419
bear 150,000 red intc 21.15 vs 21.49 close,, 3063 red KFT 633,700 shares
suggests down tomorrow
411
thats why i prefer shorting individ stocks instead of dow, dia, dxd,,, usually will outperform (or not lose as much on bad day_)
410
DD was up more tho, 2.89%
409
MCD KFT DIS shorts still outperforming DOW,,, DOW up 2.27% today vs. only up 1.25 and 1.26% and 1.67%
403
bear spy wicks AH to 120.40ish, suggests down tomorrow
401
barely closed under es 1106, but closed under 1106
355
taking 2 points profit on half es,,holding rest
353
for es today is lowest vol day of the week
320
to take profit,,will cover half of kft scalp 3051 if able, last 3062
319
kft under 3160 expected by 338pm
318
should see
es 1204 with 17min if velocity
continues
315
now MM are buying but apparently only to hold up to short more,,,unsure,,, MM bias analysis remains down short
241
2218 spxu
240
shorting
es 1206 viz spxu
234
i think we close under es 1206 today
228
not heavily shorting, but shorting,,no strong institutional selling,, maybe hedge funds idk
222
Market
Makers are now starting to short
here in select stocks, at ES 1206
208
DIS now making new daily lows, to fill gap
144
KFT "should" go under 3050 today,,watching
120
3033 lim cover kft for profit if able
109
lower volume on this up day
1233
swing shorts here could work,,,355pm still onhold shorts multiweek
1232
DOW hit 11,250 trgt from yest
1202
filled on rest of kft short
1157
partial fill on 3064 short
1154
still have 3064 short order kft, last 3060
1106
yest i mentinoed that es daily desc triangle was too good to be true, bear trap,,, no desc triangle now, busted by bulls,,,still on "short rallies for swings" tho
1054
i will addmore kft short 3064 lim if filled, over the .60 high
1039
waiting for 3060 or higher maybe in kft
1022
3023 trgt on KFT scalp piece
1019
scalp swing combo shorting KFT here 3052
949
of the new shorts today, KFT is weakest so will scalp that and also add more swings later mayb
937
the last 2 days i've been warning of poss rally on the spx,, this lil rally is still in line with charts, still on "short rallies swings" for now
515
For shorts i still prefer short eem,,edz over short spx
see the daily? spx sideways since nov 16 with no lower low,,,vs lower lows in eem... also see how EEM has lower highs??
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Tuesday, November 30, 2010
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Monday, November 29, 2010
Tuesday ramblings (and Mon nite futures)
411
the 1171 ES is looking vulnerable to crack lower,,,even tonite,,,has held so far but looks dangerous to me
406
SPY wicks pointing up to 119 bullishly,,,still see shorts as valid tho
401
LOL shorts on non 3x dow compon went up 0.3--0.5% in 10 min
354
sco 12 calls posted yest up 34% atm,,,partial profit taking makes sense,,tho holding most uso shorts. sco.
353
limit sell 75% sco 1225 if filled today, prob wont,,,
344
if my analysis is correct, in addition to bear chart patterns, Market Makers have been shorting the rally today, and they will hold
337
KFT, MCD, DD are all same dollar amount positions,,my DIS position is twice as big as those, more weight to it
334
4718 shorted DD swing,,,may want .30
329
4723 short DD if filled,,, 8547 cat short
323
swing,,just shorted MCD now 7866
319
still trying to short more DOW stocks,, mcd cat dd r next if setups come today
304
just shortted DIS swing again,,, 3674
235
i'm going to enter some new swing short positions, prob in MCD DD CAT KFT DIS as my dow proxies
221
CLOSED all scalp except last 25% on USO,,, 3625,, 1%/3% profit,, GREAT move :)
215
oil 3 min,,off the cliff
212
oils done it, marginal break of low of day,, :D but theres still few layers of support here, mayb chop, watching
209
oils moving now,,,still needs to crack that low of day,,,v close,,,
208
taking half off uso, to lock 0.5%,,1.5% profits, scalp,, still have half left :)
206
DIS 3680 short looks good but waiting,,,still may want 3700
200
getting ready for possible quik exit to lock profits in uso, sco scalp,,,none yet but maybe in minutes
148
oil needs to crack here, and then crack under the low of day, to get any down accel else we keep chop
147
heres oil
at 8500 trgt,,rite on the coil
support,,tight coil now,,,still see
lower
143
CL oil coil supp 8514 and 8500,,,needs to crak those, last 8513,,,if no crack then i'll exit small profit and reenter yet again, scalps,,, swing still
holding
126
MarketMaker analysis, dow, MM are gently shorting here,,,but with a pattern of layer in,, could go higher, for swings or swing scalp combos,,no new
entries for me short, still watching
DIS .81ish,,,still want 37000ish
116
disney still creeping higher as expected, no short entry yet,swing,, glad took short profits at 3620
1259
got a fill on uso 3658,,,took an hour but filled,, next profit uso may be small since range narrowing in the coil,, if coil breaks then big profit, else smaller
1257
TLT is rocking too,,may take some of that off to lock profits, swing
1255
i will still short uso 3658 if filled, sco, 3655 last,,if i didnt have a pos already i mite take some at .55
1244
DIS is hugging its 60min resist line DTL but think it might expand channel to go over it, unsure,, resistance is holding thus far tho
1243
wish DIS would get to 3700ish then would short,,,holding off here 3660/50ish for now ,,swing
1238
hmm uso did not "make it" up to the upper line of its coil, where my "add more shorts" order was,,,bearish that it didnt make it, for now
1236
still no fill on more uso,,running with existing short position,,will not chase it to add
1211
reshort more uso 3658 if able last 3652
1156
oil---unsure if bounce, prob bounce cuz its only 1155am,, BUT oil can move FAST when it blows,,,so wont cover auto at low of day for profit
1155
going to test low of day looks like,,,holding b4 cover to see reaction
1147
oil is also approaching coil support and this coil is getting tite :),, still see lower
1146
cl oil is now rite at 8500 support,,,still short half size scalp, full size swing
1131
scalp profits on half uso locked here, sco, for 1% profit in 1 hr
1130
:) there it is, the uso break, within 20min, 5 min after signal
1128
3 min later,just hit 3648 algo support,,,lil bounce could happn or, or could break here
1125
i expect uso to break 3648 before 12:33 pm, lil more than 1 hour, maybe 20 min
1120
smh is weaker than spx es today
1049
shorting uso here 3660,sco 1172, this is in addition to current sco swing, for swing scalp combo
1035
DIS reversed lower exactly on the touch of 60min DTL resis, vbut still waiting to short,,, 3661 short could work but will wait,,,
1024
hmm notice the SMH,,,it is NOT rallying with spx here
1017
355pm signal remain on "stay short eem xlf spx" but its short from up at 1223 spx on 11/8 close
1015
for swings short,,,need to be careful of possible bull basing in xlf that could push up spx,,,so only shorting the extremes spx,,,, xlf bac look like could try to rally in coming hours days,, still hedged via bac long 11.10
1013
also, ung may want 550/546ish lower,, will let it consolodatet b4 reentry swing
1012
UNG hit 5.67 or one penny over yest "buy again maybe" trgt of 566,,,but i'm waiting to re-enter,, a 25% size starter pos could work here, but i'll wait for re-entry for now,, but i'll wait for re-entry for now,,, too many other positions to monitor so no want to monitor 25% size atm
1008
OIL is just chopping around wildly as expected via yest "early entry",, short is still green atm
1006
DISNEY held its daily uptrend support line perfectly, one reason i took profits in the short yest as it approached the trgt,,, waiting now for re-entry short, no entry yet, prob need to wait 1-4 hours for reentry short swing
956
OIL 60min chart has changed and it is now coiling in sym triangle,, still short atm
932
8453 next trgt daily for CL oil short, last 8470,,,may need to take half profit off at 8453 trgt, will watch reaction
904
initial SCO trgt today is 1200ish,,more precise trgt later, may sell 50-75% of the sco to lock profit and re-enter
903
oil down 1% , new sco fron yest up 3% :) es down ,,, the 1-3 day swing strategy continues to work as we move sideways here, es bias still down for swings
1039
oil cl moving down, now down 0.5%, to test 8515/8500 area,,,watching if that holds as support...then 8455, 8415 8357 8280,, good for new oil shorts
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
the 1171 ES is looking vulnerable to crack lower,,,even tonite,,,has held so far but looks dangerous to me
406
SPY wicks pointing up to 119 bullishly,,,still see shorts as valid tho
401
LOL shorts on non 3x dow compon went up 0.3--0.5% in 10 min
354
sco 12 calls posted yest up 34% atm,,,partial profit taking makes sense,,tho holding most uso shorts. sco.
353
limit sell 75% sco 1225 if filled today, prob wont,,,
344
if my analysis is correct, in addition to bear chart patterns, Market Makers have been shorting the rally today, and they will hold
337
KFT, MCD, DD are all same dollar amount positions,,my DIS position is twice as big as those, more weight to it
334
4718 shorted DD swing,,,may want .30
329
4723 short DD if filled,,, 8547 cat short
323
swing,,just shorted MCD now 7866
319
still trying to short more DOW stocks,, mcd cat dd r next if setups come today
304
just shortted DIS swing again,,, 3674
235
i'm going to enter some new swing short positions, prob in MCD DD CAT KFT DIS as my dow proxies
221
CLOSED all scalp except last 25% on USO,,, 3625,, 1%/3% profit,, GREAT move :)
215
oil 3 min,,off the cliff
212
oils done it, marginal break of low of day,, :D but theres still few layers of support here, mayb chop, watching
209
oils moving now,,,still needs to crack that low of day,,,v close,,,
208
taking half off uso, to lock 0.5%,,1.5% profits, scalp,, still have half left :)
206
DIS 3680 short looks good but waiting,,,still may want 3700
200
getting ready for possible quik exit to lock profits in uso, sco scalp,,,none yet but maybe in minutes
148
oil needs to crack here, and then crack under the low of day, to get any down accel else we keep chop
147
heres oil
at 8500 trgt,,rite on the coil
support,,tight coil now,,,still see
lower
143
CL oil coil supp 8514 and 8500,,,needs to crak those, last 8513,,,if no crack then i'll exit small profit and reenter yet again, scalps,,, swing still
holding
126
MarketMaker analysis, dow, MM are gently shorting here,,,but with a pattern of layer in,, could go higher, for swings or swing scalp combos,,no new
entries for me short, still watching
DIS .81ish,,,still want 37000ish
116
disney still creeping higher as expected, no short entry yet,swing,, glad took short profits at 3620
1259
got a fill on uso 3658,,,took an hour but filled,, next profit uso may be small since range narrowing in the coil,, if coil breaks then big profit, else smaller
1257
TLT is rocking too,,may take some of that off to lock profits, swing
1255
i will still short uso 3658 if filled, sco, 3655 last,,if i didnt have a pos already i mite take some at .55
1244
DIS is hugging its 60min resist line DTL but think it might expand channel to go over it, unsure,, resistance is holding thus far tho
1243
wish DIS would get to 3700ish then would short,,,holding off here 3660/50ish for now ,,swing
1238
hmm uso did not "make it" up to the upper line of its coil, where my "add more shorts" order was,,,bearish that it didnt make it, for now
1236
still no fill on more uso,,running with existing short position,,will not chase it to add
1211
reshort more uso 3658 if able last 3652
1156
oil---unsure if bounce, prob bounce cuz its only 1155am,, BUT oil can move FAST when it blows,,,so wont cover auto at low of day for profit
1155
going to test low of day looks like,,,holding b4 cover to see reaction
1147
oil is also approaching coil support and this coil is getting tite :),, still see lower
1146
cl oil is now rite at 8500 support,,,still short half size scalp, full size swing
1131
scalp profits on half uso locked here, sco, for 1% profit in 1 hr
1130
:) there it is, the uso break, within 20min, 5 min after signal
1128
3 min later,just hit 3648 algo support,,,lil bounce could happn or, or could break here
1125
i expect uso to break 3648 before 12:33 pm, lil more than 1 hour, maybe 20 min
1120
smh is weaker than spx es today
1049
shorting uso here 3660,sco 1172, this is in addition to current sco swing, for swing scalp combo
1035
DIS reversed lower exactly on the touch of 60min DTL resis, vbut still waiting to short,,, 3661 short could work but will wait,,,
1024
hmm notice the SMH,,,it is NOT rallying with spx here
1017
355pm signal remain on "stay short eem xlf spx" but its short from up at 1223 spx on 11/8 close
1015
for swings short,,,need to be careful of possible bull basing in xlf that could push up spx,,,so only shorting the extremes spx,,,, xlf bac look like could try to rally in coming hours days,, still hedged via bac long 11.10
1013
also, ung may want 550/546ish lower,, will let it consolodatet b4 reentry swing
1012
UNG hit 5.67 or one penny over yest "buy again maybe" trgt of 566,,,but i'm waiting to re-enter,, a 25% size starter pos could work here, but i'll wait for re-entry for now,, but i'll wait for re-entry for now,,, too many other positions to monitor so no want to monitor 25% size atm
1008
OIL is just chopping around wildly as expected via yest "early entry",, short is still green atm
1006
DISNEY held its daily uptrend support line perfectly, one reason i took profits in the short yest as it approached the trgt,,, waiting now for re-entry short, no entry yet, prob need to wait 1-4 hours for reentry short swing
956
OIL 60min chart has changed and it is now coiling in sym triangle,, still short atm
932
8453 next trgt daily for CL oil short, last 8470,,,may need to take half profit off at 8453 trgt, will watch reaction
904
initial SCO trgt today is 1200ish,,more precise trgt later, may sell 50-75% of the sco to lock profit and re-enter
903
oil down 1% , new sco fron yest up 3% :) es down ,,, the 1-3 day swing strategy continues to work as we move sideways here, es bias still down for swings
1039
oil cl moving down, now down 0.5%, to test 8515/8500 area,,,watching if that holds as support...then 8455, 8415 8357 8280,, good for new oil shorts
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Monday ramblings
401
SPY bearish wicks 11775ish AH
401
i'll still short a little disney AH if filled
400
oh well,,,didnt get the fill on reshoritng DIS,,,will try 2omorrow,, still have other shorts, and newly entered SCO
352
355pm signal: still says stay short, since nov 8, for multi-week swings
351
i will reshort dis lim 3673 if filled, if not will wait till 2moro
347
there goes spy over 11935 :)a
346
MM most likely will bring spy over 11935,,,they were forced LONG there,,but they also started shorting,,,suggests chop with mixed MM positions
338
still 3675/3700ish trg last 3648
337
disneys ready for another short,,,but needs to bounce then i'll reshort the bounce
322
i'll re-enter DIS short again when its done rallying,,,no entry yet
308
UPRO just hit its 3% trgt, from this morn entry, so exiting to lock profits,,, fun day tday
300
SPY
approacing 11935 trgt,,,expecting
chop around here,,,down
poss,,,over 11935 likely too,,now
tricky
256
not really expecting big downside b4 jan 1,,,, big boy bonuses so hold it up, but maybe lots of whipsaw
255
dis may want 3675, may reshort there idk, would be 60min downtrendlin resis
248
glad i took dis profits at .22,,,last 3644 now
239
ES justhit 1184 trgt,,,watching to see if holds here on first test...
