Friday, December 31, 2010

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Friday ramblings

350
will cover half of AXP short

350
still have the es 1254 short, will cover b4 close

348
WOW shouldve waited on that .49 sale,,, .55 last,,,least i have 25% left grr

347
taking 25% shaqres



off here 1549,,,from 1509   1515 yest

346
finally tza hit 1540 trgt,,,,took all day,,, 1548 last

328
bias is to go up in TLT but may want 9350 first

325
TLT is whipping around 9100--9130 mini whipsaw range,, no new entries in this action,,just holding the last 25% of shares with stop above cost to protect profits

304
DD has bear HS 60min

253
sell signal ES, first real one today, 81%, at 1254.50

238
filled now

237
AXP is hitting .88 but i'm not getting a fill on the short,,,still waiting in linea

233
i just got stopped out of all TLT   TBT except the last 25% of shares,,,maybe reenter later,, but options gave 47--110% profits

228
High volume


rejection in oil just now at the break over .88

trgt, poss shoot star,,,9206--9136 plunge oil

219
3min AXP double top, trying to add more shorts on bounce,,no fill yet

218
9430 TLT can work "up here" with at .14 stop,,,my stop at .17 but in from much lower,,

214
i'll add more AXP short 4288 if filled, last 4285

210
tza 1540 trgt, expecting break over it, last 1535

210
swing, still have 1509 and 1515 tza from yest

208
shortable right


shouldr
 
207
see the 3min bear HS on TF?

201
hit 9470,,,still see 9486 / 9492 / stretch 9531

159
this is very rare,,,usually MarketMakers will "scale out" selling,,,,i see no sellers on TLT unless reports are wrong,,,not even started to scale out,,may be waiting for the  9486 trgt

158
axp poss scalp into the close, but will hold swing if needed and targets not hit today

157
on the next move up, i'll prob add more AXP shorts, they r near breakevn now but expect lil pop up,, poss scalp into the close

155
now mental stop 9433 TLT with hard stop 9416, last 9454

151
TBT puts options, are more than double in value, overnite

149
TLT is another freight train today :D

146
see the daily candles 11/29, 11/30, and 12/1, how it was bullish up?  CL may be forming the same pattern in reverse here, followed by a correctino down

143
each time TLT makes a higher intraday hi, i'm checkin to see if MM want to sell there,,,thus far, they've run away

141
charts on TLT suggest higher,,also, MarketMakers are not selling it at all,,, when MM start to sell i may exit with them,, if they begin to sell, we can exit with them even if chart bullish and re-enter after they finish selling, for a lower price

137
my shorts in DD   AXP   KO are all in loss area now tho, swings, 1/2--1% losses paper,,,staying short,,see much lower

127
its a tite stop but its had a nice run up so want to protect most profits gained

126
TLT mental stop 9417,,last 9434,,, if it goes to 9417 i may consider exiting and try to reenter lower

108
9522 is TLT stretch trgt (and wherever tbt is at that point),,,, i'm placing limit orders to sell up there in case of a quick move

100
same daily targets for TLT as this morn: 9480/9492,,, will take 25% more off there if able, and have 25% of shares n contracts left

1254
oil could still drop to 89 today,,,in any event,


holding oil shorts swing
 
 
106
TBT puts now at 97% profit from yest entry,,,but holding longer for now :)

1243
tbt puts from yest

1243
took 68% ($36 strike) and 47% ($38) profits  on TBT puts, still have half left

1240
at 11:23 AM I had a TLT trgt of 9423 by 1pm,, just hit 9419,, still holding most,,,taking some off here to lock profits

1201
some individ stocks are weakening intraday too

1200
one reason i added shorts: Market Maker reports say they r shorting up here, tho they r shorting individ stocks not the SPY per se

1159
maybe es wants 1256 idk, scaling in here

1159
Took ES short 1254 instead of 125450,,,close enough, 50%


size
 
 
1157
9086, adding oil shorts here, tho this is "early entry" add, conserv would wait for oil to pull back lower then short the bounce after all that

1146
OIL is up sharply here but still under yest hi,also todays oil volume is much liter for now,, i'll add more shorts later in oil after the 60min weakens

1138
WOW oil went higher than trgt,,,grr,,,still see lower oil

1129
TLT made the first marginal new high rite on time,,,1127am :),,, trgt now 9421 next,, last 9393

1126
i just got a fill on that oil short posted b4,  89.94

1123
TLT expected to make new daily highs  by 11:27AM and again at  100pm-ish,, 4minutes is trgt #1

1121
TLT buy alert here,,tbt sell laert

1120
still in tza from 1509 1515 yest, last 1540,,still holding,, but only have a 50% size scalp for now,,,full size swing

1115
Limit i'll add oil shorts at 89.94 if able, last 8978,,, if i werent short from higher oil i would add here .78

1113
prob i'll short ES on the next bounce from this lil decline

1110
ES might drop here but the "more frequent" action with this chart pattern is some sideways now maybe higher,,,then lower harder, last es 1253.25

1106
TLT is bullishly consolodating,,, if the ES falls here it shouldn't  harm TLT and may very well help push TLT higher

1103
OIL is at the "add more shorts" area but waiting to add more here, 8977 last

1101
breaking here,,,,as expected

1051
125375 resist,,,watching for poss stop run headfake, idk if will get it

1049
i'm trying 1254.50 lim es short else may take lowee

1038
50% size on AXP,,, way want 4326 where i'll add more else run with this

1038
there goes the rest, hit .75

1037
Just got filled on AXP 4274 short, partial fill

1021
i'll short axp at 42.74 limit if filled, last 42.65

958
but not adding more here, risky entry,,,if pulls back will add

956
that might put tbt 3595ish, not sure since the tlt tbt are somewhat out of sync here, tbt now at 3726

955
TLT target for today is 9480/9492 where i'll take some of swing off to lock profit then try re-entry,,tho may not make that hi today, last 9389

948
rarely do i do options cuz of decay but yest charts were suggesting breakout in 1-3 days so tried puts on tbt ,,,,also short the tbt from 3900 etf and long the tlt from 9153 and 9276

942
thats better on TBT puts now,,,,can take 25% of contracts  some off here for 42% profit since yesterday

938
still holding other swing shorts so at the open here only willling to short extreme, likely not get a fill

937
russell,,,i'll limit short TF 790.10/790.20 if filled

932
TBT puts are only at 16% profit at the open here,,,holding this 75% of contracts for now, took 25% off yest at 13% so not enough increase yet to take off more

856
DD and KO shorts, have no pre-mrkt activity

850 AM
TBT shorts are down sharply this morn, now near target #1,,took profit on 25% of shares 3720 from 3900 for $1.80 profit per share

OIL is also down nicely, still short swing oil

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Thursday, December 30, 2010

Thurs ramblings

359
exiting last tza 1529 tza from 1511 1509 1515 this morn

353
still holding the oil swing shorts

351
oops forgot oil scalp shorts LOL,,,taking 30 cents profit here ,and 1.70 profit on other piece of oil shorts

346
1523 selling the 25% tza here, one cent under .24 trgt

317
* i have 4935 limit

316
limit cover half of DD 49.33 if it hits there today, last 4975,, i'm keeping DD rest of swing shorts but "rotating" some money out of DD and into TLT long and TBT short

313
still short swing in ko,,,,but KO is rite at support now,,,could crak lower

258
i will 1524 lim sell 25% tza for profit,, and hold last 25%

249
fwiw, unless charts change, which they easily could,,,i plan to short until 1247ish trgt, exit half shorts and add long hedges 1247ish and hold other half of shorts thru it all

245
leaving RETAIL investors in a bad situation, if so

244
why is TLT moving up recently with no corresponding drop in DOW SPX??? Perhaps,,, smart money has "already exited" equities,,,,

241
taking 25% of TBT puts off here for 13% profit in 2 hours

231
TLT another freight train today? setup is powerful enough to hit trgts

223
9350, and 9423 trgts still same

223
there goes TLT;,, new high of day :)

