Wednesday ramblings (and tues night futures)

249
i will exit ORCL on bounce for small profit,,,not right chart to hold long as swing hedge

245
sell for ES under 1156.50 ES

226
money flow intraday says bounce in SPY,,,yet Chakin breadth MF says lower,,,no clarity

215
glad to exit tlt 106.00,,,last 105.72,,look for reentry later,,,

202
long 2773 orcl trgt,,,still bearish for swing shorts msft intc

150
ok i'm taking off all excpet 25% of TLT here,,, it should go higher but 106.00 from 104.25 is good enough,,,keeping 25%,

143
ORCL long is green,,, INTC short green ,,, SCO red grr, TLT rocking

140
sell lil stronger now at 1153 than was at 1151,,,by 3% confid higher now

138
1153.50ish is ES Resist,,,watching if holds down or breaks higher

130
taking a small orcl LONG hedge here at support, 27.51,,,stop 2720/07 for now,, if the QQQQ move up then orcl should outperform them

124
106.20, 106.33, 106.50, 107.00 targets tlt,,, 106.20 daily trgt for now

122
hmm comp qqqq just hit target down,,,watching to see if holds to bounce or break,,,still bias down but at algo support now

115
yes,,as expected a falling wedge is forming in 3min ES

108
BAC bank:daily:   bearish dark cloud cover, textbook example, gap up, and red deep inside yest green candle

102
i still like oil short,,,still have sco but down rite now from 1250 last 1227

101
so maybe we get a falling wedge in 3min

100
i now have a sideways with down bias,,,not big drop, alerts

1259
didnt think it would hit 1156,,,failure to bounce there is bearish

1255
as expected, ES didnt make 1156,,still on sell to me

1242
MSFT n GOOG hurting qqqq,,,instead of short qqqq i'm short the much weaker MSFT which is 5% of qqqq

1228
there's the 4 point drop,,,happened while typing

1227
ES should have broken Low of day already with these readings but it has not

1226
still have that 93% sell, but again it has not triggered much action at least not yet,,,but it remains

1220
TLT finally has a bearish diverg on 3min but unsure how much damage it can do,,,may need a 3x diverg not 2x to get down TLT, wtaching

1213
TLT hit the 106.00,,,should stall, if not then 10623 next

1210
106.00 and 106.23 trgts TLT, from 104.25

1209
this is not normal,, for sell alert to be at 95% without price decline,,,,,




,,,why i'm using individ stocks and TLT, corn, oil...instead of SDS SSO SPY QQQQ etc. for now

1207
TLT up up up...now over .70 and 15 cents from the 116.000 trg

1206
this is not normal,, for sell alert to be at 95% without price decline,,,,,

1159
95%,,, interesting price not dropping but alert moving higher

1158
es still at risk of a 4 point drop, 1158 to 1154

1157
sell alert % raised,,,92%

1152
conservative would take profits here on 50-75% near HOD and trgt in TLT,,,i'll take off 25%

1151
should get 106.00/106.12 if over .70

1150
over 105.70 TLT should trigger buying in bonds and short cover bonds

1147
intc has dropped off 1925, 1920 last :),, just as expected,,,rite in the zone

1143
INTC is in the "re-short zone" now,, mentioned this morn, at 1926

1140
hmm TLT hit 105.67 or 3 cents from the 105.70 trgt,, now it is likely to overshoot it if it goes bak up

1133
1157 es could make decent early entry short

1132
ah,, TLT now just 7 cents from the .70 trgt,,,if that overshoots,,,spx watch out below

1131
signal bias is down despite move up here in es,,,tricky rite here

1130
i have a "a big large or sell prog could hit at any moment setup",,,

1124
63% confid down

1122
now changed to "could go up or down"....poss fast down move,,,50% confidence only,,, strong enopugh to break LOD now, if it triggers down, within 6-70 min

1117
es poss


move down 2 points,,,next 12

min,,next 3min
 
1115
also we could move sidways in the 3min to form a bear desc triangle, on rite side of 15min chart,, with mini bounces in 3min

1114
  see the down channel forming on ES 15min???

1106
1153 es trgt,,,and atm charts say it will hold (sideways setup),, hold first try, bounce then break lower

1102
maybe that POMO is being saved to hold 1140 es,,who knows,,,


1054
TLT just overshot the .40 target,,, .70 next :)

1053
the TLT daily is in a large bull daily coil from 8/23,, expecting eventual breakout higher, over 109 to 114, 118 stretch trgt

1050
ES does have a bull harami 60min, unconfirmed,,,i think it will fail based on other chart indic, but serves as "bears careful" warning

1046
if es < 1158 then trgt test LOD,,,mayb 1140,, decent support 1140

1042
intc short 1928/1925 setup could work here if it bounces,,last 1918,, i remain short from 1954

1038
i have an oil short setup now, swing

1037
93% sell alert now

1036
broken tlt,,, 105.40 then .70 trgt

1034
wow TLT is right at R here now,, if it breaks 105.17 then 105.70 next trgt,, still in  tlt long

1026
if es doesnt bounce here at 1155,,could break thru LOD on first try

1025
ES should test its LOD, maybe go lower,,, 80% confidence

1021
i have a "short es bounces" setup, daytrades

1020
theres that 2 point drop :) ,,, still see lower ES

1016
poss 2 point drop in ES in next 2-9 min

1013
sell alert at 80% now,,, still need 90% for real action but 80% is "early entry", ES 1158

1006
tlt support .80,,intraday

1005
spx isnt going up much, for swings, while TLT over 104.50,,,last 104.90

1004
CL oil bear HS 15min

1000
bac down 0.75%, red from yest

958
77%

957
70% now

956
ES sell alert at 60% confidence,,,need >80 usually for sell program

945
ES has a nasty long bear wick 15min shoot star but bulls stil have time to repair,,watching,,bearish ATM

933
TLT has hit the 105.00 trgt and should go higher,,,swing,,bearish spx

835
If TLT breaks over 105.19  and esp over 105.70,,, v bearish for spx qqqq

825
i'm in sco (oil short) and will remain there thru the 10AM oil report,,,last week i took profits in oil on tues b4 wedn report,,,could get wild in oil this morn on report reactions but chart suggests short for aggressive,, not for the faint of heart

820
TLT up this morn 104.80 from 104.25 yest close,, see over 105 to 106.40, 109.00

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".