238
ADDING more sco here, will prob sell half b4 close, 1162 sco, avg sco now 1170
235
taking off here for 12 instead,, can always reenter
235
will take profits there if able for 9 points on second half, 5 pints on first half, 14 total if filled 2nd
234
yup 1184 still trying to hold same trgt as 930am for second half of long es 1175
231
SPY expected to exceed 119.35 in coming hours days, could chop around down up first
223
long SPY upro autotrade just also hit its trgt and exited with profit
222
dis stopped, profits taken, 3622
220
sco trgt: 1193, 1230, 1314, 1600
215
one penny from stop out on DIS,,,still have it LOL
212
sco Jan $12 calls .75/.85 could work here as oil short, or uso puts
207
EDZ dec 24 calls from nov 16 now at 90% profit, makes sense to close 50-75% here
202
dis 2 cents from stop,,,not stoped yet
158
dis low of day 3610 so near low if stopped out
156
stop cover dis 36.22 last 3618,,,to lock profit
130
chop likely in oil in comoing hours days
128
sco early entry, trading the bear 60min diverg on oil
127
shorting OIL via sco 11.77 here
118
shorting dis, smh, semis, easier than spy spxu sds dxd atm
110
taking 50 cents profit on half that aggress scalp SMH short, soxl, from hour ago,, 1%ish profit
107
no long entry setup here,just possibly
107
WARNING: the KO stop is now move to near breakeven,,,swing,, KO is at support here in a day uptrend and perhaps even merit reverse swing long, on last 25%, took profits on 75% of KO shorts
1256
DIS is down 1.5% today vs SPY down 0.37%,,,is why using DIS as spx/dow short proxy,,,weaker, big diff,,, DIS was weaker on 60min on thurs fri last, which is why i shorted it last week
1252
interesting, my analysis suggesting that today is NOT institut distribution tho red down,,,could be retail or hedge funds,,, sugggests poss chop in coming hours and days,, but in-conclusive evidence atm
1247
also smh gets better fills but not 3x,,,
1244
conserv would wait on short soxl
1244
4353 short soxl semis, scalp, could work here, while waiting for swsing long entry,, or soxs
1240
DIS trgt down 3600, 3577,,3515 ,,,,trying for 3515 b4 taking profit but not likely today, watcing 3600 react, last 3614
1232
still have 100% size dis short,,,25% ko short
1232
DIS down :) new low of day
1210
hpq is under the .28 buy trgt, but not long hpq,,,cancelled that as posted, .16 last.. why? cuz it was combo scalp swing and i missed fill long, then it hit its scalp trgt, now now just waiting
1203
ung 566 long might be good. last 579
1153
ES 15min pattern: bounce, down, bigger bounce, down hard, same as 930am,,,where we r now down not down hard
1152
the SMH is in a 10min bull falling wedge but no break out of it yet,,, will go long on break higher,,,could go down awhile still first,, via SOXL 3x
1146
careful long,,, semis near low of day and they been stronger than SPX,,, if cracks low then spx goes down, at es 1175
1144
KO is making new daily lows, again :)
1140
cancelling HPQ long limit order never filled, will do manually,, still in DIS short, rockin there
1139
no position yet just monitoring atm,, trying to be patient here on swings "in tennis no mans land" rite now for new entries
1139
SOXL long semis looks good 4203 if able, last 4330, its 3x 3x etf, no position yet just monitoring atm
1125
UNG is now below what i sold it at,,,looking for reentry there for swing long, none yet
1123
lowering hpq to 4197 lim buy long
1117
grr hpq missed .28 no fill so lowering now to .20,,,not chasing
1114
no fill yet,,, .33 last,, using HPQ as QQQQ proxy,,like the HPQ for DOW/QQQQ combo proxy
1113
taking a 25% size position in HPQ long hedge 4228 if filled, combo swing scalp
1105
may want .35 or higher so took .12 profits
1105
KO hmm taking 25% more off here to lock a 2% profit (vs 6% 3xetfs)
1104
KO still doing well here,,watching to see if profit take area,,,still trying for .80 with lim order, last .08 or 30 cents away from trgt
1054
the ES 15min getting lil stronger,,,the first bounce is usually weaker, then pullbak, then bigger bounce,,, then see what 60 min looks like after all that
1053
intraday ccharts suggest another long scalp after es pulls back some from here, and close shorts there, and then reshort those bounces
1047
but i'm only hedged long,,,also short the dow via KO DIS proxies,, diff timeframes,,, ES long shorter time,, shorts longer times,, both r green atm
1045
taking half of ES off here, upro, for 4 points ES, holding other half, same stops and trgt on half
1041
taking profits on 100% shares this TYD for now, not liking this etf action,,,will reenter later more TLT maybe
1039
KO cover 6280 limit if able on all except 25% of shares, will reenter on bounce if trgt hit lower if able
1028
meanwhile, KO continues making new daily lows,,, on the way to its lower trgts, last 6309 :),, is why i only took 25% of shares off b4
1027
SPY / ES scalp long/day: stop 1/2% under cost OR take profit 1% over cost,,, or 1.5% / 3% for upro
1020
but KO 10min and 3min starting to maybe base so watching here to see if take more profit and reshort higher
1019
i'll take profits on only 25% of KO here at 6330, because if the 6320 breaks it could go for 6250, the 60 and 15min charts still weak,, 6327 last
1003
watching for "under target stretch" to 6207/6196ish if able
1002
ko just hit 6330, or 2 cents over it 6328 trgt,,,watching reaction here now b4 taking profits
1000
another
systtem just triggered a long spy
118.00,,not the 355pm signal, scalp signal
956
KO support 6328 trgt down, last 6336,, will wait and see reaction if it tests there, prob hold first try w bounce but waiting for profit taking for now
952
still have 355pm swing short KO,,and intraday "hold all day short",,,no profits taken yet on swing
951
KO now testing its LOD,,see if it breaks lower
944
KO does not care about that spike up in ES,,,remains flat near lows
927
/zc 30 yr treas up atm 0.4% vs es nq dow down .27% .13% .23%,,, long treas still valid,,, tlt,,, tyd 3x etc,, may take half of tyd tlt off today, unsure, still short KO DIS 100% sizes, both green
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
SPY bearish wicks 11775ish AH
401
i'll still short a little disney AH if filled
400
oh well,,,didnt get the fill on reshoritng DIS,,,will try 2omorrow,, still have other shorts, and newly entered SCO
352
355pm signal: still says stay short, since nov 8, for multi-week swings
351
i will reshort dis lim 3673 if filled, if not will wait till 2moro
347
there goes spy over 11935 :)a
346
MM most likely will bring spy over 11935,,,they were forced LONG there,,but they also started shorting,,,suggests chop with mixed MM positions
338
still 3675/3700ish trg last 3648
337
disneys ready for another short,,,but needs to bounce then i'll reshort the bounce
322
i'll re-enter DIS short again when its done rallying,,,no entry yet
308
UPRO just hit its 3% trgt, from this morn entry, so exiting to lock profits,,, fun day tday
300
SPY
approacing 11935 trgt,,,expecting
chop around here,,,down
poss,,,over 11935 likely too,,now
tricky
256
not really expecting big downside b4 jan 1,,,, big boy bonuses so hold it up, but maybe lots of whipsaw
255
dis may want 3675, may reshort there idk, would be 60min downtrendlin resis
248
glad i took dis profits at .22,,,last 3644 now
239
ES justhit 1184 trgt,,,watching to see if holds here on first test...
238
ADDING more sco here, will prob sell half b4 close, 1162 sco, avg sco now 1170
235
taking off here for 12 instead,, can always reenter
235
will take profits there if able for 9 points on second half, 5 pints on first half, 14 total if filled 2nd
234
yup 1184 still trying to hold same trgt as 930am for second half of long es 1175
231
SPY expected to exceed 119.35 in coming hours days, could chop around down up first
223
long SPY upro autotrade just also hit its trgt and exited with profit
222
dis stopped, profits taken, 3622
220
sco trgt: 1193, 1230, 1314, 1600
215
one penny from stop out on DIS,,,still have it LOL
212
sco Jan $12 calls .75/.85 could work here as oil short, or uso puts
207
EDZ dec 24 calls from nov 16 now at 90% profit, makes sense to close 50-75% here
202
dis 2 cents from stop,,,not stoped yet
158
dis low of day 3610 so near low if stopped out
156
stop cover dis 36.22 last 3618,,,to lock profit
130
chop likely in oil in comoing hours days
128
sco early entry, trading the bear 60min diverg on oil
127
shorting OIL via sco 11.77 here
118
shorting dis, smh, semis, easier than spy spxu sds dxd atm
110
taking 50 cents profit on half that aggress scalp SMH short, soxl, from hour ago,, 1%ish profit
107
no long entry setup here,just possibly
107
WARNING: the KO stop is now move to near breakeven,,,swing,, KO is at support here in a day uptrend and perhaps even merit reverse swing long, on last 25%, took profits on 75% of KO shorts
1256
DIS is down 1.5% today vs SPY down 0.37%,,,is why using DIS as spx/dow short proxy,,,weaker, big diff,,, DIS was weaker on 60min on thurs fri last, which is why i shorted it last week
1252
interesting, my analysis suggesting that today is NOT institut distribution tho red down,,,could be retail or hedge funds,,, sugggests poss chop in coming hours and days,, but in-conclusive evidence atm
1247
also smh gets better fills but not 3x,,,
1244
conserv would wait on short soxl
1244
4353 short soxl semis, scalp, could work here, while waiting for swsing long entry,, or soxs
1240
DIS trgt down 3600, 3577,,3515 ,,,,trying for 3515 b4 taking profit but not likely today, watcing 3600 react, last 3614
1232
still have 100% size dis short,,,25% ko short
1232
DIS down :) new low of day
1210
hpq is under the .28 buy trgt, but not long hpq,,,cancelled that as posted, .16 last.. why? cuz it was combo scalp swing and i missed fill long, then it hit its scalp trgt, now now just waiting
1203
ung 566 long might be good. last 579
1153
ES 15min pattern: bounce, down, bigger bounce, down hard, same as 930am,,,where we r now down not down hard
1152
the SMH is in a 10min bull falling wedge but no break out of it yet,,, will go long on break higher,,,could go down awhile still first,, via SOXL 3x
1146
careful long,,, semis near low of day and they been stronger than SPX,,, if cracks low then spx goes down, at es 1175
1144
KO is making new daily lows, again :)
1140
cancelling HPQ long limit order never filled, will do manually,, still in DIS short, rockin there
1139
no position yet just monitoring atm,, trying to be patient here on swings "in tennis no mans land" rite now for new entries
1139
SOXL long semis looks good 4203 if able, last 4330, its 3x 3x etf, no position yet just monitoring atm
1125
UNG is now below what i sold it at,,,looking for reentry there for swing long, none yet
1123
lowering hpq to 4197 lim buy long
1117
grr hpq missed .28 no fill so lowering now to .20,,,not chasing
1114
no fill yet,,, .33 last,, using HPQ as QQQQ proxy,,like the HPQ for DOW/QQQQ combo proxy
1113
taking a 25% size position in HPQ long hedge 4228 if filled, combo swing scalp
1105
may want .35 or higher so took .12 profits
1105
KO hmm taking 25% more off here to lock a 2% profit (vs 6% 3xetfs)
1104
KO still doing well here,,watching to see if profit take area,,,still trying for .80 with lim order, last .08 or 30 cents away from trgt
1054
the ES 15min getting lil stronger,,,the first bounce is usually weaker, then pullbak, then bigger bounce,,, then see what 60 min looks like after all that
1053
intraday ccharts suggest another long scalp after es pulls back some from here, and close shorts there, and then reshort those bounces
1047
but i'm only hedged long,,,also short the dow via KO DIS proxies,, diff timeframes,,, ES long shorter time,, shorts longer times,, both r green atm
1045
taking half of ES off here, upro, for 4 points ES, holding other half, same stops and trgt on half
1041
taking profits on 100% shares this TYD for now, not liking this etf action,,,will reenter later more TLT maybe
1039
KO cover 6280 limit if able on all except 25% of shares, will reenter on bounce if trgt hit lower if able
1028
meanwhile, KO continues making new daily lows,,, on the way to its lower trgts, last 6309 :),, is why i only took 25% of shares off b4
1027
SPY / ES scalp long/day: stop 1/2% under cost OR take profit 1% over cost,,, or 1.5% / 3% for upro
1020
but KO 10min and 3min starting to maybe base so watching here to see if take more profit and reshort higher
1019
i'll take profits on only 25% of KO here at 6330, because if the 6320 breaks it could go for 6250, the 60 and 15min charts still weak,, 6327 last
1003
watching for "under target stretch" to 6207/6196ish if able
1002
ko just hit 6330, or 2 cents over it 6328 trgt,,,watching reaction here now b4 taking profits
1000
another
systtem just triggered a long spy
118.00,,not the 355pm signal, scalp signal
956
KO support 6328 trgt down, last 6336,, will wait and see reaction if it tests there, prob hold first try w bounce but waiting for profit taking for now
952
still have 355pm swing short KO,,and intraday "hold all day short",,,no profits taken yet on swing
951
KO now testing its LOD,,see if it breaks lower
944
KO does not care about that spike up in ES,,,remains flat near lows
927
/zc 30 yr treas up atm 0.4% vs es nq dow down .27% .13% .23%,,, long treas still valid,,, tlt,,, tyd 3x etc,, may take half of tyd tlt off today, unsure, still short KO DIS 100% sizes, both green
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Friday, November 26, 2010
Friday ramblings / Thurs eve futures
114
355pm signal is still on "stay short" but it triggered at the close on 11/8 at 1221 spx,, still 25% short there having taken profits on other piece
104
horrible day for bulls here imo,,,,low volume and no move up??????
