Tuesday, February 7, 2012

Tues thoughts

350
i see lower spx,,,but i think APL long will be ok, so holding it,,,i dont think VOG can hold up, so exited that one b4 optimal target hit,earlier today

336
oil might try 101 first b4 lower tho

335
imo,,short oil swings better than short spx

334
*9874

333
shorted oil here at 99.74 for swing,,,might even take off half b4 the close if it moves down, else swing trade

258
1:33pm signal still valid,,,that ES "might have" finished its up move, and begin sideways then decline,

246
REN re-shortable here imo 1166--1179 range

240
tomorrow may present SLV short, zsl,

233
inmpot support test now imo on hpq,,,breaking this and down to .40 trgt micro

227
that TLT 60min chart that looks "so bad".... watch for a BULL W to form on it

140
ES should pullback between now and the close 415 ,,,last 1343

137
APL moving up nicely since the trigger hit

133
ES "might have" finished its up move, and begin sideways then decline, in next 2 hours,,,tho the signals are premature, warnings are there,,, but this is the first "might have" signal i've had for some time now

121
 i'm OUT of VOG for now
4% profit,,,did not achieve the 7% and 15% targets on VOG,,,may reenter later

118
APL hit its .64 buy trigger higher,,,watching for reaction and followthru now

109
TLT falling but a bull  diverg forming on its 60min chart

106
APL buy stop 3664 above the mkt could work long,into close or swing

104
HPQ 2935, ABOVE its last high, short could work if it gets up there, before 230pm

1257
VOG popped up 1% since the "intraday buy signal",,,still see .97 trgt

1253
starting to get those smaller 15min bear candles on HPQ,,,not done yet

1244
BAL cotton may be giving a "buy back again after taking profits" for swing long cotton, maybe in next 10--120 minutes

1242
hmm,,, my charts say UCO low was 4023,,,but my stop at 4021 was hit,,,so bad data---or "something" else happened,,and filled at 4024,,oh well

1233
VOG trgts:  290,,,297,,,307,,,324

1232
over 285 implies 297 imo on VOG, good for next hour intraday

1231
vog just triggered a 77% confid to break 2.90 higher,,,,,,,not suggesting to buy it here, but could pop to its next trgt

1229
either it holds here to move higher, or im out of oil for awhile

1229
raised stop on UCO oil long now to 4021---tricky here so tightened stop

1214
3987 stop on remaining half of UCO oil long 2x,,,,last 40.50,,riding it up but need a stop in place now that the 99 futures trgt was hit,,,oil moves fast hence the stop

1207
an agressive, early oil swing short might present today

1206
oil outlook short term: a pullback to a higher low, then long on the higher low,,,,then a swing SHORT on the bounce while exiting the long.  SHORT may present in 1-2 days, depending on action of 60min charts

1143
watching 9770 oil if it drops near there, last 9832

1142
after it calms down, another reentry long oil may present

1142
OIL just hit its 99 trgt from yest post,,, for 2% profit oil or 4% sco quickTrade,, i posted to have a lim order at 99 because if it got there fast it might pb

1136
if HPQ 15min chart starts to put in smaller candles, sideways, may present a short opp

1132
283--286 vog could work if it gets there in next hour,,for new entries, i'm holding from 280 still half after taking half off for 3% yest

1131
APL over 3850 would give 4070 trgt,,,but longert term i think it can go higher,,,think it can do a move like ROC did

1128
TLT...15min bull harami

1057
VOG new entries might be better to let the 15min charts base for awhile, then enter lower or above mkt

1054
my APL hard stop is at 35.40,,mental stop is higher than that and may exit early b4 stopped out, but hard stop in place in case of sudden downturn, computer problems, or if i forget about the position for a day''

1052
there's a Downtrendline on HPQ 15min near this area

1039
2885 hpq may be tough to crack higher

1034
TBT puts, FEB 19 at .33 and Mar 19 at .74, could work nicely (if TLT moves up, tbt goes down 2x)

1019
tlt  tmf buy signal intraday at 74% here, 116.48 tlt

1016
sell signal on es, 70% confid here at 1335.50,intraday

1008
133.44 spy test is trgt,,,and see if that holds or breaks,,stall likely if it gets there

1006
SPY chart is diff than ES...notice SPY has begun to fill gap and broken all its supporta above it,,,,133.76 spy supp

1005
1336/34.50 es trgt 1 is 1330 to cover half there, hold half

1003
aapl shorts are underwater 455.55 vs 465.57 last,,,but holding them mid term for 41--425 first trgts lower

1000
stopped out of ROC long from Jan, about 27% profit,,,may re-enter later, not today

957
very very agress could short 133450 here

954
1335.25 mini resist es

953
1330 next mini trgt lower after 1333

952
looks breakable 1333,,makes sense to wait imo b4 scalp profit take...LOL charts changing while i'm typing

951
watching 1333/34 es 2-3 pt scalp trgt reaction, if it breaks lower, can get a nice move lower, active traders would watch closely to exit small profit on half, re-enter,,

945
still see /ZB  /ZN futures long or TLT  TMF long as better than es shorts tho

941
ES shorts here could work, 1336

940
hpq weak this morn,,,still have 2820--2840 hpq trgt lower,,will see reactions there,,,with the 26 then 24swing trgt still in play

938
stop 54.20 on ROC from Jan entry long swing,,,at 27% profit now and don't want to get caught in downside correction, move up been parabolic

933
still have same targets on VOG: 300 and 3.25

932
APL, not aApl, here is a good buy long imo,,i'm not adding since already in from higher levels

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

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