216
TLT is waking up here,,,might only hold those options for a few days

211
willing to hold overnite if no movement today

211
TF short here could work, iwm 7911, tza 1513

209
last oil 8976

208
SHORTING oil here 8975,,,may add more higher,sco 1054

203
may short oil 8875--8890, to add to existing position

158
maybe es 60min in a wave 4 up now, to be followed by lower low wave 5 down, 60min

156
OIL,, CL,  USO, may present opp to scalp short into the close

137
this is taking FOREVER,,, russell still in that "up",,,waiting to add short

136
TLT TBT will likely move faster, sooner than DD, so tried some TBT puts

132
also poss DD drifts higher sideways to form HS

130
intraday, 60min, 15min, if DD is in wave 2 up right now,,,then wave 3 down will be really wild

124
or, may end the day with this spin top, watching reactions

123
TLT trgts 9348 then 9423,,, may not see those today but pattern is powerful enough for 9423 today,,, a bull flag with a bull inv HS inside the flag

119
AVG tlt cost is .63,,,taking a 25 cent scalp profit now on a piece,,holding most for higher, if it backtests then i'll buy it back else run with existing remaining shares, swing scalpo

118
the 3min TLT has a bull inv HS but it looks like it will break higher without backtesting the right shoulder down

115
this is the move up in russel mentioned b4,,,but not reshorting yet,,,its shortable in a bit

113
and 36 puts at 38 cents

111
TBT Jan 22 2011 38.0 Put,, at $1.15

109
OPTIONS calls in TLT


could work here, jan or feb,, or TBT puts for higher roi, higher risk

102
TLT missed its 1pm trgt  .88 vs .95,,,but still see .95 test then break higher, but it came v close to the 1pm trgt

101
heres the down in russel mentioned,,,next bounce should be shortable

1259
its 1259PM,,, TLT 1pm trgt was .95,,, last .88,,, will it make it?? close enough :)

1256
OIL: in 4 hours has wiped out 7 days of advances :) ,,, the DD charts are set to do similar, just dont know when, similar pattern, patiently waiting, swing

1252
hasnt made down move yet on russell, still see down , up , down harder

1241
russell iwm TF should go down then up then down harder, bounce is shortable

1226
adding tlt buy #2 here, 9250, near the prior .47 trgt

1217
if russel pattern plays as expected,,,see a test of low of day, feeble bounce then break lower, 788 trgt rut...tza 1557ish

1214
GRRR now TLT hits the .47 trgt from before,,missed buying here,,,still see higher TLT and keeping the .75 TLT

1207
SCO oil shorts up 4.15% in one day :)

1201
a strange looking bear desc triangle often forms with this chart,,,but wouldnt meet the strict defin of desc tri,, a bear HeadShoulders / Desc triangle combination type thing LOL, 3min and 15min charts

1200
this pattern in russel,,, usually will test the low of day, a feeble bounce and then break lower,,, may not have enough time today to do it all in 1 day

1155
RUSSEL


lower,,should go lower still
 
1152
TLT,,breaking here,,watching for a break over todays high, and on to higher monthly dec highs, in coming days hours

1139
TLT 9295 trgt by 1pm to test high of day

1137
still have 9600ish trgt in tlt, more precise trgts later, swing

1136
the TLT 60min stoch DOES have a bear cross on it, but i think it will not materialize, still see higher tlt

1135
yesterday i suggested TLT may get a spin top today, which is what we have now,,, BUT it ,may break to upside, unsure

1134
the 60min TLT has an inverse HS and also a bull flag,

1132
50% size, combo scalp swing

1130
hmm,,,i'm paying a premium here for tlt at 92.74,, the .47 was not filled, nor the .30 tested, but charts are suggesting posisble breakout higher to new daily highs, so scaling in here in order to participate

1127
oil on fire now, down, largest daily CL candle since 12/7,,,

1125
DD, sell signal at .68

1121
may want .30 or lower, wider stop herea

1121
trying to buy the headfake marginal new low if it makes one,, if they sweep stops then should get a fill

1120
i'll buy TLT limit 9247 if able, last 9267, for swing scalp combo

1117
CL swing trgt 8677, last 8839, stalls along the way

1115
this is a spot for partial oil profit taking,,holding most of swing shorts

1113
and,, theres the new low in oil, as expected 10min ago :)


1113
7905, there goes iwm under the 7910 as expected

1107
OIL,,,looking ready to break low of day

1101
next move down on TLT i'll prob buy

1101
7910 iwm last,,,rut should pullback now, russell

1055
heres .15 tza limit,,

1052
DD short here 4975 could work,, last .76

1049
oil "should" make a lower lo too, CL  USO

1047
TLT 3min stoch is under 20 as expected,,,but still not the rite long setup,,,patiently waiting some more,,

1035
still waiting for TLT long entry, letting it consolodate first,,,maybe after the 3min gets below 20, moves around, entry may present,, still watching .30 to see if it tests there, and if holds, .61 last

1033
still waiting for TLT long entry, letting it consolodate first,,,maybe after the 3min gets below 20, moves around, entry may present

1027
1519 tza could work here  but requires a wider stop imo

1025
amazing,,,the DD low of day thus far is exactly at the parabolic sar #,,,still think it will break .56

1018
poss re-short tza at IWM 7902,last 7890

1017
1% gain on that lil piece tza

1015
tho 1526 tza is too tempting to pass up for scalp profits, closed all except 25% of tza 1526,,

1012
1243 es, 1247 spx are my approx unrevised downside trgts posted tuesday nite,,,may try some longs down there in mcd  ibm  wmt

1007
if DD tests 4942 then it will crack the daily parabolic SAR support now at 49.57,, Parab system alone would suggest a short on a break of .57, a CLOSE daily under the .42 would be v bearish

1004
there it is,,, DD has made a lower daily low, as expected via the gap theory

1003
still looking for long hedge entries in WMT  MCD  none seen yet

1003
i'd like to see intc get up to 2124 where poss short entry exists, will eval if it gets there, 2102 lsat, and R at 2107

1001
DD swing short was red loss yest,,,its now green again in profit zone :) ....still holding longer

959
DD went higher and didnt make a lower low yet daily, but gap theory still suggests it will make a lower lo, its close now to


lower lo
 
 
956
selling half the tza here for 4 cents profit, not selling to take


profit per se, but the avg down accomplished

its purpose, and now i can buy more again

later
 
 
952
tza #2 of 4....more at 1509

949
not sure,,thinking


the tf may have put in its high of day
 
948
as expected, TLT has moved lower, tho not at .30 buy trgt, last .60,, wont auto buy at .30, will see what charts look like

946
trying some tza here 1514

945
i'll short es 1257.50 if filled limit,,,entry #1 of possible 2 or 4 entries

942
it could take a few hours before an entry presents, and may need to be a swing scalp combo trade

940
typically, if they are able to, the Market Makers will work the price higher on INTC since they are probably forced temporarily long, once they've recouped their profits then they may short and the price should drop below 2093. for me, this is not a reason to go long but rather a reason to short the bounce if able,

939
WOW 200,000 shares of INTC below the ask red at 20.93 sold, thats a large block for INTC, especially on this near holiday time. suggests a move over 20.93 and then lower,,,

936
Gap theory suggests that both TLT and DD have not yet put in their low of day, tho DD has moved higher

933
DD and KO also gapped down, good for swing shorts there :)

931
TLT 92.30 i may go long again,,,exited yesterday at 93.34 from 91.53, TLT last 92.86 on a gap down

928
yesterday and day before, i was suggesting that USO oil would gap down,,, USO looks set to gap down today at the open, still short OIL via USO short,,,SCO long

918
Good morning

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer"..

