Friday ramblings

354
LOL the KO just made a new daily low

346
vix down 8% vs spy up 0.25% atm

345
vix may need to fall more,,,but pretty sure its gonna rally hard in coming weeks and bring spx down

343
i am staying short over weekend swing
and tlt long

317
now KO is moving down nice,,
only TLT remains problematic grr

305
prob is,,, FED will also step in to prevent bond crash LOL,,then stocks will pull bhack,, musical chairs

303
WOW this KFT just cannot get in any rally :) good for kft shorts

247
TLT is trying to recover here b4 close,,,watching

243
intersting: if u draw a trendline on the ES lows from sept 8, it will show this support trendline broken,,but... the backtest is now


rite "under" thaqt broken trendline...its a perfect touch under the prior support line
 
 
226
3 higher lows on the vix bull diverg vix bear div spx


225
look at VIX daily MACD line,,,suggests a selloff in spx is coming in days ahead, tho spx may drift higher

224
ok adding MCD shorts swing 7950, last 7951

208
TLT


9514,,,thought 9530 would hold

, still see higher tlt lower tbt
 
 
208
almost ready to add more MCD shorts,,,has rallied some here as expected

138
buying more TLT here 9531,,,(or short tbt 3672)

102
removing order to short more 1220,,,keeping the 1218 short for now

1235
missed 1233pm trgt,,was supposed to hit 1216 then bounce

1218
SCO could work here 1089

1216
1233pm es 1216 trgt or lower at curr velocity

1212
es hit 1218.25, filled

1211
if sell alert 82% works then es should go under 1216, but still only 82% sell

1210
taking 1218, to start, may add more, shorted es 1218

1208
lim short
es 1220 if filled, may need to go in
lower

1207
getting ready to add scalp shorts ES spxu at ES 1218 last, just seeing how high it want to go b4 stall n fall

1200
often there is a bounce rite after the sell alerts trigger 82%, then lower, can often short the headfake rally

1158
KO is starting to weaken,,still will be slower in KO short

1157
sell alert ES 82% at 1217 es

1137
i'm going to short any rally in MCD

1133
MCD just broke yesterdays low :)

1131
quik drop 7950 to 7915

1130
MCD falling here finally

1121
ES vol declined since 10AM on 3 min, and nowhere near the level 830 AM 10pt drop, bearish

1118
KO charts suggest it may take longer to fall cuz its generally strong stock, BUT theres a glaring bear diverg on the daily Price:RSI

1116
also, TIP has a daily bull diverg (bearish spx)

1112
since 1015AM both TLT and SPY 3min have been rising,,,i think TLT wins in coming hours days

1107
daily and 60min McClellan osc breadth in a range, hit R turning down, for swings not scalp

1104
KFT continues to be a fantas short,,,, KO MCD only moving sideways now

1033
its v interesting:  daily SPY came close to its  nov hi yet TLT treasuries have made a higher low: poten bearish for spx.  SPY Nov/Dec highs 122.95/122.65 vs TLT 93.81/ 95.53 lows,,,, I do expect bonds TLT to crash eventually, bubble, just not yet

1011
TLT is moving in bigger range intraday it seems, easier for scalps than spy

1002
shorting tbt 3635 here, to add to pos, combo swing scalp
 
940
shorting KFT again combo swing scalp if able at 3044 lim

911
ES now hit the 1217 trgt bnc up and 1217 holding for now

910
es hit 1213 one pt over 1212 trgt n bounced, but under 1217 bearish

909
ES 60min uptrend support line, is either holding or marginal break atm, but its a new line so weaker

900
as expected ZC treasuries are up, good for TLT long or TBT short,,, about 2% roi in the newly shorted TBT from yest

859
under 1217 es would be v bearish

855
ES 1212 support is key, watching if it holds, bounce likely there, tho i'm not going long 1212

852 AM
This ES 15min red selling bar is GREATER than any 15min green vol bar during the entire day yesterday, significant since this is pre-market. Bearish for spx ES.

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".