Monday thoughts

410
look at TLT 14,3,3 stoch, it may turn higher from here and not go to 20. If TLT does happen to move lower, then the stoch is going to form a bull diverg,,,but other charts and signals suggest higher TLT instead next 1-3 days

410
TLT or TMF 2xr 1-3 days imo,swing

405
VOG target is still 3.00 (for 7% profit), but i have raised my order set hiogher to sell at 3.22 (15% profit) in case it surges fast, if no such surge will consider selling at 300 trgt in coming day(s).

353
next trgt 7% on VOG,,,may buy back half if able tomorrow on pb

352
took 3% profit on half of VOG longs from this morn,,will hold half

349
VOG hit 2.89 trgt,,,still could get over 290 b4 close but trgt 1 hit

348
hpq in trouble methinks


343
9717 watch for short oil scalp,,breaks could be viscious

341
and that one, if it comesk, may not get bid up like today

341
starting to look like another gap down tomorrow in spx,,,

322
VOG moves seen small, but percentwise its up 2% vs flat ES today

321
9730 oil should give .45   .55 micro

319
76% confid buy signal intraday on vog, for a pop to test .90

312
74% confid sell sig on HPQ

312
hpq at .67 would suggest lower to next trgt imo, if it hits .67,,,last .78

302
this time of day,,,VOG can run thru the 8.90 stall area without a pause, removed the stall area

257
if oil gets to 9775, i think it will go over it,,,after a pullback stall first

248
72% confid ES sell signal, intraday at 1338

247
2777 trgt on hpq if breaks supp

246
hpq tricky here cuz at support,,,if es moves lower, hpq could break it tho

236
HPQ---testing yesterdays lows now

228
2470 VXX buy stop ABVOE the mkt could work,,,not there yet

227
VOG going for 289 trgt,,,then stall again ,,trgt still 3.00 or 7% profit

 
215
VOG "stall" should be done,,,should see 2.89 next

213
oil popped nice, over 9730 should pop again

210
if it can get to 117.71 TLT should give it new highs intraday

209
long oil, now, at 9700 could work

204
VOG will prob stall here now at 285,,may get interesting next

201
going long TLT or TMF may be easier than shorting the ES SPX QQQ

159
VOG hit its 2.83 "break higher trgt",,,watching for followthru or not

158
HPQ down 1% vs flat ES,,good for shorts

155
next bounce on ES, on the 3min, forming now but not ready yet. ,maybe shortable, watching setup, intraday scalp short poss

143
TLT on the move since the .30 trgt broken higher,,,.71 last

12219
TLT next trgt 118/.50,.,, 117.30 last

1219
i'm trading the breakout over 2.74 on daily---look at vog from November-present,,and then the 60min chart .... naturally breakouts always have more risk

1213
TLT hit 117.30 trgt from 15min ago,,,should be good for swings now

1207
watching LINE shorts, to see if it can break that 3640 for lower,and better profit exit

1202
VOG could go to 266 or lower, first

1200
IF TLT hits 117.30, would be long TLT signal, or add more TLT TMF,,,swing

1152
bought VOG long, 2.77--2.80, for expected break over 2.85 toward 3.00 next

1118
29.04,,,finally added to my HPQ short position

941
intraday under 457.50 may bring aapl selling intraday, and spill to qqq

917
the first 30 minutes may tell us the direction of SPX SPY for the rest of day

917
spy may get another spin top today, not filling the gap. if it does, then it would be day 3 of 3 day candle pattern mentinoed on friday, bear eve star, with day 4,5,6 neededed for confirmation of the star

8:37 AM

I'll be in and out today, so posting some thoughts here Pre-Market:

In general, stops tightened on all QuickSwings that are in profit zone, for half of the position, and a looser stop set for the second half to convert to MidTermSwing hold instead. Depending on how charts develop during the day, I may take profits on 100% instead of 50% of EUO  TLT  TMF  SLV  SPXU

On Friday, I posted to look for a gap down today on SPX and ES.  THe ES traded to 1330.25 overnight low, about 9 points lower, and is currently down 5 points. Unless ES manages a rally in the next hour, it will gap down as expected.

On Friday, I also posted to look for higher US Dollar and lower Euro. Euro futures are now down nicely  almost 1% (2% effect on EUO etf), and the Euro futures have BROKEN Friday's low.

Newly entered SILVER shorts entered Friday: Silver is down nicely 1.4%, or 2.8% effect on ZSL.

TLT longs trading 0.5% higher, TMF longs up 1%.

Newly entered long in OIL, starter size position, is trading lower today, but UCO etf is approx 1% profit above its entry price. Watching oil carefully. I mentinoed that oil may make a lower low before bouncing much, hence the starter position. I may exit this and look to reenter later. needs to hold prior daily lows.

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".