Tuesday, December 28, 2010

wednesday ramblings (and tues night futures)

410
INTERESTING tho that the red 15min candle at 345pm on ES was easily the largest vol candle of day, bearish

358
closing that ES shjport for 1.5 pts profit,,,miniscule took all day ({),,, TLT was much better at $2 profit, 220 dow points profit

358
nice moves down in the KO and DD shorts tho still red on that swing,, tza swing up now

353
stopped out, all scalps exited tlt, 2%ish profit

352
4 cents away from TLT stopout profit, still in for now

348
that 10AM short on 1153 ES is another dud so far,,, fro me

346
.22 stop tlt in case of sudden surge down, raised from  .13

344
TLT is about 20 cents from its 11am trgt of 9370 from 9153 entry,,,will close scalps b4 close

339
TLT new high of day


here,,still holding thru the close for scalps

and half of swing
 
 
331
strategy known as "scalp swing combo"

329
Trading idea: daytrade and scalp only setups one is willing to hold overnite swing. If the daytrade scalp targets are met, take profits.

If we have a loss but the position is still valid, hold overnite. If we have a loss but trade premise is not valid, take the loss today

FWIW,,, I've found this strategy helpful, avoids headfakes, whipsaw and MM "forcing" daytraders to close prematurely


321
THE roi on TLT daytrade is 2% so far,,, 2% of 11,614 dow = 232 points,,

257
KO swing short is red now too 0.58% about half a percent but staying short

256
im still short DD, red 1%ish now,,,holding as swing,, tlt swing up 2% and tbt up 4% swings

254
over 9313 i'll ride TLT swings and scalp into close,,,only have 25% of scalp left having taken profits on 75% scalp,,,100% of swing remains

253
TLT move up today may cause selling pressure on spx dow in coming hours days

248
hmm this newly formed 10min Bull flag on TLT measures close to that 9370ish trgt from 11am ,, so now we have 2 reasons to expect .70ish--.88

240
stop .13 on scalp tza, last .22, to guarantee  profit of $1.60 on that piece

224
TZA still has swing long, daytrade long signal, 1525 last

214
ahh,,,now the 60min TLT,,,is changed,,, forming a poss bull inv HS?

210
"real target" is 9388 TLT but have placed order under it at 9370 for now,, if the daily TLT move was small i'd place it ABOVE the trgt, but large move requires locking some in under the trgt if able

209
.49 trgt next, last .37, cannot type fast enough :)

208
just hit the .19 trgt,,,watching reactino,,,still have the .70 limit sell TLT, last .19

208
coverted that TBT cuz TLT just hit one-3 cent from its .19 rect mini trgt

206
yest TBT swing short from yest 3900 now at 3786, taking 25% of shares off to lock 3% profit

155
tlt mini rect measures to 9319 nexty

151
TLT just wont stop,,,still waitinf for upper trgts,,should see one more thrust higher b4 correcting lower

132
lowering sell order to 9370 from 9377 last 9297,,entry at 9153

124
: TLT has moved the  


equivalent of 150 DOW points today
 
 

123
or 9347ish gap fill

123
9330 TLT trgt,,,gap resist

121
i cant get market maker analysis on TLT,,,they've all run away from selling atm

118
if 9317 breaks higher than can see 9388 fast, tho the 9303 stall likely

116
9303 stall likely if there,,,may take scalp profit and try to buy bak

115
ADAM and eve from this morn on TLT had a parabolic exit, not asc triangle or cup handle as dicussed

115
TLT "should" pulll back to 9240 but may just go parabolic,why i took the scalp profits up here but keeping siwng and 25% scalps left for higher

111
* $1.15 profit

110
taking 25% of scalps off on TLT here for $1 profit, or 10%ish 1x, 3% on 3x etf

109
TLT on fire now :D

105
limit sell 25% TLT scalp piece at 9298 if able, last .68

105
9377 limit order to sell now ,,,last 9262,,probwont make 9377 today but if soo will take off half swing

103
wow TLT hit the .68 target as i was typing,,,still have 100% swing,, half scalps

100
moving .57 sell tlt,,its moving FASSSSSSSSSTTTTTTTTT now,,,will do manually

100
.28 scalpers can take partial profits,,,TLT rockin today

1251
pulled back at .28 rite over .27 trgt as expected,,still see higher

1249
TLT 9205 here could work long,,,i'm in from 9153

1228
.30 tlt is prior support broken lower that turned resist now, why watching it here,,,poss stall pb then  


break higher
 

1225
watching reaction at .30,,,unsure if pulls back or not here

1225
TLT :D,,,just hit .27 trgt,,,still have .57 order to cover half swing, and have half scalps left

1202
i will limit sell half of TLT 9257 half of swing piece if filled, and try to buy back lower, keeping other unsold half, for $1.03 profit on that piece

1158
TLT is near the .27 trgt, .14 last,, see higher after .27 but poss stall pullbakc there

1145
now watching to see if ES moves below 1256 as mentioned earlier,,,could happen now or bounce again,,,bias down atm for me, to continue pattern

1140
VIX is near sypport and could bounce, or can fill gap lower,,watching reaction

1134
1260 ES poss, may add more shorts up there if hit

1134
unclear if ES wants over 1257.50 or below 1256 from here,,,aggress could short 1257 here

1128
For ES,,,heres the "up part" i mentioned b4,,, after this up finishes should be shortable daytrade bounce with a move below 1256

1126
9227 is next scalp target on tlt from 9153 for 54ish cents profit if hit

1125
TLT up 0.5% or 1.5% for 3x etf since entry 90min ago,,holding for higher targets on swing pieces

1121
OIL also moving lower :),,,watching still for CL to test low of day

1118
still unclear if bull adam eve on tlt will be cuphandle, asc tri or parabolic,,,parabolic looking likely but no confirmations yet, up nicely now at 9187 from 9153

1117
heres the down part in ES i was talking about,,, should bounce after this move is done, then down lower and second move down should be bigger

1115
taking another 22 cents scalp profit here tlt, 20 on first scalp, for 42 cents,,, still hodling swing TLT

1111
could take an hour for those 2 trips

1110
pattern is lower from 1257, then higher, then lower again to lower than prev low

1109
it often goes over 1257 before lower, over pop i'll try a short if it comes

1108
sell signal ,,,80% suggests bounce first, shortable bounce, on russell ES 1257

1100
TLT scalpers could take 20 cents profit on a 1x etf here,,swing part i'm holding longer

1059
TLT bull adam eve still valid, they often convert to asc triangle or cup handle,,,or may go parabolic up,,,watching

1035
TLT 15min and 3min have poss bull Adam eve bottom

1032
TLT starting to move up now,,,lets see what it can do,, its a 1x etf not 3x so moves are smaller, but still has nice daily ranges compared to SPY

1010
trying 9153 TLT long, may add more later

1003
TLT 9141 limit long if filled

944
still on TZA swing long signal from 1525, last 1533, same trgt as yest

Wedn 940
yest i suggested USO oil might gap down today, it didnt, it opened flat, tho at 9AM it was set for a gap down,,,watching to see if CL retests overnite lows

Tues nite
For tomorrow, Wedn, if we see 1243ish ES (1247 spx) then may be able to take some shorts on profits and reverse long va MCD  INTC IBM for a quick swing (2-5 days) while holding swing shorts (hedged).  Using individ stocks allows simul long/short swings,,, also possible upro tomorrow but i only like it down near 1243 ES.


