Friday, October 30, 2009

Was the SPX break of Daily 50 MA a false breakdown?

Was the SPX break of Daily 50 MA a false breakdown?

We will know for sure shortly, but I do not think so. Why? Because there are many bearish signals. and also, have a look at XLF, which broke its 50 MA on 10/26 before spx broke its 50 MA. And what happened yesterday in XLF? It moved up to test its 50 MA, nearly reaching it but falling short. Therefore, I consider this a valid break of the SPX 50 MA, with a valid break of the XLF 50MA and a backtest of the XLF 50 MA that has held thus far. This is now 4 days that XLF is under its 50 MA. Financials led the rally up, they will be the first to lead it down.

* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".

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