Thurs ramblings

359
exiting last tza 1529 tza from 1511 1509 1515 this morn

353
still holding the oil swing shorts

351
oops forgot oil scalp shorts LOL,,,taking 30 cents profit here ,and 1.70 profit on other piece of oil shorts

346
1523 selling the 25% tza here, one cent under .24 trgt

317
* i have 4935 limit

316
limit cover half of DD 49.33 if it hits there today, last 4975,, i'm keeping DD rest of swing shorts but "rotating" some money out of DD and into TLT long and TBT short

313
still short swing in ko,,,,but KO is rite at support now,,,could crak lower

258
i will 1524 lim sell 25% tza for profit,, and hold last 25%

249
fwiw, unless charts change, which they easily could,,,i plan to short until 1247ish trgt, exit half shorts and add long hedges 1247ish and hold other half of shorts thru it all

245
leaving RETAIL investors in a bad situation, if so

244
why is TLT moving up recently with no corresponding drop in DOW SPX??? Perhaps,,, smart money has "already exited" equities,,,,

241
taking 25% of TBT puts off here for 13% profit in 2 hours

231
TLT another freight train today? setup is powerful enough to hit trgts

223
9350, and 9423 trgts still same

223
there goes TLT;,, new high of day :)

216
TLT is waking up here,,,might only hold those options for a few days

211
willing to hold overnite if no movement today

211
TF short here could work, iwm 7911, tza 1513

209
last oil 8976

208
SHORTING oil here 8975,,,may add more higher,sco 1054

203
may short oil 8875--8890, to add to existing position

158
maybe es 60min in a wave 4 up now, to be followed by lower low wave 5 down, 60min

156
OIL,, CL,  USO, may present opp to scalp short into the close

137
this is taking FOREVER,,, russell still in that "up",,,waiting to add short

136
TLT TBT will likely move faster, sooner than DD, so tried some TBT puts

132
also poss DD drifts higher sideways to form HS

130
intraday, 60min, 15min, if DD is in wave 2 up right now,,,then wave 3 down will be really wild

124
or, may end the day with this spin top, watching reactions

123
TLT trgts 9348 then 9423,,, may not see those today but pattern is powerful enough for 9423 today,,, a bull flag with a bull inv HS inside the flag

119
AVG tlt cost is .63,,,taking a 25 cent scalp profit now on a piece,,holding most for higher, if it backtests then i'll buy it back else run with existing remaining shares, swing scalpo

118
the 3min TLT has a bull inv HS but it looks like it will break higher without backtesting the right shoulder down

115
this is the move up in russel mentioned b4,,,but not reshorting yet,,,its shortable in a bit

113
and 36 puts at 38 cents

111
TBT Jan 22 2011 38.0 Put,, at $1.15

109
OPTIONS calls in TLT


could work here, jan or feb,, or TBT puts for higher roi, higher risk

102
TLT missed its 1pm trgt  .88 vs .95,,,but still see .95 test then break higher, but it came v close to the 1pm trgt

101
heres the down in russel mentioned,,,next bounce should be shortable

1259
its 1259PM,,, TLT 1pm trgt was .95,,, last .88,,, will it make it?? close enough :)

1256
OIL: in 4 hours has wiped out 7 days of advances :) ,,, the DD charts are set to do similar, just dont know when, similar pattern, patiently waiting, swing

1252
hasnt made down move yet on russell, still see down , up , down harder

1241
russell iwm TF should go down then up then down harder, bounce is shortable

1226
adding tlt buy #2 here, 9250, near the prior .47 trgt

1217
if russel pattern plays as expected,,,see a test of low of day, feeble bounce then break lower, 788 trgt rut...tza 1557ish

1214
GRRR now TLT hits the .47 trgt from before,,missed buying here,,,still see higher TLT and keeping the .75 TLT

1207
SCO oil shorts up 4.15% in one day :)

1201
a strange looking bear desc triangle often forms with this chart,,,but wouldnt meet the strict defin of desc tri,, a bear HeadShoulders / Desc triangle combination type thing LOL, 3min and 15min charts

1200
this pattern in russel,,, usually will test the low of day, a feeble bounce and then break lower,,, may not have enough time today to do it all in 1 day

1155
RUSSEL


lower,,should go lower still
 
1152
TLT,,breaking here,,watching for a break over todays high, and on to higher monthly dec highs, in coming days hours

1139
TLT 9295 trgt by 1pm to test high of day

1137
still have 9600ish trgt in tlt, more precise trgts later, swing

1136
the TLT 60min stoch DOES have a bear cross on it, but i think it will not materialize, still see higher tlt