Later, INTC charts suggest a hard fall, but may be able to swing long first 20.42ish (20.89 last)


possible longs AFTER pullback to 1247:  IBM  INTC  MCD  PFE  WMT



* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Tuesday's ramblings

452
CL oil futures have 2 daily shoot stars, need confirming daily close below their daily lows

451
poss USO oil gap down tomorrow to form a bear eve star candle pattern

405
ES short was a dud, 1.25 whole point profit, but i remain swing short DD  TBT  IWM   EEM   KO  and long SCO  TZA

403
tza was one cent off trgt

357
half tza off here 1535 to lock 10 cent profit

340
lim sell half tza .45, last .36 rite near .37 trgt

337
may sell half tza at .37 trgt, will watch reaction there

324
1526 tza supp

322
.31 tza trgt hit,,,,.37   .41 next

316
tza needs to break .31 for .37, .41 trgt, then 1567, 1821

314
tza still on a buy 1528,,,never filled on .18,,,running with exist position

309
125525 short ES could work here, at tbt 3906,,: at tbt


3906,,,watching which one moves more
 
 
304
i think TBT will move lower, TLT higher, TBT trgts 3650 and 3450

300
buying back DRV here 1826 that i sold at 1865,,, 50% size

257
i'll add more tza limit 1518 if filled

254
DD sell signal, 4986

238
VIX green today,,bear for spx

237
Bearish hanging man on DD daily

229
ABOVE the mkt, i may add more tza 1532, last 1527

227
TZA buy signal, 1527

226
the small ES 15min candles look corrective not imp, suggests lower in coming hours days to me

213
50% size in tbt,,,short #1 of 2 poss entries, for swing scalp combo

213
SHORTING the TBT 3900 here  (equiv to long TLT 2x)

206
1525 last tza

205
more tza 1526, 50% size, buying back some tza i sold this morn for profit

201
shorting more DD 4980

1135
18minutes time estimate for ES to break todays 1251.50 low for new low of day.  tho rarely large moves at this time of day near noon, so nothing dramatic likely

1132
sell alert 82%,, es 125250

1130
hit .71, filled on .70 re-short DD

1128
reshorting DD scalp here .70

1058
watching DD to test yest low, maybe another daily lower low than yest

1057
looking for KO to break support daily today

1014
i will limit 1556 take 25% more tza off if filled for 2.3% prof

1008
taking 30 cents profit on 25% DD shares

1002
taking profits on 25% of tza shares here .37, lock 1.1% profit scalp

956
agress could short 1253.25 here

954
my charts say "scalp short the bounces ES" for now, may change later but not before 1015am,,tho no bounce to


short yet
 
 
939
still short TZA swing from yest 1520, approaching trgt #1 soon, last 1528,,, still swing short KO   DD,, looking for new longs MCD maybe, new TRV shorts

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Monday, December 27, 2010

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Monday ramblings

443
355PM signal remains on swing short for SPX   DOW and individ stocks,,, i'll continue shorting rally, taking profits on half - 75%, then re-shorting, while the 355pm signal is on "stay short",,,3--60 days hold on 355pm signal, avg 2 weeks

434
oil CL has a bear shoot star, daily

404
VIX is up 7% today

353
the ES 1252ish shorts i'll keep if no decline here

351
6500ish cover KO trgt scalp for 20 cents profit there if able

350
.51 DD cover half if able

339
last few days, Market Makers have been using nasty trick:  partial (not full) cover of their swing shorts,,,this pushes up price, gives buy dips,,then reshorting it,,, reports suggest they r accum more shorts than covering, and will continue past Jan 3, then lower

333
KO, poss modified bear eve star,,,,daily chart,, bearish reversal pattern if confirmed with close after today, below todays low

332
further,,,DD and KO both put in bearish lower daily highs, and lower daily lows :)

331
MarketMaker analsys suggests they have not yet covered all their shorts, i'm holding shorts now swing overnite, will take partial profits if moves down into close,,,else will hold for lower in coming hours days tomorrow etc

326
DD sell signal, .66 for 85%

325
ko hit the .20 trgt to short,watching reaction

324
ko 6520 short here

322
tza, may rally here, watching, 1521 last

311
good for 15min, shorting DD .70 could work into close hold, last .66

259
i'll wait and add at end of day, TRV maybe,

259
TRV 5575/72 short swing could work here

256
KO in real danger here, at low of day as ES is near its highs,,,a pullback in ES could crack the KO support for a 20 cent drop fast, tho support is support till broken, holding atm

224
1533 tza first scalp trgt

204
1523 avg cost tza

202
trying some tza 1516

129
KO remains much weaker than SPX DOW

125
125275 filled here

123
125325 is trgt but shorted lil lower

121
shorting 1252.75, taking #3 of poss 4

113
KO is selling here as ES rallies :)

112
still have order to short 1253

103
DD broke the .62 support but needs follow thru lower, last .60

1259
tza hit 1530 buy trgt, watching to see if moves or not,,,or short IWM

1253
1530 tza scalp could work

1249
tho KO   DD likely to outperform ES

1248
if i didnt have 2 short positions of poss 4, i'd be shorting here 1251 es

1241
MarketMaker update: they continue to gently short, tho a lil heavier now,, instead of letting price drift up they've begun to lower the ask prices, at es 1251

1236
DD moving lower but needs top break .61, last .65

1235
missed the 8min trgt but ES still on sell signal

1225
124975 trgt, stall then lower if hits 124975 within 8min

1225
ES move lower possible in 8 minutes, below 125150

1223
83% ES sell signal, not at 85% yet as it drifts lil higher

1222
usually would wait for move lower then short DD bounce, but is shortable here since so close to high of day

1222
DD 3min is close to bearish rsi failure swing at 4972, not confirmed yet, also a modified bear HS on rsi

1218
not sure it will make it to lows or lower only cuz of lite volume but thats the pattern normally

1217
this is the move to > 80 stoch i was talking about b4,,, down then up then down to lows

1213
SPY is now rite at 15min DTL resist,,could go a lil higher depending on how u draw Downtrend line

1209
lim short 1253 i'll add more es, #3 of 4 poss entries

1208
6536 KO may be shortable, watching if it gets there

1207
KO in trouble now if the 6503 doesnt hold, last 6508

1205
80% es sell warning,,,needs 85% to move lower,,,, bnc often comes at 80% b4 decline, at es 125075 last

1148
IF the ES turns down, then KO may break the 6503 today lower as it is now already at 6513

1145
ko trgt 6378 after 6503 break, swing

1144
watching 3min es stoch 14,3,3, to get over 80 then decline, that may break range lower

1142
ko 6503 trgt last 6518

1137
INTC 3min has bear dbl top

1133
1min later, there it is, KO has broken the .25 before 57min elapse, after 9min trgt

1132
KO testing low of day again now, within target timeframe to break lower to new low :)

1126
lim cover half DD shorts .35 for profit, last .71

1121
SPY and ES 3min charts are diff,,,,reason i added some here

1120
adding more es 125050 again, #2 of poss 4,  1250.50 avg basis

1115
DD just hit .72 trgt

1111
preparing to add more ES shorts in coming 9-50 minutes

1107
KO under 6525 within 9 minutes T1,,,within 57min Trgt 2

1106
KO teswting its low of day now,,,think it will break, 

1055
also, SPY is at 125.71 near the .68,,,last week .68 saw some heavy institut dist selling prob

1055
last, 1250.50

1054
taking 1250.50 as first entry,,,some stronger stock starting to weaken a lil

1051
i'll short ES first entry 1252 lim if filled else take 1251 for first entry, #1 of poss 4 short entries

1045
adding DD short here 4960,,, still like .72 too,,,this one more aggress,, this is also the "initial entry" for shorts DD if didnt have any position yet

1037
for me, INTC, no long entry, maybe 2050, no setup yet

no mcd long either


1030
oil,,,,possible sneak attack lower lol,, drifiting,,,watching reactions, still eternally short oil swing

1023
MM reports...just one tool of many, so i try to base decisions off "multiple confirming tools" not one

1022
for es, letting the 3min decline and then shorting the bounce later, could work

1021
early MarketMaker report, fwiw: MM took partial early profits on shorts from Friday swing, and are now gently shorting into this now, higher is possible since havent started to cover yet

1015
i will...4972 lim short more DD if filled, may not get that hi, last .57

950
KO   DD  down nicely for swing shorts,,, TRV is down harder :),, oil down a little,,, keeping all shorts for now,, may consider INTC  MCD for LONG

