took profits on roc 2.25%  rok 1.61% and sco 8%ish

351
7957 and 4408 stops on roc and rok

346
 i plan to take profits on at least some if not all of ROK and ROC, may not have time to post,,,1.5%-3% profit,,,ES would need to move 13-30 points to do that,,,why i've been trading stocks

336
tite stop on sco 38.20 on remaining piece,,if stopped out will take profits and buy back later

309
took partial profits right at my 98.50 oil trgt :) from 103 and 101.70,,,using sco 2x

237
still holding roc and rok....they r moving up now again,,,but still plan to take partial prfotits on them today b4 close

235
TLT is holding 119.30 ,,,for now

226
ROC and ROK now up 1.5% from yest vs flat ES,,,still holding but will likely take some profits on them today, in the 3-5% profit zone

224
USO and CL charts suggest to hold oil shorts swing at least 4 more hours, which spills over until holding overnight until tomorrow,,the charts suggest that a long signal, if one comes, would not come before 6 hours, with 2 hours in no mans land

223
if TLT is over 119.30 at 3:00 pm,,,would be nice for TLT longs n TMF

219
LOL yet ROK is making new daily highs, as oil falls

217
oil sellers intraday are almost exhausted but could still see more down, with a lil bear flag up first or sideways

216
oil may not find buyers until 9850

215
just hit 9970 while typing,,,see what happens

214
sco shot from 3630 ear;oer today to 3745 last,,, active traders would tighten stops and enter/exit actively, but give it a little room to break lower on oil, higher on sco

212
sco shot from 3630 ear;oer today to 3745 last

212
if oil sees 99.70 it may get additional selling, plunged to 100.09 and bounced

208
there it goes, oil lower :) as sellers were not exhausted yet

207
oil 15min down volume on last move down is not "too much",,,it can move lower,,,volume bar is decent but not suggsting that sellers on oil are exhaustede

203
if the es short scalp sets up,,often we will see the 3min stoch over 80, down to 60ish, then back over 80, then short

200
for es short scalp setup, looking for more up, then sideways, then down a little not lot, then up, and short that last UP, if it presents

159
es 3min now starting its expected bounce,,still no short signal imo

146
one more push on ROC and ROK would be fine, may exit on such

142
es now basing to prep for expected bounce b4 short,,,could make a lower low on 3min first, unsure

141
oil support 1 broke:) ,,now to test supp 2

140
oils testing support 1 now, support 2 close below it

139
this first 3min pb on ES will likely bounce,the bounce may be shortable, scalp, imo

129
ROC 45.50 trgt, last 44.08, new dily high just now

126
the 2:30--3pm pm action on TLT today--may be v impt clue,,will watch what it does

123
oil USO and CL futures daily---beginning to coil now,,often break higher bvut "something" tells me this one will break lower

122
oil continues its same whipsaw song and dance,,,several days now

121
the move down to the 119.30 TLT buy trgt was harsh, but TLT has held nicely thus far, bouncing to .60

117
notice the tiny candles on the 15min ES chart move up,,,could be trouble for ES later

111
that es scalp long signal from this morn,,,says sell it now to take profits,,,,i didnt trade it but chart says sell 1289

108
TLT is now at 119.30 buy area posted earlier, but it got here so fast, makes sense to let it settle down b4 adding any,imo

104
VXX daily shoot star, but at the bottom those are bullish candles despite the pb

1242
TLT needs to hurdle over 120.30, then it should pop higher nicely, last 120.05, 

1241
EXC hit 40.02 today, right near its 40.00 trgt from yest, tho i took profits yest a bit early

1231
TLT looks ready to make a break over its 15min resist soon

1230
huge green candle on ROC 3min, to make a new daily high

1226
TLT 15min is now testing its resist, as expected hour ago

1141
there it is,,broke to a new high on ROK

1140
poss new highs intraday on ROK in next 3--12 minutes

1130
TLT 15min chart is bullishly consolod ,,it may make a move to test its 15min highs next

1113
ROK swing trgt 82ish, last 7866, but i will likely trade it actively in and out, due to spx and dow bearish warnings, swings

1108
ROK at trgt 1, 7877 last, may stall here but see higher,

1107
15min ES bull harami, almost confirmed,,,at same time a bull harami still baking on the 60min es,,,good for intraday scalps only not swings, long

1104
3min ROK is now forming a BULL W formation, 7960 trgt approx

1056
but ROK "should" make new daily highs, over 7880, so im holding it

1055
nervous ROK longs could exit here breakeven,,i will continue to hold it

1033
for now, STD puts are  not moving yet, still see lower std tho, higher puts

1032
ES scalp bounce alert, 76% confid, here at 128450,,scalp only NOT swing

1030
my posted VXX trgt from yest was 31.80,,thus far it hit 31.82 and has pb as expected, last 31.67,,tho much higher later after pb intraday

1025
intraday, the next 3min candle, nmot this one, may provide a good clue to direction of ROK for coming hour(s),,,may continue in direction of that candle

1025
TLT may want 119.30,,,if so poss area to add to TLT swings

1015
VXX at 3176 right near 3180 trgt,,,may stall here and pb

1009
aggressive scalp only could work here es 1285.50,,ES,,i'm not taking it

958
long ROK 78.32,,i may take profits as soon as today on ROK,,,ROK is diff company than ROC, i have both

952
for long hedges, ROC i still see hitting 45.50, last 43.54,,i remain long ROC the underlying stock not options, with PUTS in AA  DB  STD  ,,,calls in vxx

947
a VXX dail close over 31.25 and pref over  31.75 would confirm the bull morning star candle pattern that i mentinoed yesterday

945
if tlt gets over 120.30, then 120.80 and 121.70 next higher trgts

943
VXX taking off at the open here, but needs to clear 31.80-32.00 for the REAL upside surge

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".