4pm swing signal update: def will NOT get an exit upro spx long signal tomorrow
339
ES looks like it may want to move up into the close now if it can get over 1521
1520 last
248
if TLT keeps selling into its 3pm bond close time, spx likely to bounce back up again
247
look at that wedge on DX us dollar 3min chart
232
tza 1042 may see...in 3--30 minutes
MM raised the ask again in russle
210
LOL the TNA is out performing XIV: who woulda thunk it?
148
b8ullish volume diverg forming in SLV: compare todays volume to 2/20 vol....lower vol today on an equiv/lower low,daily chart
147
a look at the 3min chart of DX us dollar shows todays move up is on very low volume. first, the daily volume is low. and more impt, the 3min chart shows most of the volume is on the downside with that big red candle, even tho the daily shows green it misrepersents
144
TNA 8056 is trgt after 7967...maybe it will go for that
143
i CANCELLED the order to sell TNA since it was missed by pennies. i will do it manually. it may overshoot the .67,,,,
130
normally i'd just exit here a few pennies from the lim order,,but it will prob go over it, so keeping it there for now
127
7970 TNA is MM sell level...so may get a fill soon on the tna exit from this morn buy
124
tna now just 35 cents from trgt...watching if lim order is hit
121
1046 next tza
121
there it is, tza •• this is what happens when MM step aside
118
MM stepped off selling just a bit here in russl
118
1050 tza poss within 21 minutes, mayb 6min
104
60min silver put in a bullish reversal candle...silver may reverse up now...over the candle low silver is now considered bullish, but this would be early unconfirmed entry long
1259
DX now at 8187--watching if its rejected here or not,, if not then more chop prb
1250
it "looks like" the MM are taking profits on their longs here, sellking them, and then try to buy back at 1512ish ES....they have a nice profit so maybe doing that...does NOT look like they r shorting but hard to tell
1248
i am a bit concerned and cautious here in XIV because strangely MM are actually selling gently into this spx and russel, tho its drifting higher...not sure what they have in mind...but Inv Banks still waiting above to sell,,,same Inv Bank levles as b4
1247
under 81.87 DX us dollar bearish intraday...above that chop
1240
TNA and XIV...same limit orders to exit for now, no changes
1239
DX hit 8190 trgt bounce and reversed nicely...still same trgt lower as b4. the dollar is behaving
1228
that is above todays high, obviously there is resist at todays high in xiv,,,will watch reaction there
1228
XIV moving nicely now, up 2% from entry hour ago...but i have a lim order set to sell it at 21.47....may sell b4 then but i have that order in to "catch" a surge
1205
but Investment banks buy level on tza is 1030, same as yest, so the bigger guys are waiting "up there" in russl or down there in tza
1205
MM "want" to buy 1512 ES if they can, not sure it makes it down there
1205
hmm...MM again gently selling into this russel here...cant surge until they raise the ask...and this COULD push it lower...watching carefully here...still think they will raise the ask but i dont like to go "against" then for too long...but its noon time so "safer"
1202
DS hit 8184 trgt and bounced, now looking for it to stay under 8192 on the bounce...if it reverses lower at 8192 then 8180 trgt...again numbers look tite but thats the dollar atm
1157
look at 15min SPY chart from today: see big green candle followed by 5 small red ones that stay within the green? its a bullish pattern, similar to the japanese rising/falling 3 methods...is a continuation higher pattern not a reversal pattern
spy is trying to break out of pattern now but it takes a few tries sometimes
1146
expecting dollar DX to drift to 8184/8180....does not sound like a lot but dollar moves much less pennies...when it gets there, may be opp to exit xiv tna scalps...will see...later dollar should go under that, but prob stall there first
1132
: look at 3min chart XIX: see the second lower low?
buy the second low, sell the second high...works in all timeframes
1128
as expected..MM just raised the ask...can go up now
1127
MM sell levels set near here...they are selling a little now..but i think they will raise them...will see..but stall here unless they raise the ask
1124
today is the first day where the signal said "may give an exit signal tomorrow"..... often theres a final surge b4 the exit, 1-3 days...thats why the system requires the conditions to be met, and will never exit until at least the end of the prior day, sometimes longer
1106
moments later...XIV up 1% from entry...holding for higher trgts of course
1103
Look at US dollar: surge then rejection: expecting higher XIV as a result. also spy near 15min support another reason for xiv, among others
1056
1500 shrs xiv large port vse, 500 small port
1056
long 500 shares XIV
1050
US dollar UUP DX going balistic now...it should slow down.... when it does, can buy more metals gdx nugt etc
one of the simplest yet most effective tools is to use the US Dollar to "confirm" any trades in SPX oil gold silver bonds: if US dollars says "short" and metals says "long" it has much better success rate... simple but effective... broken record i know...just never know who is new in the room
us dollar is DX futuers, and UUP etf
1044
4pm swing system update: the system will definitely NOT give an exit signal on the UPRO spx long today, but it MIGHT give an exit signal tomorrow at 4pm...wont know until tomorrow...it could be tomorrow or in a few days...the UPRO entry is currently in nice profit zone on it
1023
active traders could take gains on tna 7900 resist for a quick 1% profit,,vse port is holding it for now for 7967
1010
i have lim order to take profit on tna at 79.67 if filled
959
MM have been raising the bid and ask in russel, which prompted my early entry for tna
957
vse port: long 300 shrs TNA..may add more later
954
i'm likely to buy TNA for scalp if it pulls back and goes sideways, will watch for entry, prob near the tza sell levels
949
MM tza levels 1040/1065...its normal for them to change like this in the first hour
im not buying or shorting tza those levels but will watch reaction there and then mayb take position
946
tza MM levels: 1040 buy 1070 sell, changed
945
vse port has 34% gain in 4 months including all losses and including unrealized losses, part time trading...trying for 100-200% net gain this yr
939
NUGT UCO USLV are all valid here to buy at these prices for swing trades imo...they are in vse port near these levels (a little red now so this actualy better price now)...i'd buy all threee to diversify not just 1
fwiw: vse 100k port has: 3000 shares NUGT, 1500 UCO, 1500 USLV...divide by three for smaller port
the dollar amounts invested in NUGT UCO USLV are NOT the same for each though, that's on purpose
933
watch the us dollar DX UUP... 15min and 60m candles...dollar is up now...i expect it to go sideways up...when candles get smaller on 15min...may present some daytrade opps in metals oil gold...but letting the dollar settle down a lil since a lil higher would be normal
932
: Market Maker numbers for TZA: 1050 buy 1090 sell
if TZA hits 1087--1094 i may short tza (tna long)
Trades can be viewed at the links below.
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-100k-port/portfolio/Holdings
For details on the portfolio see this posting:
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
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