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Thursday, December 23, 2010

Thurs ramblings

333
shorting 1252, es, agressive

254
5517 trgt for TRV,,,.5540 here is also a spot to take partial profits from yesterdays 5595 entry

251
lim cover 4922 DD scalps if able, holding swing shorts

233
the 15min and 60min stoch helped also to forecast the move lower tday,as mentioned b4,, along with trendlines rsi momentum

229
yea daily vix bull pattern

228
covering SPY now to lock profits on half, 125.32 vs 125.67

227
taking 4 points profit here on half ES short

226
adding USO shorts here 3900, short #3 of poss 4

216
at 157pm i suggested a new daily hi in tza by 216pm,,,just made a new high :)

210
expecting increase in tza now, and lower es,  came a few minutes early, 209pm vs 2:13pm trgt

207
SELL alert ES 80% at 1252

157
charts suggests a break higher in tza within 18 min

156
tza is "trying" to wake up,,still watching russell reaction here at daily supp, for lower russel IWM higher tza

142
WOW just notice KO fell to 6567

141
tza 13min stoch has bull inv HS, cup handle

121
SPY back at that MM 125.68 area, .64 last, shorting ES 1253 here could work,,,still short since hours ago LOL 1253

114
SPY stoch falling in 15 and 60min,,most all week on 60min, could see lower spx spy today tho nothing dramatic

1259
TRV moving down nicely, DD also showing weakness, not as much as TRV


1246
es still on sell intraday

1240
i still expect oil to correct lower, moving higher but on stretched momo, then higher later

1228
US Dollar DX is in daily asc triangle

1226
its not really "up" on "lower vol",,,more like "sidways",, marginal new highs only thus far

1225
As i look at the daily volume bars on ES tho they "should have" been able to push it even higher than this,,,failure to do so seems v bearish to me for coming weeks

1219
i have a sell signal still for scalps on ES but v hard in low vol,,,will just trade the sys and hold for now, also short DD  KO TRV,,,, TRV and DD doing nicely

1214
but its also approaching resist on this low vol day,,watching reaction

1214
TZA trying to break higher here

1135
adding uso short .86 here,,,

1121
pretty likely es will


move under 1253,,,its where MM were forced

long
 
1118
shorting 1253 ES

1114
notice the harsh rejection spy .68 rite at that resist trgt from 90min ago,,, bulls must get over that else risk lower low intraday

1046
SPY was unable to get over .65,,,if MM get trapped they will sell hard to get out of their loss,,,they prefer to push over .65,,,watching here

1044
USO 15min rectangle measures to 3810 on a break of .43, 3810 just so happens to be a prior low

1041
DD 60min on wave 2 up now, wave 3 down should break 4957 for 4920/4900 trgt

1031
but spy 125.69 does remain resist and could work for short entries, scalps or swing,,, i'll wait to see reaction to see if can push higher, maybe even to marginal new hi

1030
SPY over 125.70 wouldnt surprise me, then lower,,, MarketMaker reports suggest that MM were forced long at 12570 spy, but should resume lower after MM can take profits higher up,,in this scenario they will try to push up price temp only to recoup

1026
DD now 4 cents over my entry,,,i'll add more shorts maybe after further decline and then short a bounce, not here for additional

1010
KO made a marginal new high today, 10 cents, 6588,,,still see lower KO in coming days weeks,, may add KO shorts on an intraday decline then bounce from decline, back now at 6577

1000
SHORTINg oil USO 3863, sco 1040, swing scalp combin

946
unlike ES SPX, the russel IWM is not making new highs since tues

940
shorting DD here 4977 combo scalp swing, last 4977, may want 4981 evewn 5000 b4 lower but have 50% size for now

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Wednesday, December 22, 2010

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Tuesday, December 21, 2010

wednesday ramblings (and tues night futures)

345
trv lim 5527,,, ko lim 6512 to take day profits if filled

321
iwm 15min bear desc triangle

313
i'm not holding MCD as swing either,,,i want to wait for ES to at least be oversold in 60min  b4 adding it, or i want it at a lower price, long

257
wow look at those ES daily volume bars, typical for holiday time tho,, declining vol ea day

228
TRV cracking continues lower, still holding shorts from .95 or 3 cents from high, 2nd entry

218
has anyone noticed how they are just rotating individ stocks within the DOW the last many days???  that behaviour makes for good swings and scalps, by picking those stocks at extreme highs or lows

215
sweet crude oil is taking its sweet old time moving here,,,still see lower oil

211
then 7733

211
MCD 7717 trgt last 7710, tho i exited alredy

209
IWM 15min finally


looks weak
 
152
DD,,,wave 3 intraday starting now???? if soo then weee

149
DD   KO  TRV   :) all doing well now

147
Adding KO shorts now, 6530

132
i'm exiting MCD scalp piece here, breakeven, not moving

115
MCD buy signal, watching to see if it pushes it up 10 cents or not from 7703

1259
IWM russel did NOT make a higher hi today

1233
watcing MCD moving up here poss to .33 trgt,,limit take profits .33 still in place

1217
USO oil filling gap lower here

1136
TRV daily since nov, Bear flag,,,

1130
am short TRV again,,,earlier limit order filled, .95

1119
oil, still see lower,,may break within 17min

1115
may exit the mcd scalp at .16 instead and reenter, unsure

1109
if able lim .33 will sell half MCD scalps and look to reenter

1103
DD trgt 4952/4944 last 4975,, swing trgt much lower

1057
watch the low of day on DRV be .65 now grr LOL

1056
THAT IT,,, i'm out of DRV,,, 5% LOSS on that one :@

1051
MCD has poss dbl bot,,, W,, 15min and 3min

1049
:) DD and KO lower today, MCD higher

1047
if KO breaks here, .85 next

1044
then KO trgts next are its daily trendline supp 6400-6460 depending on way line is drawn, and date,,, will eval as it approaches there

1043
likely they will buy INTC and MCD to "hold dow",,,as other dow


compon fall
 
 
1039
OIL may turn lower here, watching, still short

1035
KO now testing near 6516 prior day low,,,then 6485 next,,,expecting it to make 6485 lowr

1032
out of INTC short for now, it hits its 2085 trgt perfects, 2081ish, last 2088,, will add intc shorts later
will add intc shorts later at higher levels or diff chart pic



1024
so hedged long now via MCD, short DD  KO  OIL, long DRV

1022
KO short is only at 0.81% loss for now, haven't added to it,,,not bad loss for swings,,,still see lower next year

1016
still swing short KO,,,seems to be weakening

1015
i'll re-short BAC again but not here,,,after higher or small daily candles come, 1365?  1400?

1013
MCD had a nice correction from 8094 to 7660 and has based for 6 days now with mini-breakout, hence the MCD long swing scalp combo-- should outperform DOW

1006
this morn, individ stocks are giving amazing scalping opps,,, volatile up down TRV  MCD   DD  KO

1003
adding 7701 MCD,,,looks like higher now

1001
i'll buy more MCD long lim 7696 if able

948
now LONG mcd 7710 for 7733 trgt

947
caught the TRV short 2 cents from high of day,,looking to reshort it again

945
taking 16 cents profit on TRV,,half of shares, to reshort,,that was a quick 5 min profit :)

938
may add more trv short 5610--5625ish

937
shorting TRV 5596

Tues 801PM
interesting...INTC hit
2081 after hours from 2110 close,,,those
numbers are real since I had orders filled 2085


the 2nd daily INTC
trgt was hit afterhours, albeit on low vol
nonsense



* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Tuesday's ramblings

401
10am trgt for ES was 1251,,,high was 1251.25,,,,, 10am trgt for intc was 21.09, low was 21.08

