Wednesday, November 17, 2010

Wedn ramblings (and Tues eve ES futures)

412
of the Top 100 Etfs, they are all still on "hold swing shorts" for everything except UNG and UUP (and the bear inverses) ... Top 100 includes oil  gold  bonds  and various equity sectors,,,tho bonds may be basing they r stil on hold swing sell short

400
i'm out of BA,,,may re-enter as swing, did not close high enough for me to hold overnite, took only scalp profits today

359
no shorts added: the ES boll bands compressed on 60min but SPY is not

358
still only


50% short swings,,,didnt get an

entry to add more shorts today
 
355
UNG came close to its daily trgt but missed by few cents,,,i remain long the UNG up 6% roi for now

354
selling BA


here .56
 
348
lim sell 75% BA 6262

335
taking half of spx es off here at breakeven,,,holding other half for higher,,,2nd buy accomplished cost avg purpose

257
direction of next 3min candle could determin dir for rest of day into close, es

233
buy program alert 80%

232
es under 1178 i'll exit for 1 pt loss,,staying for now

230
UNG is 6 cents from trgt

228
poss 3min es bull stoch dbl bot

219
UNG still on trak for the 5.83 daily trgt,,,can still hit it,, or maybe tomorrow, watching

211
UNG waking up

204
filled on BA addition

202
using margin on BA to enter 125% size,,rare i do that, but have profit to reinvest so loss is absorbable

201
more BA at .62 lim buy if able

157
lim sell half BA 6283 to lock profits,,,keep half

146
xlf is flirting with disaster here,,,needs to hold support,,weaker than spx tday,, but not shorting this xlf chart

135
just hit .83 as i was typing target

135
large positinos could take more profit .83 BA trgt,,then .94/.97,,, 6307

134
BA


breaking higher,,trying breakout
 
 
133
BA next trgt .83 then .97 with lim at .94 to sell more

132
taking off 25% BA here to lock profit,,keeping 75%, about 40 cents prof

126
still see 1182,,tho clearly the 117 time missed :( ,,, i expected slowdown to 5mph not 1mph

122
buy program alert, 79%,,needs 85% to move fast

111
hmm not sure the es will make the 1182 by 117pm,, stalled more that calculated here

1254
1:17pm est time for ES to test and break over 1182

1249
ES stoch 3min hit the 20ish trgt and bounced

1247
lim sell 75% of BA 6294 if filled for 1% profit scalp

1244
alao poss bull 3 drives to hi on 60min es

1242
15min shows a weird looking poss bull inv HS, W, dbl bot type thing

1228
theres the BA move under .70 to .60,,,immediately reversed higher as expected

1217
BA should move under .70,,,then over it later

1216
60min es is nearing a triple high, usually bullish not bearish, 3rd time often breaks higher

1214
ES 15min stoch looks lil overbought but could stay there awhile,,,isnt bearish yet,still see higher es

1206
BA is at parab resis now 15min,,i expect this to break higher and give a parab buy long signal


1204
the BA boll bands were diff,,,wider,,,so i bought support instead of buying breakout

1203
when bands r compressed,,,prices will generally continue in the direction of the break of BB

1201
clue: notice that both the 15min and 60min boll bands have narrowed flatt,,also they r both near same #,,,notice tho how the 15min is beginning to stretch higher,,,a bull sign esp since the 15/60 are at same #

1157
but first will see reaction at 6300,,,to make sure doesnt blast rite thru it

1156
BA daily trgt 1 of 6297 trgt would give 1% roi for non 3x etf,,,,BUT this is 3rd test so may well break higher still,, prob will sell half BA at 6297/6304 if able,,,then hold half and look to reenter long if able on pullbak from the 6297

1146
BA 3min macd line crossed over 0 which means the 13ma crossed over the 26ma

1142
there goes BA broke resist higher

1140
es 1190 resist:
the 1190 was BOTH a daily low and a trendline break point

1138
my stuff shows the MktMakers r still long and must unwind higher,, if the MM are on wrong side and cannot unwind higher, they will be v quick to jump off and then sell,,,but for now seems higher

1137
ES 3min has a poss bull flag

1134
*1190/91

1133
if es found 1192, sellers should be there,,,that could be good swing if its hit that hi

1132
i'm trying to trade wave 3 up on the BA,,,15min looks like beg of W3 here

1124
Boeing is giving me "something should happen up down for scalps" but i dont know which way,,,signal divided,, bias remains up tho

1113
BA is STILL ON swing short 355pm signal,,,trading long the bounce only  atm,,,and poss trend swing change unknown

1111
BA has a 2x bull diverg on 60min chart as it bases,,,the move down was powerful, so may need a 3x diverg to get going in coming days,  tho 2x may do it, hence the 50% entry not 100% size

1108
ung 5.83 daily trgt today, last 570, that would push the roi to 8% ish, then see over $6 later

1052
roi 4.75% atm on UNG swing long

1051
UNG continues to look bullish,, may get a big green candle today or tomorrow

1047
qqqq still on swing sell from few days bak, but currently basing for up then down more

1046
6406 trg for BA, last 6251

1044
BA went down to 6229 after 6236 fill long but has since popped bak to 6250

1042
BA looks to be forming a base, the boll bands on the 60 and 15m are flat, narrower,,expecting a push up from the base,,,this is similar to the KO long setup from b4 that i had

1027
i'll go LONG hedge in BA 62.36 lim if filled, last 6250,,, for a 50% size position

1014
i'm looking for long swing bond entries now,,,but in the treasuries 3 10 20 30 years, prob wont get an entry today,,,but looking for one as they stabilize,, the TLT etc is still on a "swing short" signal but i expect it might change


1007
looking for faz 1170-1180ish, will know if it gets there by chart looks,,last still 1208, to short the xlf via faz

1005
for scalp rite now i have buy dips,,,and expect it to change to short rallies later today

959
charts suggest some sideways up down up down for now

940
UNG long has gapped up,,,still holding for more, maybe add to it later, up 4% roi atm

939
The 355pm Signal swing is still on "hold shorts",,,looking for entry to add more shorts,,,none yet,,,think we go higher first

932
GM


* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

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