this chop is not surprising, common result of MM doing what they did today--may see more of it tomorrow...tomorrow may be more volatile choppy than today's mostly slleepy day
348
i'll be watching 980--990 tza tonite AH tomorrow ...if it gets there, looks good to buy tza or uvxy or vxx, for swing, in moderate amounts nothing too aggressive
344
IF the TZA gets to 988, i will buy a little UVXY swing...glad i exited the scalp earlier
339
i need to see MM get more aggressive about selling b4 adding any shorts swing,,,today they just bought and bought...but it looks like they bought with intent to push lil higher, then sell distribute...will need to watch action to see
BUT the 4pm system fired a "short spx" yest, and it has 70-80% success rate since year 2000
338
990--1030 TZA range it seems, and just buy sell there for now
328
i do think UVXY has higher but I just do not like the persistent buying by the MM here for several hours, and i dont want to lose the profit in a sudden move, esp since its a scalp.
i do still have the swings tho in VXX NUGT TZA UCO
327
took UVXY profit sclp early just now
330
it also suggests we might see some chop today and tomorrow
330
Not quite sure what MM are up to...they been buying gently today, suggests that the high is not in...yet other data suggests lower spx, so this is a very tricky time, and time to reduce risk and let an "extreme" develop and then trade more aggressively
230
a move down to 930 would NOT wreck the pattern in uvxy
230
UVXY now moved above the 950---following pattern thus far... :)
225
1080ish trgt on UVXY: near its march 1 low, need to adjust for decay
i dont expect the 1080 today ...wathinc what it does
222
UVXY theres expected under 950 move...now watching poss retest 935 area, then over 960 in coming hours days
215
a move under 950 uvxy then back over it...would fit pattern
210
uvxy...trying to break todays high, on the wqay to gap fill...testing it now, and has momentum to break on first try
206
personal account: ADDING more UVXY....not in vse...at 950 added
1154
same trgt on UVXY scalp piece: 10.00ish, then will sell and look to reload...will be keeping the VXX swing thats a diff trade, 952 last
148
lim 937 will add uvxy if it tests down there again, may not get it,
this alert is RARE on the VIX VXX: it may not hold, but i trust its history
uvxy VXX surge alert rang: watching for followthru or not
143
look at the DX: lower as expected, plenty more room downside dollar dx uup
138
the move up in oil 60min candle is one big green one vs several small ones....suggests oil can break higher IF it can hold up here and not get a quick rejection at the resist test
132
oil uco uso cl is waking up, but nearig 60m resist
126
i think they will try a move toward 10.22ish tza , last 1003
125
UVXY TZA again buyable here, scalp or swing
116
MM at 1007 tza to buy tza
115
hit 1540---may see a shoot star here now on the es...watching,,,MM waiting there...
114
lim 1540 ES short scalp could work if it gets filled
110
MM still want 1022ish tza imo
109
simultaneous impt test of support in us dollar, and if the dollar breaks then metals gdx should be good for higher
109
Very impt test in es here,intraday....ES still on 75% sell signal
1242
may see a bounce here in nugt gdx
1242
uh oh... look at DX UUP....we might get a lil more action here now in this sleepy day
1221
MM waiting at 1023 tza...think it will try for that up
1220
MM on sidelines intraday atm, with v small bull bias that could change fast tho
1218
lets see what ES does with this supp test...and UVXY....
1148
3min DX : suggests dollar pb
1140
switched..they r selling it LOL
1139
now MM gently buying russl...see how long that lasts...this is typical "accum" dist behavior
1138
watching if the MM lower their ask or not..if so could see more downside, else gentle
1138
this is NOT the MM selling here imo tho it looks like it,,,,retail daytrader test by MM atm
they are hanging out at the higher sell levels atm tho of course it could change fast
1129
75% es rang short at 1540
modest trgts as its contratrend
11211123
uso uco oil and nugt GDX: trying to build bullish inv HS on their 15m and 60m charts...see it? still building forming
74% ES short rang, here 1540
1120
uvxy buyable again...presenting lots of opps
1119
MM still trying for 990--1000 tza buys....so could chop around...990--1037 range
1053
72% short alert rang ES 1540.25, scalp signal
1045
Notice 15min DX uup charts
1040
still waiting on 990 tza tho
1040
MM selling 1539 ES< this time bit more aggress...could see intraday pb soon
1034
if tza get 990 lower, may add to UVXY
1030
MM selling gently again, 1538, es and russl
it's somewhat bearish in russel that they didnt wait for the higher level, they are paying a bit of premium here since russel didnt move up to their sell zone so they have lowered the ask (higher tza bid).. but again, gentle distribution here as they pop lower and higher on the ASK
1024
GDX looks like it wants a higher intraday high if dollar pb
1024
the DX us dollar has now bounce back to...guess where... 82.25: the prior support break level now resist---watching reaction on this first test of newly broken resist..when the break is "new" its not strong yet, so watching what it does here...if resist holds then higher metals
1019
NOTICE that VXX uvxy...they are "holding up"....ES moving higher vs sideways VXX...that suggests higher vxx uvxy, to fill gap trgt in uvxy
1018
: they r now back to 10 tza buy
this is what they do when "accumulating" or "distributing"
so may not see larger followthru until after today,,,in meantime lil range-ish
they r trying to buy tza 1003, if unable then they will buy higher...watching..right now they are near
10.03ish
1013
MM selling right now gently here, 1536 es and russl here
but moderate MM trgts, approx to fill the gap is where they will cover shorts intraday, 1037 TZA MM sell level
1000
i CLOSED my swing in USLV for small gain,not much,,,,to reduce risk...still see higher silver but also have nugt and uco, so decided to exit the USLV for now
my oil position got whacked yesterday, so prudent to reduce risk by taking the silver gift here
951
Market Makers are SELLING the ES 1536
946
today---USLV is doing better than NUGT...why i like to diversify
940
37.00 mini gdx trgt for today (gdx and nugt longs). of course swing trgts higher, but theres resist 3700-3750 in gdx
939
vse: went long 1000 shrs UVXY
933
filled on tza in vse port,1000 shares
926
at 930am, DX looks like it will be under that 80.25 posted yesterday...watching for reactino in metals higher now
922
if tza moves today then i'll take quick gains on it, but willing to hold it longer if needed. have the vxx and spxu from yesterdays account that i'll hold until the 4pm swing system signals an exit shorts signal.
so actively trading the tza and letting the vxx spxu sit there
914
bought TZA premarket here 10.23 personal acct. will buy long 1000 shares tza in vse port at the open, limit 10.25. tza is at yesterdays posted trgts
Trades can be viewed at the links below.
http://www.marketwatch.com/game/christopherstockguy-100k-port/portfolio/Holdings
For details on the portfolio see this posting:
* ChristopherStockGuy is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. For details, see the post from SATURDAY, AUGUST 15, 2009 titled "Disclaimer".
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