DD trgt was 5010,,,made only 5000,,,missed that one by .10


351
7892 IWM cover if able

350
taking profits on 75%  intc 2110 here

346
WOW the IWM is soooooooooooo much better than tza,,,smoother, higher price to get better fills,,, 7912   vs 1535

339
es just hit the 10am trgt of 1251

337
tza .29 here,,, avg .31

311
INTC is 3 cents from trg #1 :)

301
may take 75% intc off at .10

255
microscalpers if covered .13 could reshort .17

253
just hit .13 trgt,,,watching to see if bnc to .17/.19 or not

252
:) INTC, marginal new low,,,still got the order unjfilled at .09

247
MrktMaker report: theyve stepped aside here and r testing mrkt response

236
intc .13 wouldnt surprise me then stall with minor 2cent break of low

221
2115 low of day, so unfilled order to take profits

221
still have 2109 lim cover INTC scalps

208
DRV buy alert at 1944

148
still have 2109 and 2086 trgts

148
INTC back at its low of day finally

132
DD may want 5010, last 4997 tho i'm not going long there,still short DD swing

131
oil also just gave a nice lil move down

130
6 min later,,,intc selling a little here per the prev signal,,,still see lower

124
got a sell signal for INTC here at 2122

1249
intc hit .20,,,got a fill on .19

1246
trying to add intc 2119 shorts,,,cannot get a fill tho its hitting .19

1211
short,i intend to hold the swing thru the chop. for now

1211
ko bounce 6485 likely but will hold swing shorts

1210
6486 KO trgt,,,needs to crack .84 for lower swing trgts

1208
may add more intc 2121 unsure

1150
KO and INTC shorts are in profit now,,, vs ES only breakeven, entered same time,,, shorting the weaker individ stocks mostly

1146
only will cover half of intc at 2109 if filled

1144
intc just dropped,,,,hit the .17 trgt but not coevering yet

1140
still have es short order 1151 if filled

1134
may cover half at 2117 first,unsure

1134
lim cover intc scalps 2109 if able, last 2123

1106
intc cracking???

1057
INTC here 2125 could work, sell alert there too

1055
hmm got a sell alert,,, adding some new ES shorts now, 1248.25

1054
may add es 1248 shorts later on a trip bak down there, unsure

1054
i'll lim short ES 1251 if filled, on a new intraday hi

1047
the KO charts are "similar to" SPY ES but KO is weaker and could make a nice "short DOW / SPX proxy"

1043
if 3min stoc over 80-90

1042
the next 3min bounce in ES could make a nice scalp daytrade short

1034
LOL the INTC is in a one cent range 2124--2125

1023
adding here intc shorts .25

1019
poss intc wave 3 down coming on its daily chart, wave 1 down, now in wave 2 with looking like wave 3 forming, hence the intc 50% entry short here,, actually intc short is based on charts not e-wave per se,,, ewave interesting for looking at things but decisions based on charts not ewave

1010
i'll add more intc 2126 if able not .27

1004
intc short is based on chart sugg break of support for lower to 2182 trgt, last 2118

1001
will add more intc 2127 if able

957
SHORTING the intc 2118 here

939
.96 lim DD short if able , lowerd from .97, for short 1 of poss 2 orders

932
will short DD 4997 lim if filled, high .93 so far, for scalp swing comb

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Monday, December 20, 2010

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

monday ramblings / ES Futures Sunday night

416
60min ES stoch dbl top,,,its still "soon enough" for it to sell more in coming hours

415
ES could easily


move lower after 430 PM,,,,1239/34 trgts

411
SPY and QQQQ remain on "swing short" multi-week,,,for 355pm signal, having triggered last friday,,,the signal does not mean that SPY won't go higher, but rather that even if it moves higher, it should move 2-10% below Friday's close, hold period 3-60 days, avg 2 weeks-ish


358
stop at 1943 for now

357
i am adding DRV here, now at 50% size zsswing,,, 1992

356
i am definitely holding the swing shorts still

350
.67 covering half, holding half

349
cover half .66 if able

346
lim cover .59 DD

324
84%,,,,needs over 85% to move

318
82% sell

316
DD 4979 here could work short

312
KO lower BollBand stretcing in 15min suggests 6490 trgt, last 6531

309
KO finally makes a new daily low :)

308
1238.50 ES trgt then 1234 on a break lower if 1238 doesnt hold

305
80% es sell alert,, DD sell alert at es 1244

254
look at ES volume bars daily, bearishly declining for swings

236
KO continuing sideways as expected, lil weaker here

233
DRV hit 1980ish trgt down for "buy drv",, the 3min stoch under 20

206
KO and DD are not following ES to their highs of day

203
DD in a 10 min coil, marginal break lower has occurred but no confirm yet, may backtest higher or just expand larger triangle, but bias is down

139
DRV, on next 3min stoch <20 would make nice swing entry long

135
intraday KO has moved lower, but only prob


is its at prior R turned support .63,,,watching

reaction here,,for swings i still like short
 
134
60min RSI for DD is forming a bear HS, and an rsi break under prior low should send DD to its lower Boll Band trgt 4911ish, last 4968, lim cover still at 4921,, also the RSI lower low would constitute a bear RSI failure swing

123
for me, for swing, the new KO highs are marginal and weak,, i remain short KO, red 1.6% atm

120
perfect fill on DD short at .75,,hit the .77 trgt and reversed lwoer

110
filled on additional DD shorts 4975

1257
4972 dd,,,3 cents from more short,,,to add

1250
.75 DD lim add short not .76

1241
i have no long entries yet, maybe on next trip down in spx

1241
if i didnt have any DD then i'd take some here .67ish

1237
and short oil preferred

1236
i still prefer short DD to tza

1235
tza 3min starting to bullishly base now but not baked yet

1233
4972 poss spot to add DD shorts, not adding for now, still ahve half from 4986 this morn

1223
KO .62 trgt hit, resist holding for now

1217
SCO oil here could work, 1079, swing scalp combo

1216
still on "hold DD shorts",, took half off for 25 cents profit, holding other half

1159
DD bear flag, 10m

1159
6562 ko resist

1158
DD selll alert 4961
, KO i see side=ways still


1149
oil continues its chop, back up now

1146
80% es sell alert, needs 85% to move, often a bounce comes b4 move down, at es 123950

1142
adding more shorts here 1239,,,adding back the shares contract i took profit on b4

1138
1239/40 es, would be aggress short

1124
KO DD moving lower still

1120
look at SPY 60min: poss bear desc triangle

1116
ES 60m and 15m candles look large, but actually the daily candle still small,, i see more down.... es 1238 last

1109
es new LOD,,,1234 trgt still

1108
DD is at impt supp


area, its the backtest to breakout higher

point,,,watching for partial profit taking here

at .59, still holding short
 
 
1102
4921 limit cover scalp DD shorts from 4986, last 4961

1101
DD new LOD :),,still short

1100
ES approaching 1234 trgt,,,even the 1234 may break lower tho bnc likely there

1055
and stay long TLT still staying short daytrade ES signal here

1031
MM update: they appear to be taking some profits here, covering, still positioned to short the bounces, around es 1242

1027
so trading the 15min and 60min for now that say "stay short"

1027
the es 3min pattern is 50-50,,,one push lower then higher, or higher here

1025
no "cover es scalp" yet,,still watching

1017
ES still on sell alert, for holds over 20min

1016
DD trgt 1 hit at .66, still 75% short, took .67 profits, 20 cents

1014
but may blow past it, watching reaction

1013
1238 es poss spot to cover, bnc

1012
there goes oil, stage 1, intraday :)

1011
oil suggesting poss breakout lower today, not likely to cover swing today tho

1010
still short the "eternal" oil short for now,, will cover on move lower then eval long vs short entries

1008
they r positioned to short the rallies

1007
Early Market Maker update: at this moment ,, MM are "testing" dip buyers, stepped aside not selling or buying

1007
theres DD .79 :)

1--6
DD should get .79 here, marginal break then stall

1000
some stronger stocks are now approaching resist, suggests ES may move down here, or a rotation to buy underperformes long needed to push ES DOW higher, at es 1242

955
MCD short i took profits, now looking for spot to reverse long, no entry yet, letting it churn to see if long opp presents, swing

948
for daytrades, favoring to short the rallies, poss retest of ES overnite lows 1234, last es 1242

940
TLT continues


higher,,looking to add to tlt long swing later
 
934
shorting DD 4986 here, add to existing short pos, combo scalp swing

Dec 20
i'll short SPY 124.96 limit if filled, last 124.64, high of day 124.78

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Friday, December 17, 2010

Friday ramblings / Thurs eve futures

350
buying some DRV 20.82 here for swing, 50% size position

343
if the SMH rallies today i'll short into it, via SOXS 3x etf

331
r there some nervous long TLT exiting here?

