Monday, December 20, 2010

monday ramblings / ES Futures Sunday night

416
60min ES stoch dbl top,,,its still "soon enough" for it to sell more in coming hours

415
ES could easily


move lower after 430 PM,,,,1239/34 trgts

411
SPY and QQQQ remain on "swing short" multi-week,,,for 355pm signal, having triggered last friday,,,the signal does not mean that SPY won't go higher, but rather that even if it moves higher, it should move 2-10% below Friday's close, hold period 3-60 days, avg 2 weeks-ish


358
stop at 1943 for now

357
i am adding DRV here, now at 50% size zsswing,,, 1992

356
i am definitely holding the swing shorts still

350
.67 covering half, holding half

349
cover half .66 if able

346
lim cover .59 DD

324
84%,,,,needs over 85% to move

318
82% sell

316
DD 4979 here could work short

312
KO lower BollBand stretcing in 15min suggests 6490 trgt, last 6531

309
KO finally makes a new daily low :)

308
1238.50 ES trgt then 1234 on a break lower if 1238 doesnt hold

305
80% es sell alert,, DD sell alert at es 1244

254
look at ES volume bars daily, bearishly declining for swings

236
KO continuing sideways as expected, lil weaker here

233
DRV hit 1980ish trgt down for "buy drv",, the 3min stoch under 20

206
KO and DD are not following ES to their highs of day

203
DD in a 10 min coil, marginal break lower has occurred but no confirm yet, may backtest higher or just expand larger triangle, but bias is down

139
DRV, on next 3min stoch <20 would make nice swing entry long

135
intraday KO has moved lower, but only prob


is its at prior R turned support .63,,,watching

reaction here,,for swings i still like short
 
134
60min RSI for DD is forming a bear HS, and an rsi break under prior low should send DD to its lower Boll Band trgt 4911ish, last 4968, lim cover still at 4921,, also the RSI lower low would constitute a bear RSI failure swing

123
for me, for swing, the new KO highs are marginal and weak,, i remain short KO, red 1.6% atm

120
perfect fill on DD short at .75,,hit the .77 trgt and reversed lwoer

110
filled on additional DD shorts 4975

1257
4972 dd,,,3 cents from more short,,,to add

1250
.75 DD lim add short not .76

1241
i have no long entries yet, maybe on next trip down in spx

1241
if i didnt have any DD then i'd take some here .67ish

1237
and short oil preferred

1236
i still prefer short DD to tza

1235
tza 3min starting to bullishly base now but not baked yet

1233
4972 poss spot to add DD shorts, not adding for now, still ahve half from 4986 this morn

1223
KO .62 trgt hit, resist holding for now

1217
SCO oil here could work, 1079, swing scalp combo

1216
still on "hold DD shorts",, took half off for 25 cents profit, holding other half

1159
DD bear flag, 10m

1159
6562 ko resist

1158
DD selll alert 4961
, KO i see side=ways still


1149
oil continues its chop, back up now

1146
80% es sell alert, needs 85% to move, often a bounce comes b4 move down, at es 123950

1142
adding more shorts here 1239,,,adding back the shares contract i took profit on b4

1138
1239/40 es, would be aggress short

1124
KO DD moving lower still

1120
look at SPY 60min: poss bear desc triangle

1116
ES 60m and 15m candles look large, but actually the daily candle still small,, i see more down.... es 1238 last

1109
es new LOD,,,1234 trgt still

1108
DD is at impt supp


area, its the backtest to breakout higher

point,,,watching for partial profit taking here

at .59, still holding short
 
 
1102
4921 limit cover scalp DD shorts from 4986, last 4961

1101
DD new LOD :),,still short

1100
ES approaching 1234 trgt,,,even the 1234 may break lower tho bnc likely there

1055
and stay long TLT still staying short daytrade ES signal here

1031
MM update: they appear to be taking some profits here, covering, still positioned to short the bounces, around es 1242

1027
so trading the 15min and 60min for now that say "stay short"

1027
the es 3min pattern is 50-50,,,one push lower then higher, or higher here

1025
no "cover es scalp" yet,,still watching

1017
ES still on sell alert, for holds over 20min

1016
DD trgt 1 hit at .66, still 75% short, took .67 profits, 20 cents

1014
but may blow past it, watching reaction

1013
1238 es poss spot to cover, bnc

1012
there goes oil, stage 1, intraday :)

1011
oil suggesting poss breakout lower today, not likely to cover swing today tho

1010
still short the "eternal" oil short for now,, will cover on move lower then eval long vs short entries

1008
they r positioned to short the rallies

1007
Early Market Maker update: at this moment ,, MM are "testing" dip buyers, stepped aside not selling or buying

1007
theres DD .79 :)

1--6
DD should get .79 here, marginal break then stall

1000
some stronger stocks are now approaching resist, suggests ES may move down here, or a rotation to buy underperformes long needed to push ES DOW higher, at es 1242

955
MCD short i took profits, now looking for spot to reverse long, no entry yet, letting it churn to see if long opp presents, swing

948
for daytrades, favoring to short the rallies, poss retest of ES overnite lows 1234, last es 1242

940
TLT continues


higher,,looking to add to tlt long swing later
 
934
shorting DD 4986 here, add to existing short pos, combo scalp swing

Dec 20
i'll short SPY 124.96 limit if filled, last 124.64, high of day 124.78

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

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