Wednesday, February 1, 2012

Wednesday thoughts

417
we could actually gap HIGHER tomorrow as i look at charts, or move higher before lower, but that doesnt negate the swing short half-size entry,,,,imo

411
so close to my 1317 trgt by 4:15pm

408
SPY actually shows higher volume on its 60min move down than its move up, same comparison

400
all on todays chart 60 min ES chart interesting: same vol on move up from 1317--1323 as on move down from 1326--1319,,,churn

355
hmm 1317 would be nice by 415pm....under 1317 i might add more SPY shorts afterhours,,,else will run with half size spx shorts, in addition to existing individ shorts in various stocks

351
the swing signal usually goes: enter trade, hold trade, exit trade,,, this time it went : enter trade, dont exit, enter again, ,,,,,that is rare

345
 my QuickSwing signal yest said "stay short",,,LOL it went to "add shorts spx" today, despite this move up,,,,,,,,,,,,
went back on short at 1325,,,unrelated to prev mentioned "78% confid scalp " signal...they are 2 diff things, not related

339
new APL position is down ,,,but holding it as still think it will pop higher, sqwing, entered too early

338
1317 trgt if 1321 breaks

336
took small 3.5 points profit on half of the es shorted earlier today

334
thers the small 1321 trgt hit, watching reaction here

323
same plan if it hits 1321

322
watching same #s : 1321, 1317 es

322
still on 78% sell on ES ,,,LOL,,not moving much still

249
CHRW is not offering re-entry, has not move much since todays  7% drop, i would consider adding in this area if it does not bounce, but wont add today,,,if it starts to settle here then may add the shorts back

248
at 1321 ES i might take off half, for small 3.5 point profit,,,will watch reaction there to see if blows thru it or not,,, 1317 may be achievable so will watch

246
still at 78% confid on ES sell signal intraday

235
but 1321 has support, watching that area next ES

231
119.25 TLT buy signal, back in TLT TMF

211
added #3 short, 1324 ES,,there is no price improvement, earlier entries were better price, just adding more shares so i can scale out later,,,the move down may not be huge

209
at 78% confid now

204
watching 1323.50/1323.25 ES

152
1323.50 es will put it up to 78% confid sell, satisfying the donchian piece of the algo

143
needs 85% confid to really move

143
74% confid, sell signal on ES triggered, at 1325 last

110
60min HPQ setting up a big bear diverg on macd and rsi both, i remain short hpq,,the daily chart for HPQ the past year is much weaker than SPY DIA or QQQ

1243
added more shorts, 1324.50,,,#2 of poss 4 entries,

1225
 it may go for 1330, why i only added initial entry #1,,,
3min charts are throwing off some warnings on ES tho, why i chose to try some early at 1325

1229
shorted at ES 1325,,,entry #1, early entry, may add higher or lower more

1225
will ES test 1329--1330? watching

1224
intraday short scalp is setting up, too soon for entry imo but opp may present soon

1144
TLT or TMF may be ready long in 2-3 hours more,,,still waiting on those

1143
SMN bear basic materials may present poss entry short, alt to TZA or QID or SDS shorts,,,i'm not entering yet but its on the focus list

1130
if APL goes to 40 trgt, will give 6% return, timing analysis is always iffy, but i think APL can move in the next 1-3 days, similar characteristics on my indicators to ONTY tho chart looks diff

1121
bought APL 37.70 to 37.72, swing long

1101
chtr QuickSwing from yest up 2%, planing to take profits in the 3% area near 59.00 if able

1055
Just got back, took profits on CHRW short from a few days ago since it hit the 7-8% profit area.  will look to re-enter again later. Also looking to buy back TLT  TMF that i took 10-12% profit on yest. HPQ shorts are still underwater, being patient with them, still holding for now.

906 AM
Despite fact that ES s up 9.5 now, CHRW short suggested a few days ago is set to gap sharply lower today, perhaps a 6-8% drop from yesterday's close. I see lower in the coming days weeks, but I'll take profits this morning if it gets to the 7-8% profit area from recent entry.  I'm posting early now since I will be out this morning.

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

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