1135
yesterday i suggested TLT may get a spin top today, which is what we have now,,, BUT it ,may break to upside, unsure

1134
the 60min TLT has an inverse HS and also a bull flag,

1132
50% size, combo scalp swing

1130
hmm,,,i'm paying a premium here for tlt at 92.74,, the .47 was not filled, nor the .30 tested, but charts are suggesting posisble breakout higher to new daily highs, so scaling in here in order to participate

1127
oil on fire now, down, largest daily CL candle since 12/7,,,

1125
DD, sell signal at .68

1121
may want .30 or lower, wider stop herea

1121
trying to buy the headfake marginal new low if it makes one,, if they sweep stops then should get a fill

1120
i'll buy TLT limit 9247 if able, last 9267, for swing scalp combo

1117
CL swing trgt 8677, last 8839, stalls along the way

1115
this is a spot for partial oil profit taking,,holding most of swing shorts

1113
and,, theres the new low in oil, as expected 10min ago :)


1113
7905, there goes iwm under the 7910 as expected

1107
OIL,,,looking ready to break low of day

1101
next move down on TLT i'll prob buy

1101
7910 iwm last,,,rut should pullback now, russell

1055
heres .15 tza limit,,

1052
DD short here 4975 could work,, last .76

1049
oil "should" make a lower lo too, CL  USO

1047
TLT 3min stoch is under 20 as expected,,,but still not the rite long setup,,,patiently waiting some more,,

1035
still waiting for TLT long entry, letting it consolodate first,,,maybe after the 3min gets below 20, moves around, entry may present,, still watching .30 to see if it tests there, and if holds, .61 last

1033
still waiting for TLT long entry, letting it consolodate first,,,maybe after the 3min gets below 20, moves around, entry may present

1027
1519 tza could work here  but requires a wider stop imo

1025
amazing,,,the DD low of day thus far is exactly at the parabolic sar #,,,still think it will break .56

1018
poss re-short tza at IWM 7902,last 7890

1017
1% gain on that lil piece tza

1015
tho 1526 tza is too tempting to pass up for scalp profits, closed all except 25% of tza 1526,,

1012
1243 es, 1247 spx are my approx unrevised downside trgts posted tuesday nite,,,may try some longs down there in mcd  ibm  wmt

1007
if DD tests 4942 then it will crack the daily parabolic SAR support now at 49.57,, Parab system alone would suggest a short on a break of .57, a CLOSE daily under the .42 would be v bearish

1004
there it is,,, DD has made a lower daily low, as expected via the gap theory

1003
still looking for long hedge entries in WMT  MCD  none seen yet

1003
i'd like to see intc get up to 2124 where poss short entry exists, will eval if it gets there, 2102 lsat, and R at 2107

1001
DD swing short was red loss yest,,,its now green again in profit zone :) ....still holding longer

959
DD went higher and didnt make a lower low yet daily, but gap theory still suggests it will make a lower lo, its close now to


lower lo
 
 
956
selling half the tza here for 4 cents profit, not selling to take


profit per se, but the avg down accomplished

its purpose, and now i can buy more again

later
 
 
952
tza #2 of 4....more at 1509

949
not sure,,thinking


the tf may have put in its high of day
 
948
as expected, TLT has moved lower, tho not at .30 buy trgt, last .60,, wont auto buy at .30, will see what charts look like

946
trying some tza here 1514

945
i'll short es 1257.50 if filled limit,,,entry #1 of possible 2 or 4 entries

942
it could take a few hours before an entry presents, and may need to be a swing scalp combo trade

940
typically, if they are able to, the Market Makers will work the price higher on INTC since they are probably forced temporarily long, once they've recouped their profits then they may short and the price should drop below 2093. for me, this is not a reason to go long but rather a reason to short the bounce if able,

939
WOW 200,000 shares of INTC below the ask red at 20.93 sold, thats a large block for INTC, especially on this near holiday time. suggests a move over 20.93 and then lower,,,

936
Gap theory suggests that both TLT and DD have not yet put in their low of day, tho DD has moved higher

933
DD and KO also gapped down, good for swing shorts there :)

931
TLT 92.30 i may go long again,,,exited yesterday at 93.34 from 91.53, TLT last 92.86 on a gap down

928
yesterday and day before, i was suggesting that USO oil would gap down,,, USO looks set to gap down today at the open, still short OIL via USO short,,,SCO long

918
Good morning

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".