328
and reversed long scalp tbt , day onoly

326
taking profits in half of uso short here,,scalps,,,keeping swing pos

324
Taking profits here on half TLT 9363

316
still have 3742 USO lim cover shorts from 3784 if able

315
oil moving lower,,,still waiting for a lower low of day,didnt come yet

236
my tbt is a mess LOL..........
i first shorted it, then tried to cover half, but i did order to "buy tbt" instead "buy to cover"  by mistake  ({)

228
9409 lim


sell half tza order in place ,,,might

get there today now,,didnt think so

b4, lastb 9342
 
 
218
TLT 60min poss start of cup handle bull formation

214
poss 15min bear harmi forming in ES

213
shorting es 1240,,, #3 of poss 4 shorts

208
ES and SPY charts look "more different" than normal

206
DOW not making new highs,,,,,DIA too, prev dia high daily 115.44 vs 114.97 last

142
TLT just hit 9301 trgt,,,9310 next,,,still se higher up to 9400 tho not all toadya,,thats 2 daily trgts hit today

122
last tlt 9286

121
TLT is 15 cents from daily trgt 2,,,hit trgt 1 already

103
just got filled on t 123875 new ES short

1253
TLT new HOD :)

1251
vix is v low, tho the 3min 15min suggest possible vix higher in comoing minutes hours, sell pressure spx if so, tho for now vix is "no fear"

1249
hmm TLT maybe waking up here, if so could put sell pressure in es spx

1246
still have


123875 lim short add es
 
1245
80% sell alert in ES 123775 here,,but needs 85% to move, often bounces first for shortable bnc

1243
oil now testing near daily lows,,,this time it could break lower,,,tho again at 1pm not likely to get huge move,,,but charts say lower

1241
scalps


only,,,holding the uso swings,,sco
 
 
1241
lim cover uso 3742 scalps if filled, last 3774

1239
i'm adding some DD shorts here at 4970,,hit its upside trgt,,,tho maybe it wants the 5000 psych trgt

1228
ES trying to break 1237  here, lower

1215
DD has moved higher with KO to marginal new highs ,, stil see lower, remaing short tho at a loss atm

1212
emergency hard stop set in TLT just under low of day, in case of fast move down,,,may exit earlier to take some profit b4 then


1209
tlt next trgt 9301, last 9256

1205
if tlt starts to weaken i'll take some off here while keeping most of it

1204
there it is, TLT just hit its daily trgt #1,,,still looking for higher to t2

1157
TLT is slowly creeping higher towards its daily trgt #1

1145
i will lim add more ES shorts 1238.75 if filled, still have other es shorts

1135
60min ES still has lower highs

1126
USO now testing Low Of Day,,may stall bounce but looking for lower intraday low, watching reaction here

1111
OIL is easier to scalp long short today than es or tlt /zn,,,nice oil range

1101
*123675

1100
but requires wider stop

1100
agrr could short 1237 es here

1051
DIS,,, weeee,, 3680, has broken the 3701

1049
for options, if USO goes down hard, then bounces, then puts could work, early for options here,, get a few big red candles, then short the bounce could work, uso, sco, oih

1048
3727 USO trgt now

1046
larger ES pos can take 2 pt profit here, me holding most of it for lower

1044
DD hit the .37 trgt exactly and has turned down as expected,,,now watching .18 for hold or break lower,,,expecting .18 hold then brk lower

1034
shorting es 123775 here, 50% size

1033
break of .39 could try .56

1032
DD justhit the .36 trgt :),,,, now watching reaction in this area to see if turns down, sideways, or up,,, side down favored in hours

1030
TLT ttrgt 9254 first intraday, last 9215

1022
DD bounce trgt .36

1020
uso may want .98,

1019
adding more uso, 3792 short

1005
60 min poss dbl top on 60min 15min dow spx, but support needs break to confirm

943
still long tlt (breakeven atm), short swings in ko  dd  uso  russell  oil

940
shorting uso here 3776, sco 10.86,, these are additional shared to existing oil swing short

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Wednesday, December 15, 2010

Wedn ramblings (and Tues eve ES futures)

424
also the 355pm signal (much diff than mMm signal) is on "short the spx" for swings, 3 to 90 day hold, avg a 2-4 weeks

402
1235 spx


close is under 1238 yest low, and

confirms the bearish mMm on spx

daily,,,that


would be a swing trade signal, not

a single day like up or down

tomorrow
 
 
401
DD made its move down,,,still holding swing,,,charts suggest that today DD may have finished its rally from last few days

355
sell signal at 1234 ES worked 2nd time here,,, taking half off for 3 points,,holding other half,,, 9 points ES profit on sell sign

349
6447 limit cover still there for KO

348
still like KO swing short,,,also DD short selling nicely here ,, edz  ,,short russel oil still on swings,, long aggres TLT

225
sell signals, es 1233.50

331
EDZ swing,eem short,,doing well,,still holding longer,, edz up $1

303
KO just hit .80 add more short trgt, swing scalp comb

259
lim cover ES 1218 tho prob not get there today,order there in case of rapido move

250
6046 lim cover half KO

247
now watching to see if hits .80 trgt, and if .80 / .82 holds

244
ko held .65 as expected, still see lower,,

.65 KO support is rite at my entry place, because i shorted resist but then it broke higher so the R became support, if that makes sense]]


241
KO : 6465 supp,, may stall bnc,,expecting break lower of it

236
just noticed the 1230 ES cover got filled to lock more profits,, still have half ES,,6points so far this trade

235
6480 KO add more shorts #, .74 lsat

234
DIS  KO  DD scalps now moving down finally

232
1835ish swing trgt tza,,will change of course due to decay

229
bear HS ES 60min trgt 1220ish not exact

227
next trgt es, on 25% more,,, 1230.00

226
conserv would take 2 points profit here es,,,large pos take profit on 25% shares

214
still short oil swing,,seems like forever

212
if KO doesnt hit .27 today then i think tomorrow will see more KO down,,, MM likely to cover there,,,also charts supp trg 1

206'
1235 es short could work here


129
RUT 3min weaker than ES

124
3min poss bear flag ES

122
Market Maker update: they have been shorting this rally today, and have not yet finished covering, will likely short bounces

120
87% KO sell,,,shortable bounce if one comes, may not

105
they often convert to the more widely know "desc triangle"

104
15min russel Adam Eve top formation, bearish

102
shorting 8489 KO,,, #3 of poss #4

1247
ES may blow past support, watching,,tho not


usually at 1pm
 
 
1246
es sell alert

1232
ko still on 82% sell

1211
Market Maker update: to mereports suggest MM were forced long on institution selling KO, hence move up, but MM are not shorting KO  as they


also take profits on their forced

longs
 
 
1207
KO does have a BULL W on 15 possibly but think that will fail,,,but watchinng, to be fair

1205
*.27 trgt ko after .48

1205
ko v close to


prior high 6497,,,6500 so may

want that
 
if KO does NOT get to 6497 and falls to 6450,,then may sell harder on :missed trgt"

