Monday, November 29, 2010

Monday ramblings

401
SPY bearish wicks 11775ish AH

401
i'll still short a little disney AH if filled

400
oh well,,,didnt get the fill on reshoritng DIS,,,will try 2omorrow,, still have other shorts, and newly entered SCO

352
355pm signal: still says stay short, since nov 8, for multi-week swings

351
i will reshort dis lim 3673 if filled, if not will wait till 2moro

347
there goes spy over 11935 :)a

346
MM most likely will bring spy over 11935,,,they were forced LONG there,,but they also started shorting,,,suggests chop with mixed MM positions

338
still 3675/3700ish trg last 3648

337
disneys ready for another short,,,but needs to bounce then i'll reshort the bounce

322
i'll re-enter DIS short again when its done rallying,,,no entry yet

308
UPRO just hit its 3% trgt, from this morn entry, so exiting to lock profits,,, fun day tday

300
SPY



approacing 11935 trgt,,,expecting


chop around here,,,down


poss,,,over 11935 likely too,,now


tricky
 
 
256
not really expecting big downside b4 jan 1,,,, big boy bonuses so hold it up, but maybe lots of whipsaw

255
dis may want 3675, may reshort there idk, would be 60min downtrendlin resis

248
glad i took dis profits at .22,,,last 3644 now

239
ES justhit 1184 trgt,,,watching to see if holds here on first test...

238
ADDING more sco here, will prob sell half b4 close, 1162 sco, avg sco now 1170

235
taking off here for 12 instead,, can always reenter

235
will take profits there if able for 9 points on second half, 5 pints on first half, 14 total if filled 2nd

234
yup 1184 still trying to hold same trgt as 930am for second half of long es 1175

231
SPY expected to exceed 119.35 in coming hours days, could chop around down up first

223
long SPY upro autotrade just also hit its trgt and exited with profit

222
dis stopped, profits taken, 3622

220
sco trgt: 1193, 1230, 1314, 1600

215
one penny from stop out on DIS,,,still have it LOL

212
sco Jan $12 calls .75/.85 could work here as oil short, or uso puts

207
EDZ dec 24 calls from nov 16 now at 90% profit, makes sense to close 50-75% here

202
dis 2 cents from stop,,,not stoped yet

158
dis low of day 3610 so near low if stopped out

156
stop cover dis 36.22 last 3618,,,to lock profit

130
chop likely in oil in comoing hours days

128
sco early entry, trading the bear 60min diverg on oil

127
shorting OIL via sco 11.77 here

118
shorting dis, smh, semis, easier than spy spxu sds dxd atm

110
taking 50 cents profit on half that aggress scalp SMH short, soxl, from hour ago,, 1%ish profit

107
no long entry setup here,just possibly

107
WARNING: the KO stop is now move to near breakeven,,,swing,, KO is at support here in a day uptrend and perhaps even merit reverse swing long, on last 25%, took profits on 75% of KO shorts

1256
DIS is down 1.5% today vs SPY down 0.37%,,,is why using DIS as spx/dow short proxy,,,weaker, big diff,,, DIS was weaker on 60min on thurs fri last, which is why i shorted it last week

1252
interesting, my analysis suggesting that today is NOT institut distribution tho red down,,,could be retail or hedge funds,,, sugggests poss chop in coming hours and days,, but in-conclusive evidence atm

1247
also smh gets better fills but not 3x,,,

1244
conserv would wait on short soxl

1244
4353 short soxl semis, scalp, could work here, while waiting for swsing long entry,, or soxs

1240
DIS trgt down 3600, 3577,,3515 ,,,,trying for 3515 b4 taking profit but not likely today, watcing 3600 react, last 3614

1232
still have 100% size dis short,,,25% ko short

1232
DIS down :)  new low of day

1210
hpq is under the .28 buy trgt, but not long hpq,,,cancelled that as posted, .16 last.. why? cuz it was combo scalp swing and i missed fill long, then it hit its scalp trgt, now now just waiting

1203
ung 566 long might be good. last 579

1153
ES 15min pattern: bounce, down, bigger bounce, down hard, same as 930am,,,where we r now down not down hard

1152
the SMH is in a 10min bull falling wedge but no break out of it yet,,, will go long on break higher,,,could go down awhile still first,, via SOXL 3x

1146
careful long,,, semis near low of day and they been stronger than SPX,,, if cracks low then spx goes down, at es 1175

1144
KO is making new daily lows, again :)

1140
cancelling HPQ long limit order never filled, will do manually,, still in DIS short, rockin there

1139
 no position yet just monitoring atm,, trying to be patient here on swings "in tennis no mans land" rite now for new entries

1139
SOXL long semis looks good 4203 if able, last 4330, its 3x 3x etf, no position yet just monitoring atm

1125
UNG is now below what i sold it at,,,looking for reentry there for swing long, none yet

1123
lowering hpq to 4197 lim buy long

1117
grr hpq missed .28 no fill so lowering now to .20,,,not chasing

1114
no fill yet,,, .33 last,, using HPQ as QQQQ proxy,,like the HPQ for DOW/QQQQ combo proxy

1113
taking a 25% size position in HPQ long hedge 4228 if filled, combo swing scalp

1105
may want .35 or higher so took .12 profits

1105
KO hmm taking 25% more off here to lock a 2% profit (vs 6% 3xetfs)

1104
KO still doing well here,,watching to see if profit take area,,,still trying for .80 with lim order, last .08 or 30 cents away from trgt

1054
the ES 15min getting lil stronger,,,the first bounce is usually weaker, then pullbak, then bigger bounce,,, then see what 60 min looks like after all that

1053
intraday ccharts suggest another long scalp after es pulls back some from here, and close shorts there, and then reshort those bounces

1047
but i'm only hedged long,,,also short the dow via KO DIS proxies,, diff timeframes,,, ES long shorter time,, shorts longer times,, both r green atm

1045
taking half of ES off here, upro, for 4 points ES, holding other half, same stops and trgt on half

1041
taking profits on 100% shares this TYD for now, not liking this etf action,,,will reenter later more TLT maybe

1039
KO cover 6280  limit if able on all except 25% of shares, will reenter on bounce if trgt hit lower if able

1028
meanwhile, KO continues making new daily lows,,, on the way to its lower trgts, last 6309 :),, is why i only took 25% of shares off b4

1027
SPY / ES scalp long/day: stop 1/2% under cost OR take profit 1% over cost,,, or 1.5% / 3% for upro

1020
but KO 10min and 3min starting to maybe base so watching here to see if take more profit and reshort higher

1019
i'll take profits on only 25% of KO here at 6330, because if the 6320 breaks it could go for 6250, the 60 and 15min charts still weak,, 6327 last

1003
watching for "under target stretch" to 6207/6196ish if able

1002
ko just hit 6330, or 2 cents over it 6328 trgt,,,watching reaction here now b4 taking profits

1000
another



systtem just triggered a long spy


118.00,,not the 355pm signal, scalp signal

956
KO support 6328 trgt down, last 6336,, will wait and see reaction if it tests there, prob hold first try w bounce but waiting for profit taking for now

952
still have 355pm swing short KO,,and intraday "hold all day short",,,no profits taken yet on swing

951
KO now testing its LOD,,see if it breaks lower

944
KO does not care about that spike up in ES,,,remains flat near lows

927
/zc 30 yr treas up atm 0.4% vs es nq dow down .27%  .13%  .23%,,, long treas still valid,,, tlt,,, tyd 3x etc,, may take half of tyd tlt off today, unsure, still short KO DIS 100% sizes, both green


* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

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