Thursday, November 11, 2010

thurs ramblings (and Wedn eve ES futures)

Still looking to add SRS if able at some point.

418
DIS 3640/50 could work if bounces there,,, it did hit daily trendline perfectly n bounced tho



404
SPY down wicks 121.00ish,, suggests down on Friday

342
i am staying swing short EEM from 5 days ago, edz


339
also those tiny climbing up candles in intc 15min r bearish

336
INTC short swing here could work too,,,remain short intc,,,it had downside on heavy volume weeks ago below this area,,,up on

328
if oil and spx both move down,,,then short cvx should outperform both

255
120925 trgt

254
should hit horiz support then bounce baktest then maybe lower


253
ES just broke 3min trendline,,,see if follow thru, es 1211

246
955 am tomorrow Mich sent news

242
would be mean if they took it down today, dip buyers step in, and then gaps down tomorrow then another pump up

238
boll bands 15min now pinching on EEM

134
CVX high of day 8598,,,short near there

128
CVX: 60min bear diverg, falling macd hist, 15min macd hist cross 0

126
i'm shorting CVX now,,, 8575, scalp swing combo

120
taking profits in all T scalps now excpet last 25% with stop at breakeven,, will add higher if able or ride last 25% down

108
EEM looks like its trying to form that falling wedge I mentioned earlier this morn,,,still early stage tho


102
T stoch 15m been under 20 all day but can still move lower,,,the 60m stoch only now just entering 20 down,, further the slope of RSI 60min is


down
 
 
1253
cancelling the .89 add more T shorts,,,never got filled,,,running with shorts from 2925 and 2900


1250
10 minutes later,,,, T has broken the .80

1237
T has had support at .80 for last hour,,,charts suggest break lower of it withn by 103pm,,,maybe in 7 min


1234
if the 15min chart were more reliable,,i'd add them here,,,but boll bands wide on it for one thing


1233
T cannot get over .84/.86,,,still have that lim order to add more shorts on a spike headfake but no fill,, short setup still valid,,,will cancel order if short setup goes away

1227
that ES trendline is holding as resist, for now

1222
DX is riding on its 15periord MA in 15min chart bullishly


1216
T still showing weaker than SPX,,,didnt get the add shorts fill,,,now down to .81

1205
looking to add on MM stop run, if able


1204
if not filled there then i'll just run with existing shorts from higher levels,,only willing to add near mid-extremes

1203
T may want .93 so trying .89 short

1200
lim add T shorts 2889 if able, last 2884, combo scalp swing


1152
under


1209 ES for me is bearish,,15min DTL plus prior high resist there,,

1148
T hit 2878,,,which is one cent under the 10:09 AM trgt of 28.79 :)


1144
spy has a bull diverg on 60min chart BUT it looks incomplete,,,looks to need lower first to better define it


1143
EEM has a bear flag on a double bottom:  these often convert to falling wedges,,,watching for that here,, can see it in 15 and 60min eem


1136
bear des tri still valid atm

1129
i'm not covering 1204,,,will watch,,, 1202 stall,,1200 trgt

1128
3min es desc triangle, adam eve bear

1124
if short


from 1207 watch 1204 to cover

there,,or wait for break lower with

stop breakeven or 1206 stop,, with 1200 trgt
 
 
1120
ES 1207


short could work here,,but higher

risk, assumes coil will hold and its new coil so R is weak yet


1113
moderate down vol 1min on T with no large blocks implies any bounce should be small,,,and lower lows expected

1112
EEM 4716 rect trgt, just over the 4707 horion trgt,

1110
or desc tri

1109
hmm missed the 1209 by 1 pt,,if 1204 holds then es likely to form a boring 3min coil,,,bias still down atm

1101
1209 short should work on first test

1101
ES in a 15min downtrend,,,DTL resis not broken atm

1050
some alt ES trgts via rectangle calc: 1196 rect trgt, alt rect trgt 1187 if extremes used in calc

1041
EEM moving lower as expected but could still bounce,,,bounce still shortable to me

1035
150k shares red EEM 4747 means what? Under 4747 but could bounce higher first,,shortable if it bounces, via marketmaker tricks

1027
EEM: bear flag :)

1026
if T breaks its 60min DTL then i'll exit the short,,else staying in for now for lower trgts

1019
covering half of T short here to lock profit,,,.88,,,will look to reshort


1009
2879 next T trgt last 2888
1006
everyone thinks 1196,,,maybe we


get over or under it? 1200 or

1193? too many w same trgt lol,,,

see 1193 viable



933
INTC just hit 2055 exactly and bounced,,,still see lower for swing intc
931
intc next trgt down is 2055

929
for swings,,looks to be topping, but i'd like to see the uptrendline taken out,,,still holding support atm

900
CSCO's red daily candle right now is BIGGER than the extreme hi/low of the csco May 6 flash crash!


855
simple view: look at ES weekly chart last 2 candles. bearish.


754 am
the csco 
beating continues, csco now 
2035 from 2449 close, down 20% 
!!!

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

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