101pm
heavy es selling here now
1256
so instead of shorting DOW or dia dxd,,,shorted KO and DIS,, will add other dow compononents later
1251
i will swing short DIS 3690 or whatever i can get, before the close today
1239
wow KO just got hit with a big red candle 3min,, good for short
1235
i did swing short KO yest tho at 6455, near 6463 high, as posted here
1231
to me,, the SPX has rectangles and triangle patterns, and we r in middle of rect so entries here either long or short i don't like,, bias is down, so i like short rallies but "not here",,, so i like short rallies but "not here",, also the 355pm signal is STILL ON "remain short",, SPX rect range approx 1173/77 --- 1196/1203/1207
1229
yea i might swing long gold but not today,,,need to wait for another round trip on stoch 15min chart as the 60 is still stabilizing, for me
1227
so just running with 25% position from higher levels for now
1225
one reason i'm hesisitant to add add more swing eem or xlf short swings,,,is that xlf is in downtrend but its steep and could rally to "expand" down channel.
1052
actually i'll use skf not faz,,,faz is too cheap and gets bad fills on pennies, no entry yet
1048
also looking for spot to short xlf,,,faz
1047
Shorting INTC 21.33,,will add more intc higher if able
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
355pm signal is still on "stay short" but it triggered at the close on 11/8 at 1221 spx,, still 25% short there having taken profits on other piece
104
horrible day for bulls here imo,,,,low volume and no move up??????
101pm
heavy es selling here now
1256
so instead of shorting DOW or dia dxd,,,shorted KO and DIS,, will add other dow compononents later
1251
i will swing short DIS 3690 or whatever i can get, before the close today
1239
wow KO just got hit with a big red candle 3min,, good for short
1235
i did swing short KO yest tho at 6455, near 6463 high, as posted here
1231
to me,, the SPX has rectangles and triangle patterns, and we r in middle of rect so entries here either long or short i don't like,, bias is down, so i like short rallies but "not here",,, so i like short rallies but "not here",, also the 355pm signal is STILL ON "remain short",, SPX rect range approx 1173/77 --- 1196/1203/1207
1229
yea i might swing long gold but not today,,,need to wait for another round trip on stoch 15min chart as the 60 is still stabilizing, for me
1227
so just running with 25% position from higher levels for now
1225
one reason i'm hesisitant to add add more swing eem or xlf short swings,,,is that xlf is in downtrend but its steep and could rally to "expand" down channel.
1052
actually i'll use skf not faz,,,faz is too cheap and gets bad fills on pennies, no entry yet
1048
also looking for spot to short xlf,,,faz
1047
Shorting INTC 21.33,,will add more intc higher if able
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Wednesday, November 24, 2010
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer"..
Wedn ramblings (and Tues eve ES futures)
430
theres a bull diverg too on vix vs rsi: higher rsi 2450--3050,,,vs vix lows 1794--1776, bearish for spx,, suggests coil to break up not down for vix
415
reason i
see maybe chop is also cuz were
some large block orders GREEN,,,
now they r forced short
so MM will push down,,,but maybe more buyers??? that equals chop
also, triangle chart patterns = chop
410
same analysis as 330 with added note: chop expected:
chart analysis combined with Market Maker analysis suggests to me that Friday is a doji day, and that we have downside in coming days, and that now its looking like we could start to coil,,,,is why i'm trading individ stocks in additino to just the spx eem etc
408
lol SPXU is back to a penny profit AH here for conservative wanting out
403
bear spy wicks to 118.50 AH
401
SPXU small loss here about 5 cents if i closed it,,,but holding
400
it took all day but xlf finally hit 1464 daily trgt,,,never got higher
354
KO may want .75,,,no worries,,,this is not real buying,,,no block order in KO,,,prob shorts cover
351
BAC now at 1122,,,only holding it cuz its free swing from 11.11,,,but accomplished its long overnight hedge purpose ,,, took 1.5% profit on BAC long but dont like this area for new long bac
348
ultra low volume on KO today, bearish
334
xlf hit the 1440 trgt but still has not hit the 1423 trgt down,,,can go there in comoing days
330
chart analysis combined with Market Maker analysis suggests to me that Friday is a doji day, and that we have downside in coming days, and that now its looking like we could start to coil,,,,is why i'm trading individ stocks in additino to just the spx eem etc
326
and they r shorting financials,,,not good for spx,,,esp since financials are "already low"
325
but marketmakers are shorting again ,rite now,, tho they can hold overnite
324
doesnt mean we hit 1201,,,its declining resistance,,but should
hold decently on first try anyways
323
1200--1201ish is downtrend line resist on daily ES
322
355pm signal remains on "stay short" for all top 100 etfs except long swings on smh xrt xop
305
taking some 2281 spxu to short ES 1196.75
300
the "first try" up off a low,,,generally will pull back
259
bac short 1127 intraday scalp could work well,,
247
MM were absent awhile, have now returned and they r shorting
246
MarketMakers are now shorting the BAC hmm,,,suggests
limited up on friday???
236
*short could work
236
ES short here 119575 could work
231
the
355pm signal for KO has been
flashing on and off short long
short,,,,so could go either way but
looks like time to exit the long n
reverse short
225
119550 near but not shorting it yet,,remain short KO,,, tyd long
222
my analsysis suggests that BAC has one more pop higher over .27 and then should move bak under .27,, *last 25% of shares bac has stop at breakeven 11.11 as this was early entry,, took 1.5% profit thus far on 75%
220
maybe short es 119550 idk
216
This TYD stuff sure just jump around,,, how fun LOL ,,, lower vol than i usually like but good for swings
214
theres the crack i mentioned 3 hours ago,,shorting a 3min chart bounce here could work ES
206
will also scalp this ko as it may have better movement than boring ES
204
i'll start layer in here 6457 KO short
203
actually i'm going to swing SHORT the KO now 6483 if filled. last 6460
157
but i'm exiting a piece of KO now,,,will buy bak later
156
LOL coca cola KO just wont stop going up up up,,, been long that forever, just made another new high :)a
131
i'm going LONG swing in TYD here 6210,,, other day i posted it looked good at 6340,,,has pulled back,, this is an early entry, 355pm signal is still on stay short TYD, but starting here for small bounce to start and maybe trend change,, TYD is 3x long bull 7-10 yr treasuries
126
BAC should go over .30 but i'm not sure if they will bring it lower first,,,so out for now
125
out of 75% of bac .29,,tired of this,,,saving 25% for higher levels, not worth tick watching for half a percent
102
355pm swing signal: for dow, all are on short except long signals on intc hpq axp,, that doesnt mean enter short here,,means stay short from earlier higher entries
1251
1.5% profits locked on 25% of bac shares, at high of day (so far)
1250
for me to short, in this chart, i'll wait for it to make the first move down then short the bounce,,thus "missing" the first move but safer
1248
i'm exiting 25% of bac here to lock some profit,,see higher but this is now "no mans land" tennis
1246
ES moving down a lil,,, BAC holding up,,,if ES reverses up 3min chart then bac should hit its target and get a fill on sell order
1238
BAC now at 1.5% roi from yest entry,,,would be 4.5% if was 3x etf,, just need more shares to mimic 3x
1237
xlf 1466 trg last 1462
1234
buy alert for BAC
1228
3min BAC bollbands gettin tite now: 3 cent range
1223
yest: i mentioned expecting a bull morning star in the xlf,,,we have it here, daily
1220
that 3min xlf,,is bullish
1219
Junior guys at the desk not authorized for anything fun :)
1219
maybe
these MM are on autotrade and
left early weekend? cuz they are
only hanging out at extremes this
long
1212
this is unusual for MM to stay on sidelines so long,,on many stocks they r just letting retail test,, intraday,, when the MM come back,,,things could get get volatile up or down,,,for the moment my analysis says they r still testing
1208
the BAC bull V pattern measures to 1141, ovrew the 1138 trgt
1202
WOW the UNG :),,, up spike tho only 25% positino left,, the NG futures foreshadowed this move, in last nites trading
1159
poss bull 3min cup handl bac 3min,,and the cup handl trgt is... LOL... 1137,, near the .36 order sell
1155
xlf did not get that bull 3 methods,,BUT the bac does have it, on the 15min,,now must get confirmation,,bullish still
1154
still see bac over 1128 in next 30-60min again
1148
MM may drop bac back under 1128 but should go up over it yet again if so
1145
BAC is now back above 1128, within the hour posted earlier :)
1144
BAC trgt is 1138, placeing order 1136 to sell halfif able, under the trgt
1143
the xlf is "maybe" forming a 15min rising 3 methods candle pattern, 5 candles with 6th need to confirm,,,is a bull continuation pattern if formed, not reversal pattern
1139
market maker report: they are still testing retail here,,they have stepped aside
1136
xlf chart suggests up again now
1135
maybe 15min es will form a bear rising wedge as it makes upside before falling in coming hours days
1129
now looking for up via the BAC lol
1127
closing faz scalp for small profit 1233 or 0.75% profit
1118
yes entry was lower at 11.11
1117
its hitting 1123 but no fill,,,not changing,,,either fills or i go with the exist position
1112
*1123 lim buy,,no fill yet
1111
1122 lim buy more bac if filled
faz 1224
1108
i'll go long scalp bac 1120 lim if filled to add to swing position for scalp,, faz at that level could work too scalp
1102
BAC should move back over 1129 in next hour, last 1124
1053
market maker report: they r testing mkt now,,,testing retail
1052
not sure the daily high is in yet,,,still could go higher
1051
es getting "weakening signs",,,sideways, lil bounce type thing
1050
strategy: crack, bounce on first crack, short the crack bounce
1049
15min chart doesnt have a crack in it yet,,,waiting for a crack, then may short day scalp
1042
1133 resist on bac, last 1130,,,lim sell 1136 half shares on stop run, if able
1041
BAC is outperforming xlf today :) up 1.8% vs 1.3% xlf
1038
BAC is at 1129,,,basically the 1130 trgt from 9am,,,, still waiting for 1136 on half shares
1035
hpq is at the 4350ish trgt now ,,,but not taking long yet,,,let it move sideways chop awhile,,,maybe .25,,,no entry yet
1032
also note the bull diverg on the macd signal line and rsi on 60min spx
1030
depending on how u draw 60m spx Downtrendline,,,spx has broken it higher,,but the 60min macd hist warns higher is poss with maybe 1199, 1204,,1207,,,waiting for mr market to decide
1028
wow intc only 10 cents from target,,,may want even higher,,,will not short it yet
1026
for now i'll lim sell 11.36 BAC, half of shares, and then try to buy back,,may not make 1138 today but thats stretch trgt for now
1019
i might consider hpq long4350 4325 if it went there, unsure,,depends on chart at that time,,,i missed the nice move yest on HPQ,, i missed the nice move yest on HPQ on that limit order never filled grr
1013
yesterdays 21.25 "short intc" order was based on poss down break of rectangle not up,,,but the order was never filled and intc broke higher instead, which is why i cancelled the short order as posted yesterday b4 close
1011
i may short 21.65 intc if it gets there (not likely today)
1011
intc rectangle has a target of 21.65,,,which "just so happens" to be horizon resist from prior high,,,isn't tech analysis cool?
1009
1130 next BAC intraday trgt...1120 last
1006
xlf is not yet on a daytrade short setup,,,still on buy dip spx xlf tho that could change,,,for holds longer than 1 hour,,but,conversely, no entry yet, no dip to buy
957
BAC is lagging here up 1% vs qqqq up 1.5%,,,but thinking bac will catchup then surpass qqqq, as shorts cover,,, they have not covered yet but rather appear to have re-shorted,,,if it moves higher then both old n new shorts should produce a nice pop up
955
i see this market, on daily charts, weekly, as distribution, sideways not up or down,,, for me its sideways
bear bias due to distrib,,,but
playing both long short in this
sideways stuff swings
953
es 1191 has several resist lines all there,,should hold first test,,,or 1193 yea
950
also may use qcom aapl rimm as qqqq proxy,,,hpq axp ko for dow proxy
949
waiting for a setup to go long the qqqq,,,spx qqqq dow suggest scalp day buy dip,,,but no entry yet,,,will skip the short scalps for now
937
intc hit the 2125 trgt but i did not swing short it,,,watching for now
936
yesterday i posted a gap up today, spy xlf bac both gapped higher,, still in new BAC long
833 am
ES hit 1187.50 just over the 1187 target,, 119150 next
820
es trgt: 1187, 1191.50, 1198,,,rect measures to 1195ish
810
newly entered long swing BAC from yest is higher pre-market now, 1117 last from 1109 close
809
es supp 1175- resist 1185 rect, watching for break up or down, range bound till then
805
es 60min poss dbl low, now basing,marginal DTL break now testing DTL break higher, with a 3x bull price:rsi diverg
756
considering new LONG qcom aapl rimm, for a quick 1-5 day swing,,,my 355 pm swing signal remains short, this is for a "bounce" play with poss trend change to up
747
qqqq iwm russel remain stronger than spx, with an inv HS is inside a larger bull-biased coil that to be fair is bias to break higher not lower
734
Yest i mentioned that we might get a spx gap up this morning, partly due to xlf action,,, ES is up 3.50 now, but could change b4 930am
726 am
We have a slew of economic report data coming today due to shortened trading week:
830: initial claims, personal income, pce, durable orders, 955 mich sentiment, 10am new home sales, 1030 crude oil, 2pm fomc again
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
theres a bull diverg too on vix vs rsi: higher rsi 2450--3050,,,vs vix lows 1794--1776, bearish for spx,, suggests coil to break up not down for vix
415
reason i
see maybe chop is also cuz were
some large block orders GREEN,,,
now they r forced short
so MM will push down,,,but maybe more buyers??? that equals chop
also, triangle chart patterns = chop
410
same analysis as 330 with added note: chop expected:
chart analysis combined with Market Maker analysis suggests to me that Friday is a doji day, and that we have downside in coming days, and that now its looking like we could start to coil,,,,is why i'm trading individ stocks in additino to just the spx eem etc
408
lol SPXU is back to a penny profit AH here for conservative wanting out
403
bear spy wicks to 118.50 AH
401
SPXU small loss here about 5 cents if i closed it,,,but holding
400
it took all day but xlf finally hit 1464 daily trgt,,,never got higher
354
KO may want .75,,,no worries,,,this is not real buying,,,no block order in KO,,,prob shorts cover
351
BAC now at 1122,,,only holding it cuz its free swing from 11.11,,,but accomplished its long overnight hedge purpose ,,, took 1.5% profit on BAC long but dont like this area for new long bac
348
ultra low volume on KO today, bearish
334
xlf hit the 1440 trgt but still has not hit the 1423 trgt down,,,can go there in comoing days
330
chart analysis combined with Market Maker analysis suggests to me that Friday is a doji day, and that we have downside in coming days, and that now its looking like we could start to coil,,,,is why i'm trading individ stocks in additino to just the spx eem etc
326
and they r shorting financials,,,not good for spx,,,esp since financials are "already low"
325
but marketmakers are shorting again ,rite now,, tho they can hold overnite
324
doesnt mean we hit 1201,,,its declining resistance,,but should
hold decently on first try anyways
323
1200--1201ish is downtrend line resist on daily ES
322
355pm signal remains on "stay short" for all top 100 etfs except long swings on smh xrt xop
305
taking some 2281 spxu to short ES 1196.75
300
the "first try" up off a low,,,generally will pull back
259
bac short 1127 intraday scalp could work well,,
247
MM were absent awhile, have now returned and they r shorting
246
MarketMakers are now shorting the BAC hmm,,,suggests
limited up on friday???
