Monday, October 4, 2010

Monday ramblings

429
intuit INTU is also on my "new long" list but no setup yet for it

427
adm may want lower,,but few reasons long: at support daily, held support 2 days in a row,,,and also the daily adx is high so should pop up one more time,,,adx suggests adm uptrend slowing but not over

405
TLT acc/dist and chakin money flow both bullish (bear spx),, TLT chakin breadth has a higher hi despite a lower hi in TLT daily,,,,chakin will generally lead price

356
At 1:30, i said "charts



suggest that ES may not see over


1131/33 rest of day," they never made it over 1133
 
 
348
still 100% in BAC short

346
covering half of MSFT and INTC shorts to protect profits,,,will look to reenter,,,keeping half

327
bought ADM long 31.60 swing

323
ok out of UNH,,one last thing to watch,,profits taken,, msft and intc much better

310
the daily UNH candle is weak,,,but MSFT and INTC r actually weaker,,,i will be taking profits today in UNH as i expect a bounce therein,, i will likely hold swing shorts on intc  msft  bac and longs in vxx  tlt dba sco

255
tightening UNH stop to .58 for all except last 25% of unh to lock profits near lows

245
still see


lower,,, ES remains under 1133/31
 
234
this DBA still red 2% grr but holding it

234
INTC short roi 4%,, msft 3%,, BAC .5%,, unh 2.5%,, holding most tho may take some partial profits around here if boucnes

229
the 3435 UNH 10 AM trgt is the exact low of day so far,,,stretch trgt now .17

227
fas option puts up 9% but holding for now, since yest

217
VIX bullish at its day boll band,,,no prob for vix as it often pierces BB before turning lower,,,bearish for spx

215
BAC at LOW of day now with weak support since it keeps making marginal new lows

208
thus far, as expected,,, ES remains under the 1133 R since 1:31pm

202
unh just hit .38 or 3 cents from .35 trgt,,, .25ish next if .35 pierced,,,then 3411 tho not likely todya

153
ES should make lower hi here n turn bak down, if my charts r rite

150
UNH falling falling,,,made another new low,, 10 cents from target

146
there it goes, down as expected from headfake


145
the ES rite here has "headfake" 70% char,, should go bak down lol

143
3435/ 3425 unh trgts trying for

142
UNH now at its low of day test,,,but not covering yet,,,watching reaction,,,, tho is a decent spot for partial profits

139
3435 trgt UNH today,,,may be as low as gets today, last 3457

138
UNH should make a lower intraday low soon

135
it "looks like" UNH  ES will put in lower intraday lows, then mayb give a scalp long opp,,, still see lower ES for now,,, same setup from 3 hours ago still baking

130
charts suggest that ES may not see over 1131/33 rest of day,,, 60% confidence

127\
1133 ES has decent intraday resist if it gets there

111pm
looks like a nice entry for agriculture longs, corn, etc,,, via DBA 26.50 for swing

1245
got another intraday ES sell alert here at  1129, for next 3-57 min

1241
xlf moving sideways now, after down since 9/17

1216
TLT is problematic for spx,,,continues pushing

1210
UNH shorts could take $1 profit here,,,i'm holding most for lower targets swing

1208
the BOND buyers could break that spx 1130,,,tho prob hold first test,,

1207
UNH   MSFT  INTC really down now :)

1206
1130 spx v impt support to hold

1201
another 50% chance that no signif bounce at 1127,,,,staying short,, even 1124 not safe for long, yet

1159
ES should


hit 1127 now
 
1158
BAC getting ready to break support soon,,, 1324ish

1155
ES 1124 if it gets there likely hold first test, under the 1127 as headfake

1154
after ES makes a lower intraday low then might get decent long scalp,,,no entry yet for me

1147
as expected,,,ES 1133.50 holding thus far,,, resistance so near LOD is bearish until broken

1136
UNH hit 3465 trgt, next 3435,,may bounce on this one but staying short

1135
watching 1133.50 R to see if holds down

1132
MSFT hit its .75 trgt when it hit .78,,, now .64 next trgt if .75 breaks, then .32

1127
ES 1127 trgt next,,,if that cracks then selling can accel

1125
TLT warns that spx could getr nasty downside,,,only half baked TLT warning but its forming

1121
DBA is read 2% but still holding it long, trade still valid

1118
VXX swing moving well, 3% roi atm

1116
chart suggest the 1133 will break lower, after initial bounce,,,may not get bounce

1109
MSFT gapped down this morn and is in trouble

1107
1136 es broke as expected,,,1133 next

1107
INTC now broke the 1900 support,,,,last 1896 :)

1101
ES should break 1136 lower

1058
coverd half of UNH here at 3480 at support,,stalling,, profits locked,,small at 1.5% but UNH been strong lately

1057
a few buyers stepped in,,,still on sell intraday

1054
MarketMakers appear to be testing mkt right now,,,feeling out buyers and sellers for reactions,,,, reactino next 3-30mins could be impt

1051
danger to buy the 3rd test of support daily,,so expecting break lower after lil bounce

1050
UNH about to test prior days lows,,,but risky support there as its 3rd test,,, i wont buy to cover there,,yet

1047
stage one selling happend,,,got another alert for stage 2 sell

1043
INTC near LOD too,, msft

1043
UNH just made a new low of day,,but at support,,,next support .75ish, last .93

1041
sell alert still valid for ES, UNH

1016
INTC at support here,,,testing it and wearing it down,,still bearis on intc but not bad spot for partial profits, 2%

1001
ES sell program alert here at 1139

938
UNH also lower, still short there

934
MSFT is lower this morn, at 2.75% roi,, next target 23.75, last 23.89,, swing targets much lower after 2375 bounce,,may take partial profits here or 2375

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

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