1201
KO should go under 6450, with 6420ish trgt intraday

1159
KO sell alert flashed here, 80%, needs 85% to move, and is first one of day, at ko 6482

1134
ko 3min chart looks weaker,trying scalp here,,,its a scalp swing combo

1133
6462 avg KO short

1133
adding ko short #2 of poss 4 here, .74

1124
MarketMakers are shorting KO tho, swing

1119
 KO is at horiz resist now .65 tho,,watching reaction

1043
shorting KO again, 64.50,,,continue to short ko over n over

1037
finally partial fill on DD short,,,may want over .52, but have starter size now

1034
GRRRR it dropped at .37 not .38 and i never got fill, DD,,, still have the .37 order onn bounce

1032
DD at .37 now but not getting any fill

1029
DD at .34 near .37 lim fill short,,,will watch reaction at .37--.42,,, it could hit .38 and pop down quick then up then down more

1024
lim short DD 4937 combo swing scalpo, for 50% starter size if filled

1017
lim short DD 49.59 if filled,,,may not get up there, last .38,,, may short dis .30 unsure

1016
DIS weak today,,,also looking to short DD

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Tuesday, December 14, 2010

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Monday, December 13, 2010

tuesday ramblings (and Mon nite futures)

459
208pm sell signal to have a close under 1241 worked ,,

326
swing oil shorts r taking forever, but moving lower nicely, via SCO

319
taking 17cents profit on half of DIS,,,holding other half,

318
aggressive could swing TLT here long, half position, 9161,,, 

308
wow TLT sell off,,,too bad wasnt short tlt,,,got stopped out of last 25% of tlt, breakven,, took profit on other 75%

247
swing, new EEM and EDZ from yest,in profit zone, target 1 was hit but still holding,

239
shorting DIS 3745

226
exited all except 25% tlt at .52,, profits locked

216
TLT .;65 is another trgt,,,its the trendline R

214
CANCELLING the .52 order,,,tlt hit .50 but will wait for higher tlt,,, .92 trgt scalp

210
also, Market Makers have been selling into this today, per MM reports

208
after the volatilite turbulence on fomc 215passes,,, indicators r suggesting lower into the close today, under 1241,,,see if


fomc reaction changes that
 
 
 
204
.46 tlt last,,,still .52 trgt b4 215pm, conserv could sell here

152
TLT is 10 cents from .52 pre-215pm trgt

151
hmm,,,interesting,, have 80% ES sell signal tho not work as well b4 fomc at es 1241

149
if .52 trgt is hit, can try to buy bak lower, but i almost always save some shares in case it doesnt allow buyback

147
.52 will sell some tlt but ONLY b4 215 pm if filled, then will cancel it and wait for higher,, small positions would sell half here .40 and half at .52 for scalps, or hold some small pos if swing

144
also 9347 trgt

143
i also have some limit orders set up to sell tlt lim .92 in case of spike after 215pm fomc

138
taking some off here tlt .38,,,saving most of it,,watn to lock som profit

131
9252 tlt  i willsell some if able to lock profit, under 9256 trgt

125
also TLT has a 60min bull diverg building, tho its only half baked and uncomfirmed, TLT could still make a lower low yet, but staying long tlt for now

123
ko bounced to 6422,,,no new short entyr

118
poss 3min V bottom on TLT,, spx longs need to be careful as TLT could pressure SPX sales if TLT can push higher, tho TLT bearish today atm, poss recovery only

108
large positions can lock some progits here .41 tlt prior hi, tho see higher

107
9400ish trgt if triggered, last 9240

106
the 15,min TLT is forming a POSS nice dbl bottom, only half baked

1228
well TLT now back down, certainly plenty of volatil there today

1221
9252 tlt trgt to sell some for profit if able, last 9233

1207
the last 1min bar in TLT was 300k shares, and not a single small block trade over only 5,000 shares

1121
adding


more tlt here at daily support 9199, stop .70
 
 
1114
KO is down hard today

1031
on a pullbak, DIS may now be good LONG for a run to 38, no entry yet at 3735,, 3735 is buy area but may go lower 3700 first, watching

1016
whipsaw galore first 30 min

1007
tlt long is same as same as short tbt 3892 but tbt is 2x

1006
doing TLT long 9242

Mon 831pm
ES 1206-1171 = 35, then 1206+35=1241 rect trgt, and today's high was,,, 1242. doesnt mean es cant go higher, but target was hit on upside


* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

Monday ramblings

408
closed MCD short swing a bit early on friday,,went a lil lower today,,,will still try to short on a bounce

400
my russel short from Friday is now green,, tza 1624 vs 1646 last,,, tho actually using IWM

358
1232 ES trgt for down for larger short pos, then 1230

351
3715 covering more DIS,,,now only 25% left on  scalp

348
dis TRGT 3693 NEXT

348
i'll take 5 points profit on half of es and hold rest till close

347
disney :)

345
taking profit 20cents on half of edz scalp....keeping other half scalp, and half size swing

336
lol DIS is outperforming the 3x at the moment

332
DIS should go down more i think,,MM been


shorting dis all day
 
 
331
taking half DIS scalp off,,,a whole 10 cents on $3700 stock,, at least its not 10 cents off 3x etf LOL

329
2 min later,,,DIS has broekn the .29 as expected :)

327
es 1238   1239 support via 60m trebdling but i'll hold short due to sell signal

326
dis should break .29 soon

322
will keep this short ES from 1240,,,tbt  tlt  dd much better today that es,, 3 hours to make one point profit in ES *frown*

321
84% sell es

310
a half size swing in EEM short, edz, could work here, finally,, 4704 eem,,, 2170 edz

309
82% sell es

257
another ES sell signal. still only 80% not 85% at es 1241

252
KFT lim short 3117 could work if hit, last 3098, swing

247
swing,,,EEM getting ready for short,,,still waiting for it to creep higher

235
tbt bak at 3791 short area, or long tlt,

225
reshorting again tbt, same price, .92,, reshorting shares i took profit on few min ago

222
DIS hit .40 add shorts trgt,,,watching, for scalp swing combo

219
taking 13 cents profit in quick scalp tbtb here and will reshort again if bounces,,,holding 75%,,small posit


i would just hold
 
 
215
3763, 3742 tbt trgts scalp

213
TLT in buy zone now, tbt short, 3793 tbt

201
KO may want margninal new daily high but forming diverg and only creeping higher so scaled some short in,, i shorted KO twice swings and took profits both times

159
RUT is close to where i swing shorted it b4,,,, 7783 vs 7770 for IWM

154
adding DIS 3740 shorts could work last 3737
,, might not make it bak up there tho
148
ES is on 80% sell signal now,,needing 85% to move,,,entered short early at 78%

147
is possible to just get a spin top day candle today with resolution in coming days intead of today

145
trading TLT  tbt is much easier than es atm to me

144
tlt continues higher tho it will hit upper resist soon LOL

143
shorting 1240 ES could work

139
starting to get some sell signals now on es but


hard on this low vol zzzzzzzzz
 
 
128
TLT is mpoving higher here and may put some sell pressure on spx

1257
TLT long, or tbt short, on pullbacks, could make nice combo swings/scalp

1256
KFT after a bounce could make a nice scalp daytrade short,,,KO DIS now at their high of  day  ({)

1211
60min ES remains in uptrend as long as its over 1235

1210
es 15min is in a bull coil but is weak and suggests coil could break lower, but bullish while in it

1205
TLT wee,,,, is now close to testing yest hi, expect break higher after stall pullbak poss

1149
TLT continues to be volatile all over map down up, curr moving back up

1027
EEM may want to go up to 4725--4760ish first, idk,,so waiting on EEM short for now, prob in next 30min--4 hrs will get entry


1010
shorting more DIS  here 3725

943
dec 13, 15,,16,,,17 more pomo,,none on 14th

941
7-9B pomo today

938
EEM emerging markets today might present a swing short opp to hold for days weeks, no entry yet, emerging markets, edz

933AM
Good morning. Watching first 15--60min here at open.

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".