236
*short could work
236
ES short here 119575 could work
231
the
355pm signal for KO has been
flashing on and off short long
short,,,,so could go either way but
looks like time to exit the long n
reverse short
225
119550 near but not shorting it yet,,remain short KO,,, tyd long
222
my analsysis suggests that BAC has one more pop higher over .27 and then should move bak under .27,, *last 25% of shares bac has stop at breakeven 11.11 as this was early entry,, took 1.5% profit thus far on 75%
220
maybe short es 119550 idk
216
This TYD stuff sure just jump around,,, how fun LOL ,,, lower vol than i usually like but good for swings
214
theres the crack i mentioned 3 hours ago,,shorting a 3min chart bounce here could work ES
206
will also scalp this ko as it may have better movement than boring ES
204
i'll start layer in here 6457 KO short
203
actually i'm going to swing SHORT the KO now 6483 if filled. last 6460
157
but i'm exiting a piece of KO now,,,will buy bak later
156
LOL coca cola KO just wont stop going up up up,,, been long that forever, just made another new high :)a
131
i'm going LONG swing in TYD here 6210,,, other day i posted it looked good at 6340,,,has pulled back,, this is an early entry, 355pm signal is still on stay short TYD, but starting here for small bounce to start and maybe trend change,, TYD is 3x long bull 7-10 yr treasuries
126
BAC should go over .30 but i'm not sure if they will bring it lower first,,,so out for now
125
out of 75% of bac .29,,tired of this,,,saving 25% for higher levels, not worth tick watching for half a percent
102
355pm swing signal: for dow, all are on short except long signals on intc hpq axp,, that doesnt mean enter short here,,means stay short from earlier higher entries
1251
1.5% profits locked on 25% of bac shares, at high of day (so far)
1250
for me to short, in this chart, i'll wait for it to make the first move down then short the bounce,,thus "missing" the first move but safer
1248
i'm exiting 25% of bac here to lock some profit,,see higher but this is now "no mans land" tennis
1246
ES moving down a lil,,, BAC holding up,,,if ES reverses up 3min chart then bac should hit its target and get a fill on sell order
1238
BAC now at 1.5% roi from yest entry,,,would be 4.5% if was 3x etf,, just need more shares to mimic 3x
1237
xlf 1466 trg last 1462
1234
buy alert for BAC
1228
3min BAC bollbands gettin tite now: 3 cent range
1223
yest: i mentioned expecting a bull morning star in the xlf,,,we have it here, daily
1220
that 3min xlf,,is bullish
1219
Junior guys at the desk not authorized for anything fun :)
1219
maybe
these MM are on autotrade and
left early weekend? cuz they are
only hanging out at extremes this
long
1212
this is unusual for MM to stay on sidelines so long,,on many stocks they r just letting retail test,, intraday,, when the MM come back,,,things could get get volatile up or down,,,for the moment my analysis says they r still testing
1208
the BAC bull V pattern measures to 1141, ovrew the 1138 trgt
1202
WOW the UNG :),,, up spike tho only 25% positino left,, the NG futures foreshadowed this move, in last nites trading
1159
poss bull 3min cup handl bac 3min,,and the cup handl trgt is... LOL... 1137,, near the .36 order sell
1155
xlf did not get that bull 3 methods,,BUT the bac does have it, on the 15min,,now must get confirmation,,bullish still
1154
still see bac over 1128 in next 30-60min again
1148
MM may drop bac back under 1128 but should go up over it yet again if so
1145
BAC is now back above 1128, within the hour posted earlier :)
1144
BAC trgt is 1138, placeing order 1136 to sell halfif able, under the trgt
1143
the xlf is "maybe" forming a 15min rising 3 methods candle pattern, 5 candles with 6th need to confirm,,,is a bull continuation pattern if formed, not reversal pattern
1139
market maker report: they are still testing retail here,,they have stepped aside
1136
xlf chart suggests up again now
1135
maybe 15min es will form a bear rising wedge as it makes upside before falling in coming hours days
1129
now looking for up via the BAC lol
1127
closing faz scalp for small profit 1233 or 0.75% profit
1118
yes entry was lower at 11.11
1117
its hitting 1123 but no fill,,,not changing,,,either fills or i go with the exist position
1112
*1123 lim buy,,no fill yet
1111
1122 lim buy more bac if filled
faz 1224
1108
i'll go long scalp bac 1120 lim if filled to add to swing position for scalp,, faz at that level could work too scalp
1102
BAC should move back over 1129 in next hour, last 1124
1053
market maker report: they r testing mkt now,,,testing retail
1052
not sure the daily high is in yet,,,still could go higher
1051
es getting "weakening signs",,,sideways, lil bounce type thing
1050
strategy: crack, bounce on first crack, short the crack bounce
1049
15min chart doesnt have a crack in it yet,,,waiting for a crack, then may short day scalp
1042
1133 resist on bac, last 1130,,,lim sell 1136 half shares on stop run, if able
1041
BAC is outperforming xlf today :) up 1.8% vs 1.3% xlf
1038
BAC is at 1129,,,basically the 1130 trgt from 9am,,,, still waiting for 1136 on half shares
1035
hpq is at the 4350ish trgt now ,,,but not taking long yet,,,let it move sideways chop awhile,,,maybe .25,,,no entry yet
1032
also note the bull diverg on the macd signal line and rsi on 60min spx
1030
depending on how u draw 60m spx Downtrendline,,,spx has broken it higher,,but the 60min macd hist warns higher is poss with maybe 1199, 1204,,1207,,,waiting for mr market to decide
1028
wow intc only 10 cents from target,,,may want even higher,,,will not short it yet
1026
for now i'll lim sell 11.36 BAC, half of shares, and then try to buy back,,may not make 1138 today but thats stretch trgt for now
1019
i might consider hpq long4350 4325 if it went there, unsure,,depends on chart at that time,,,i missed the nice move yest on HPQ,, i missed the nice move yest on HPQ on that limit order never filled grr
1013
yesterdays 21.25 "short intc" order was based on poss down break of rectangle not up,,,but the order was never filled and intc broke higher instead, which is why i cancelled the short order as posted yesterday b4 close
1011
i may short 21.65 intc if it gets there (not likely today)
1011
intc rectangle has a target of 21.65,,,which "just so happens" to be horizon resist from prior high,,,isn't tech analysis cool?
1009
1130 next BAC intraday trgt...1120 last
1006
xlf is not yet on a daytrade short setup,,,still on buy dip spx xlf tho that could change,,,for holds longer than 1 hour,,but,conversely, no entry yet, no dip to buy
957
BAC is lagging here up 1% vs qqqq up 1.5%,,,but thinking bac will catchup then surpass qqqq, as shorts cover,,, they have not covered yet but rather appear to have re-shorted,,,if it moves higher then both old n new shorts should produce a nice pop up
955
i see this market, on daily charts, weekly, as distribution, sideways not up or down,,, for me its sideways
bear bias due to distrib,,,but
playing both long short in this
sideways stuff swings
953
es 1191 has several resist lines all there,,should hold first test,,,or 1193 yea
950
also may use qcom aapl rimm as qqqq proxy,,,hpq axp ko for dow proxy
949
waiting for a setup to go long the qqqq,,,spx qqqq dow suggest scalp day buy dip,,,but no entry yet,,,will skip the short scalps for now
937
intc hit the 2125 trgt but i did not swing short it,,,watching for now
936
yesterday i posted a gap up today, spy xlf bac both gapped higher,, still in new BAC long
833 am
ES hit 1187.50 just over the 1187 target,, 119150 next
820
es trgt: 1187, 1191.50, 1198,,,rect measures to 1195ish
810
newly entered long swing BAC from yest is higher pre-market now, 1117 last from 1109 close
809
es supp 1175- resist 1185 rect, watching for break up or down, range bound till then
805
es 60min poss dbl low, now basing,marginal DTL break now testing DTL break higher, with a 3x bull price:rsi diverg
756
considering new LONG qcom aapl rimm, for a quick 1-5 day swing,,,my 355 pm swing signal remains short, this is for a "bounce" play with poss trend change to up
747
qqqq iwm russel remain stronger than spx, with an inv HS is inside a larger bull-biased coil that to be fair is bias to break higher not lower
734
Yest i mentioned that we might get a spx gap up this morning, partly due to xlf action,,, ES is up 3.50 now, but could change b4 930am
726 am
We have a slew of economic report data coming today due to shortened trading week:
830: initial claims, personal income, pce, durable orders, 955 mich sentiment, 10am new home sales, 1030 crude oil, 2pm fomc again
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Tuesday, November 23, 2010
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Tuesday's ramblings
459
BAC wick to 1190 AH,,,that would be great if it hit there,, expecting less to start from 1111
414oh i forgot to post i exited the last 25% of csco short today,,its in
other account,,forgot
410
it was a good day today tho, better than expected... the "pomo effect" is wearing off,,,using swings helps a lot
400
cancelling the hpq long,,,don't know if i like the entry anymore, it already made much of the move i wanted up
357
exiting now the last half of ES short day, 2 points gain
354
xlf hit todays 1441 trgt from 9am,,,see how much lower it goes
354
1420 xlf next trgt,,,but may bounce 2morrow,,,trick here on bull diverg forming 60min daily
337
the xlf also has a bull diverg 60min which is another reason for bac long
336
taking long swing BAC 11.11,,,,may hit 1105 or lower, can always add
333
no fill yet,,,but will buy b4 the close
332
BAC has a possible bull morn star setup,,,this is not tradeable or confirmed,,just idea,, but it is near prior support 1105, and a bull diverg on daily is forming tho its not finished yet,,,,early entry long hedge in BAC based on support buy and developing divergences
322
BAC should pop higher a lil then under 11.12, i thikn
319
stop es 1183.25,,,would be a small 1.25 point loss if stopped, but up for the day so willing to risk loss
314
closing my prior BAC swing short i've been carrying around since april for 64% roi profit
still see lower BAC but bounce first
308
'm going
LONG for quick swing hedge in
BAC,,,1105 if filled, 25% position
259
also 118.20 spy supp
258
spy is now over .30 as expected 15min ago
255
4374 is the intraday short area so mayb come down some (not shorting)
254
grr hpq just shot from 4345 to 4375,,not chasing this long,,,will wait for proper entry,, no fill or entry yet
247
warning,,, XLF BREAKING LOWER,,, watching for sustain or not
246
grr not getting a fill on either HPQ or INTC: need hpq to go down for fill,,,its going up,,,, need intc up its going down LOL
245
es and xlf both bounced exactly at the 1442 xlf trgt :)
239
lim 4311 long HPQ,,,25% size pos
231
limit swing short INTC again, 2124,,,if filled,,,still see it falling more
226
4317 trgt hpq,,,may buy there, last 4350
220
still have
half size daytrade, 1183 es short,,,,xlf not yet hit .41 42 trgt but closer
212
i am looking for a LONG in HPQ to hedge my shorts,,, HPQ is the only dow stock on 355pm swing long setup, no entry yet
152
spy over 1847 then lower would not invalid short day, last .38
151
spy 10min and 15min macd hist ticking down now,,bearish
149
taking 2 points here on 25% of shares, 14 for the day
145
es almost cracking the 3min utl line lower,,holding for now
142
also see xlf 3min,,,bear desc tri
141
tho es holding the 3min uptrend supp line for now
140
es 3min bear diverg,,,within a 60m downtrend
137
10min ES is giving a "weaker again now" signal,,,more chop as signal is new
133
we expected SPY to move as high as .75,,, didnt make quite that hi, remain short, expect .50 now
117
there goes xlf break as expected,watching for followthru
114
1441 trgt 1442,,,should bring the es down
114
xlf...expecting .47 support to break lower
109
spy over 11875 should retrun to under 11860
109
a move up then down would NOT invalidate the symbol,, alert triggered of poss up first
106
this is getting tricky here now, for me at least,,,buy and sells flashing,,, choppy seas
103
oops just got chop alert,,,again the move down could be limited, idk
102
es should now move down, may be limited,
1257
es short here 1181 could work, entry is a lil early unconfirm
1240
the 15min es has a nice clear down channel, see it?
1239
prob with Markt Maker signals: not purely mechanical or mathmatetical, requires artistic interpretation
1238
i "think" the market makers exited their long positions profitably, they now appear to be shorting the mkt,, thus far the MM signals have worked
1233
lol that was fast, moved while typing,,,now 11832,,,watching reaction
1232
spy should test 11830 down, 11850 last
1228
surprising cuz this week is usually bullish b4 thanksgiving
1228
even lower low poss,,,60 and daily both on swing short setups
1226
yesterday, SPY 60min boll bands were narrower flatter and it broke to downside,,bias still bearish for swings
1146
a move down, small, then up, is what i see
1146
chop time now i think
1136
i will cover 25% more es short either at 1173 or xlf 1441
1134
other alt: trapped MM long may short HERE and then cover 1173 to make up loss,,they r fast to exit when trapped,, if no bounce here then thats likely what happend
1129
if no bounce here, then MM likely are trapped long lol,,,they will push it up later if not now,,dont see a str8 down,,maybe at
the 1173 trgt
1128
85% confid the spy will move under .30
1127
might take over 15min,,
1126
the SPY may pop up here over .35 even .50 but should then move lower under .30 per market maker analysys, last .32
1122
rect ES trgt 1173 if broken
1119
1442 xlf trgt down,,may cover some es there
1115
taking 25% more off here to be sure, for 4 points (6 total),,,still have half
1114
charts suggest lower low could happn,,tricky here,,,atm they say lower low,,watching support reaction here
1111
lim cover 25% more 17750 if able for another 5 point
1108
also could make lower low,,,so leting it ride for now, 75% scalp short
1107
es may hold 1178 over the 1177 low of day due to trendline,,will watch
1103
there it is, trgt hit,,,now if it holds here i'll cover another 25% of ES short,,else hold for lower
1102
spy approaching .56 trg,,, 59 lst,,should go under
1059
hmm spyt "should" go back under 118.56,,watching, last 11875
1056
ahhh...the es 15min,,,maybe its building a bearish 3 methods 5 candle bear cont down pattern,,unconfirmed
1055
large pos would take 25-50% es off here to lock easy 2 points
1045
close to entering spxu scalp here
1028
es 15min candles may be bottom basing,,or may be continuation down, could be interpret either way atm,,,need to watch reacts
1026
and,,,even tho we are LOWER rite now,,, my "stay short swing" signal is actually stronger not weaker, despite being down, this may change in an hour but for now, its a stronger sell swing than it had yest
1022
10min first lil sign of strength spy: usually this means down sideways b4 up on spy,,,initial reaction usually fails and weak signal, but spy spx signal is there, tho still on stay short day
1011
yest i wanted to buy TYD on a pullback when it was at 6300,,,grr now at 6430,,,missed that opp for nwo,,,looking for entry later :@
1002
lets see if 1183 is resist or not on this test, last 1180, if it gets to 1183
1000
bulls must hold 1170 es or could be bad nasty,, expecting to hold atm 1178,,1172
957
ES just hit the 117950 trgt
955
es is now .5 pt from its supp trendline,, watching reaction see if holds or now
952
117875 is horiz support from "somewhere" lol
951
117875 trgt es: trendline 117850,,horiz .75
950
at the
open, often is oversold, mini
bounce, then lower, then pops
higher on 2nd exit from oversold
950
gap theory 15min method suggests lower still
947
this may be a very boring day from 11am--2pm,,,its already "slow" LOL
937
EDZ options are up 60% profit decent spot for profit here on half
934
EEM down 2.7 vs SPY 1.2 %,, eem fell harder, edz up 8% vs spxu up 3.7%
836
was able to cover 75% of EEM at 4525-33 BELOW yest low of 4583,,,EEM is under yest low, unlike spx which is over it,,another reason covering pre-mkt,,, eem seems "too low"
833
for now,,es remains firmly in the downchannel 15 and 60m mentioned yest
832
ES has a poss desc tri in 60min,,unknown if it plays out, trgt is 1160 es if it does
828
limit sell some sds 27.88 if able ona spike up over yest hi,,prob won't hit that profit target, stretch trgt
827
trading ideas long: HPQ uup srs xop tlt ung tyd(3x) faz edz,,, short qqqq xlf eem spy,,,but no new entries yet, just watching those stocks for poss additional entries atm
818
also the XLF is at 1445, right at my tgt i had yest for xlf so could bounce here,,1426 is next trgt down after bounce then break lower, but need to observe reactions here at the open and first hour of trading
813
one reason i held overnite,in addition to chart patterns and indicators, was that the Market Maker analysis suggested that the MM were still short yesterday, as I posted yest
811
closed new eem edz swing from yest for 6% profit,,, closed other edz for 18% profit, still have 25% shares from yest
757 am
nice gap down here atm,,,i'm using this opp to take some nice profits on swings, will close 75% of shares and hold rest,
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Monday, November 22, 2010
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
monday ramblings / ES Futures Sunday night
406
more noteworthy is the SPY red sale 1million shares at 120.17
405
spy 119 down wick AH
359
on 60min ES,,,the 60min UTL supp broke and now backtested, but the trend remains broken atm
358
dont forget, we did make a lower low today
356
POMO tomorrow,,, then next 11/29
354
that lil rally, that looked like short covering right there,,,no large block orders, yet anyways
333
1452 xlf trgt then may cover some shorts on xlf eem spx es edz faz etc,, or 1454 LOD
321
i'm looknig to enter TYD on a pullback swing long 7-10yr bond
315
xlf is sick *-)
311
eem spx qqqq xlf all remains on stay swing short
305
355 PM signal: TLT is now signaling swing long, a change from last 4 weeks short, to close shorts tlt, tbt etc
247
filled on more eem 4623,,edz 2340ish
246
*4623
245
i'll still take 4624 if able short eem, last 4620
244
yea,,,kinda scary to short this week,,but xlf is really bearish atm
243
eem hit 4614 or one cnet over 4613 trgt but didnt add more short yet
239
warn: XLF 3min: not rallying here with spx
232
eem more shorts 4624 if filled, last 4609, may take .13
222
tricky here cuz es still in 15min down channel
214
"dont
fight the trend,,, dont fight
Goldman Sachs" lol,,,tho the MM analysis
tricky atm
213
my MarketMaker analysis says they r still short intraday,,,expecting lower spx,,,will see
208
UNG just hit my 609 trgt :),,, tho i exited a bit early 605 cuz saw 600 coming
200
81% sell
158
i'm bearish while under 1192 es
155
118850 es was sell alert
154
es sell alert 80% confid,,other sell alert earlier today did trigger nice downside,,,sometimes will pop higher first
153
es 1190 trendline R
147pm
took 13 points on lhalf of last es trade 1197 at 10AM, trying for 6-8 here on half ,,,faz and edz r outperforming spx shorts
1338
not sure how much will get of 1188 short,,watching reaction at this R
1337es 1188 short
1336
shorting
again eem 4605,,, 2372 edza
120
1188 ES still resist,, should hold down on first test, watching
119
considering another day short EEM 4609/4611ish,,waiting to reenter,,still have half of EDZ day from 2300 last 2384
108
still have higher trg later in ung but taking the 11.5% profit on a non-3x etf
108
i am taking half of ung off here,,,close enough to 608 trgt, 605
103
is the es 60m setting up a complex bear HS from 10/27? mayb, for swings
1254
11.5% ung now,, looking for 12.0--12.25% roi ish
1253
UNG... 3 cents from trgt,,, cmon lol
1251
me waiting for green bar then backtest
1250
es hit 118250 or half point from 1182 trgt,,,me chikn for long tho LOL
1249
EEM nearing the 4564/4573 trgt
1248
like a key reversal day tho were r not at top
1247
right now ES has a bear engulf daily,,,totaally engufling yest hi/low range
1244
dow only down 135 pts,,,open to 1179 1172 es,,just watching and will cover shorts at stalls and move up
1234
still looking for xlf 1442ish trgt down,last 1456
1232
edz scalp now up 89 cents,,, 2389 vs 2300 entry this morn, for remaining shares :D
1231
1188 ES should fail on first test on any bounce there,,, es made lower low as expected :)
1229
eem now at 4600 support trgt
1228
4577 EEM trg b4 the 4519
1226
wow EEM trgt 45.19, last 4611
1224
maybe then wanna form a 3min,,,guess what,,, inv HS
1223
sell alert in ES for a lower low
1221
eem: 10min: a bear flag that broke lower and backtested for lower,,,or higher first? watching
1218
if 1188 breaks
1217
es 3min rec trgt 1182, tho supports at 118850, 1186
1211
es now approaching the "long scalp" setup i mentioned 11:37 am but no signal yet
1152
eem does have resist 4625/23 which could work for short, but waiting, not taking scalp
1141
may also want 620 and 700 so only selling 75% shares,,,
1140
UNG now at new high of day,,, 9 cents from its sell take profit trgt,,trying for 12% vs 10.75% roi
1133
sellers r likely lurking at es 1196 if it gets there,,,should turn down on first test there
1126
596 last, 608 will give 12% roi
1125
lim sell 75% ung 608 and try to buy bak lower if 608 is hit, 610 trgt
1113
es 3min stoch over 80, then under 20, then 20flat might present a long scalp opp,,,will take awhile for that to form, bias
down while in the wedge
1110
a 3min bull diverg es is forming but seems too weak to trade it long atm to me
1109
rigth now, its in a wedge, till broken over the 1192
1107
if es stays under 1192 will be forming a falling wedge,,,higher could be a downchannel instead or reverseup
1105
MrkMaker analysis says EEM should go over 4617 then lower under 4617 maybe under 4600,, will try to short the bounce,,,,never got the .37 short fill for more scalp, still have edz swings
1104
118750/1186 es trgt
1103
theres the ES break, 1min later
1103
eem making lower lows daily intraday now, new LOD :) new highs in edz
1059
grr missing trgts by one cent today,,, xlf hit 1466 not 67 and pulled bak,,,still see chop
1057
already hit 1429 or one cent under 1430 trgt,,,just waiting atm
1055
*4637 not 4638 to short EEM scalp,,,edz,, my trgt is 4638 but placed order a penny lower to assure a fill if trgt hit
1048
1442 xlf, bring it on :),,, last 1461,, for faz 1320/1330ish,, not likely str8 down here of course
1046
XLF warning,,,precarious,,barely holding sup
1041
lim order in to short the eem ,,,edz, at eem 4638
1040
i will wait for 4638 EEM,,,not .30, last .27,,,if stall then maybe go for .30ish
1036
exiting the EDZ scalp piece to lock 1% profit and will try reentry eem 4630 if able, last 4621 EEM
1036
impt: watching reaction now xlf at 1462 supp test
1032
taking 25% of shares in faz off here 1223, still see higher, for an easy 1% profit
1031
WOW the EEM is now at its low of day after running up with spx :)
1031
the 3x bear is approaching its first trgt now
1030
but i would wait for reaction at xlf 1462 first
1029
es long at xlf 1462 could work,,,es stronger should bounce at the support, for holds over 1hour, scalps not swing
1026
1443 is my "real" trgt for xlf short on "the bear 3x eftf"
1024
MM analysis suggests some chop here
1023
EDZ is at scalp 18-20 cent prof trgt now,,only selling 25% tho
1020
agressive could do faz here 1211 to short xlf, faz 3x bear xlf
1014
in more sustainable rallies, usually the xlf will lead up, not lag like this, "usually" LOL
1014
notice the daily xlf,,,its still in a clear downtrend unlike spx chop
1013
1462 xlf next supp, last 1469
1012
warning: XLF is at its LOD, testing,,,watching for hold or break lower
957
shorted eem 4651 cuz was near prior day hi 4655 yest
956
notice how xlf is just stuck here and not participating,,will short that later
955
shorting eem 4650,,,edz 2301 for swing/scalp combo
947
still holding the UNG long, now at 10.25% roi,, next trg 609,,maybe breaking higher here just a lil over yest Hi,, the 609 may present an opp to exit and take profit on half, and hold half,will watch reaction if it gets there
941
this 1192 ES pivot is impt: was resist on 11/13 then broke higher n turned to support, then broke lower again 11/16, then higher on 11/18
937
xlf continues weaker than spx this morn
934
same swing targets for EEM and SPX multi-week shorts,, now in week 3, weaving in and out on half of shares and simply holding other half thru the chop until signal changes to long
919
1187.50/1186 next ES down trgt support
917
its interesting that tho ES spike higher on Sun nite, ZB 30 yr treas futures did not fall much, and now have big green candle, diverg
746
atm charts suggest a test, bounce to lower hi 1200/1202, then under 1194, es 1200 is now resist
Monday 740 am
1194 ES is 60m trendline supp and horiz supp too,, over 1193/95 is bullish ES, under that turns bearish on trendline break 60m
So the first test of 1194 will likely hold, may be testing now at 1196
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
more noteworthy is the SPY red sale 1million shares at 120.17
405
spy 119 down wick AH
359
on 60min ES,,,the 60min UTL supp broke and now backtested, but the trend remains broken atm
358
dont forget, we did make a lower low today
356
POMO tomorrow,,, then next 11/29
354
that lil rally, that looked like short covering right there,,,no large block orders, yet anyways
333
1452 xlf trgt then may cover some shorts on xlf eem spx es edz faz etc,, or 1454 LOD
321
i'm looknig to enter TYD on a pullback swing long 7-10yr bond
315
xlf is sick *-)
311
eem spx qqqq xlf all remains on stay swing short
305
355 PM signal: TLT is now signaling swing long, a change from last 4 weeks short, to close shorts tlt, tbt etc
247
filled on more eem 4623,,edz 2340ish
246
*4623
245
i'll still take 4624 if able short eem, last 4620
244
yea,,,kinda scary to short this week,,but xlf is really bearish atm
243
eem hit 4614 or one cnet over 4613 trgt but didnt add more short yet
239
warn: XLF 3min: not rallying here with spx
232
eem more shorts 4624 if filled, last 4609, may take .13
222
tricky here cuz es still in 15min down channel
214
"dont
fight the trend,,, dont fight
Goldman Sachs" lol,,,tho the MM analysis
tricky atm
213
my MarketMaker analysis says they r still short intraday,,,expecting lower spx,,,will see
208
UNG just hit my 609 trgt :),,, tho i exited a bit early 605 cuz saw 600 coming
200
81% sell
158
i'm bearish while under 1192 es
155
118850 es was sell alert
154
es sell alert 80% confid,,other sell alert earlier today did trigger nice downside,,,sometimes will pop higher first
153
es 1190 trendline R
147pm
took 13 points on lhalf of last es trade 1197 at 10AM, trying for 6-8 here on half ,,,faz and edz r outperforming spx shorts
1338
not sure how much will get of 1188 short,,watching reaction at this R
1337es 1188 short
1336
shorting
again eem 4605,,, 2372 edza
120
1188 ES still resist,, should hold down on first test, watching
119
considering another day short EEM 4609/4611ish,,waiting to reenter,,still have half of EDZ day from 2300 last 2384
108
still have higher trg later in ung but taking the 11.5% profit on a non-3x etf
108
i am taking half of ung off here,,,close enough to 608 trgt, 605
103
is the es 60m setting up a complex bear HS from 10/27? mayb, for swings
1254
11.5% ung now,, looking for 12.0--12.25% roi ish
1253
UNG... 3 cents from trgt,,, cmon lol
1251
me waiting for green bar then backtest
1250
es hit 118250 or half point from 1182 trgt,,,me chikn for long tho LOL
1249
EEM nearing the 4564/4573 trgt
1248
like a key reversal day tho were r not at top
1247
right now ES has a bear engulf daily,,,totaally engufling yest hi/low range
1244
dow only down 135 pts,,,open to 1179 1172 es,,just watching and will cover shorts at stalls and move up
1234
still looking for xlf 1442ish trgt down,last 1456
1232
edz scalp now up 89 cents,,, 2389 vs 2300 entry this morn, for remaining shares :D
1231
1188 ES should fail on first test on any bounce there,,, es made lower low as expected :)
1229
eem now at 4600 support trgt
1228
4577 EEM trg b4 the 4519
1226
wow EEM trgt 45.19, last 4611
1224
maybe then wanna form a 3min,,,guess what,,, inv HS
1223
sell alert in ES for a lower low
1221
eem: 10min: a bear flag that broke lower and backtested for lower,,,or higher first? watching
1218
if 1188 breaks
1217
es 3min rec trgt 1182, tho supports at 118850, 1186
1211
es now approaching the "long scalp" setup i mentioned 11:37 am but no signal yet
1152
eem does have resist 4625/23 which could work for short, but waiting, not taking scalp
1141
may also want 620 and 700 so only selling 75% shares,,,
1140
UNG now at new high of day,,, 9 cents from its sell take profit trgt,,trying for 12% vs 10.75% roi
1133
sellers r likely lurking at es 1196 if it gets there,,,should turn down on first test there
1126
596 last, 608 will give 12% roi
1125
lim sell 75% ung 608 and try to buy bak lower if 608 is hit, 610 trgt
1113
es 3min stoch over 80, then under 20, then 20flat might present a long scalp opp,,,will take awhile for that to form, bias
down while in the wedge
1110
a 3min bull diverg es is forming but seems too weak to trade it long atm to me
1109
rigth now, its in a wedge, till broken over the 1192
1107
if es stays under 1192 will be forming a falling wedge,,,higher could be a downchannel instead or reverseup
1105
MrkMaker analysis says EEM should go over 4617 then lower under 4617 maybe under 4600,, will try to short the bounce,,,,never got the .37 short fill for more scalp, still have edz swings
1104
118750/1186 es trgt
1103
theres the ES break, 1min later
1103
eem making lower lows daily intraday now, new LOD :) new highs in edz
1059
grr missing trgts by one cent today,,, xlf hit 1466 not 67 and pulled bak,,,still see chop
1057
already hit 1429 or one cent under 1430 trgt,,,just waiting atm
1055
*4637 not 4638 to short EEM scalp,,,edz,, my trgt is 4638 but placed order a penny lower to assure a fill if trgt hit
1048
1442 xlf, bring it on :),,, last 1461,, for faz 1320/1330ish,, not likely str8 down here of course
1046
XLF warning,,,precarious,,barely holding sup
1041
lim order in to short the eem ,,,edz, at eem 4638
1040
i will wait for 4638 EEM,,,not .30, last .27,,,if stall then maybe go for .30ish
1036
exiting the EDZ scalp piece to lock 1% profit and will try reentry eem 4630 if able, last 4621 EEM
1036
impt: watching reaction now xlf at 1462 supp test
1032
taking 25% of shares in faz off here 1223, still see higher, for an easy 1% profit
1031
WOW the EEM is now at its low of day after running up with spx :)
1031
the 3x bear is approaching its first trgt now
1030
but i would wait for reaction at xlf 1462 first
1029
es long at xlf 1462 could work,,,es stronger should bounce at the support, for holds over 1hour, scalps not swing
1026
1443 is my "real" trgt for xlf short on "the bear 3x eftf"
1024
MM analysis suggests some chop here
1023
EDZ is at scalp 18-20 cent prof trgt now,,only selling 25% tho
1020
agressive could do faz here 1211 to short xlf, faz 3x bear xlf
1014
in more sustainable rallies, usually the xlf will lead up, not lag like this, "usually" LOL
1014
notice the daily xlf,,,its still in a clear downtrend unlike spx chop
1013
1462 xlf next supp, last 1469
1012
warning: XLF is at its LOD, testing,,,watching for hold or break lower
957
shorted eem 4651 cuz was near prior day hi 4655 yest
956
notice how xlf is just stuck here and not participating,,will short that later
955
shorting eem 4650,,,edz 2301 for swing/scalp combo
947
still holding the UNG long, now at 10.25% roi,, next trg 609,,maybe breaking higher here just a lil over yest Hi,, the 609 may present an opp to exit and take profit on half, and hold half,will watch reaction if it gets there
941
this 1192 ES pivot is impt: was resist on 11/13 then broke higher n turned to support, then broke lower again 11/16, then higher on 11/18
937
xlf continues weaker than spx this morn
934
same swing targets for EEM and SPX multi-week shorts,, now in week 3, weaving in and out on half of shares and simply holding other half thru the chop until signal changes to long
919
1187.50/1186 next ES down trgt support
917
its interesting that tho ES spike higher on Sun nite, ZB 30 yr treas futures did not fall much, and now have big green candle, diverg
746
atm charts suggest a test, bounce to lower hi 1200/1202, then under 1194, es 1200 is now resist
Monday 740 am
1194 ES is 60m trendline supp and horiz supp too,, over 1193/95 is bullish ES, under that turns bearish on trendline break 60m
So the first test of 1194 will likely hold, may be testing now at 1196
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Friday, November 19, 2010
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Friday ramblings
313
355pm signal still says "hold shorts" on spy qqqq eem russel from Nov 8.
310
Today's volume on SPY is very very lite. Any rally is suspect on such.
134
ES on sell also from 1195.50
134
SPY
15min is on sell to hold for hours,
not scalp
fwiw,,k bye ,, "again" lol
118
UNG trgt 609 next, lsat 593, but see up to 720 in UNG which would give 32% profit if hit
111
out of ewj 1046 for one cent loss,,,prefer to reenter later
104
ewj new entry from yest, still on swing buy hold but electing early exit
103pm
I will limit sell EWJ 1052 if filled and look to re-enter. Small profit only but think better to exit re-enter.
1126
For DOW 355pm swing signal:
All of DOW is on "hold swing short" except for AXP KO INTC
KO continues to be an amazing long hedge, even making a new high today
6560 is the KO all time hi (20 yr hi),, KO is stretching to test it at 6396 last
Also since July, MCD has made NEW all time highs almost every week, tho its now going sideways,, but i'm still in both the MCD and KO,,posted here many times about these 2
1118
UNG keeps moving up, now at 8.6% profit, toward trgt 605 or 12%
1040
simplified
view: for multihour holds,
, SPY is on "short
bounces" as long as rsi 60min is
under 57 and pref under 52, last 47,, rsi(14)
1038
generally if the signal "flashes" on or off, both longs and shorts would be profitable but the profit would be small until signal makes up its mind.
1036
also OIH is flashing on and off for long, tho USO remains on short,,,these are for 1-6 week swings not scalps
1035
The long in EWJ is new, but borderline signal that could flash off
1034
fwiw, 355pm Signal says remain short all the Top 100 ETFs except long signals for: EWJ UNG UUP XOP. Some of these have already been short for 1-5 weeks, so the signal does not necearrily mean "enter new shorts here"
951
UNG at key R which i expect to break higher at 584,,,could pullback first or break here today
946
Will be taking most of today off for vacation day
quik update: new EEM short from yest EDZ is doing well,, will hold it longer, also UNG moving up this morn
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
355pm signal still says "hold shorts" on spy qqqq eem russel from Nov 8.
310
Today's volume on SPY is very very lite. Any rally is suspect on such.
134
ES on sell also from 1195.50
134
SPY
15min is on sell to hold for hours,
not scalp
fwiw,,k bye ,, "again" lol
118
UNG trgt 609 next, lsat 593, but see up to 720 in UNG which would give 32% profit if hit
111
out of ewj 1046 for one cent loss,,,prefer to reenter later
104
ewj new entry from yest, still on swing buy hold but electing early exit
103pm
I will limit sell EWJ 1052 if filled and look to re-enter. Small profit only but think better to exit re-enter.
1126
For DOW 355pm swing signal:
All of DOW is on "hold swing short" except for AXP KO INTC
KO continues to be an amazing long hedge, even making a new high today
6560 is the KO all time hi (20 yr hi),, KO is stretching to test it at 6396 last
Also since July, MCD has made NEW all time highs almost every week, tho its now going sideways,, but i'm still in both the MCD and KO,,posted here many times about these 2
1118
UNG keeps moving up, now at 8.6% profit, toward trgt 605 or 12%
1040
simplified
view: for multihour holds,
, SPY is on "short
bounces" as long as rsi 60min is
under 57 and pref under 52, last 47,, rsi(14)
1038
generally if the signal "flashes" on or off, both longs and shorts would be profitable but the profit would be small until signal makes up its mind.
1036
also OIH is flashing on and off for long, tho USO remains on short,,,these are for 1-6 week swings not scalps
1035
The long in EWJ is new, but borderline signal that could flash off
1034
fwiw, 355pm Signal says remain short all the Top 100 ETFs except long signals for: EWJ UNG UUP XOP. Some of these have already been short for 1-5 weeks, so the signal does not necearrily mean "enter new shorts here"
951
UNG at key R which i expect to break higher at 584,,,could pullback first or break here today
946
Will be taking most of today off for vacation day
quik update: new EEM short from yest EDZ is doing well,, will hold it longer, also UNG moving up this morn
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Thursday, November 18, 2010
Thurs ramblings (and Wedn eve ES futures)
416
see xlf daily candel? bear shoot star BUT its "less valid" because 4 red candles
411
UNG had a nice day today,,, it tested suppport which held and pivoted up to make a higher hi than yest
409
several million shares of SPY being sold red AH
407
SPY wicks pointing down under 118.50 for tomorrow,,, 118.18
356
ewj is a bit tricky---its gapped higher today and is at daily boll band res,,,but this 355PM signal has 100% wins for 2010 yr so trying a
353
i am going to hedge long with EWJ long 1040--1050 area,,,sounds crazy but setups there ,,,, 25% starter position only
349
a few changes on 355PM signal today to long,,tho still on short for spx qqqq russel eem xlf
345
almost 1% so far on the scalp EDZ and FAZ,,,still have half,,,,
340
taking half edz scalp off 2321 for 21 cents
338
4627 eem trgt if able for the edz scalp
337
taking half faz off here 1185 at stall just to be sfae on this boring day
336
i'll sell half of faz when xlf hits 1481
334
taking half of ES off here for 3 points profit,,holding other half
333
1176 faz
327
1481 xlf trgt
325
xlf is breaking down here, slowluy, could pull down spx qqqq eem
320
edz 2300 scalp, rebuying what was sold b4
319
xlf is rite at support, watching to see if holds or not
311
poss inv bull HS es 3min, but such narrow range can go either way
237
exiting EEM short scalp near breakeven, keeping swing eem short,,not worth the scalp
236
1492 xlf R
235
xlf hit 1488 not 1487 by 233pm,,,
214
1487 xlf by 233pn est trgt
211
xlf 1487 trgt last 1490
205
could be warning tho not tradeable,,,they will quickly step aside if caught on wrong side
205
hmm interesting,,,one report i have suggests marketmaker just took a small loss on a long intraday,, not tradeable just interesting
149
84% sell
on EEM
139
UNG breaking higher,,,didnt move to the .57 first
137
MM lowering their asks here, bearish
134
83% sell still on
106
the EEM 60min chart just showed the first minor crack of the day in it,,,easily could be repaired but warning is there,,, no cracks on the xlf or spx,, usually the crack gives a small down move, then up, sideways
1255
sell alert still on 82%,,,needs 85 to move
1246
82% sell alert, up a lil
1242
ung could break here without the .57 pullbak
1241
todays ung trgts same as yest
1241
UNG waking up,,, is at resist so 5.57 then over 565 would make sense
1238
sell alert 79%,, first one today, es 119750
1234
EEM limit cover 75% scalps at 4627 if able,, edz will sell whatever its at if EEM hits there,,holding swing position overnite
1223
the scalp profits may be small due to narrow range atm
1222
more edz
here 2298 for scalp sswing combo, eem .55
1207
actually hoping EEM makes a run for 4685 to fill limit add shorts there,,,else will run with existing position, swing scalp combo
1159
Market Makers are doing inverse of
pattern 2 days ago,, that is,,
selling into this, going
short,,suggests lower in
coming
hours days (after sideways
intraday),,,as the prev pattern
suggested up
1152
see down for swings,,intraday sideways lil more,,,down, up, then down harder nice 2nd time
1149
EDZ dec 24 calls could work, 1.50/1.65,, or higher vol EEM puts
1132
ES may make higher hi but still see lower coming hours,,, will short the extreme
1118
ES should move down,,but bounce,,,then move down again,,,the 2nd move down will usually give a better scalp daytrade
1106
MM were forced long on the big red candle 2 days ago,,now appear to be unwinding as we expected
1100
see the daily bear HS setting up ES EEM?
1045
4637 eem trgt down for scalps
1037
ES 3min forming bear rise wedge
1034
yest i mentioned that my Market Maker studies showed that MM were long and higher prices expected,, now they are selling into this, unwinding, and possibly shorting as well,,, unsure on the shorting atm
1032
xlf just hit my 1491 trgt from yest, but not shorting any more of it swing,,,still prefer the emerg mkt
954
edz is 3x short the emerging mkt or EEM,, i still prefer it over shorting XLF QQQQ SPX tho i'm also short swing on those too
954
i am adding back edz here at 23.29
927
Good Morning
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
see xlf daily candel? bear shoot star BUT its "less valid" because 4 red candles
411
UNG had a nice day today,,, it tested suppport which held and pivoted up to make a higher hi than yest
409
several million shares of SPY being sold red AH
407
SPY wicks pointing down under 118.50 for tomorrow,,, 118.18
356
ewj is a bit tricky---its gapped higher today and is at daily boll band res,,,but this 355PM signal has 100% wins for 2010 yr so trying a
353
i am going to hedge long with EWJ long 1040--1050 area,,,sounds crazy but setups there ,,,, 25% starter position only
349
a few changes on 355PM signal today to long,,tho still on short for spx qqqq russel eem xlf
345
almost 1% so far on the scalp EDZ and FAZ,,,still have half,,,,
340
taking half edz scalp off 2321 for 21 cents
338
4627 eem trgt if able for the edz scalp
337
taking half faz off here 1185 at stall just to be sfae on this boring day
336
i'll sell half of faz when xlf hits 1481
334
taking half of ES off here for 3 points profit,,holding other half
333
1176 faz
327
1481 xlf trgt
325
xlf is breaking down here, slowluy, could pull down spx qqqq eem
320
edz 2300 scalp, rebuying what was sold b4
319
xlf is rite at support, watching to see if holds or not
311
poss inv bull HS es 3min, but such narrow range can go either way
237
exiting EEM short scalp near breakeven, keeping swing eem short,,not worth the scalp
236
1492 xlf R
235
xlf hit 1488 not 1487 by 233pm,,,
214
1487 xlf by 233pn est trgt
211
xlf 1487 trgt last 1490
205
could be warning tho not tradeable,,,they will quickly step aside if caught on wrong side
205
hmm interesting,,,one report i have suggests marketmaker just took a small loss on a long intraday,, not tradeable just interesting
149
84% sell
on EEM
139
UNG breaking higher,,,didnt move to the .57 first
137
MM lowering their asks here, bearish
134
83% sell still on
106
the EEM 60min chart just showed the first minor crack of the day in it,,,easily could be repaired but warning is there,,, no cracks on the xlf or spx,, usually the crack gives a small down move, then up, sideways
1255
sell alert still on 82%,,,needs 85 to move
1246
82% sell alert, up a lil
1242
ung could break here without the .57 pullbak
1241
todays ung trgts same as yest
1241
UNG waking up,,, is at resist so 5.57 then over 565 would make sense
1238
sell alert 79%,, first one today, es 119750
1234
EEM limit cover 75% scalps at 4627 if able,, edz will sell whatever its at if EEM hits there,,holding swing position overnite
1223
the scalp profits may be small due to narrow range atm
1222
more edz
here 2298 for scalp sswing combo, eem .55
1207
actually hoping EEM makes a run for 4685 to fill limit add shorts there,,,else will run with existing position, swing scalp combo
1159
Market Makers are doing inverse of
pattern 2 days ago,, that is,,
selling into this, going
short,,suggests lower in
coming
hours days (after sideways
intraday),,,as the prev pattern
suggested up
1152
see down for swings,,intraday sideways lil more,,,down, up, then down harder nice 2nd time
1149
EDZ dec 24 calls could work, 1.50/1.65,, or higher vol EEM puts
1132
ES may make higher hi but still see lower coming hours,,, will short the extreme
1118
ES should move down,,but bounce,,,then move down again,,,the 2nd move down will usually give a better scalp daytrade
1106
MM were forced long on the big red candle 2 days ago,,now appear to be unwinding as we expected
1100
see the daily bear HS setting up ES EEM?
1045
4637 eem trgt down for scalps
1037
ES 3min forming bear rise wedge
1034
yest i mentioned that my Market Maker studies showed that MM were long and higher prices expected,, now they are selling into this, unwinding, and possibly shorting as well,,, unsure on the shorting atm
1032
xlf just hit my 1491 trgt from yest, but not shorting any more of it swing,,,still prefer the emerg mkt
954
edz is 3x short the emerging mkt or EEM,, i still prefer it over shorting XLF QQQQ SPX tho i'm also short swing on those too
954
i am adding back edz here at 23.29
927
Good Morning
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Wednesday, November 17, 2010
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
My Top 100 ETF list
When I refer to my Top 100 ETF list, here are the symbols in the list:
AGG BGU BGZ BND CSJ DBA DBC DDM DIA DIG DXD EEM EFA EPP EWA EWC EWH EWJ EWS EWT EWW EWY EWZ FAS FAZ FXI GDX GLD HYG IBB ICF IJH IJR ILF IVV IVW IWB IWD IWF IWM IWN IWO IWP IWR IWS IYF IYM IYR JNK KBE KRE LQD MDY OEF OIH QID QLD QQQQ RSX RTH SDS SH SHY SKF SLV SMH SPY SRS SSO TBT TIP TLT TNA TWM TZA UNG URE USO UUP UYG UYM VEA VEU VNQ VTI VWO VXX XHB XLB XLE XLF XLI XLK XLP XLU XLV XLY XME XOP XRT
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
AGG BGU BGZ BND CSJ DBA DBC DDM DIA DIG DXD EEM EFA EPP EWA EWC EWH EWJ EWS EWT EWW EWY EWZ FAS FAZ FXI GDX GLD HYG IBB ICF IJH IJR ILF IVV IVW IWB IWD IWF IWM IWN IWO IWP IWR IWS IYF IYM IYR JNK KBE KRE LQD MDY OEF OIH QID QLD QQQQ RSX RTH SDS SH SHY SKF SLV SMH SPY SRS SSO TBT TIP TLT TNA TWM TZA UNG URE USO UUP UYG UYM VEA VEU VNQ VTI VWO VXX XHB XLB XLE XLF XLI XLK XLP XLU XLV XLY XME XOP XRT
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Wedn ramblings (and Tues eve ES futures)
412
of the Top 100 Etfs, they are all still on "hold swing shorts" for everything except UNG and UUP (and the bear inverses) ... Top 100 includes oil gold bonds and various equity sectors,,,tho bonds may be basing they r stil on hold swing sell short
400
i'm out of BA,,,may re-enter as swing, did not close high enough for me to hold overnite, took only scalp profits today
359
no shorts added: the ES boll bands compressed on 60min but SPY is not
358
still only
50% short swings,,,didnt get an
entry to add more shorts today
355
UNG came close to its daily trgt but missed by few cents,,,i remain long the UNG up 6% roi for now
354
selling BA
here .56
348
lim sell 75% BA 6262
335
taking half of spx es off here at breakeven,,,holding other half for higher,,,2nd buy accomplished cost avg purpose
257
direction of next 3min candle could determin dir for rest of day into close, es
233
buy program alert 80%
232
es under 1178 i'll exit for 1 pt loss,,staying for now
230
UNG is 6 cents from trgt
228
poss 3min es bull stoch dbl bot
219
UNG still on trak for the 5.83 daily trgt,,,can still hit it,, or maybe tomorrow, watching
211
UNG waking up
204
filled on BA addition
202
using margin on BA to enter 125% size,,rare i do that, but have profit to reinvest so loss is absorbable
201
more BA at .62 lim buy if able
157
lim sell half BA 6283 to lock profits,,,keep half
146
xlf is flirting with disaster here,,,needs to hold support,,weaker than spx tday,, but not shorting this xlf chart
135
just hit .83 as i was typing target
135
large positinos could take more profit .83 BA trgt,,then .94/.97,,, 6307
134
BA
breaking higher,,trying breakout
133
BA next trgt .83 then .97 with lim at .94 to sell more
132
taking off 25% BA here to lock profit,,keeping 75%, about 40 cents prof
126
still see 1182,,tho clearly the 117 time missed :( ,,, i expected slowdown to 5mph not 1mph
122
buy program alert, 79%,,needs 85% to move fast
111
hmm not sure the es will make the 1182 by 117pm,, stalled more that calculated here
1254
1:17pm est time for ES to test and break over 1182
1249
ES stoch 3min hit the 20ish trgt and bounced
1247
lim sell 75% of BA 6294 if filled for 1% profit scalp
1244
alao poss bull 3 drives to hi on 60min es
1242
15min shows a weird looking poss bull inv HS, W, dbl bot type thing
1228
theres the BA move under .70 to .60,,,immediately reversed higher as expected
1217
BA should move under .70,,,then over it later
1216
60min es is nearing a triple high, usually bullish not bearish, 3rd time often breaks higher
1214
ES 15min stoch looks lil overbought but could stay there awhile,,,isnt bearish yet,still see higher es
1206
BA is at parab resis now 15min,,i expect this to break higher and give a parab buy long signal
1204
the BA boll bands were diff,,,wider,,,so i bought support instead of buying breakout
1203
when bands r compressed,,,prices will generally continue in the direction of the break of BB
1201
clue: notice that both the 15min and 60min boll bands have narrowed flatt,,also they r both near same #,,,notice tho how the 15min is beginning to stretch higher,,,a bull sign esp since the 15/60 are at same #
1157
but first will see reaction at 6300,,,to make sure doesnt blast rite thru it
1156
BA daily trgt 1 of 6297 trgt would give 1% roi for non 3x etf,,,,BUT this is 3rd test so may well break higher still,, prob will sell half BA at 6297/6304 if able,,,then hold half and look to reenter long if able on pullbak from the 6297
1146
BA 3min macd line crossed over 0 which means the 13ma crossed over the 26ma
1142
there goes BA broke resist higher
1140
es 1190 resist:
the 1190 was BOTH a daily low and a trendline break point
1138
my stuff shows the MktMakers r still long and must unwind higher,, if the MM are on wrong side and cannot unwind higher, they will be v quick to jump off and then sell,,,but for now seems higher
1137
ES 3min has a poss bull flag
1134
*1190/91
1133
if es found 1192, sellers should be there,,,that could be good swing if its hit that hi
1132
i'm trying to trade wave 3 up on the BA,,,15min looks like beg of W3 here
1124
Boeing is giving me "something should happen up down for scalps" but i dont know which way,,,signal divided,, bias remains up tho
1113
BA is STILL ON swing short 355pm signal,,,trading long the bounce only atm,,,and poss trend swing change unknown
1111
BA has a 2x bull diverg on 60min chart as it bases,,,the move down was powerful, so may need a 3x diverg to get going in coming days, tho 2x may do it, hence the 50% entry not 100% size
1108
ung 5.83 daily trgt today, last 570, that would push the roi to 8% ish, then see over $6 later
1052
roi 4.75% atm on UNG swing long
1051
UNG continues to look bullish,, may get a big green candle today or tomorrow
1047
qqqq still on swing sell from few days bak, but currently basing for up then down more
1046
6406 trg for BA, last 6251
1044
BA went down to 6229 after 6236 fill long but has since popped bak to 6250
1042
BA looks to be forming a base, the boll bands on the 60 and 15m are flat, narrower,,expecting a push up from the base,,,this is similar to the KO long setup from b4 that i had
1027
i'll go LONG hedge in BA 62.36 lim if filled, last 6250,,, for a 50% size position
1014
i'm looking for long swing bond entries now,,,but in the treasuries 3 10 20 30 years, prob wont get an entry today,,,but looking for one as they stabilize,, the TLT etc is still on a "swing short" signal but i expect it might change
1007
looking for faz 1170-1180ish, will know if it gets there by chart looks,,last still 1208, to short the xlf via faz
1005
for scalp rite now i have buy dips,,,and expect it to change to short rallies later today
959
charts suggest some sideways up down up down for now
940
UNG long has gapped up,,,still holding for more, maybe add to it later, up 4% roi atm
939
The 355pm Signal swing is still on "hold shorts",,,looking for entry to add more shorts,,,none yet,,,think we go higher first
932
GM
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
of the Top 100 Etfs, they are all still on "hold swing shorts" for everything except UNG and UUP (and the bear inverses) ... Top 100 includes oil gold bonds and various equity sectors,,,tho bonds may be basing they r stil on hold swing sell short
400
i'm out of BA,,,may re-enter as swing, did not close high enough for me to hold overnite, took only scalp profits today
359
no shorts added: the ES boll bands compressed on 60min but SPY is not
358
still only
50% short swings,,,didnt get an
entry to add more shorts today
355
UNG came close to its daily trgt but missed by few cents,,,i remain long the UNG up 6% roi for now
354
selling BA
here .56
348
lim sell 75% BA 6262
335
taking half of spx es off here at breakeven,,,holding other half for higher,,,2nd buy accomplished cost avg purpose
257
direction of next 3min candle could determin dir for rest of day into close, es
233
buy program alert 80%
232
es under 1178 i'll exit for 1 pt loss,,staying for now
230
UNG is 6 cents from trgt
228
poss 3min es bull stoch dbl bot
219
UNG still on trak for the 5.83 daily trgt,,,can still hit it,, or maybe tomorrow, watching
211
UNG waking up
204
filled on BA addition
202
using margin on BA to enter 125% size,,rare i do that, but have profit to reinvest so loss is absorbable
201
more BA at .62 lim buy if able
157
lim sell half BA 6283 to lock profits,,,keep half
146
xlf is flirting with disaster here,,,needs to hold support,,weaker than spx tday,, but not shorting this xlf chart
135
just hit .83 as i was typing target
135
large positinos could take more profit .83 BA trgt,,then .94/.97,,, 6307
134
BA
breaking higher,,trying breakout
133
BA next trgt .83 then .97 with lim at .94 to sell more
132
taking off 25% BA here to lock profit,,keeping 75%, about 40 cents prof
126
still see 1182,,tho clearly the 117 time missed :( ,,, i expected slowdown to 5mph not 1mph
122
buy program alert, 79%,,needs 85% to move fast
111
hmm not sure the es will make the 1182 by 117pm,, stalled more that calculated here
1254
1:17pm est time for ES to test and break over 1182
1249
ES stoch 3min hit the 20ish trgt and bounced
1247
lim sell 75% of BA 6294 if filled for 1% profit scalp
1244
alao poss bull 3 drives to hi on 60min es
1242
15min shows a weird looking poss bull inv HS, W, dbl bot type thing
1228
theres the BA move under .70 to .60,,,immediately reversed higher as expected
1217
BA should move under .70,,,then over it later
1216
60min es is nearing a triple high, usually bullish not bearish, 3rd time often breaks higher
1214
ES 15min stoch looks lil overbought but could stay there awhile,,,isnt bearish yet,still see higher es
1206
BA is at parab resis now 15min,,i expect this to break higher and give a parab buy long signal
1204
the BA boll bands were diff,,,wider,,,so i bought support instead of buying breakout
1203
when bands r compressed,,,prices will generally continue in the direction of the break of BB
1201
clue: notice that both the 15min and 60min boll bands have narrowed flatt,,also they r both near same #,,,notice tho how the 15min is beginning to stretch higher,,,a bull sign esp since the 15/60 are at same #
1157
but first will see reaction at 6300,,,to make sure doesnt blast rite thru it
1156
BA daily trgt 1 of 6297 trgt would give 1% roi for non 3x etf,,,,BUT this is 3rd test so may well break higher still,, prob will sell half BA at 6297/6304 if able,,,then hold half and look to reenter long if able on pullbak from the 6297
1146
BA 3min macd line crossed over 0 which means the 13ma crossed over the 26ma
1142
there goes BA broke resist higher
1140
es 1190 resist:
the 1190 was BOTH a daily low and a trendline break point
1138
my stuff shows the MktMakers r still long and must unwind higher,, if the MM are on wrong side and cannot unwind higher, they will be v quick to jump off and then sell,,,but for now seems higher
1137
ES 3min has a poss bull flag
1134
*1190/91
1133
if es found 1192, sellers should be there,,,that could be good swing if its hit that hi
1132
i'm trying to trade wave 3 up on the BA,,,15min looks like beg of W3 here
1124
Boeing is giving me "something should happen up down for scalps" but i dont know which way,,,signal divided,, bias remains up tho
1113
BA is STILL ON swing short 355pm signal,,,trading long the bounce only atm,,,and poss trend swing change unknown
1111
BA has a 2x bull diverg on 60min chart as it bases,,,the move down was powerful, so may need a 3x diverg to get going in coming days, tho 2x may do it, hence the 50% entry not 100% size
1108
ung 5.83 daily trgt today, last 570, that would push the roi to 8% ish, then see over $6 later
1052
roi 4.75% atm on UNG swing long
1051
UNG continues to look bullish,, may get a big green candle today or tomorrow
1047
qqqq still on swing sell from few days bak, but currently basing for up then down more
1046
6406 trg for BA, last 6251
1044
BA went down to 6229 after 6236 fill long but has since popped bak to 6250
1042
BA looks to be forming a base, the boll bands on the 60 and 15m are flat, narrower,,expecting a push up from the base,,,this is similar to the KO long setup from b4 that i had
1027
i'll go LONG hedge in BA 62.36 lim if filled, last 6250,,, for a 50% size position
1014
i'm looking for long swing bond entries now,,,but in the treasuries 3 10 20 30 years, prob wont get an entry today,,,but looking for one as they stabilize,, the TLT etc is still on a "swing short" signal but i expect it might change
1007
looking for faz 1170-1180ish, will know if it gets there by chart looks,,last still 1208, to short the xlf via faz
1005
for scalp rite now i have buy dips,,,and expect it to change to short rallies later today
959
charts suggest some sideways up down up down for now
940
UNG long has gapped up,,,still holding for more, maybe add to it later, up 4% roi atm
939
The 355pm Signal swing is still on "hold shorts",,,looking for entry to add more shorts,,,none yet,,,think we go higher first
932
GM
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Tuesday, November 16, 2010
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
Tuesday ramblings (and Mon nite futures)
356
xlf just
hit the 1478 trgt
336
or 1480 trgt, have lim order still to sell 1479
335
*1478 trgt
335
xlf buy prog 80%
304
355pm signal remains on stay short swing,,,i'm short swing,,only long on scalps
254
now ES is at 3min DTL,,,wathcing to see break higher, es 117575
252
15min es rsi putting in a higher low
251
first test on 3min trendline held,,,expect break higher on nexty test
204
es 1180 would be backtest of broken DTL 60m
203
the 15min es stoch moving up toward trgt as expected,,,still see more up
156
this is also horizon resist on ES here
155
ES is rite at 3min DTL resis here,,,charts suggest it could go higher still and break it,,,but stall may happn,,at 1178.75 perf touch,, the 3min trendlines often break tho
121
15min candles narrow
range bodies plus MarketMaker
reports,,,could bounce
120
MarketMakers are building long day positinos atm, if my analysis is correct,,,good only to scalp not swing
105
once xlf breaks its 3min downtrend, es should pop up a lil too
104
xlf is now testing the 3min downtrend R line,,,expecting it to break higher and not hold, weaker R on 3min
1252
also xlf is forming a bull falling wedge 10min
1251
at es 1173
1251
its taking long time but still have a mini bounce signal,,,have 355pm signal to hold shorts swing tho
1245
still see another es bounce
1154
lim sell 75% shrs xlf at 1482
1146
ES just hit 1172 trgt
1140
lim sell xlf 75% shares 1486 if filled
1134
intc has moved up as expected,,,still see some higher
1132
nervous xlf fas scalps could exit now small profit,,,i remain long for now scalp
1128
xlf rsi 3min over 38 and pref over 45 would be a bullish swing failure,,, and is basing now
1124
1181 trgt ES
1122
still see
bounce es,,,swing short,,,added xlf 1474, fas
1117
xlf 10min has a 10min bull inv hammer forming,,,should get sideways or bounce intraday only,,,still swing short
1112
INTC should mover over 2105, last 2095
1111
yes,,,my
analysis shows that
MarketMakers are now temp long
tho,,they need to push up price,
scalp long only not swings
1106
OK ES just hit my 1179 trgt from 9AM,,,watchingf reaction here now
1104
taking 19% roi here on half of EEM,,, 355pm signal says hold longer so keeping half of it
taking 19% roi here on half of EEM,,, 355pm signal says hold longer so keeping half of it
taking 19% roi here on half of EEM,,, 355pm signal says hold longer so keeping half of it
taking 19% roi here on half of EEM,,, 355pm signal says hold longer so keeping half of it
1100
i'm locking profits on half typ mini swing from yest for 5%,,, edz still at 19% roi
1056
trying to play the xlf near its support and ES support at the 1179 trgt
1055
2281 FAS here long xlf 1481...not a swing,,for bounce only
1049
ES 118450 should hold on first test, to move lower
1047
EEM,,, EDZ swing jumps to 19% ROI :) :)
1046
a fast
move flash crash not likely but
could dribble down
there r
multiple mini supports
1179 72 68 59 55 ES supports
1041
the ES has now clearly broken the daily uptrend support line,,,if its a bearish break it will gennerally move lower b4 backtesting it so watching reactions
1038
long could work here, stoch now at the 2nd trip down mentioned b4,,,but waiting for long
1037
ES is now rite on the 60min down channel support line,,,sideways or bounce here likely, or 1179,,close
1034
qqqq hit .87 or one cent under the trgt,,,.87 held so far
1033
ok 5188 profit locked on half,,,now i'll reshort the mini bounce
1032
lim order to cover 25-50% of qqqq there
1031
5188 qqqq trgt under the .91 low of day
1026
es 1188 would be 3min DTL resist which has held thus far
1025
still have todays trgt 1179 ES stretch
1024
TYP 1.5% profit via typ from entry at 940am,, yest TYP is at 4% profit
1020
cancelling add more qqqq 5228,,,using what i have for now short
1018
will add short qqqq 5228 if able
1010
ES is now at resist via 3min DTL,,,holding atm
1007
qqqq does have a 15min bull diverg,,but thinking lower first to better define that diverg b4 bigger bounce later on
1006
QQQQ atm i have a "short rallies" for holds over 15min
1005
i'll wait for a 3min stoch roundtrip b4 long prob
1003
5190 will take a piece of qqqq off for scalp profit lock,,,holding rest for lower thru the day
956
ES 1179 trgt
945
UNG should push to new daily highgs
943
filled on qqqqq short
940
i will qqqq short 5223/5226 if able to add q shorts,,still have typ from yest, up 3%
937
EEM continues weaker than both qqqq and spx
935
wow CVX is at 8250 now, down from 8485 yest ,,,taking profits 8252!
933
1179 es horiz support in addition to blue trendlines
931
UNG long gapped up nice and is at 3.35% roi since entry yest
930
theres the first 118850 rejection
928
118850 should find sellers on first try ES,,well maybe not due to higher vol poss at 930am
913
EEM short EDZ swing is now up 15.4% from when i posted entry, still on hold swing,, moving in and out of EDZ would produce higher profit %, that's for the simple buy n hold
844 AM
ES came
close to the trendline trgt 1185
and hit 118650 and bounced
its now
finding some resist at the dotted
line trendline (one that cuts thru
price)
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
xlf just
hit the 1478 trgt
336
or 1480 trgt, have lim order still to sell 1479
335
*1478 trgt
335
xlf buy prog 80%
304
355pm signal remains on stay short swing,,,i'm short swing,,only long on scalps
254
now ES is at 3min DTL,,,wathcing to see break higher, es 117575
252
15min es rsi putting in a higher low
251
first test on 3min trendline held,,,expect break higher on nexty test
204
es 1180 would be backtest of broken DTL 60m
203
the 15min es stoch moving up toward trgt as expected,,,still see more up
156
this is also horizon resist on ES here
155
ES is rite at 3min DTL resis here,,,charts suggest it could go higher still and break it,,,but stall may happn,,at 1178.75 perf touch,, the 3min trendlines often break tho
121
15min candles narrow
range bodies plus MarketMaker
reports,,,could bounce
120
MarketMakers are building long day positinos atm, if my analysis is correct,,,good only to scalp not swing
105
once xlf breaks its 3min downtrend, es should pop up a lil too
104
xlf is now testing the 3min downtrend R line,,,expecting it to break higher and not hold, weaker R on 3min
1252
also xlf is forming a bull falling wedge 10min
1251
at es 1173
1251
its taking long time but still have a mini bounce signal,,,have 355pm signal to hold shorts swing tho
1245
still see another es bounce
1154
lim sell 75% shrs xlf at 1482
1146
ES just hit 1172 trgt
1140
lim sell xlf 75% shares 1486 if filled
1134
intc has moved up as expected,,,still see some higher
1132
nervous xlf fas scalps could exit now small profit,,,i remain long for now scalp
1128
xlf rsi 3min over 38 and pref over 45 would be a bullish swing failure,,, and is basing now
1124
1181 trgt ES
1122
still see
bounce es,,,swing short,,,added xlf 1474, fas
1117
xlf 10min has a 10min bull inv hammer forming,,,should get sideways or bounce intraday only,,,still swing short
1112
INTC should mover over 2105, last 2095
1111
yes,,,my
analysis shows that
MarketMakers are now temp long
tho,,they need to push up price,
scalp long only not swings
1106
OK ES just hit my 1179 trgt from 9AM,,,watchingf reaction here now
1104
taking 19% roi here on half of EEM,,, 355pm signal says hold longer so keeping half of it
taking 19% roi here on half of EEM,,, 355pm signal says hold longer so keeping half of it
taking 19% roi here on half of EEM,,, 355pm signal says hold longer so keeping half of it
taking 19% roi here on half of EEM,,, 355pm signal says hold longer so keeping half of it
1100
i'm locking profits on half typ mini swing from yest for 5%,,, edz still at 19% roi
1056
trying to play the xlf near its support and ES support at the 1179 trgt
1055
2281 FAS here long xlf 1481...not a swing,,for bounce only
1049
ES 118450 should hold on first test, to move lower
1047
EEM,,, EDZ swing jumps to 19% ROI :) :)
1046
a fast
move flash crash not likely but
could dribble down
there r
multiple mini supports
1179 72 68 59 55 ES supports
1041
the ES has now clearly broken the daily uptrend support line,,,if its a bearish break it will gennerally move lower b4 backtesting it so watching reactions
1038
long could work here, stoch now at the 2nd trip down mentioned b4,,,but waiting for long
1037
ES is now rite on the 60min down channel support line,,,sideways or bounce here likely, or 1179,,close
1034
qqqq hit .87 or one cent under the trgt,,,.87 held so far
1033
ok 5188 profit locked on half,,,now i'll reshort the mini bounce
1032
lim order to cover 25-50% of qqqq there
1031
5188 qqqq trgt under the .91 low of day
1026
es 1188 would be 3min DTL resist which has held thus far
1025
still have todays trgt 1179 ES stretch
1024
TYP 1.5% profit via typ from entry at 940am,, yest TYP is at 4% profit
1020
cancelling add more qqqq 5228,,,using what i have for now short
1018
will add short qqqq 5228 if able
1010
ES is now at resist via 3min DTL,,,holding atm
1007
qqqq does have a 15min bull diverg,,but thinking lower first to better define that diverg b4 bigger bounce later on
1006
QQQQ atm i have a "short rallies" for holds over 15min
1005
i'll wait for a 3min stoch roundtrip b4 long prob
1003
5190 will take a piece of qqqq off for scalp profit lock,,,holding rest for lower thru the day
956
ES 1179 trgt
945
UNG should push to new daily highgs
943
filled on qqqqq short
940
i will qqqq short 5223/5226 if able to add q shorts,,still have typ from yest, up 3%
937
EEM continues weaker than both qqqq and spx
935
wow CVX is at 8250 now, down from 8485 yest ,,,taking profits 8252!
933
1179 es horiz support in addition to blue trendlines
931
UNG long gapped up nice and is at 3.35% roi since entry yest
930
theres the first 118850 rejection
928
118850 should find sellers on first try ES,,well maybe not due to higher vol poss at 930am
913
EEM short EDZ swing is now up 15.4% from when i posted entry, still on hold swing,, moving in and out of EDZ would produce higher profit %, that's for the simple buy n hold
844 AM
ES came
close to the trendline trgt 1185
and hit 118650 and bounced
its now
finding some resist at the dotted
line trendline (one that cuts thru
price)
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
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